Fluor Corp (FLR)
NYSE:FLR

Fluor (FLR) AI Stock Analysis

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Fluor

(NYSE:FLR)

72Outperform
Fluor's stock score reflects a combination of strong financial performance and potential undervaluation, tempered by technical analysis indicating current bearish trends. Positive earnings guidance and corporate events provide a balanced outlook, suggesting potential for long-term growth despite near-term challenges.
Positive Factors
Earnings Potential
Management expressed confidence in near-term earnings power and long-term demand for its services, while noting that its full EPC capabilities are increasingly in demand as speed-to-market rises up customer’s preferences.
Financial Guidance
FLR raised its FY cash from ops guide to $500-600mn given the outperformance in Q2, indicating strong cash flow management.
Project Execution
The LNG Canada project seems impressive in its scale and technical efficiency — strong pride coming from FLR management in its ability to deliver 224 modules and efficiently manage almost 5,000 people on site at the project.
Negative Factors
Earnings Uncertainty
Negatives include near-term earnings performance uncertainty and valuation now well off its highs.
Market Volatility
A macro/politically uncertain environment could potentially increase bookings volatility in the second half of the year.
Project Delays
Energy profit of $75mn declined 16% year-over-year due to certain delays in revenue recognition for some major projects, which are expected to be recognized later.

Fluor (FLR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Fluor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFluor Corporation provides engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC); fabrication and modularization; operation and maintenance; asset integrity; and project management services worldwide. It operates through four segments: Energy Solutions, Urban Solutions, Mission Solutions, and Other. The Energy Solutions provides solutions to the energy transition markets, including asset decarbonization, carbon capture, renewable fuels, waste-to-energy, green chemicals, hydrogen, nuclear power, and other low-carbon energy sources. It also provides consulting services, including feasibility studies, process assessments, and project finance structuring; and a range of services for small modular reactor technologies, as well as operation support services for nuclear power facilities and managing waste. This segment serves the oil, gas, and petrochemical industries. The Urban Solutions segment offers EPC and project management services to the infrastructure, advanced technologies, life sciences, and mining and metals industries. This segment also provides staffing services to the company and third-party clients with technical, professional, and craft resources on a contract or permanent placement basis. The Mission Solutions offers technical solutions to the U.S. and other governments. It also delivers solutions for nuclear security and operation, nuclear waste management, and laboratory management; and operation and maintenance, logistics, EPC, and life support solutions for mission-critical facilities across U.S. military service organizations. This segment offers site management, environmental remediation, and decommissioning for nuclear remediation at governmental facilities, as well as services to commercial nuclear clients. The Other segment researches, develops, licenses, and commercializes small modular nuclear reactor technology. It also provides unionized management and construction services. The company was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyFluor makes money primarily through its engineering, procurement, and construction services across diverse sectors. The company earns revenue by securing contracts for large-scale projects, which typically involve designing, building, and maintaining industrial facilities and infrastructure. Revenue is generated through fixed-price, cost-reimbursable, and hybrid project contracts. Significant revenue streams include projects in the oil and gas industry, government contracts for infrastructure and defense projects, and partnerships with global companies for mining and industrial developments. Fluor's ability to deliver complex projects efficiently and its strategic partnerships and joint ventures contribute significantly to its earnings.

Fluor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fluor's financial performance demonstrates strong revenue growth and improved profitability metrics, with a focus on cost management and equity strength. However, challenges in cash flow generation and low margins compared to industry standards point to areas for further improvement.
Income Statement
80
Positive
Fluor has demonstrated a strong revenue growth of 5.44% from 2023 to 2024, with notable improvements in profitability metrics. The gross profit margin increased to 3.52% and the net profit margin significantly rose to 13.15%, indicating enhanced cost management and operational efficiency. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also improved to 2.84%, reflecting better earnings performance. However, compared to industry standards, margins remain relatively low.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Fluor's balance sheet shows a healthy equity growth, with stockholders' equity almost doubling from 2023 to 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio decreased to 0.28, suggesting reduced financial leverage and improved financial stability. The equity ratio increased to 43.21%, highlighting stronger asset backing by equity. However, the total liabilities remain significant, posing potential risks if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Despite a decline in free cash flow, Fluor has managed to maintain a strong cash position with a substantial cash balance. The operating cash flow to net income ratio was not calculable due to zero operating cash flow in 2024. The free cash flow to net income ratio turned negative, indicating challenges in converting earnings into free cash flow, which could affect liquidity.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
16.32B15.47B13.74B12.43B15.67B
Gross Profit
574.00M477.00M355.00M411.60M385.25M
EBIT
463.00M147.00M209.00M211.65M170.25M
EBITDA
732.00M334.00M231.00M-183.00M172.76M
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.15B139.00M73.00M-144.19M-225.64M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.96B2.59B2.62B2.34B2.22B
Total Assets
9.14B6.97B6.83B7.28B7.31B
Total Debt
1.10B1.16B1.13B1.17B1.74B
Net Debt
-1.73B-1.36B-1.31B-1.04B-463.33M
Total Liabilities
5.15B4.92B4.83B5.71B6.05B
Stockholders Equity
3.95B1.94B1.79B1.39B1.03B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
664.00M106.00M-44.00M-49.74M72.44M
Operating Cash Flow
828.00M212.00M31.00M25.33M185.88M
Investing Cash Flow
-333.00M-277.00M-78.00M-121.87M-41.56M
Financing Cash Flow
-116.00M127.00M294.00M122.25M48.45M

Fluor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price31.02
Price Trends
50DMA
40.41
Negative
100DMA
46.37
Negative
200DMA
47.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.08
Negative
RSI
40.82
Neutral
STOCH
25.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 31.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.42, below the 50-day MA of 40.41, and below the 200-day MA of 47.38, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FLR.

