tiprankstipranks
Pricesmart (PSMT)
NASDAQ:PSMT

Pricesmart (PSMT) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
130 Followers

Top Page

PS

Pricesmart

(NASDAQ:PSMT)

70Outperform
PriceSmart's financial health is robust, driven by revenue growth and stable balance sheet metrics. However, technical indicators suggest near-term bearish trends. The valuation is reasonable, offering moderate investor returns through dividends. Recent earnings calls and corporate events provide a positive long-term outlook but highlight current operational challenges.

Pricesmart (PSMT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Pricesmart Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPriceSmart, Inc. (PSMT) is an American company that operates membership-based warehouse clubs in various countries across Central America, the Caribbean, and Colombia. The company offers a wide range of products, including groceries, electronics, apparel, home goods, and health and beauty products. PriceSmart's business model is similar to that of warehouse clubs in the United States, providing members with access to quality goods at competitive prices through bulk purchasing.
How the Company Makes MoneyPriceSmart makes money primarily through membership fees and the sale of goods in its warehouse clubs. Members pay an annual fee to gain access to the clubs, which provides a steady stream of revenue. Additionally, the company generates income from the sale of a diverse range of products, leveraging its buying power to secure favorable pricing and passing savings onto its members. PriceSmart's revenue model is bolstered by its ability to operate efficiently with low overhead costs and its strategic locations in emerging markets. The company's earnings are further supported by its focus on inventory management, supply chain optimization, and a strong emphasis on customer service.

Pricesmart Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pricesmart shows strong revenue growth and profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage and a high equity ratio. However, there are areas for improvement in net profit margin and ROE, indicating potential inefficiencies.
Income Statement
80
Positive
Pricesmart's income statement shows a consistent upward trend in revenue, with a TTM revenue growth of 20.4% from the previous year. The gross profit margin for the TTM period is 37.96%, indicating strong profitability in its core operations. Net profit margin is slightly lower at 2.76%, reflecting some inefficiencies or increased costs. The EBIT margin stands at 4.44%, while the EBITDA margin is 5.61%, showing moderate operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a solid equity position with an equity ratio of 55.48%, emphasizing financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.12, indicating low financial leverage. Return on equity (ROE) is modest at 11.93%, suggesting moderate profitability relative to shareholder equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive free cash flow growth rate but relatively low free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.30. Operating cash flow to net income is 1.48, demonstrating good cash generation from operations. However, the free cash flow growth is constrained by capital expenditures.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
5.01B4.91B4.41B4.07B3.62B3.33B
Gross Profit
1.90B846.92M759.33M681.15M644.53M554.41M
EBIT
222.25M220.94M184.52M99.43M90.44M62.88M
EBITDA
296.99M297.00M278.25M235.94M223.80M183.94M
Net Income Common Stockholders
138.26M138.88M109.20M104.53M97.96M78.11M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
63.05M225.53M331.06M248.87M252.29M345.99M
Total Assets
530.10M2.02B2.01B1.81B1.71B1.66B
Total Debt
61.02M249.63M278.18M273.87M267.29M329.96M
Net Debt
-2.03M124.26M38.19M36.16M65.23M30.48M
Total Liabilities
217.72M899.73M898.57M817.33M789.58M824.09M
Stockholders Equity
311.52M1.12B1.11B991.07M915.35M831.72M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
41.59M39.04M114.82M1.17M13.99M158.95M
Operating Cash Flow
205.02M207.59M257.33M121.83M127.17M259.27M
Investing Cash Flow
-174.64M-175.45M-222.08M-74.76M-116.72M-131.21M
Financing Cash Flow
-93.11M-150.03M-41.05M-12.21M-95.14M75.56M

Pricesmart Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price86.75
Price Trends
50DMA
88.62
Negative
100DMA
89.56
Negative
200DMA
87.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.45
Negative
RSI
54.59
Neutral
STOCH
84.98
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PSMT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 86.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 85.85, below the 50-day MA of 88.62, and below the 200-day MA of 87.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.98 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PSMT.

