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Happy Belly Food Group Inc (TSE:HBFG)
:HBFG

Happy Belly Food Group (HBFG) AI Stock Analysis

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Happy Belly Food Group

(OTC:HBFG)

52Neutral
The stock score reflects strong technical momentum and positive corporate developments, offset by significant financial performance challenges and a poor valuation. Persistent unprofitability and high leverage are key risks, while recent corporate events provide a potential growth catalyst.

Happy Belly Food Group (HBFG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Happy Belly Food Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHappy Belly Food Group (HBFG) is a diversified food company operating in the consumer packaged goods sector. The company specializes in producing and distributing a wide range of food products, including snacks, beverages, and ready-to-eat meals, catering to a variety of consumer tastes and preferences. HBFG is committed to delivering high-quality, innovative food solutions that prioritize taste, health, and convenience.
How the Company Makes MoneyHappy Belly Food Group makes money through the sale of its branded food products across various retail and online channels. The company's revenue streams primarily include wholesale distribution to supermarkets, grocery stores, and food service providers, as well as direct-to-consumer sales through e-commerce platforms. Additionally, HBFG engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other food industry players to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. The company's focus on innovation and consumer trends, such as health-conscious and convenient meal options, also plays a significant role in driving sales and revenue growth.

Happy Belly Food Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Happy Belly Food Group exhibits strong revenue growth potential, yet the company's financials are marred by persistent losses, high leverage, and negative cash flows. While there are improvements in revenue and recent equity growth, substantial challenges in profitability and cash flow management remain significant risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has shown significant revenue growth over the years, particularly evident in the TTM period. However, consistently negative net income and EBIT margins indicate persistent unprofitability. The gross profit margin is positive, but high operating losses suggest challenges in cost management and achieving operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The debt-to-equity ratio is concerning due to a negative equity position in the previous periods, although it has improved recently. The company has a significant amount of debt relative to its equity, indicating high financial leverage. Even with the recent positive equity, the overall financial stability is weak, posing potential financial risks.
Cash Flow
38
Negative
The company has faced consistent negative free cash flow, indicating challenges in generating cash from its operations. Although there has been an increase in financing cash flows, reliance on external financing raises concerns. The operating cash flow to net income ratio reflects operational cash struggles despite net losses.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.50M5.07M2.73M1.20M102.13K86.85K
Gross Profit
2.59M2.62M1.21M606.57K102.13K86.85K
EBIT
-1.61M-929.53K-1.96M-11.25M-4.10M-6.60M
EBITDA
-9.04K-673.49K-1.94M-26.00M-4.27M-6.85M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-1.37M-1.83M-3.26M-26.67M-4.39M-6.99M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
10.32K1.58M1.16M1.01M4.14M303.03K
Total Assets
0.005.85M4.28M3.67M5.29M1.39M
Total Debt
0.005.34M2.90M338.02K70.22K0.00
Net Debt
10.32K4.07M1.80M-598.15K-4.07M-303.03K
Total Liabilities
0.006.41M3.50M592.71K799.24K293.33K
Stockholders Equity
-92.91K-723.22K716.50K3.05M4.49M1.10M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-1.59M-1.08M-1.74M-4.18M-1.80M-2.44M
Operating Cash Flow
-1.19M-722.92K-1.62M-4.18M-1.78M-2.44M
Investing Cash Flow
204.87K-350.68K-31.03K-664.55K144.59K-3.50K
Financing Cash Flow
3.22M1.24M1.82M1.64M5.47M2.53M

Happy Belly Food Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.11
Price Trends
50DMA
1.12
Negative
100DMA
1.11
Positive
200DMA
0.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
54.57
Neutral
STOCH
52.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:HBFG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.14, below the 50-day MA of 1.12, and above the 200-day MA of 0.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:HBFG.

Happy Belly Food Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSNTR
67
Neutral
$32.94B36.082.72%4.59%-9.23%-45.29%
62
Neutral
$20.19B14.01-16.14%3.22%1.15%3.41%
54
Neutral
$49.76M-26.24%-2.01%18.67%
52
Neutral
C$140.61M-112.08%34.34%46.35%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:HBFG
Happy Belly Food Group
1.11
0.78
231.34%
TSE:NTR
Nutrien
67.71
-5.28
-7.23%
TSE:GURU
GURU Organic Energy Corp
1.56
-0.84
-35.00%

Happy Belly Food Group Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Happy Belly Opens New Heal Wellness Location at University of Alberta
Positive
Jan 21, 2025

Happy Belly Food Group has announced the grand opening of its latest Heal Wellness quick serve restaurant at the University of Alberta in Edmonton. This expansion highlights the company’s commitment to increasing its market presence in the healthy eating sector and may enhance its positioning within the industry.

