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RLI Corp (RLI)
NYSE:RLI

RLI (RLI) AI Stock Analysis

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RLRLI
(NYSE:RLI)
71Outperform
RLI's overall stock score reflects a strong financial foundation and effective capital management despite recent income volatility and a relatively high valuation. The company's ability to maintain underwriting profitability and commitment to shareholder returns are significant strengths.
Positive Factors
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
RLI has increased its regular dividends for 49 consecutive years and returned $754 million to shareholders since 2019.
Underwriting Performance
RLI shares are believed to deserve a premium trading value compared to peers due to exemplary underwriting and book value growth.
Negative Factors
Market Competition
Growing competition in specialty lines and lighter premium growth are expected to result in a challenging environment for RLI Corp.

RLI (RLI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

RLI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRLI Corp. is a specialty insurance company serving diverse industries, providing property and casualty insurance solutions. Established in 1965, RLI operates through three primary segments: Casualty, Property, and Surety. The company is known for its expertise in niche markets, offering a wide range of insurance products such as general liability, professional liability, commercial property, and surety bonds.
How the Company Makes MoneyRLI Corp. generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance policies within its three segments: Casualty, Property, and Surety. The company earns premiums from the insurance policies it issues, which are invested to generate additional income. RLI's underwriting profits come from accurately assessing risks and managing claims efficiently. Furthermore, the company's investment income from its portfolio of fixed-income securities and equities contributes significantly to its earnings. RLI also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance its market reach and product offerings, further supporting its revenue streams.

RLI Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RLI demonstrates a solid financial position with strong cash flow management and a robust balance sheet, despite some inconsistencies in revenue and income growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company's income statement shows a mixed performance. The gross profit margin is consistently strong, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has fluctuated, with a notable dip in 2023 due to a negative EBIT, but has since recovered in 2024. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a decline from 2022 to 2023, followed by a significant drop in 2024, which may pose a risk to future profitability.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a robust financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio, highlighting prudent leverage management. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a solid asset base funded by equity. Return on equity has been strong, indicating effective use of shareholder funds, although it dipped in 2023 due to reduced net income.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow statement demonstrates strong operational cash flow, consistently exceeding net income, which is a positive sign for liquidity and ongoing operations. Free cash flow has generally increased, although the growth rate has been volatile. The company maintains a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio, supporting its dividend and reinvestment strategies.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
142.28M1.52B1.70B1.18B983.63M
Gross Profit
142.28M1.52B1.70B1.18B983.63M
EBIT
265.44M-28.17M720.81M344.32M189.84M
EBITDA
0.00-5.54M736.71M322.33M184.64M
Net Income Common Stockholders
345.78M304.61M583.41M279.35M157.09M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
39.79M36.42M59.05M88.80M62.22M
Total Assets
5.63B5.18B4.77B4.51B3.94B
Total Debt
100.00M100.00M199.86M199.68M149.49M
Net Debt
60.21M63.58M177.04M110.87M87.27M
Total Liabilities
4.11B3.77B3.59B3.28B2.80B
Stockholders Equity
1.52B1.41B1.18B1.23B1.14B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
560.22M458.34M244.56M376.60M257.49M
Operating Cash Flow
560.22M464.26M250.45M384.90M263.26M
Investing Cash Flow
-318.87M-211.80M48.88M-274.83M-167.99M
Financing Cash Flow
-237.98M-238.85M-365.31M-83.49M-79.26M

RLI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price75.91
Price Trends
50DMA
76.85
Negative
100DMA
79.45
Negative
200DMA
75.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Negative
RSI
50.65
Neutral
STOCH
67.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RLI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 75.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 75.56, below the 50-day MA of 76.85, and above the 200-day MA of 75.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RLI.

RLI Risk Analysis

RLI disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RLI reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

RLI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
WRWRB
77
Outperform
$23.60B14.2920.92%0.49%12.32%29.21%
MKMKL
73
Outperform
$23.81B9.3715.55%5.17%35.36%
RNRNR
73
Outperform
$12.05B6.9517.69%0.65%28.22%-31.48%
RLRLI
71
Outperform
$6.92B20.1722.72%0.76%18.31%13.13%
65
Neutral
$5.21B26.566.63%1.67%15.35%-44.64%
64
Neutral
$14.34B10.619.28%4.07%18.04%-9.54%
AWAWH
41
Neutral
$2.70M587.10%-2.33%92.31%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RLI
RLI
75.91
3.83
5.31%
MKL
Markel
1,906.47
400.21
26.57%
RNR
Renaissancere Holdings
244.00
17.30
7.63%
SIGI
Selective Insurance Group
85.04
-17.96
-17.44%
AWH
Aspira Women's Health
0.17
-3.65
-95.55%
WRB
W. R. Berkley Corporation
62.53
7.40
13.42%

RLI Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 22, 2025 | % Change Since: -2.58% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
RLI demonstrated strong financial performance with consistent underwriting profitability and growth in investment income. However, the quarter was affected by natural catastrophe losses and reserve additions, particularly impacting the Casualty segment. The investment in Prime, while historically positive, presented a significant loss this quarter. Despite these challenges, RLI's continued commitment to financial discipline and shareholder returns, including a special dividend, underscores a balanced outlook.
Highlights
29th Consecutive Year of Underwriting Profit
RLI achieved underwriting profitability for the 29th consecutive year, with a combined ratio of 86.2% for the full year.
Growth in Net Written Premium
Net written premium grew by 12%, and underwriting profits increased by 22% for the year.
Strong Investment Income
Investment income rose by 19% in the fourth quarter.
Casualty Segment Growth
Casualty segment's premium grew by 18% during the fourth quarter, with a 10% rate change driven by auto coverages.
Positive Return on Investment in Prime
Despite a loss in the fourth quarter, the investment in Prime remains positive with dividends exceeding the original investment.
Special Dividend to Shareholders
RLI paid a special dividend of $2 per share, split adjusted, in addition to the regular quarterly dividend.
Lowlights
Hurricane and Wildfire Losses
The combined ratio for the quarter was negatively impacted by hurricane losses and some wildfire claims.
Current Accident Year Reserve Additions
Additions to reserves for the current accident year impacted the Casualty segment's results, particularly in transportation and personal umbrella products.
Prime Investment Loss
RLI recorded a $12.5 million loss from its share of Prime's earnings due to reserve strengthening on prior accident years.
Property Segment Premium Decline
Property segment premiums were down 3% in the quarter, driven largely by increased competition in the E&S property market.
Company Guidance
In the fourth quarter earnings call for 2024, RLI Corp. provided detailed guidance on its financial performance, highlighting a 12% increase in net written premium and a 22% rise in underwriting profits for the year. The company reported operating earnings of $0.41 per share and a combined ratio of 94.4% for the quarter, impacted by hurricane losses. Full-year results showed a combined ratio of 86.2% and net earnings per share of $3.74. The Casualty segment saw an 18% growth in premium and a 10% rate increase, driven by auto coverages. Meanwhile, the Property segment experienced a slight decrease in premiums due to increased competition, yet maintained an 81% combined ratio. Investment income rose by 19%, contributing positively to the overall financial results. RLI also announced a special dividend of $2 per share, reflecting a continued commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.