Fluor Risk Analysis

Fluor disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fluor reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fluor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ACACM
80
Outperform
$11.84B25.3926.35%1.03%8.89%669.67%
KBKBR
73
Outperform
$6.66B18.3826.45%1.29%11.30%
FLFLR
72
Outperform
$5.21B2.5472.85%5.43%2094.12%
MTMTZ
72
Outperform
$8.41B51.625.80%2.56%
71
Outperform
$7.80B30.3816.05%0.80%11.02%11.33%
JJ
62
Neutral
$14.52B24.4110.92%1.07%-13.76%-13.39%
62
Neutral
$7.26B12.383.01%3.40%3.58%-14.13%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLR
Fluor
31.02
-11.16
-26.46%
ACM
Aecom Technology
89.25
-7.27
-7.53%
J
Jacobs Engineering
111.45
-9.51
-7.86%
KBR
KBR
47.54
-16.12
-25.32%
MTZ
MasTec
106.07
11.91
12.65%
TTEK
Tetra Tech
29.10
-9.38
-24.38%

Fluor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 18, 2025 | % Change Since: -28.53% | Next Earnings Date: May 2, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balanced outlook with notable revenue growth and strong cash flow generation, but also highlighted challenges with legacy project provisions and project-specific issues. While there is excitement about future growth prospects, especially in data centers and power generation, cautious optimism remains due to some operational challenges.
Highlights
Revenue Growth Achievement
Fluor reported revenue of $16.3 billion for 2024, marking a 5.4% increase from 2023.
Strong Backlog and New Awards
New awards totaled $15.1 billion for the year, with a healthy book-to-burn ratio of 107%. The backlog is approximately 80% reimbursable.
Energy Solutions Segment Profit
Energy Solutions reported a fourth quarter segment profit of $63 million, a significant increase from the $26 million recorded in 2023.
Successful Cash Flow Generation
Fluor reported operating cash flow of $828 million for 2024, the best year since 2015.
Significant Progress on Major Projects
The LNG Canada project surpassed the 95% completion mark with key accomplishments in Kazakhstan and China.
Lowlights
Legacy Project Provisions
A $116 million provision was recognized related to a jury verdict against a Fluor joint venture on an old infrastructure project.
Urban Solutions Segment Profit Decline
The segment reported a profit of $81 million for the quarter, down from $147 million a year ago.
Challenges in Insulation Installation
The LNG Canada project is experiencing challenges with the installation of insulation, requiring additional skilled labor.
Decrease in Energy Solutions Backlog
Ending backlog for Energy Solutions was $7.6 billion, compared to $9.7 billion a year ago.
Company Guidance
In Fluor's 2024 fourth quarter earnings call, the company reported a revenue of $16.3 billion for the year, marking a 5.4% increase from 2023. New awards totaled $15.1 billion, achieving a book-to-burn ratio just under 1, with a net gross margin book-to-burn ratio of 107%. The company highlighted that 85% of new awards were reimbursable, and its backlog is now approximately 80% reimbursable. Fluor's guidance for 2025 includes an EBITDA range of $575 million to $675 million, an operating cash flow of $450 million to $500 million, and an EPS range of $2.25 to $2.75 per diluted share. They anticipate a revenue growth of about 15%, with segment margins expected at 4% to 5% in Urban Solutions, 3.5% to 4.5% in Energy Solutions, and 5% to 6% in Mission Solutions. The company is also aiming for new awards to achieve a book-to-burn ratio well above 1 in 2025.

Fluor Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fluor Names Jim Breuer as New CEO
Positive
Feb 18, 2025

On February 17, 2025, Fluor Corporation announced the appointment of Jim Breuer as the new Chief Executive Officer effective May 1, 2025, while David E. Constable transitions to the role of Executive Chairman. This strategic leadership change aims to advance the company’s focus on business growth and excellence in project execution. Breuer, with over three decades of experience at Fluor, is expected to drive the company’s strategy forward, emphasizing sustainable earnings and leadership development. Constable highlighted the achievements under the ‘building a better future’ strategy and expressed confidence in Breuer’s ability to lead the company into its next phase, ‘grow and execute.’

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fluor Expands Board with Charles P. Blankenship Jr.
Positive
Feb 6, 2025

On February 5, 2025, Fluor Corporation’s Board of Directors voted to expand the Board to eleven members, appointing Charles P. Blankenship Jr. effective March 1, 2025. Blankenship, an experienced leader in the industrial and aerospace sectors, will join the Board’s Audit and Commercial Strategies and Operational Risk Committees, bringing strategic expertise that aligns with Fluor’s focus on growth in advanced manufacturing and energy markets.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.