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Cielo Waste Solutions (TSE:CMC)
:CMC

Cielo Waste Solutions (CMC) AI Stock Analysis

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Cielo Waste Solutions

(CMC)

17Underperform
Cielo Waste Solutions is significantly challenged by its poor financial health, weak technical performance, and negative valuation metrics. The proposed board overhaul adds further uncertainty and potential instability. Overall, the stock faces substantial risks, and its prospects appear dim.

Cielo Waste Solutions (CMC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Cielo Waste Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCielo Waste Solutions Corp. operates as a waste-to-fuel environmental technology company in Canada. It converts and transforms waste feedstocks, including organic material and wood derivative waste into fuel, such as diesel, naphtha, and kerosene. The company was formerly known as Cielo Gold Corp. and changed its name to Cielo Waste Solutions Corp. in August 2013. Cielo Waste Solutions Corp. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCielo Waste Solutions generates revenue by converting waste materials into renewable fuels, which are then sold to various industries seeking sustainable energy solutions. The company utilizes its proprietary technology to process waste into high-value fuels such as diesel and naphtha. Key revenue streams include the sale of these biofuels and potentially licensing its technology to other waste management or energy companies. Strategic partnerships with waste producers and energy consumers, as well as government incentives for renewable energy production, significantly contribute to Cielo's earnings.

Cielo Waste Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cielo Waste Solutions faces severe financial difficulties with no revenue growth, persistent losses, and negative cash flows. While leverage appears manageable, the lack of profitability and cash generation poses significant risks to financial stability.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
The company has consistently reported zero revenue with negative gross and net profit margins, indicating significant financial challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, further highlighting the lack of profitability.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low, indicating manageable leverage. However, the declining stockholders' equity and low equity ratio suggest potential financial instability. The company also shows a significant drop in total assets over the periods.
Cash Flow
15
Very Negative
Negative free cash flow and operating cash flow indicate poor cash generation capabilities. The negative operating cash flow to net income ratio and free cash flow to net income ratio suggest inefficiencies in converting earnings to cash.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.004.20K3.00K
Gross Profit
-4.12M-3.41M-634.00K-442.61K0.000.00
EBIT
-7.00M-7.72M-6.16M-15.46M-5.26M-4.14M
EBITDA
-14.81M-8.05M-33.13M-13.36M-34.47M-3.46M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-18.03M-36.18M-14.45M-14.44M-39.71M-4.18M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
-116.00K376.00K1.33M2.68M17.18M81.61K
Total Assets
13.94M54.95M29.37M53.53M45.19M17.68M
Total Debt
2.12M4.19M10.04M14.84M1.74M10.46M
Net Debt
2.23M3.81M8.88M12.16M-15.43M10.38M
Total Liabilities
5.32M13.71M14.57M19.93M20.69M14.91M
Stockholders Equity
8.62M41.24M14.80M33.60M24.51M2.77M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-4.63M-5.97M-8.97M-35.96M-7.69M-8.45M
Operating Cash Flow
-2.63M-4.20M-4.75M-16.38M-1.27M-3.36M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.30M-1.49M-5.06M-19.64M-6.12M-5.09M
Financing Cash Flow
3.93M4.92M8.31M21.52M24.49M8.18M

Cielo Waste Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.06
Price Trends
50DMA
0.09
Negative
100DMA
0.09
Negative
200DMA
0.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
27.16
Positive
STOCH
28.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CMC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.08, below the 50-day MA of 0.09, and below the 200-day MA of 0.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.16 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:CMC.

Cielo Waste Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSGRN
66
Neutral
C$13.33M-5.60%-10.37%95.22%
TSECO
58
Neutral
C$243.48M-3.37%48.80%50.70%
57
Neutral
$7.57B4.34-4.83%6.50%-0.19%-64.60%
TSNPK
42
Neutral
C$27.91M-33.12%-42.96%-110.04%
TSDYA
37
Underperform
C$80.81M2492.91%258.52%-4.87%
TSCMC
17
Underperform
C$6.47M-168.76%-66.57%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CMC
Cielo Waste Solutions
0.06
-0.24
-80.00%
TSE:DYA
dynaCERT
0.17
0.03
21.43%
TSE:ECO
EcoSynthetix
4.16
-0.71
-14.58%
TSE:NPK
Verde Agritech
0.53
-0.43
-44.79%
BLOZF
Cannabix Technologies
0.44
0.27
158.82%
TSE:GRN
Greenlane Renewables Inc
0.08
-0.02
-20.00%

