tiprankstipranks
Oneok Inc (OKE)
:OKE

Oneok (OKE) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
3,337 Followers

Top Page

OKOneok
(NYSE:OKE)
64Neutral
Oneok's strong revenue growth, cash generation, and favorable earnings guidance are key strengths. However, financial management concerns and weak technical indicators present risks. The stock's reasonable valuation and high dividend yield provide support, but caution is warranted due to potential market overcapacity in the LPG sector.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions and Diversification
Recent acquisitions have transformed OKE into a more integrated and diversified company better positioned to capture market share.
Financial Performance
The company's adjusted EBITDA midpoint has increased, indicating improved financial performance.
Negative Factors
Stock Performance
Despite these positive developments, OKE has underperformed YTD, lagging c-corp peers despite top quartile forecast growth and capital return program.

Oneok (OKE) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Oneok Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionONEOK, Inc. is a leading midstream service provider in the United States, specializing in the gathering, processing, storage, and transportation of natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma, the company operates an extensive network of infrastructure assets that connect key supply basins with market centers across the country. Its operations are divided into segments including natural gas gathering and processing, natural gas liquids, and natural gas pipelines, all of which play a critical role in the energy value chain.
How the Company Makes MoneyONEOK makes money primarily through its fee-based services in the midstream energy sector. The company generates revenue by transporting natural gas and NGLs through its pipeline networks, charging customers for the use of its infrastructure. Its revenue streams are diversified across three main segments: Natural Gas Gathering and Processing, which involves collecting and refining natural gas from production sites; Natural Gas Liquids, where it processes and transports NGL products such as ethane, propane, and butane; and Natural Gas Pipelines, focusing on the interstate and intrastate transportation of natural gas. ONEOK benefits from long-term contracts with producers and marketers, providing stable cash flows and reducing exposure to commodity price volatility. Additionally, strategic partnerships and expansions of its infrastructure network enhance its capacity and reach, further contributing to its earnings.

Oneok Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Oneok exhibits strong revenue growth and cash generation. However, the negative EBIT and irregularities in the 2024 balance sheet data pose financial management concerns. Despite these, the company's cash flow stability and healthy profit margins are positives.
Income Statement
70
Positive
The company has shown a strong revenue growth rate of 22.72% from 2023 to 2024, alongside a robust net profit margin of 13.99% in 2024. However, the EBIT margin is negative due to an EBIT loss of $305 million, which poses a concern. The EBITDA margin remains healthy at 17.84%, indicating good operational cash flow generation.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a significant increase in total assets, but the data shows stockholders' equity of zero in 2024, which is unusual and raises concerns about financial reporting accuracy. With no total liabilities reported in 2024, this might indicate a restructuring or unusual financial management practices. Past trends displayed a decreasing debt-to-equity ratio, which was a positive sign before 2024.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow has increased to $4.89 billion in 2024, and free cash flow has grown substantially, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable. However, investing cash flow remains negative, suggesting high capital expenditures or investments.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
21.70B17.68B22.39B16.54B8.54B
Gross Profit
7.25B4.98B3.85B3.66B2.85B
EBIT
4.99B4.07B2.81B2.60B2.14B
EBITDA
3.87B5.11B3.52B3.30B2.55B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.04B2.66B1.72B1.50B612.81M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
733.00M338.00M220.23M146.39M524.50M
Total Assets
64.07B44.27B24.38B23.62B23.08B
Total Debt
32.08B21.76B13.70B13.73B14.34B
Net Debt
31.34B21.43B13.48B13.59B13.81B
Total Liabilities
41.94B27.78B17.89B17.61B17.04B
Stockholders Equity
17.04B16.48B6.49B6.02B6.04B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.89B2.83B1.70B1.85B-296.31M
Operating Cash Flow
4.89B4.42B2.91B2.55B1.90B
Investing Cash Flow
-6.61B-6.40B-1.14B-665.29M-2.27B
Financing Cash Flow
2.12B2.10B-1.69B-2.26B875.00M

Oneok Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price89.57
Price Trends
50DMA
99.37
Negative
100DMA
100.85
Negative
200DMA
92.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.19
Positive
RSI
31.30
Neutral
STOCH
12.66
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OKE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 89.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 96.54, below the 50-day MA of 99.37, and below the 200-day MA of 92.15, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.66 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OKE.

