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International Petroleum Co (TSE:IPCO)
:IPCO

International Petroleum Corporation (IPCO) AI Stock Analysis

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International Petroleum Corporation

(TSX:IPCO)

60Neutral
International Petroleum Corporation's stock is moderately positioned with strengths in capital structure and strategic investments, but faces challenges with cash flow and profitability margins. Technical indicators show limited momentum, and the valuation is neutral. The focus on share buybacks and operational achievements are positives, but industry-specific risks such as commodity price exposure remain significant.
Positive Factors
Project Development
IPC has done a solid job on ensuring the project's development timeline and costs remain on track.
Share Buyback Program
The active buyback program has helped bolster the share price as buybacks made up almost 15% of trading liquidity in 2024, growing to 25% in January 2025.
Negative Factors
Valuation Concerns
IPC's valuation has expanded materially over the past year, which could constrain near-term share performance.

International Petroleum Corporation (IPCO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

International Petroleum Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInternational Petroleum Corporation (IPCO) is an independent oil and gas company with operations primarily in Canada, Malaysia, and France. It is engaged in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. The company focuses on acquiring and optimizing mature oil fields and seeks to enhance production through cost-effective and innovative techniques.
How the Company Makes MoneyIPCO makes money through the sale of produced oil and natural gas. Its key revenue streams include the extraction and sale of crude oil and natural gas, which are sold to various markets worldwide. The company capitalizes on its strategic acquisitions of underdeveloped fields and employs enhanced oil recovery techniques to increase production efficiency. Partnerships with local and international entities often enhance operational capabilities and market access, contributing to IPCO's revenue. Additionally, fluctuations in global oil prices directly impact the company's earnings, with higher prices generally leading to increased revenue.

International Petroleum Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
International Petroleum Corporation faces challenges in maintaining profitability and cash flow health. While there is a strong equity base and manageable debt levels, declining margins and negative free cash flow are concerning. The company must improve operational efficiencies and manage capital expenditures.
Income Statement
65
Positive
International Petroleum Corporation's income statement reveals moderate profitability and some growth challenges. The gross profit margin for 2024 is approximately 23.02%, showing a reduction from 42.47% in 2023. The net profit margin is also lower at 11.19% compared to 20.25% in the previous year, indicating pressure on net income. Revenue growth from 2023 to 2024 is about 6.94%, which is decent but shows a slowdown compared to previous years. The firm maintains a strong EBITDA margin of 33.95% in 2024, although EBIT is notably absent, reducing the earnings clarity.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of International Petroleum Corporation indicates a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48 in 2024, reflecting manageable leverage. The equity ratio stands at 48.07%, demonstrating a stable capital structure. However, a decline in stockholders' equity from 2023 to 2024 suggests some weakening in financial strength. Return on equity (ROE) is 10.88%, reflecting a drop compared to 16.02% in 2023, indicating reduced efficiency in using equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows challenges in generating free cash flow, with a negative free cash flow of -$168.99 million in 2024. The free cash flow growth rate is concerning, shifting from a positive to a negative value. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.60, demonstrating strong cash generation capability relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting significant capital expenditures impacting cash flow health.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
913.18M853.91M1.23B741.03M340.84M
Gross Profit
210.17M362.60M497.58M243.91M-82.00M
EBIT
0.00341.79M477.46M225.69M-85.54M
EBITDA
310.01M365.28M620.26M311.45M26.92M
Net Income Common Stockholders
102.20M172.95M337.68M146.03M-77.94M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
246.59M517.07M483.24M18.81M6.50M
Total Assets
1.95B2.06B1.68B1.27B1.33B
Total Debt
448.28M446.97M308.84M112.69M326.15M
Net Debt
201.69M-70.11M-174.40M93.88M319.65M
Total Liabilities
1.01B982.73M714.29M426.13M624.67M
Stockholders Equity
939.32M1.08B965.14M847.39M708.32M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-168.99M32.91M444.00M236.95M-938.00K
Operating Cash Flow
266.09M346.15M601.82M281.18M77.15M
Investing Cash Flow
-434.86M-352.47M-157.81M-44.23M-105.79M
Financing Cash Flow
-107.10M37.56M11.11M-224.58M19.91M

International Petroleum Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price19.92
Price Trends
50DMA
19.03
Positive
100DMA
17.31
Positive
200DMA
17.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Positive
RSI
46.20
Neutral
STOCH
32.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IPCO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 19.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.89, above the 50-day MA of 19.03, and above the 200-day MA of 17.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:IPCO.

