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Transcat (TRNS)
NASDAQ:TRNS

Transcat (TRNS) AI Stock Analysis

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Transcat

(NASDAQ:TRNS)

57Neutral
The overall stock score is influenced by strong financial performance and strategic acquisitions, offset by bearish technical indicators and high valuation metrics. The company's ability to maintain revenue growth and manage liabilities remains a strength, but current market conditions and valuation suggest cautious optimism.
Positive Factors
Future Growth Prospects
Management laid out a series of changes that should return the Nexa unit to growth by first half FY26, leveraging Transcat’s strong reputation.
Mergers and Acquisitions
The company's December acquisition of Martin Calibration Inc. is expected to contribute as much as $25.0M of annual revenue, before any benefit from cross-selling services.
Stock Valuation
TRNS shares are valued at $106, representing approximately 20.0% upside from recent trading levels, with a premium multiple seen as warranted.
Negative Factors
Market Competition
Shares are expected to face some downward pressure due to trading at a valuation near the top of the peer group and increased competition from web-based retailers.
Operating Results
Shares of Transcat, Inc. traded lower, down 12.7% following the second consecutive quarter of softer than expected operating results.
Organic Growth
The miss to our forecast was the result of lower-than-expected organic growth within the Services segment, driven by a material slowdown in Nexa’s cost control and optimization services business.

Transcat (TRNS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Transcat Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTranscat, Inc. provides calibration and laboratory instrument services in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Service and Distribution. The Service segment offers calibration, repair, inspection, analytical qualification, preventative maintenance, consulting, and other related services. This segment also provides CalTrak, a proprietary document and asset management software that is used to integrate and manage the workflow of its calibration service centers and customers' assets; and Compliance, Control and Cost, an online customer portal that provides its customers with web-based asset management capability, as well as a safe and secure off-site archive of calibration and other service records. The Distribution segment sells and rents test, measurement, and control instruments for customers' test and measurement instrumentation needs, as well as value added services, such as calibration/certification of equipment purchase, equipment rental, used equipment for sale, and equipment kitting. This segment markets and sells its products through website, digital and print advertising, proactive outbound sales, and an inbound call center. The company provides services and products to highly regulated industries, principally life science, which includes companies in the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, medical device, and other FDA-regulated industries; and additional industries, including aerospace and defense industrial manufacturing, energy and utilities, and other industries that require accuracy in processes and confirmation of the capabilities of their equipment. Transcat, Inc. was incorporated in 1964 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyTranscat generates revenue through two main segments: Service and Distribution. The Service segment, which is the larger of the two, provides calibration, repair, inspection, and laboratory instrument services. This segment focuses on helping clients maintain compliance with regulatory standards and ensuring operational efficiency. The Distribution segment sells and rents a wide range of test, measurement, and control instrumentation from leading manufacturers. Transcat's strategic partnerships with manufacturers and its extensive catalog of products enhance its ability to meet a diverse range of customer needs across various industries. Additionally, the company's recurring service contracts and growing customer base contribute significantly to its revenue stability and growth.

Transcat Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Transcat exhibits commendable financial health with strong revenue growth, efficient operations, and robust cash flow management. The company demonstrates operational efficiency and profitability, supported by a solid balance sheet with manageable debt levels. Continued focus on revenue growth and liability management augurs well for future stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Transcat shows strong revenue growth with a consistent increase over the years. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increased by 4.92% compared to the previous year. Gross profit margin and net profit margin are healthy at 32.16% and 6.22%, respectively. The EBIT margin of 7.40% and EBITDA margin of 8.31% also indicate efficient operational management. There is a positive trend in net income, showcasing profitability improvements.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a relatively stable balance sheet with an improving equity position. The debt-to-equity ratio has decreased over the years, reaching 0.22 in the TTM period, indicating lower leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is solid at 6.03%, showing effective use of shareholders' funds. The equity ratio stands at 72.83%, reflecting a strong reliance on equity financing. However, the increase in total liabilities needs monitoring.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Transcat displays robust cash flow management with a significant positive operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.01, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow has grown, contributing to a healthy cash flow position. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.15 further supports the company's strong cash flow capabilities. The company has effectively managed its capital expenditures.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
272.20M259.48M230.57M204.96M173.34M173.10M
Gross Profit
87.57M83.81M68.36M58.44M46.12M42.48M
EBIT
20.97M19.78M16.25M14.14M11.07M10.85M
EBITDA
35.55M33.82M27.39M24.61M18.65M17.51M
Net Income Common Stockholders
16.94M13.65M10.69M11.38M7.79M8.07M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
123.00K35.18M1.53M1.40M560.00K499.00K
Total Assets
35.71M287.55M195.75M177.76M132.12M128.12M
Total Debt
2.53M21.54M62.08M57.65M27.52M37.18M
Net Debt
2.41M1.89M60.55M56.25M26.96M36.68M
Total Liabilities
15.46M62.38M96.12M91.59M57.04M61.03M
Stockholders Equity
20.26M225.17M99.63M86.18M75.08M67.09M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
19.40M19.34M7.54M7.47M17.02M5.00M
Operating Cash Flow
34.08M32.62M16.95M17.62M23.64M11.56M
Investing Cash Flow
-99.61M-41.67M-18.51M-39.85M-10.15M-20.24M
Financing Cash Flow
34.63M27.40M876.00K23.69M-12.65M8.25M

