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Agnico-Eagle Mines Limited (TSE:AEM)
TSX:AEM

Agnico Eagle (AEM) AI Stock Analysis

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Agnico Eagle

(TSX:AEM)

80Outperform
Agnico Eagle demonstrates strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and efficient cash flow management, supported by strategic cost control and reduced debt. Technical analysis suggests stable momentum, while the earnings call reflects positive future prospects despite slight production guidance reductions. Valuation appears reasonable, maintaining shareholder appeal.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) reported a Q4’24 earnings beat on lower taxes and depreciation.
Financial Performance
Net debt reduced significantly as at 31-Dec-24, with Q4’24 free cash flow reported as a solid $570m.
Resource Development
Exploration and optimization efforts in Q4’24 continue to point to resource upside at key value-drivers like Detour Lake, Malartic, and Hope Bay.
Negative Factors

Agnico Eagle (AEM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Agnico Eagle Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAgnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) is a leading Canadian gold mining company with operations primarily in Canada, Finland, and Mexico. The company focuses on the exploration, development, and production of gold, along with some silver, copper, zinc, and lead as by-products. Agnico Eagle is known for its commitment to safe, environmentally responsible mining and aims to deliver consistent value to shareholders through its strategic investments and efficient operations.
How the Company Makes MoneyAgnico Eagle makes money primarily through the extraction and sale of gold, which is its main product. Revenue is generated by mining gold ore, processing it to extract gold, and then selling the refined gold on the global market. The company operates several mines, which provide a steady stream of gold production. In addition to gold, Agnico Eagle also earns revenue from the sale of by-products such as silver, copper, zinc, and lead, which are extracted during the gold mining process. The company's revenue is influenced by factors such as global gold prices, production output, and operational efficiency. Agnico Eagle also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its mining capabilities and resource base.

Agnico Eagle Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Agnico Eagle exhibits strong financial performance characterized by robust revenue and profit growth, solid balance sheet management, and efficient cash flow generation. The strategic focus on cost management and equity strengthening positions it well within the mining industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Agnico Eagle has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a significant increase from $3.8 billion in 2021 to $8.3 billion in 2024. Gross profit margin is notable, indicating efficient cost management. While EBIT margin calculation is not possible for 2024 due to zero EBIT, EBITDA margin remains robust. Consistent net income over the years enhances the overall profitability outlook.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio shows a healthy leverage position, with total debt decreasing over time. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a solid equity base. Return on equity increased significantly in recent years, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. However, fluctuations in total assets and liabilities suggest potential risks in asset management.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flow has increased steadily, supporting substantial free cash flow growth. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating efficient conversion of income into cash. Despite high capital expenditures, the company maintains positive cash flow from operations, underscoring financial stability.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.83B8.29B6.63B5.74B3.82B3.14B
Gross Profit
1.66B3.69B2.20B2.00B1.33B1.08B
EBIT
1.22B0.001.69B1.33B1.01B777.31M
EBITDA
2.08B4.42B3.94B2.42B1.75B1.48B
Net Income Common Stockholders
631.24M1.90B1.94B670.25M561.95M511.61M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
933.74M933.74M348.85M658.63M191.07M406.46M
Total Assets
29.99B29.99B28.68B23.49B10.19B9.61B
Total Debt
1.28B1.28B2.00B1.49B1.70B1.69B
Net Debt
355.75M355.75M1.67B834.79M1.51B1.28B
Total Liabilities
9.15B9.15B9.26B7.25B4.21B3.93B
Stockholders Equity
20.83B20.83B19.42B16.24B5.98B5.68B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
510.14M2.13B936.48M558.40M398.31M432.71M
Operating Cash Flow
1.69B3.96B2.60B2.10B1.32B1.19B
Investing Cash Flow
-367.69M-2.01B-2.76B-710.46M-1.23B-808.81M
Financing Cash Flow
-595.11M-1.36B-163.96M-914.85M-297.24M-302.82M

Agnico Eagle Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price144.98
Price Trends
50DMA
131.41
Positive
100DMA
123.77
Positive
200DMA
112.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.66
Positive
RSI
62.21
Neutral
STOCH
78.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AEM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 144.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 139.54, above the 50-day MA of 131.41, and above the 200-day MA of 112.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:AEM.

Agnico Eagle Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (46)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSAEM
80
Outperform
$72.92B26.999.42%1.65%26.99%-6.63%
TSK
75
Outperform
$19.78B14.4214.66%1.14%16.53%206.89%
TSABX
74
Outperform
$45.98B15.669.00%2.23%15.40%72.49%
TSELD
74
Outperform
C$4.26B10.698.12%27.29%
TSSSL
70
Outperform
$2.65B133.891.00%0.94%0.80%137.87%
TSNGD
66
Neutral
$3.43B24.6211.14%18.32%
46
Neutral
$2.64B-3.89-29.36%3.33%2.89%-29.66%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AEM
Agnico Eagle
144.98
71.79
98.08%
TSE:SSL
Sandstorm Gold
8.96
2.66
42.11%
TSE:K
Kinross Gold
16.09
8.78
120.23%
TSE:NGD
New Gold
4.33
2.14
97.72%
TSE:ABX
Barrick Gold
26.62
5.97
28.92%
TSE:ELD
Eldorado Gold
20.80
4.08
24.40%

Agnico Eagle Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 13, 2025 | % Change Since: 1.79% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Agnico Eagle had an exceptionally strong year in 2024 with record financial and operational performance, robust cost management, and significant exploration success. Despite a minor revision in production guidance and challenges at Pinos Altos, the company is well-positioned for future growth and increased shareholder returns.
Highlights
Record Financial Performance
Agnico Eagle reported record financial results in 2024, including record revenue of $2.2 billion, record adjusted earnings of $632 million, and record operating cash flow of over $1.1 billion.
Strong Gold Production
The company achieved record annual gold production, with 3.49 million ounces produced in 2024, surpassing the midpoint of their guidance.
Robust Cost Management
Agnico Eagle maintained strong cost control, with total cash costs of $903 per ounce and all-in sustaining costs of $1,239 per ounce, both within their guided range.
Exploration and Expansion Success
Significant exploration investments led to promising results, including the discovery of Patch 7 at Hope Bay, contributing to an increase in mineral resources.
Debt Reduction and Strong Balance Sheet
The company reduced net debt significantly from $1.5 billion at the start of 2024 to $217 million by year-end, strengthening their balance sheet.
Shareholder Returns
Agnico Eagle returned approximately $2.2 billion to shareholders in 2024 through dividends, share buybacks, and debt reduction.
Lowlights
Production Guidance Reduction
Production guidance for 2025-2026 was revised down by 2.9% due to ground conditions at Pinos Altos and other minor deferrals.
Challenges at Pinos Altos
Pinos Altos faced operational challenges due to its maturity and the complexity of mining at the extremities of the ore body.
Company Guidance
During the Agnico Eagle Mines Limited Q4 2024 conference call, the company provided optimistic guidance for 2025 and beyond, focusing on various growth projects and financial strategies. They highlighted potential gold production increases at Malartic and Detour to over a million ounces per year, and a 50% growth in their Ontario platform. The company also achieved record financial results in 2024, with annual gold production reaching 3.49 million ounces and record earnings of $632 million in Q4. Agnico Eagle reduced net debt from $1.5 billion to $217 million and returned $920 million directly to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. For 2025, they projected a slight 2.9% decline in production guidance but emphasized strong cost control and ongoing investments in exploration and development, maintaining a cash cost guidance of $903 per ounce and all-in sustaining costs of $1,239 per ounce.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.