International Petroleum Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSMEG
74
Outperform
$5.83B12.0411.22%0.92%-8.92%-5.46%
TSCNQ
71
Outperform
$85.91B14.1815.47%5.50%-1.01%9.31%
TSSU
70
Outperform
$63.76B10.8813.82%4.50%3.25%-25.69%
TSBTE
68
Neutral
$2.20B9.925.99%3.26%39.63%-132.36%
TSCVE
67
Neutral
$32.88B10.9110.88%3.89%3.97%-22.22%
60
Neutral
C$2.24B17.2010.02%-10.79%-31.51%
57
Neutral
$8.34B5.35-5.98%7.29%0.20%-69.45%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:IPCO
International Petroleum Corporation
19.08
4.01
26.61%
TSE:BTE
Baytex Energy
2.84
-1.38
-32.64%
TSE:CNQ
Canadian Natural
40.91
-5.51
-11.87%
TSE:MEG
MEG Energy
22.70
-6.09
-21.15%
TSE:CVE
Cenovus Energy
18.03
-5.34
-22.86%
TSE:SU
Suncor Energy
51.54
6.24
13.76%

International Petroleum Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 11, 2025 | % Change Since: 0.56% | Next Earnings Date: May 6, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant achievements in investment, production, and safety measures offset by challenges in cash flow and commodity price exposure. Despite a negative free cash flow due to high capital expenditure, the company's operational and financial strategies show resilience and a focus on long-term growth.
Highlights
Record Investment Year
IPC achieved record investment of $442 million, with $350 million allocated to the Blackrod Phase 1 development, in line with original guidance.
Production Achievements
Annual production was 47,400 boes per day, in line with guidance of 46,000 to 48,000 boes per day.
Strong Cash Flow and Cost Control
Generated $342 million in operating cash flow with operating costs of $17 per boe for the full year, below initial guidance.
Successful Share Buyback
Completed 2023-2024 NCIB by repurchasing and canceling 8.3 million shares, with a new program to purchase up to 7.5 million shares.
Environmental and Safety Milestones
No material health or environmental incidents recorded, with a 35% reduction in total recordable incident rate.
Strong Balance Sheet
Net debt of $209 million with $247 million in gross cash and CAD180 million undrawn RCF.
Lowlights
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was minus $135 million for 2024, primarily due to high CapEx on the Blackrod project.
Weak Gas Prices
Gas prices in Alberta remained weak, below CAD2 per Mcf during the winter period, affecting revenue.
Unhedged Oil Price Exposure
Company had no oil benchmark hedges at the start of 2024, leading to a wide range of cash flow projections.
Company Guidance
During the 2024 year-end update call, IPC reported a record investment of $442 million, with $350 million allocated to the Blackrod Phase 1 development. The company's production averaged 47,400 barrels of oil equivalent per day, aligning with their guidance of 46,000 to 48,000 boes per day. Operating expenses were reported at $17 per barrel for the year, below the revised guidance of less than $18 per boe. IPC generated $342 million in operating cash flow and ended the year with a net debt of $209 million and gross cash of $247 million. The company completed its NCIB program by repurchasing 8.3 million shares and initiated a new program to buy back up to 7.5 million shares by December 2025. IPC also reported no significant health or environmental incidents and is on track to achieve its net emissions intensity reduction target by 2025.

International Petroleum Corporation Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
International Petroleum Corporation Reports Share Repurchase Progress
Neutral
Mar 10, 2025

International Petroleum Corporation (IPC) announced the repurchase of 352,360 common shares under its normal course issuer bid (NCIB) during the period of March 3 to 7, 2025. This initiative is part of IPC’s strategy to manage its capital structure and enhance shareholder value. The repurchases were conducted on both Nasdaq Stockholm and the Toronto Stock Exchange, with all shares to be cancelled. Since the initiation of the NCIB in December 2024, IPC has repurchased a total of 3,708,675 shares, with a maximum of 7,465,356 shares authorized for repurchase over a twelve-month period.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
International Petroleum Corporation Reports on Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Feb 28, 2025

International Petroleum Corporation (IPC) announced the results of its normal course issuer bid (NCIB), revealing the repurchase of 214,308 common shares between February 24 and 28, 2025. The repurchase was conducted on both the Nasdaq Stockholm and the Toronto Stock Exchange, with all shares set to be canceled. This move is part of IPC’s strategy to manage its share capital and potentially enhance shareholder value, reflecting the company’s active engagement in optimizing its financial structure.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
International Petroleum Corporation Announces Share Repurchase Results
Positive
Feb 25, 2025

International Petroleum Corporation (IPC) announced the repurchase of 218,956 common shares under its normal course issuer bid (NCIB) program between February 17 and 21, 2025. This initiative, which aligns with EU and Canadian regulations, involves share repurchases on both Nasdaq Stockholm and the TSX, with the aim of canceling the repurchased shares. As of February 21, 2025, IPC has repurchased a total of 3,142,007 shares since the NCIB’s commencement on December 5, 2024, with a maximum of 7,465,356 shares allowed for repurchase by December 4, 2025. This strategic move is expected to enhance shareholder value and reflects IPC’s commitment to optimizing its capital structure.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
International Petroleum Corporation Reports Successful Share Buyback
Positive
Feb 17, 2025

