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Enerflex (TSE:EFX)
TSX:EFX

Enerflex (EFX) AI Stock Analysis

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Enerflex

(TSX:EFX)

65Neutral
Enerflex's overall score reflects a mix of strengths and challenges. The company shows strong cash flow management and operational efficiency, but faces challenges with declining revenue and high valuation. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, though the stock could be nearing an oversold condition. The positive outlook from the earnings call and corporate events supports future performance, but geopolitical concerns and expected margin normalization introduce some uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Capital Allocation
With leverage now at the lower end of its target range, the company holds flexibility around capital allocation.
Financial Performance
EFX's results exceeded expectations driven by stable EI/AMS work and a strong jump in ES margins.
Negative Factors
Price Target
The price target is decreased to $16 from $20, mostly reflecting some additional macro uncertainty.

Enerflex (EFX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Enerflex Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnerflex Ltd. (EFX) is a global provider of products and services to the energy industry, primarily focusing on natural gas compression, oil and gas processing, refrigeration systems, and power generation. The company operates across various sectors, including energy infrastructure, natural gas processing, and hydrocarbon recovery, offering comprehensive solutions to enhance the efficiency and productivity of energy operations worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyEnerflex makes money through the sale and leasing of natural gas compression and processing equipment, as well as providing related services such as installation, maintenance, and operational support. Key revenue streams include equipment sales, aftermarket services, and long-term service contracts. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures in various regions, allowing it to expand its market reach and enhance its service offerings. Additionally, Enerflex engages in energy infrastructure projects, contributing to its earnings through the development and operation of energy facilities.

Enerflex Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Enerflex is navigating a challenging revenue environment with improved operational efficiency and robust cash flow management. The balance sheet remains healthy, albeit with moderate leverage. While profitability metrics show room for improvement, the company's ability to generate cash flows provides a positive outlook.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Enerflex has shown a resilient performance in the TTM with a positive gross profit margin of 19.3% and a net profit margin of 1.0%, indicating a slight profitability. However, there is a decline in total revenue from the previous year, which reflects a negative growth trajectory. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved, showing efficient operations despite revenue pressures.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The company maintains a stable financial position with an equity ratio of 37.6%, indicating a balanced approach to financing its assets. However, the debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74 suggests moderate leverage. Enerflex's return on equity is relatively low at 2.6%, indicating underutilization of shareholder funds for generating profits.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Enerflex exhibits strong cash flow management with a significant increase in free cash flow, leading to a robust free cash flow to net income ratio. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, supporting liquidity. The company has successfully turned around its cash flow from previous deficits.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.41B3.16B1.78B960.16M1.22B
Gross Profit
504.00M555.50M322.72M219.55M298.18M
EBIT
173.00M162.34M17.48M54.29M116.01M
EBITDA
369.00M269.70M93.24M124.81M204.14M
Net Income Common Stockholders
32.00M-110.92M-100.94M-18.45M69.07M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
92.00M140.51M253.78M172.76M95.68M
Total Assets
2.79B3.91B4.27B2.19B2.18B
Total Debt
777.00M1.32B1.48B388.44M451.64M
Net Debt
685.00M1.19B1.23B215.68M355.96M
Total Liabilities
1.74B2.52B2.73B837.69M782.88M
Stockholders Equity
1.05B1.39B1.54B1.35B1.40B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
306.00M185.00M-96.07M167.81M86.50M
Operating Cash Flow
324.00M273.31M19.77M225.16M220.25M
Investing Cash Flow
-59.00M-158.89M43.25M-63.53M-137.76M
Financing Cash Flow
-263.00M-200.49M11.85M-83.89M-82.05M

Enerflex Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price11.25
Price Trends
50DMA
12.62
Negative
100DMA
12.62
Negative
200DMA
10.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.47
Negative
RSI
48.00
Neutral
STOCH
92.47
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EFX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.80, below the 50-day MA of 12.62, and above the 200-day MA of 10.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.47 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:EFX.

Enerflex Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSDRX
82
Outperform
C$217.48M4.1036.75%0.39%19.21%105.30%
TSPSI
76
Outperform
C$1.06B8.7226.63%3.90%12.14%26.17%
TSTCW
75
Outperform
$877.81M8.3021.89%4.14%0.84%-1.74%
TSSES
75
Outperform
C$3.64B6.8352.24%2.56%28.30%227.26%
TSCEU
70
Outperform
C$1.66B9.0326.23%1.69%8.79%31.76%
TSEFX
65
Neutral
C$1.35B30.663.06%1.04%4.51%
58
Neutral
$8.70B5.51-5.93%7.52%-0.18%-74.84%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EFX
Enerflex
11.42
3.58
45.66%
TSE:CEU
CES Energy Solutions
7.41
2.82
61.54%
TSE:TCW
Trican Well Service
4.75
0.86
22.11%
TSE:PSI
Pason Systems
13.36
-1.35
-9.18%
TSE:DRX
ADF Group Inc. SV
7.57
-0.81
-9.67%
TSE:SES
Secure Energy Services
15.86
4.94
45.24%