Oneok Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ETET
81
Outperform
$60.73B13.7813.40%7.26%5.20%18.35%
EPEPD
77
Outperform
$71.66B12.4220.78%6.35%12.71%6.74%
72
Outperform
$40.74B32.5647.62%1.65%6.45%56.33%
WMWMB
71
Outperform
$66.59B30.0617.92%3.48%8.06%-30.11%
KMKMI
68
Neutral
$58.46B22.488.54%4.37%-0.55%10.02%
OKOKE
64
Neutral
$56.03B17.3518.11%4.46%24.16%-6.58%
57
Neutral
$8.34B5.35-5.98%7.29%0.20%-69.45%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OKE
Oneok
89.57
15.81
21.43%
ET
Energy Transfer
17.46
3.51
25.16%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
33.46
7.35
28.15%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
26.14
9.20
54.31%
TRGP
Targa Resources
181.91
80.16
78.78%
WMB
Williams Co
54.38
19.42
55.55%

Oneok Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 24, 2025 | % Change Since: -8.71% | Next Earnings Date: May 6, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for ONEOK showcased strong financial performance, successful integration of acquisitions, and promising growth projects, particularly in the LPG export market. Despite some market overcapacity concerns, the overall outlook remains positive due to strategic initiatives and robust financial health.
Highlights
Record Earnings Growth
ONEOK announced higher fourth quarter and full year 2024 earnings driven by strategic acquisitions, volume growth, and synergy execution. The company expects strong earnings growth in 2025 with a greater than 15% EPS growth and adjusted EBITDA growth approaching 10% by 2026.
Significant Acquisitions and Expansions
ONEOK successfully integrated strategic acquisitions including EnLink and Medallion, contributing to a robust pipeline network of approximately 60,000 miles, enhancing connectivity and operational scale.
Strong Financial Position
ONEOK ended 2024 with more than $730 million in cash on hand, no commercial paper outstanding, and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 3.6x. The company returned nearly $2.5 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
LPG Export Project Joint Venture
Announced a strategic joint venture with MPLX to construct a 400,000 barrel per day LPG export terminal in Texas City, Texas, enhancing their product offerings with a wellhead-to-water solution.
Synergy and Growth Projects
2025 financial guidance includes $250 million of incremental commercial and cost synergies from acquisitions. Projects like the NGL pipeline expansions and new LPG export dock are expected to drive future growth.
Lowlights
Market Overcapacity Concerns
Concerns about potential overbuilding in the LPG export market could affect future spot rates, although ONEOK remains confident in its strategic location and project timing.
Potential Mid-Continent Challenges
While seeing increased activity, the Mid-Continent region's future growth is contingent upon sustained gas prices and producer activity, which could face volatility.
Company Guidance
During ONEOK's Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance and outlook metrics for 2025 and 2026. For 2025, ONEOK expects an 8% increase in earnings per share to $5.37 and a 21% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $8.225 billion, excluding transaction costs. The growth is driven by full-year earnings from recent acquisitions, volume growth, and fee-based earnings. Capital expenditures for 2025 are projected to range from $2.8 billion to $3.2 billion. ONEOK also anticipates greater than 15% earnings per share growth and adjusted EBITDA growth approaching 10% in 2026, compared to the 2025 guidance midpoints. Key contributors include full-year earnings from NGL pipeline expansions and synergy projects completed in 2025, along with significant incremental synergies from the acquisitions of Magellan, Medallion, and EnLink.

Oneok Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ONEOK Announces 2025 Financial Guidance and Growth Outlook
Positive
Feb 25, 2025

On February 24, 2025, ONEOK announced its financial guidance for 2025 and a growth outlook for 2026. The company anticipates an 11% increase in net income and an 8% rise in earnings per share for 2025, driven by volume growth, completed projects, and expanded operations, particularly in the Permian Basin and Gulf Coast. For 2026, ONEOK expects over 15% growth in earnings per share and nearly 10% growth in adjusted EBITDA, supported by increased production and the realization of acquisition-related synergies. The guidance reflects ONEOK’s strategic focus on disciplined growth and value delivery across its operations, with significant capital expenditures planned for key projects and expansions.

