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Constellation Software (TSE:CSU)
TSX:CSU

Constellation Software (CSU) AI Stock Analysis

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Constellation Software

(TSX:CSU)

71Outperform
Constellation Software's overall score is driven by strong financial performance and strategic corporate actions. Despite robust revenue growth and cash flow management, high leverage and valuation concerns temper the outlook. Technical indicators offer mixed signals, while recent corporate events provide both strategic advantages and potential downsides. The overall score reflects a solid but cautious investment opportunity.
Positive Factors
Financial Health
Cash flow was significantly higher than consensus, showing strong financial health.
Management and Leadership
Constellation is considered very well-managed with a strong balance sheet, mitigating potential risks.
Mergers and Acquisitions
M&A activity was stronger than expected, indicating a proactive growth strategy by the company.
Negative Factors
Growth Challenges
A slight organic recurring revenue deceleration was noted, which could indicate potential challenges in maintaining consistent growth.
Revenue and Earnings
CSU missed on revenues and EPS, and the miss is uniquely due to elevated expectations.
Revenue Performance
Revenue and EBITDA were 1% light compared to consensus.

Constellation Software (CSU) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Constellation Software Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConstellation Software Inc. (CSU) is a leading global provider of software and services, headquartered in Toronto, Canada. The company operates in various sectors including public and private markets, offering specialized, mission-critical software solutions. Constellation Software's core products and services are designed to support a wide range of industries, from healthcare and retail to financial services and transportation, enabling organizations to enhance their operational efficiency and customer engagement.
How the Company Makes MoneyConstellation Software makes money through a diversified revenue model primarily based on the acquisition and management of vertical market software companies. The company generates income through the sale of software licenses, maintenance and support services, and professional services such as training and consulting. A significant portion of its revenue also comes from subscription-based models, which provide a steady and recurring income stream. Additionally, Constellation Software's strategy of acquiring and nurturing smaller software businesses allows it to expand its market reach and increase its revenue base. The company's focus on niche markets and its ability to integrate and grow acquired companies are key factors contributing to its financial success.

Constellation Software Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Constellation Software demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. The company maintains high profitability margins and operational efficiency, although its high debt levels pose potential risks. Overall, the financials depict a company with a strong growth trajectory and sound operational practices, albeit with some leverage-related risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Constellation Software has showcased consistent revenue growth over the years, with a remarkable year-over-year increase of 19.76% from 2023 to 2024. The Gross Profit Margin stands strong at 88.81% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. Although the Net Profit Margin is at 7.26%, which is moderate, the absence of EBIT in 2024 could be a concern for future profitability analysis. The EBITDA Margin of 24.69% suggests healthy operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 1.62 in 2024 highlights a higher reliance on debt financing, which could be risky in volatile markets. However, a Return on Equity of 26.16% indicates strong profitability relative to shareholder equity. The Equity Ratio at 21.73% suggests that a significant portion of the company’s assets is financed by equity, which is a stable position.
Cash Flow
92
Very Positive
Constellation Software shows robust cash flow management, with a Free Cash Flow growth rate of 22.57% from 2023 to 2024. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 3.00 suggests that the company generates substantial cash from operations relative to its net income. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 2.91 further emphasizes strong cash-generating capabilities, ensuring liquidity and flexibility.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
10.07B8.40B6.62B5.11B3.97B
Gross Profit
8.94B7.44B5.86B4.58B3.54B
EBIT
0.001.18B764.00M436.00M656.00M
EBITDA
2.48B1.45B1.63B1.07B1.15B
Net Income Common Stockholders
731.00M565.00M512.00M168.00M436.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.99B1.30B926.00M802.00M767.00M
Total Assets
12.86B10.90B7.88B5.77B4.38B
Total Debt
4.53B3.68B2.29B1.39B725.00M
Net Debt
2.55B2.40B1.48B624.00M-33.00M
Total Liabilities
9.58B8.94B5.95B4.25B3.33B
Stockholders Equity
2.79B1.88B1.71B1.06B1.05B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.13B1.74B1.26B1.27B1.16B
Operating Cash Flow
2.20B1.78B1.30B1.30B1.19B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.57B-1.64B-1.69B-1.24B-512.00M
Financing Cash Flow
114.00M316.00M483.00M-41.00M-247.00M

Constellation Software Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4644.13
Price Trends
50DMA
4725.33
Negative
100DMA
4648.17
Negative
200DMA
4473.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-15.66
Negative
RSI
51.09
Neutral
STOCH
82.01
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CSU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4644.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4572.11, below the 50-day MA of 4725.33, and above the 200-day MA of 4473.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -15.66 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.01 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CSU.

