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Perdoceo Education (PRDO)
NASDAQ:PRDO

Perdoceo Education (PRDO) AI Stock Analysis

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Perdoceo Education

(NASDAQ:PRDO)

78Outperform
Perdoceo Education's stock is well-supported by strong financial health, evidenced by high profitability and solid balance sheet metrics. Valuation metrics indicate potential undervaluation, and strategic acquisitions and enrollment growth are promising for future performance. However, technical analysis shows mixed signals, and challenges from student loan changes could impact growth. Overall, the stock presents a balanced risk-reward profile with strong fundamentals.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Impact
Perdoceo Education completed the acquisition of the University of St. Augustine for Health Sciences, expected to be immediately accretive to adjusted operating income beginning in 2025.
Financial Guidance
Management's initial guidance for 2025 calls for adjusted operating income and EPS above analyst estimates.
Stock Valuation
Perdoceo's shares trade at a significant discount to its postsecondary education peer group average, representing a potential upside.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decrease
Revenue in the third quarter decreased 5.6% to $169.8 million due to lower revenue from CTU and AIUS, related to a lag impact from operational changes in the prior year.

Perdoceo Education (PRDO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Perdoceo Education Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPerdoceo Education Corporation (PRDO) is a provider of postsecondary education programs primarily in North America. The company operates through its accredited institutions, including the American InterContinental University and Colorado Technical University. These universities offer a wide range of degree programs, from associate to doctoral levels, across various fields such as business, information technology, healthcare, and criminal justice. Perdoceo Education focuses on delivering online and campus-based education services, catering to a diverse student population with flexible learning options.
How the Company Makes MoneyPerdoceo Education Corporation generates revenue primarily through tuition fees paid by students enrolled in its degree programs. The company offers a variety of financial aid options and scholarships to support student enrollment, which in turn drives its revenue streams. Additionally, Perdoceo may receive funding from federal financial aid programs, including Title IV funds, which are critical to its business model. The company also leverages partnerships with employers and industry organizations to enhance its educational offerings and attract more students, further contributing to its earnings.

Perdoceo Education Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Perdoceo Education demonstrates strong financial health, with stable revenue growth, high profitability margins, and a solid balance sheet characterized by low debt and high return on equity. Robust cash flow generation further supports its financial stability, enabling growth opportunities.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Perdoceo Education has demonstrated strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth over the past few years. The gross profit margin remains robust at 100% due to the absence of cost of goods sold reported. The net profit margin improved slightly despite a decrease in total revenue from the previous year, reflecting efficient cost management and operational efficiency. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating solid core business profitability.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is high, indicating effective utilization of shareholder capital to generate profits. The equity ratio is also healthy, emphasizing financial stability and a strong asset base compared to liabilities.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Perdoceo Education's cash flow is robust, with significant growth in free cash flow, driven by strong operating cash flow generation. The operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow to net income ratios are favorable, highlighting efficient cash generation from operations relative to net income.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
681.26M710.00M695.21M693.03M687.31M
Gross Profit
681.26M579.68M578.49M584.29M575.55M
EBIT
174.25M150.45M129.64M149.02M142.93M
EBITDA
215.47M209.41M152.37M165.78M158.33M
Net Income Common Stockholders
147.59M147.65M95.87M109.64M124.26M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
568.92M603.14M508.72M494.19M406.36M
Total Assets
1.24B1.01B957.37M847.43M721.52M
Total Debt
75.04M27.05M33.84M44.95M53.19M
Net Debt
-625.64M-90.96M-75.57M-275.03M-52.49M
Total Liabilities
277.50M165.90M231.52M197.32M165.61M
Stockholders Equity
959.54M841.42M725.85M650.11M555.91M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
156.97M105.61M135.57M180.66M170.19M
Operating Cash Flow
161.59M112.03M148.19M191.12M179.96M
Investing Cash Flow
-107.78M-88.51M-326.75M54.32M-165.91M
Financing Cash Flow
-41.08M-23.38M-27.73M-29.95M-13.05M

Perdoceo Education Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.77
Price Trends
50DMA
26.19
Negative
100DMA
26.52
Negative
200DMA
24.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.28
Negative
RSI
46.78
Neutral
STOCH
81.23
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRDO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.30, below the 50-day MA of 26.19, and above the 200-day MA of 24.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.23 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PRDO.

