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Rafael Holdings Inc (RFL)
NYSE:RFL
US Market

Rafael Holdings (RFL) AI Stock Analysis

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Rafael Holdings

(NYSE:RFL)

56Neutral
Rafael Holdings shows financial struggles with negative profitability and cash flow issues, impacting its overall financial health. The recent merger with Cyclo Therapeutics provides strategic opportunities and positive sentiment, which offsets some financial weaknesses. Technical indicators suggest moderate market conditions, but valuation concerns persist due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield.

Rafael Holdings (RFL) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Rafael Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRafael Holdings, Inc. (RFL) is a holding company with a focus on pharmaceutical development and real estate. The company, through its subsidiaries, is involved in the development of novel therapies for cancer and other diseases. Rafael Holdings' core operations are divided into two main segments: Pharmaceuticals, which is led by its interest in Rafael Pharmaceuticals, and Real Estate, which involves the ownership and management of commercial real estate properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyRafael Holdings primarily generates revenue through its real estate segment by leasing commercial real estate properties. The real estate assets provide a steady stream of income through rental agreements with tenants. In addition, the company holds significant interests in pharmaceutical ventures, such as Rafael Pharmaceuticals, which are in various stages of development. While the pharmaceutical segment has not yet contributed significant revenue, it holds potential for future earnings through the successful development and commercialization of its drug candidates. Strategic partnerships and investments in these pharmaceutical ventures are also critical factors that could contribute to future revenue growth.

Rafael Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rafael Holdings is currently facing financial difficulties with significant revenue declines, negative margins, and persistent losses. Despite a strong equity ratio and low leverage, the company's profitability and cash flow generation remain problematic.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Rafael Holdings has experienced a significant decline in revenue from prior years, leading to negative margins. TTM data shows a gross profit margin of 67.15%, but the net profit margin is heavily negative at -5707.75% due to substantial EBIT and net losses. The revenue growth rate shows volatility with a slight increase recently. However, the overall profitability remains a concern with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reflects a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01, suggesting limited leverage, which is a positive indicator of financial stability. However, the return on equity is negative, driven by consistent net losses. The equity ratio is strong at 83.69%, indicating a solid capital structure. Despite these positives, the company's ability to generate returns remains weak, posing a risk to long-term sustainability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Rafael Holdings has faced challenges in generating positive cash flows, with a negative free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is not favorable, reflecting cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative. Although there has been some reduction in cash outflows recently, the overall cash flow position indicates potential liquidity issues.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
697.00K637.00K279.00K410.00K3.97M4.91M
Gross Profit
468.00K483.00K201.00K338.00K3.90M4.91M
EBIT
-103.99M-102.63M-15.04M19.17M-29.81M-8.46M
EBITDA
-81.47M-67.28M-8.67M-139.89M-23.34M-5.02M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-39.78M-69.94M-1.88M-124.66M-25.15M-6.95M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
54.30M65.94M79.51M63.23M7.85M6.21M
Total Assets
87.83M96.83M98.83M118.32M154.06M136.35M
Total Debt
688.00K2.39M0.0015.00M14.53M0.00
Net Debt
-7.47M-288.00K-21.50M-11.54M6.67M-6.21M
Total Liabilities
10.45M10.57M2.20M21.11M17.35M5.82M
Stockholders Equity
73.52M82.19M100.29M100.52M122.29M116.80M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-8.89M-7.95M40.79M-26.08M-15.81M-5.20M
Operating Cash Flow
-8.71M-7.80M-10.89M-26.08M-15.60M-4.67M
Investing Cash Flow
4.54M-10.82M21.21M-63.80M-8.17M-1.03M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.03M-179.00K-15.22M103.86M30.30M-96.00K

Rafael Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.90
Price Trends
50DMA
1.98
Negative
100DMA
1.92
Negative
200DMA
1.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
48.00
Neutral
STOCH
59.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RFL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.89, below the 50-day MA of 1.98, and above the 200-day MA of 1.77, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RFL.

Rafael Holdings Risk Analysis

Rafael Holdings disclosed 85 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rafael Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rafael Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$4.71B17.72-2.95%11.43%6.02%-21.34%
RFRFL
56
Neutral
$60.89M-57.90%156.73%-2380.26%
OPOPK
54
Neutral
$1.14B-3.87%-17.42%70.55%
36
Underperform
$61.99M-807.39%-80.98%62.27%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RFL
Rafael Holdings
1.90
0.15
8.57%
CYCC
Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals
0.30
-1.75
-85.37%
OPK
Opko Health
1.70
0.39
29.77%

Rafael Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rafael Holdings Completes Merger with Cyclo Therapeutics
Positive
Mar 26, 2025

On March 25, 2025, Rafael Holdings completed a merger with Cyclo Therapeutics, marking a significant step in its strategy to develop clinical stage assets. The merger, approved by shareholders, resulted in Rafael issuing Class B common stock to Cyclo shareholders, representing approximately 22% of the combined company. This merger strengthens Rafael’s focus on Trappsol® Cyclo™, a lead clinical asset for treating Niemann-Pick Disease Type C1, with expectations for interim analysis results in mid-2025. Additionally, Markus W. Sieger, former Chairman of Cyclo, joined Rafael’s board, enhancing its leadership with his extensive experience in healthcare and other industries.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.