Constellation Software Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSTOI
77
Outperform
C$12.73B92.9928.52%16.90%28.86%
72
Outperform
$1.32B15.5514.76%4.33%8.11%15.83%
TSCSU
71
Outperform
C$97.59B97.4530.90%0.12%21.56%31.90%
68
Neutral
$9.23B10.3516.00%4.15%-3.59%432.46%
TSKXS
68
Neutral
C$4.88B157.81-0.10%14.85%-105.25%
TSCMG
68
Neutral
C$624.87M25.3033.92%2.66%32.49%-0.20%
58
Neutral
$9.99B10.12-6.46%3.10%7.47%-11.60%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CSU
Constellation Software
4,644.13
918.11
24.64%
TSE:ENGH
Enghouse Systems
24.51
-5.20
-17.51%
TSE:OTEX
Open Text
35.20
-12.35
-25.97%
TSE:KXS
Kinaxis Inc
174.50
21.99
14.42%
TSE:CMG
Computer Modelling
7.58
-2.65
-25.90%
TSE:TOI
Topicus.com
153.30
31.07
25.42%

Constellation Software Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Constellation Software to Release Q1 Results on May 12, 2025
Neutral
Apr 14, 2025

Constellation Software Inc. announced it will release its first quarter results on May 12, 2025, after market close. The company has stopped holding conference calls for quarterly financial results and instead offers a Q&A facility on its website for shareholders to submit questions, aiming to provide ongoing access to information about its strategy and operations.

Spark’s Take on TSE:CSU Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:CSU is a Neutral.

Constellation Software’s stock score is driven by strong financial performance, including consistent revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. However, the high P/E ratio and low dividend yield point to a high valuation, which may deter new investors. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, suggesting cautious optimism in the near term. The corporate events do not significantly alter the score as they are accounted for in financial and technical analyses.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:CSU stock, click here.

Shareholder Meetings
Constellation Software and Subsidiaries Announce Virtual Annual Meetings
Neutral
Apr 9, 2025

Constellation Software Inc., along with its subsidiaries Topicus.com Inc. and Lumine Group Inc., announced their upcoming annual general meetings scheduled for May 13, 2025, which will be conducted virtually via live audio webcast. Shareholders will have the opportunity to participate in a joint question and answer session with senior management following the meetings. This approach reflects the companies’ ongoing commitment to engaging with stakeholders and adapting to digital formats, potentially enhancing shareholder participation and transparency.

Spark’s Take on TSE:CSU Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:CSU is a Neutral.

Constellation Software’s stock score is driven by strong financial performance, including consistent revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. However, the high P/E ratio and low dividend yield point to a high valuation, which may deter new investors. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, suggesting cautious optimism in the near term. The corporate events do not significantly alter the score as they are accounted for in financial and technical analyses.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:CSU stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Constellation Software to Release Q4 Results and Enhance Investor Engagement
Neutral
Feb 11, 2025

Constellation Software Inc., a company specializing in vertical market software businesses, announced it will release its fourth quarter results on March 7, 2025. The company will provide the results on its website and the SEDAR website after market close, opting out of the traditional conference calls. Instead, Constellation has implemented an online Q&A platform for shareholders to submit questions, aiming to enhance investor access to company information and strategies.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Constellation and Topicus Bolster Stake in Asseco Poland
Positive
Feb 5, 2025

Constellation Software Inc. and Topicus.com Inc. have announced that Topicus’ subsidiary, Yukon Niebieski Kapital B.V., has agreed to purchase 12,318,863 treasury shares from Asseco Poland S.A., representing 14.84% of its share capital, at PLN 85 per share. This strategic transaction will enhance Topicus’ influence in Asseco as it follows a previous acquisition of 9.99% shares and is supported by a shareholders’ agreement with the Adam Góral Family Foundation, pending regulatory approvals.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.