Business Operations and Strategy
Happy Belly Food Group Secures National Distribution Deal with Sysco
Positive
Jan 21, 2025

Happy Belly Food Group Inc. has entered into a national distribution agreement with Sysco, the global leader in food distribution to establishments that prepare meals away from home. This agreement is set to enhance Happy Belly’s operational efficiency by utilizing Sysco’s extensive distribution network, which will provide consistent access to high-quality products at competitive prices, reduce food costs, and streamline inventory management. The partnership aims to improve supply chain reliability and operational efficiency, thereby supporting revenue growth and business excellence.

Happy Belly Food Group Enters Coffee Market with Smile Tiger Acquisition
Jan 9, 2025

Happy Belly Food Group has signed a definitive agreement to acquire 100% of Smile Tiger Coffee Roasters Inc, marking its entry into the coffee sector. This acquisition aligns with Happy Belly’s strategy to consolidate brands that emphasize people, product, and process, and signifies potential for further sector expansion and menu broadening.

Happy Belly Secures Sixth Consecutive Above-Market Financing
Jan 9, 2025

Happy Belly Food Group has successfully closed its sixth consecutive above-market non-brokered private placement, raising $500,000 to support its growth strategy. This funding boosts the company’s ability to pursue both organic and inorganic growth, including strategic M&A opportunities, and aims to accelerate its path to cash flow positivity.

Happy Belly Food Group Appoints John Grieve as Regional VP for Western Canada
Jan 7, 2025

Happy Belly Food Group has appointed John Grieve as the Regional Vice President of Operations for Western Canada, aiming to enhance its operational strategies and support its significant growth trajectory. Grieve’s extensive experience in the franchised food sector will be pivotal in optimizing efficiency and elevating guest experiences as the company continues its expansion and acquisition plans.

Happy Belly Food Group’s Strategic Financing Move
Dec 16, 2024

Happy Belly Food Group is set to raise CAN$500,000 through a non-brokered private placement, highlighting investor confidence in their growth strategy. This marks their fourth consecutive above-market financing, allowing the company to expand both organically and through acquisitions. The offering is expected to close by January 2025, further strengthening Happy Belly’s expanding footprint.

Happy Belly Expands Yolks Breakfast Franchise
Dec 5, 2024

Happy Belly Food Group is expanding its Yolks Breakfast franchise with the signing of its 13th location in the Greater Vancouver Area. This marks a significant milestone as it is the 10th new franchise agreement since the brand’s acquisition less than a year ago. The company continues to strengthen its presence in British Columbia and plans further growth across Canada.

Happy Belly Food Group Achieves Record Quarter
Nov 26, 2024

Happy Belly Food Group has announced its 10th consecutive record-breaking quarter, showcasing substantial growth in its food brand operations. The company’s strategy, including the acquisition of IQ Foods, has led to a remarkable 488% increase in system sales across its QSR brands and a 69% rise in total revenues. With a focus on organic and inorganic growth, Happy Belly continues to deliver strong results and shareholder value.

Happy Belly Expands with New HEAL Franchise
Nov 26, 2024

Happy Belly Food Group has announced the signing of its 46th HEAL Wellness franchise, further expanding its presence in Bolton, Ontario. The new franchise will be located at 301 Queen Street South and will offer a range of fresh smoothie bowls and smoothies. This expansion highlights Happy Belly’s ongoing growth in the quick-service restaurant sector.

Happy Belly Expands with New Dining Locations
Nov 26, 2024

Happy Belly Food Group has partnered with Cadillac Fairview to open three of its brands, IQ Foods, Heal Wellness, and Rosie’s Burgers, at CF Shops at Don Mills in 2025. This move is part of Happy Belly’s strategy to expand its presence in key urban markets with prime real estate locations. IQ Foods, a flagship brand in the healthy eating sector, will see its store count increase to six, highlighting the group’s growth in the premium food market.

Happy Belly Expands with SALUS Fresh Foods Acquisition
Nov 15, 2024

Happy Belly Food Group has signed a definitive agreement to acquire 50% of the SALUS Fresh Foods restaurant chain, marking its fourth acquisition this year. This move strengthens Happy Belly’s position as a leading consolidator of emerging food brands and adds to their growing portfolio. SALUS Fresh Foods operates nine locations in Ontario, focusing on healthy food options.

Happy Belly Expands Heal Wellness in Toronto
Nov 15, 2024

Happy Belly Food Group’s Heal Wellness brand is expanding with a new franchise location at 1819 Avenue Road in Toronto, marking the 10th Heal location in Ontario and the 5th in Toronto. The brand specializes in quick-serve fresh smoothie bowls, acai bowls, and smoothies, catering to the growing demand for healthy dining options.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.