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Portland General Electric Company (POR)
NYSE:POR

Portland GE (POR) AI Stock Analysis

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Portland GE

(NYSE:POR)

74Outperform
Portland GE's overall score reflects its strong financial performance, supported by robust revenue growth and profitability. The company's valuation is fair, with an attractive dividend yield. Technical indicators are mixed, showing minimal momentum. The recent earnings call provided an optimistic outlook despite some challenges, contributing positively to the score. The score indicates a solid position with growth potential, but careful management of investments and regulatory challenges is crucial.
Positive Factors
Earnings
POR reported FY 2024 EPS of $3.13/share, above the $3.08 estimate, driven by weather and higher system loads from industrial customers.
Financial Strategy
A Holdco formation scenario can unlock value by providing alternative efficient means to finance the historically high capex outlook.
Negative Factors
Earnings Outlook
The rate of return on equity was reduced, which could put pressure on Portland General Electric's earnings outlook.
Regulatory Challenges
The Oregon Public Utilities Commission's final order granted a much lower revenue increase than requested by Portland General Electric, leading to significant public and policymaker attention.
Regulatory Risk
POR received an adverse final order in its rate case, and there is heightened regulatory risk.

Portland GE (POR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Portland GE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPortland General Electric Company, an integrated electric utility company, engages in the generation, wholesale purchase, transmission, distribution, and retail sale of electricity in the state of Oregon. It operates six thermal plants, three wind farms, and seven hydroelectric facilities. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned an electric transmission system consisting of 1,274 circuit miles, including 287 circuit miles of 500 kilovolt line, 415 circuit miles of 230 kilovolt line, and 572 miles of 115 kilovolt line. It has 28,206 circuit miles of distribution lines. The company also purchases and sells wholesale natural gas in the United States and Canada. It serves approximately 917 thousand residential, commercial, and industrial customers in 51 cities. The company was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Portland, Oregon.
How the Company Makes Money

Portland GE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Portland GE's financial health is marked by strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient operations. The company's balance sheet shows moderate leverage with effective equity utilization. Cash flow performance is commendable, with significant operating cash flow growth, although high capital expenditures impact free cash flow. Overall, the financial position is solid but requires careful management of debt and investment levels to maintain liquidity and growth trajectory.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Portland GE demonstrates robust revenue growth with a 17.67% increase from 2023 to 2024, driven by strong sales performance. The company's gross profit margin remains high, indicating effective cost management. Additionally, the net profit margin has improved to 9.10%, reflecting enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid, showcasing efficient operations. However, the past year's gross profit margin was exceptionally high, suggesting some volatility in profit retention.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25, indicating moderate leverage. However, the equity ratio is low, at approximately 30.96%, suggesting a higher reliance on liabilities. Return on Equity (ROE) is favorable at 8.25%, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profits. The balance sheet shows a healthy equity position but highlights some potential risks due to high debt levels relative to equity.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Portland GE shows a strong operating cash flow with a remarkable 85.24% growth from 2023 to 2024, indicating improved cash generation from core activities. Despite negative free cash flow due to substantial capital expenditures, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.49, reflecting efficient conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting ongoing investment needs, which could constrain liquidity if not managed carefully.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.44B2.92B2.65B2.40B2.15B
Gross Profit
3.44B1.36B1.66B1.57B1.44B
EBIT
512.00M396.00M397.00M378.00M269.00M
EBITDA
1.06B904.00M845.00M808.00M718.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
313.00M228.00M233.00M244.00M13.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
12.00M5.00M165.00M52.00M257.00M
Total Assets
12.54B11.21B10.46B9.49B9.07B
Total Debt
473.00M4.44B3.96B3.58B3.34B
Net Debt
473.00M4.43B3.79B3.53B3.08B
Total Liabilities
8.75B7.89B7.68B6.79B6.46B
Stockholders Equity
3.79B3.32B2.78B2.71B2.61B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-490.00M-938.00M-92.00M-104.00M-217.00M
Operating Cash Flow
778.00M420.00M674.00M532.00M567.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.30B-1.36B-758.00M-656.00M-787.00M
Financing Cash Flow
526.00M778.00M197.00M-81.00M447.00M

Portland GE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price41.62
Price Trends
50DMA
42.92
Negative
100DMA
43.21
Negative
200DMA
44.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.31
Negative
RSI
60.39
Neutral
STOCH
82.80
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For POR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 41.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.42, below the 50-day MA of 42.92, and below the 200-day MA of 44.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.80 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for POR.