Transcat Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price74.45
Price Trends
50DMA
79.63
Negative
100DMA
92.74
Negative
200DMA
107.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.16
Negative
RSI
48.33
Neutral
STOCH
92.00
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRNS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 74.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 72.31, below the 50-day MA of 79.63, and below the 200-day MA of 107.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TRNS.

Transcat Risk Analysis

Transcat disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Transcat reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Transcat Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AMAME
76
Outperform
$39.32B28.7514.97%0.66%5.22%4.46%
RBRBC
73
Outperform
$10.24B44.678.35%4.62%21.58%
FLFLR
72
Outperform
$6.08B2.9672.85%5.43%2094.12%
71
Outperform
$7.81B30.4316.05%0.80%11.02%11.33%
AOAOS
63
Neutral
$9.42B18.0828.63%2.01%-0.90%-1.69%
62
Neutral
$8.05B13.604.04%3.11%3.70%-14.19%
57
Neutral
$683.13M39.586.78%8.60%42.67%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRNS
Transcat
74.45
-36.14
-32.68%
AME
Ametek
172.14
-7.15
-3.99%
FLR
Fluor
35.82
-5.97
-14.29%
RBC
RBC Bearings
321.77
52.31
19.41%
AOS
A. O. Smith Corporation
65.36
-22.20
-25.35%
TTEK
Tetra Tech
29.25
-8.31
-22.12%

Transcat Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -24.90% | Next Earnings Date: May 26, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted the strategic acquisition of Martin Calibration and growth in distribution revenue. However, these positives were overshadowed by declines in organic service revenue, gross profit, net income, and adjusted EBITDA, driven by holiday disruptions and challenges in the solutions channel.
Highlights
Acquisition of Martin Calibration
Transcat acquired Martin Calibration, adding $25 million in annual revenue and expanding its presence in the Midwest and West Coast markets. The acquisition is expected to drive service growth and cost synergies.
Distribution Revenue Growth
Distribution revenue grew 7% in the third quarter, driven by strong product sales and rental growth.
Strong Balance Sheet
Transcat ended the quarter with a leverage ratio of 0.97x and $39.5 million available from its credit facility.
Lowlights
Decline in Organic Service Revenue
Organic service revenue declined 4% from the prior year, primarily due to a decline in the Transcat NEXA Solutions channel and unexpected holiday-related slowdowns in December.
Decreased Gross Profit
Q3 consolidated gross profit of $19.7 million was down 6% from the prior year, with service gross profit declining 8% and distribution gross profit declining 2%.
Net Income and Earnings Per Share Decline
Net income for Q3 was $2.4 million, a decrease of $1 million compared to the prior year. Diluted earnings per share fell by $0.13 to $0.25.
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter was $7.9 million, down 13% from the prior year, impacted by holiday closures and solutions revenue softness.
Company Guidance
During the Transcat Incorporated Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results call, the company reported a 2% increase in consolidated revenue, totaling $66.8 million. However, organic service revenue experienced a 4% decline compared to the previous year's third quarter. Distribution revenue showed a 7% growth, reaching $25.2 million, but service gross profit decreased by 8%, resulting in a $19.7 million consolidated gross profit, which was down 6% year-over-year. Net income for the quarter was $2.4 million, translating to diluted earnings per share of $0.25, while adjusted diluted earnings per share was $0.45. The company also noted a decrease in third-quarter consolidated adjusted EBITDA by 13% to $7.9 million, primarily due to extended holiday closures impacting revenue. The acquisition of Martin Calibration was highlighted, with anticipated service growth and productivity gains expected from the integration. Looking ahead, the company anticipates fiscal 2025 organic service revenue to grow in low to mid-single digits, adjusting for the 53-week year in fiscal 2024, with a stronger pipeline and momentum projected for fiscal 2026.

Transcat Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Transcat Secures Executive Stability Amid Ownership Changes
Neutral
Dec 23, 2024

Transcat, Inc. has entered into severance agreements with key executives, which provide compensation and benefits in the event of a change in control and subsequent termination. These agreements aim to ensure stability and continuity for the executives if the company undergoes significant ownership changes, potentially impacting their roles.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.