Perdoceo Education Risk Analysis

Perdoceo Education disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Perdoceo Education reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Perdoceo Education Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$3.97B19.1614.63%12.83%97.16%
78
Outperform
$1.73B11.9416.39%1.91%-4.05%1.50%
UTUTI
72
Outperform
$1.50B27.6721.41%14.70%275.89%
68
Neutral
$432.98M43.125.41%4.00%
68
Neutral
$1.94B16.856.80%3.05%7.68%61.28%
59
Neutral
$11.38B10.18-0.84%4.04%1.25%-16.04%
57
Neutral
$530.76M51.785.73%16.40%-62.64%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRDO
Perdoceo Education
25.82
9.06
54.06%
APEI
American Public Education
23.51
10.82
85.26%
ATGE
Adtalem Global Education
103.78
57.52
124.34%
LINC
Lincoln Edu
16.44
6.60
67.07%
STRA
Strategic Education
77.79
-18.24
-18.99%
UTI
Universal Technical Institute
26.78
11.82
79.01%

Perdoceo Education Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 18, 2025 | % Change Since: -10.08% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with strategic growth through acquisitions and improved student engagement metrics. Despite a year-over-year revenue decline, the company achieved significant enrollment growth and operating income. The acquisition of St. Augustine is expected to further enhance future performance. However, potential challenges from changes in student loan initiatives were noted.
Highlights
Acquisition of University of St. Augustine
Successfully completed the acquisition of the University of St. Augustine for Health Sciences, expanding into the health sciences field and expected to be accretive to operating income in 2025 and 2026.
Enrollment Growth
Total student enrollments increased by 8.1% at CTU and 11.8% at AIU System, driven by strong student retention, engagement, and increased levels of prospective student interest.
Record Operating Income
Full-year operating income of $174.3 million was $23.8 million higher compared to the prior year, with adjusted operating income increasing by 9.9%.
Shareholder Returns
Returned $38.5 million to shareholders through dividends and stock buybacks, with an expected continued focus on returning cash to shareholders.
Fourth Quarter Revenue Growth
Fourth quarter revenue increased by 12.5%, driven by strong student retention and engagement.
Lowlights
Decline in Full-Year Revenue
Full-year revenue decreased by $28.7 million, primarily due to operational changes at AIU System and changes within CTU's professional development offerings.
Expected Headwinds from Student Loan Initiatives
Anticipated challenges due to changes or ending of Department of Education student loan initiatives, potentially impacting future enrollment.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter and full-year 2024 earnings call, Perdoceo Education Corporation provided guidance on various metrics for 2025. They reported a net income of $31.5 million for the fourth quarter, with adjusted earnings per diluted share at $0.50. For the full year, net income was $147.6 million, translating to $2.19 per diluted share, and adjusted earnings per share reached $2.29. The company highlighted strong enrollment growth, with total student enrollments increasing by 8.1% at CTU and 11.8% at AIU System, leading to an overall revenue increase in the fourth quarter. They announced a strategic acquisition of the University of St. Augustine for Health Sciences, which is expected to be accretive to operating income in 2025, contributing to a projected adjusted operating income range of $215 million to $235 million. Anticipated revenue growth is underpinned by sustained student retention and engagement, with expectations of further increase in corporate engagements and prospective student interest. The company also returned $38.5 million to shareholders through dividends and stock buybacks in 2024 and has plans to continue dividends as part of their capital allocation strategy.

Perdoceo Education Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Perdoceo Education Approves 2025 Annual Incentive Plan
Neutral
Mar 12, 2025

On March 6, 2025, Perdoceo Education Corporation’s Compensation Committee approved the 2025 Annual Incentive Plan, which mirrors the 2024 plan in structure, focusing on adjusted operating income and individual goals for senior executives. Additionally, the committee approved salary and incentive adjustments for key executives, including a 6.25% salary increase for CEO Todd Nelson and a 20% increase in the Long-Term Incentive target for CFO Ashish Ghia.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Perdoceo Education Expands Board with Strategic Appointment
Positive
Feb 7, 2025

On February 3, 2025, Perdoceo Education Corporation expanded its Board of Directors from eight to nine members, appointing Hanna Skandera to fill the new position. Skandera, known for her leadership in education and policy, brings extensive experience to the board, having previously served in various high-profile education roles, including as Secretary of Education in New Mexico. Her appointment is seen as a strategic move to strengthen the company’s board with her insights and expertise, potentially impacting its operations and positioning in the education sector.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.