Portland GE Risk Analysis

Portland GE disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Portland GE reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Portland GE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$4.71B19.039.89%3.21%1.65%162.78%
POPOR
74
Outperform
$4.63B14.078.80%4.83%15.67%29.07%
IDIDA
74
Outperform
$6.20B20.889.27%3.00%3.48%6.67%
OGOGE
73
Outperform
$8.74B19.809.65%3.87%11.63%5.61%
PNPNW
70
Neutral
$10.81B17.309.42%3.92%9.13%21.11%
68
Neutral
$4.38B28.713.23%7.43%-17.27%-77.67%
65
Neutral
$11.78B15.576.20%4.58%5.53%-8.93%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
POR
Portland GE
41.62
2.70
6.94%
IDA
IdaCorp
115.29
26.57
29.95%
OGE
OGE Energy
43.29
11.58
36.52%
PNW
Pinnacle West Capital
90.28
21.11
30.52%
TXNM
TXNM Energy
50.06
14.51
40.82%
ENIC
Enel Chile SA
3.05
0.21
7.39%

Portland GE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 14, 2025 | % Change Since: -0.05% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed sentiment with strong financial performance, clean energy investments, and industrial growth as key highlights. However, challenges such as decreased fourth-quarter earnings, power cost volatility, and residential and commercial load declines tempered the positive aspects. The regulatory challenges with the rate case outcome also added to the concerns.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance in 2024
Portland General Electric reported GAAP net income of $313 million or $3.01 per diluted share for 2024, compared to $228 million or $2.33 per share in 2023, marking a significant year-over-year increase.
Increase in Long-term Customer Growth Expectations
The company increased its long-term customer usage growth expectations from 2% to 3%, driven by semiconductor manufacturing and data center customers.
Significant Investments in Clean Energy
PGE invested over $1.2 billion in capital projects targeting customer growth, grid resiliency, and decarbonization. Clean energy represented 45% of the energy mix in 2024.
Industrial Growth Driven by High-Tech and Digital Customers
Industrial growth increased by 11% year-over-year, led by semiconductor manufacturing and data center customers.
Battery Storage Capacity Expansion
PGE will soon have over 500 megawatts of battery capacity, enhancing renewable integration, system reliability, and energy price stability.
Lowlights
Decreased Fourth Quarter Earnings
Fourth-quarter GAAP net income decreased to $39 million or $0.36 per share from $68 million or $0.67 per share in the fourth quarter of 2023.
Challenges with Power Cost Volatility
Although improved, PGE faced higher power costs at $0.68 per share, driven by unfavorable market conditions in the fourth quarter.
Residential and Commercial Load Declines
Residential load decreased 2.8% year-over-year, and commercial load decreased 2.2% year-over-year due to energy efficiency and distributed energy resources.
Regulatory Challenges with Rate Case Outcome
The outcome of the 2025 rate review was less favorable than expected, impacting financial planning.
Company Guidance
During Portland General Electric's fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance for 2025 with an earnings projection of $3.13 to $3.33 per diluted share. The long-term earnings per share (EPS) and dividend growth were reaffirmed at 5% to 7%, based on a $3.08 per share midpoint from the original 2024 guidance. The company reported a 2024 GAAP net income of $313 million or $3.01 per diluted share and non-GAAP net income of $327 million or $3.14 per share. This reflects a notable increase compared to 2023's GAAP net income of $228 million or $2.33 per share and non-GAAP net income of $233 million or $2.38 per share. Additionally, weather-adjusted energy usage grew by 3% year-over-year, with industrial growth up by 11%, driven by high-tech and digital sectors. Portland General Electric plans to invest significantly, with a five-year capital forecast through 2029 focusing on transmission projects and grid resiliency. The company also highlighted its ongoing efforts to manage operating costs and enhance operational efficiency amid robust customer demand.

Portland GE Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Portland GE Announces 2024 Financial Results and Future Plans
Positive
Feb 14, 2025

Portland General Electric announced its 2024 financial results with GAAP net income of $313 million, or $3.01 per diluted share, and non-GAAP adjusted net income of $327 million, or $3.14 per diluted share. The company outlined key achievements in 2024, including significant investments in clean energy resources, battery storage, and grid resiliency. For 2025, PGE has initiated an earnings guidance of $3.13 to $3.33 per diluted share and continues to focus on enhancing operational reliability and resilience, with plans for further capital investment and wildfire risk mitigation.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.