Enerflex Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -2.77% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Enerflex's earnings call reflected a strong operational performance with significant deleveraging and record contract backlogs. However, there are concerns about potential geopolitical impacts and expected margin normalization in 2025.
Highlights
Strong Operational Performance
Enerflex delivered solid operating results across geographies and product lines, with Energy Infrastructure and After-Market Services generating 69% of gross margin before depreciation and amortization in 2024.
Rapid Deleveraging
Enerflex significantly reduced its leverage, reaching the low end of its target range at 1.5 times by the end of 2024, down from 2.3 times at the end of Q4 2023.
Record Contract Backlog
The company reported a $1.5 billion contract backlog for Energy Infrastructure and a $1.3 billion backlog for Engineered Systems, supporting strong future performance.
Impressive U.S. Contract Compression Business
Operational performance in the U.S. contract compression business was strong, with utilization rates in the mid-90% range and expectations of fleet growth from 428,000 horsepower to over 475,000 horsepower in 2025.
Exceeding Financial Guidance
Enerflex's Q4 results exceeded 2024 guidance, with consolidated revenue of $561 million and gross margin before depreciation and amortization at $174 million, or 31% of revenue.
Lowlights
Termination of Project in Kurdistan
A $75 million derecognition in bookings occurred due to the termination of a cryogenic natural gas processing facility project contract in Kurdistan.
Expected Margin Normalization
Engineered Systems margins, which were strong in Q4 2024, are expected to normalize in 2025 due to a shift in project mix and weaker natural gas prices.
Potential Impact of Geopolitical Tensions
The company is closely monitoring geopolitical tensions and potential tariff impacts, which could affect costs and market conditions, particularly in North America.
Company Guidance
During the Enerflex Fourth Quarter and Year End 2024 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on their expectations for 2025, emphasizing multiple key metrics. Enerflex projected continued strong performance in their Energy Infrastructure and After-Market Services, which contributed 69% of their gross margin before depreciation and amortization in 2024. They reported a contract backlog of $1.5 billion for Energy Infrastructure assets and $1.3 billion for Engineered Systems, expecting the majority of this to convert to revenue over the next 12 months. The company achieved a significant reduction in leverage, ending 2024 at 1.5 times, down from 2.3 times at the end of Q4 2023, and aims to maintain this progress in 2025. Enerflex plans to invest $110 million to $130 million in capital expenditures for 2025, focusing on growth in their U.S. contract compression fleet. They also announced a 50% increase in their dividend and expressed intentions to balance further deleveraging with capital allocation strategies, including potential share repurchases and additional debt reduction.

Enerflex Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesStock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Enerflex Announces Leadership Change and Reaffirms 2025 Outlook
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Enerflex Ltd. announced a leadership transition with Marc Rossiter stepping down as President, CEO, and Director, and Preet Dhindsa named as Interim CEO. The company reaffirms its 2025 outlook and plans to expand direct shareholder returns, including a 50% increase in quarterly dividends and a new issuer bid. Enerflex continues to focus on enhancing profitability, leveraging its market position, and investing in growth opportunities, while maintaining a disciplined capital program.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Enerflex Announces Share Buyback Program to Boost Shareholder Value
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Enerflex Ltd. has announced its intention to implement a Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) to repurchase up to 5% of its public float over the next twelve months, subject to approval by the Toronto Stock Exchange. This move is part of Enerflex’s strategy to enhance shareholder returns, following a recent 50% increase in its quarterly dividend, and reflects the company’s belief that its current market share price does not fully represent its underlying value.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Enerflex Ltd. Reports Strong Q4 2024 Financial Results and Operational Growth
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

Enerflex Ltd. reported its financial results for Q4 2024, showcasing an adjusted EBITDA of $121 million and free cash flow of $76 million. The company reduced its net debt-to-EBITDA ratio to 1.5x and maintained strong operational visibility with a contract backlog of $1.5 billion in energy infrastructure and $1.3 billion in after-market services. Enerflex’s North American contract compression business performed well, driven by increased natural gas production, and the company plans to expand its fleet size by the end of 2025.

Enerflex Ltd. Provides Optimistic 2025 Outlook with Strategic Focus
Jan 13, 2025

Enerflex Ltd. has announced its preliminary outlook for 2025, highlighting plans to enhance profitability, leverage its strong market position, and maximize free cash flow. The company expects steady demand across its business lines, with energy infrastructure and after-market services projected to account for significant margins. Enerflex plans disciplined capital expenditure, with a focus on opportunities in the U.S. and Middle East, while maintaining a strong revenue stream from its existing backlog. The outlook suggests a positive impact on Enerflex’s financial position and market competitiveness, benefiting stakeholders with increased returns and selective growth investments.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.