Cielo Waste Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Apr 2, 2025 | % Change Since: 0.00% | Next Earnings Date: Sep 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted a significant transaction with Expander Energy and receipt of a non-dilutive grant, suggesting strategic advancements. However, financial challenges such as a net loss and working capital deficiency indicate ongoing financial hurdles.
Highlights
IP Licensing Agreement with Expander Energy
Closed a transaction with Expander Energy, resulting in the issuance of 906 million common shares valued at $45 million.
Receipt of Non-Dilutive Grant
Approved for a $0.5 million grant by Alberta Innovates for the feedstock trial in Aldersyde.
Shareholder Approval for Reverse Consolidation
Received shareholder approval for the reverse consolidation of shares at the Annual General Meeting.
Lowlights
Net Loss for the Quarter
Reported a net loss of $1.4 million for the 3-month period ending October 31, 2023.
Working Capital Deficiency
Reported a working capital deficiency of $2.1 million.
Unsold Property and Termination of Promissory Notes
In the event the Fort Saskatchewan property is not resold, the $2 million promissory notes will be terminated, resulting in no further proceeds.
Company Guidance
During the Cielo Waste Solutions Second Quarter 2024 earnings call, several key financial metrics and transactions were discussed. The company reported total assets of $13.9 million and total liabilities of $5.3 million as of October 31, 2023, with a working capital deficiency of $2.1 million. The quarter saw financing costs of $60,000, general and administrative expenses of $616,000, research and development costs of $221,000, and a non-cash stock-based compensation of $187,000, leading to a net loss of $1.4 million. A significant transaction was the sale of the Fort Saskatchewan property, which involved retiring an $11 million second mortgage. Additionally, a licensing agreement with Expander Energy resulted in the issuance of 906 million common shares valued at $45 million. The company also launched a private placement of flow-through shares to raise up to $6 million and received a $0.5 million grant from Alberta Innovates for a feedstock trial. Management is considering strategic timing for a reverse share consolidation and aims to minimize future dilution by exploring non-dilutive funding opportunities for upcoming projects.

Cielo Waste Solutions Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Cielo Waste Solutions Faces Shareholder Requisition for Board Overhaul
Negative
Apr 2, 2025

Cielo Waste Solutions has received a shareholder meeting requisition from Expander Energy, its largest shareholder, to address significant changes in the company’s board of directors and governance structure. Expander seeks to replace the current board with its nominees and gain control of the company, attributing Cielo’s share price decline to the existing board. Cielo’s management, however, attributes the decline to broader market conditions and is committed to its turnaround strategy for long-term growth, emphasizing ongoing dialogue with shareholders and good governance.

Product-Related AnnouncementsLegal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cielo Waste Solutions Shifts Focus to Green Hydrogen in British Columbia
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

Cielo Waste Solutions announced the relocation of its first planned waste-to-fuel facility from Alberta to British Columbia, shifting its production focus from Renewable Diesel to Green Hydrogen. This strategic move aligns with the company’s commitment to renewable energy and allows it to leverage financial incentives from the British Columbia Low Carbon Fuel Standard credit program. Additionally, Cielo has decided not to proceed with the acquisition of the Enhanced Gas to Liquids facility due to market uncertainties and regulatory challenges. The company remains focused on sustainable fuel production and is exploring new partnerships and funding opportunities. Cielo is also engaged in a dispute resolution process with Expander Energy regarding disagreements over a license agreement.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Cielo Waste Solutions Announces Share Issuance for Debt Settlement
Neutral
Jan 21, 2025

Cielo Waste Solutions announced its intention to settle approximately $1.62 million in debt through the issuance of 15,451,545 common shares at $0.105 each, subject to TSX Venture Exchange approval. This move includes a transaction with an insider, classified as a related party transaction, and aims to improve the company’s financial standing. The company also corrected a previous error regarding the price of shares issued in earlier transactions, reinforcing its commitment to transparency.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.