International Petroleum Corporation has successfully executed a share repurchase program, buying back 313,424 common shares between February 10 and 14, 2025, as part of its ongoing normal course issuer bid. The repurchased shares will be cancelled, reducing the total number of issued and outstanding shares, which reflects IPC’s strategy to optimize its capital structure and returns to shareholders. The program allows for a maximum repurchase of 7,465,356 shares over a twelve-month period, potentially impacting the company’s share value and market perception.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
International Petroleum Corporation Reports Strong 2024 Results and Announces 2025 Plans
Positive
Feb 11, 2025

International Petroleum Corporation has reported strong operational results for 2024, with an average net production of 47,400 barrels of oil equivalent per day. The company has made significant investments in the Blackrod Phase 1 development project in Canada, with over two-thirds of the forecast capital expenditure completed by year-end. IPC’s 2025 budget includes a capital and decommissioning expenditure of USD 320 million and an average daily production guidance of between 43,000 and 45,000 boepd. The company achieved a reserves replacement ratio of over 250%, ending the year with the highest 2P reserves in its history. IPC continued its share buyback program, returning USD 102 million to shareholders in 2024, and plans to further reduce its common shares outstanding by 6.2% by December 2025. These strategic moves are expected to strengthen IPC’s positioning and enhance value creation for stakeholders.

Stock Buyback
International Petroleum Corp. Completes Share Repurchase as Part of NCIB
Positive
Feb 10, 2025

International Petroleum Corp. (IPC) has announced the successful repurchase of 407,001 of its common shares from February 3 to 7, 2025, as part of its ongoing normal course issuer bid (NCIB) program. This initiative, compliant with EU regulations and aligned with Canadian and Swedish securities laws, aims to repurchase up to 7,465,356 shares by December 2025. The repurchase activity, conducted on both Nasdaq Stockholm and TSX, reflects IPC’s commitment to enhancing shareholder value and optimizing its capital structure.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
International Petroleum Corporation Announces 2024 Financial Results and Capital Markets Day
Neutral
Feb 6, 2025

International Petroleum Corporation announced its plans to release its financial and operating results for the year ending December 31, 2024, on February 11, 2025. The release will be followed by an audiocast and its annual Capital Markets Day webcast, which are key events for stakeholders to gain insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
International Petroleum Corporation Reports Share Repurchase Progress
Positive
Jan 31, 2025

International Petroleum Corporation announced the repurchase of 336,608 IPC common shares from January 27 to 31, 2025, as part of its normal course issuer bid program. This move aligns with IPC’s strategy to optimize its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value. The repurchased shares will be canceled, reducing the total number of issued and outstanding IPC shares. Since the commencement of the program in December 2024, IPC has repurchased over 2.2 million shares, with a maximum of 7.4 million shares allowed for repurchase until December 2025.

Stock Buyback
IPC Announces Share Repurchase Under Issuer Bid Program
Positive
Jan 27, 2025

International Petroleum Corporation announced the repurchase of 294,208 of its common shares under its normal course issuer bid program between January 20 and 24, 2025. This move is part of an ongoing effort to repurchase a total of up to 7,465,356 shares by December 2025, with the aim to enhance shareholder value by reducing the number of shares outstanding. The repurchased shares will be canceled, reflecting IPC’s commitment to managing its equity base effectively.

Stock Buyback
International Petroleum Corporation Completes Share Buyback Under NCIB
Positive
Jan 20, 2025

International Petroleum Corporation has executed a share repurchase program, buying back 434,560 common shares between January 13 and 17, 2025, under its normal course issuer bid. This move, in compliance with European and Canadian regulations, aims to consolidate IPC’s market position by reducing the number of issued shares, potentially enhancing shareholder value. A total of 1,571,810 shares have been repurchased since the initiation of the program, with the company authorized to buy up to 7,465,356 shares until December 2025.

International Petroleum Corporation Reports on Share Repurchase Activity
Jan 13, 2025

International Petroleum Corporation has announced the repurchase of 313,864 common shares between January 1 and 10, 2025, as part of its normal course issuer bid. This share buyback program, initiated in December 2024, is in line with market regulations and aims to enhance shareholder value by reducing the number of outstanding shares. The repurchased shares will be cancelled, reflecting IPC’s ongoing commitment to managing its capital structure efficiently.

International Petroleum Corp. Announces Share Buyback Results
Jan 2, 2025

International Petroleum Corporation has announced the repurchase of 163,562 common shares under its share buyback program from December 23 to 31, 2024. This move indicates a strategic effort by the company to reduce the number of outstanding shares, potentially boosting shareholder value. The total number of shares repurchased in December 2024 amounted to 823,386, with a maximum of 7,465,356 shares eligible for repurchase over the next year.

International Petroleum Corp’s Share Repurchase Update
Dec 16, 2024

International Petroleum Corporation has successfully repurchased 285,660 common shares as part of its share repurchase program. The company executed these transactions on both Nasdaq Stockholm and the Toronto Stock Exchange, with plans to cancel all repurchased shares. This move is part of a broader strategy to repurchase up to 7.5 million shares over the next year.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.