Pricesmart Risk Analysis

Pricesmart disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pricesmart reported the most risks in the “Ability to Sell” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pricesmart Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BJBJ
75
Outperform
$15.13B28.7432.33%2.67%2.72%
WMWMT
73
Outperform
$703.80B36.5022.23%0.96%5.07%25.86%
71
Outperform
$423.45B55.7232.89%0.49%6.13%12.14%
70
Outperform
$2.70B19.3812.17%1.37%10.65%23.19%
DGDG
65
Neutral
$19.27B17.1315.89%2.69%4.96%-32.41%
63
Neutral
$20.94B14.39-10.05%3.13%1.25%3.11%
TGTGT
54
Neutral
$47.58B11.7929.12%4.27%-0.79%-0.90%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PSMT
Pricesmart
86.75
6.56
8.18%
COST
Costco
967.08
266.04
37.95%
DG
Dollar General
94.41
-61.00
-39.25%
TGT
Target
94.28
-72.79
-43.57%
WMT
Walmart
87.26
28.42
48.30%
BJ
Bj's Wholesale Club Holdings
118.49
42.46
55.85%

Pricesmart Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 8, 2025 | % Change Since: -6.52% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 9, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture, with positive growth in net merchandise sales, membership accounts, and digital sales. However, these positives were balanced by challenges in gross margin and net income, along with increased expenses related to currency conversion and unrealized losses.
Highlights
Increase in Net Merchandise Sales
Net merchandise sales for the first quarter were $1.22 billion, marking an increase of 7.8% or 8.2% in constant currency. Comparable net merchandise sales increased by 5.7% or 6.1% in constant currency.
Growth in Membership Accounts
Membership accounts grew 4.8% year-over-year to over 1.9 million accounts with a 12-month renewal rate of 87.8%.
Digital Sales Growth
Net merchandise sales through digital channels increased 21.1% compared to the same period in the previous year, reaching a record high of $69.4 million or 5.7% of total net merchandise sales.
Expansion of Private Label Sales
Private label sales represented 27.7% of total merchandise sales, an increase of 50 basis points from the previous year.
Decrease in Effective Tax Rate
The effective tax rate for the first quarter decreased to 26.5% from 32.3% the previous year, attributed to tax optimization initiatives.
Lowlights
Decrease in Gross Margin
Total gross margin for the first quarter decreased by 20 basis points to 15.9% compared to 16.1% in the previous year.
Increase in Total Other Expense
The company recorded a $7.3 million net loss in total other expense, up from a $2.1 million net loss in the same period last year, primarily due to currency conversion costs and unrealized losses.
Net Income Decline
Net income for the first quarter was $37.4 million or $1.21 per diluted share, down from $38 million or $1.24 per diluted share in the first quarter of fiscal year 2024.
Challenges with Currency Conversion
The company faced challenges with currency conversion costs, which were estimated at $3.4 million for the quarter.
Company Guidance
During PriceSmart Inc.'s Q1 2025 earnings call, Michael McCleary, the CFO, provided detailed guidance on several financial metrics. Net merchandise sales for the quarter reached $1.22 billion, marking a 7.8% increase, or 8.2% in constant currency, while total revenue was $1.26 billion. Comparable net merchandise sales saw a growth of 5.7%, or 6.1% in constant currency. The Central America segment contributed positively with an 8.4% increase in net merchandise sales, while the Caribbean and Colombia segments saw increases of 5.4% and 10.7% respectively. Membership accounts grew by 4.8% to over 1.9 million, with a renewal rate of 87.8%. The private label sales increased to represent 27.7% of total merchandise sales. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $79.1 million and ended the quarter with $136.5 million in cash and cash equivalents. McCleary noted that operating income remained stable at $58.3 million, and the effective tax rate decreased to 26.5% due to tax optimization initiatives. Additionally, PriceSmart's digital sales grew by 21.1%, highlighting their commitment to enhancing omnichannel shopping experiences.

Pricesmart Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
PriceSmart Announces New CEO Appointment for 2025
Positive
Mar 3, 2025

On March 3, 2025, PriceSmart announced that Robert Price will step down as Interim CEO on August 31, 2025, transitioning to Executive Chairman of the Board. David Price, currently the Executive Vice President and Chief Transformation Officer, will assume the role of CEO on September 1, 2025. This leadership transition is expected to ensure continuity and uphold the company’s values, with David Price’s extensive experience within PriceSmart positioning him as a capable successor. The Board of Directors unanimously approved this succession plan, highlighting confidence in David Price’s leadership to continue expanding the business and enhancing shareholder value.

Shareholder MeetingsDividends
PriceSmart Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting, Announces Dividend
Positive
Feb 7, 2025

On February 6, 2025, PriceSmart, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders virtually, where several key decisions were made. The Board of Directors was re-elected, the compensation for named executive officers for fiscal year 2024 was approved, and an amendment to the 2013 Equity Incentive Award Plan was sanctioned. Additionally, Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the company’s independent auditor for the fiscal year ending August 31, 2025. The Board declared an annual cash dividend of $1.26 per share, payable in two installments, reflecting the company’s commitment to providing shareholder value despite economic uncertainties.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.