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ONEOK Reports Strong Financial Growth in 2024
Positive
Feb 24, 2025

ONEOK reported significant financial growth for the fourth quarter and full-year 2024, with net income reaching $3.1 billion and adjusted EBITDA at $6.78 billion. This growth was driven by strategic acquisitions, including EnLink and Medallion, increased volumes in the Rocky Mountain region, and a successful divestiture of an interstate pipeline. The company also completed several capital projects, such as the MB-6 fractionator and the Elk Creek pipeline expansion, further positioning itself for long-term growth. Additionally, ONEOK increased its quarterly dividend and repurchased shares, reflecting its commitment to returning value to shareholders.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Oneok Announces Leadership Change and Financial Reorganization
Neutral
Feb 5, 2025

On February 3, 2025, Charles M. Kelley, Senior Vice President of Commercial Natural Gas Pipelines at ONEOK, announced his retirement, effective March 31, 2025. In connection with its internal reorganization, ONEOK and its associated entities executed supplemental indentures and a credit agreement guarantee, assuming various financial obligations and providing guarantees, which realign the company’s financial commitments and obligations.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
ONEOK Completes Acquisition of EnLink Midstream
Positive
Jan 31, 2025

On January 31, 2025, ONEOK completed its acquisition of EnLink Midstream, strengthening its integrated midstream business and enhancing value for stakeholders. The acquisition was approved by EnLink unitholders and involved a share exchange, marking the end of EnLink’s public trading on the NYSE. This strategic acquisition allows ONEOK to further diversify its platform and integrate EnLink’s operations, providing potential benefits across the combined entity. The internal reorganization following the merger included assuming various obligations and providing guarantees, indicating a significant operational integration effort.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
ONEOK Finalizes Acquisition of EnLink Midstream Units
Neutral
Jan 30, 2025

On January 30, 2025, ONEOK, Inc. announced the approval by EnLink Midstream’s unitholders for its acquisition of the remaining publicly held common units of EnLink. The acquisition, which saw approximately 99.8% of the common units voting in favor, is expected to close on January 31, 2025, with EnLink’s units ceasing to trade on the NYSE. This strategic move consolidates ONEOK’s position in the midstream energy sector, enhancing its operational capacity and potentially realizing synergies, though it carries integration and market risks as highlighted in the forward-looking statements.

Financial Disclosures
ONEOK to Announce Q4 and Year-End 2024 Earnings
Neutral
Jan 22, 2025

On January 21, 2025, ONEOK announced that it will release its fourth quarter and year-end 2024 earnings on February 24, 2025, after the market closes. A conference call and live webcast, scheduled for February 25, 2025, will involve ONEOK’s management team discussing the earnings. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and future outlook, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
ONEOK Announces Executive Leadership Changes
Neutral
Jan 7, 2025

ONEOK, Inc. announced the appointment of Randy N. Lentz as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, and Sheridan C. Swords as Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer, effective immediately. These leadership changes are intended to support ONEOK’s strategy of building a diversified, fully integrated energy infrastructure company, enhancing its operations and industry positioning.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
ONEOK Sells Interstate Natural Gas Pipelines for $1.2B
Positive
Jan 3, 2025

ONEOK, Inc. has completed the sale of its three interstate natural gas pipeline systems—Guardian Pipeline, Midwestern Gas Transmission, and Viking Gas Transmission—to DT Midstream, Inc. for $1.2 billion. This transaction is a strategic move to optimize ONEOK’s asset portfolio and enhance its financial flexibility, supporting its capital allocation priorities and leverage target for 2026. The sale is expected to positively impact ONEOK’s operations by allowing it to focus on its core businesses while DT Midstream assumes responsibility for the pipelines, including the establishment of a new Tulsa office.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
ONEOK to Acquire Remaining EnLink Units by 2025
Neutral
Dec 31, 2024

ONEOK, Inc. and EnLink Midstream, LLC have announced the filing of definitive proxy materials with the SEC concerning ONEOK’s acquisition of the remaining publicly held common units of EnLink. The acquisition aims to establish a fully integrated Permian Basin platform, extend ONEOK’s operational footprint, and realize synergies through complementary assets, enhancing its market position. The transaction is expected to close in the first quarter of 2025, pending approval from EnLink unitholders and fulfillment of other customary conditions.

Business Operations and Strategy
Oneok to Present at Investor Conference
Neutral
Dec 11, 2024

ONEOK, Inc. announced its participation in an upcoming investor conference, including a fireside chat session to be webcast live. This engagement offers the company an opportunity to present its strategic initiatives and operations to investors, potentially influencing stakeholder perceptions and reinforcing its position in the energy infrastructure industry.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.