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NETSTREIT (NTST)
NYSE:NTST

NETSTREIT (NTST) AI Stock Analysis

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NT

NETSTREIT

(NYSE:NTST)

76Outperform
NTST's strong revenue growth, no debt, and positive operating cash flow are key strengths. However, challenges in profitability and tenant issues present risks. The technical indicators suggest positive momentum, while valuation metrics offer mixed signals due to high P/E and a good dividend yield. Strategic corporate actions and earnings call insights add to the outlook, but profitability issues weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Investment Strategy
NTST's investment strategy focuses on defensive tenancy in necessity-based and E-commerce-resistant retail industries.
Valuation
NTST trades below the private market value of its portfolio, indicating potential for positive valuation adjustments.
Negative Factors
Investment Activity
NTST’s investment activity guidance was lower than expected but considered reasonable due to the recent decline in share price.
Tenant Risk
Investor concern exists around negative headlines affecting some of NTST's key tenants, impacting the stock.

NETSTREIT (NTST) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

NETSTREIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNETSTREIT is an internally managed Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) based in Dallas, Texas that specializes in acquiring single-tenant net lease retail properties nationwide. The growing portfolio consists of high-quality properties leased to e-commerce resistant tenants with healthy balance sheets. Led by a management team of seasoned commercial real estate executives, NETSTREIT's strategy is to create the highest quality net lease retail portfolio in the country with the goal of generating consistent cash flows and dividends for its investors.
How the Company Makes MoneyNETSTREIT makes money by acquiring and leasing out single-tenant retail properties under net lease agreements. These leases often require tenants to pay a significant portion of the property's operating expenses, such as maintenance, insurance, and taxes, in addition to the base rent. This structure allows NETSTREIT to generate stable and predictable rental income while minimizing its exposure to property-related expenses. The company's revenue streams are primarily derived from these rental payments. Additionally, NETSTREIT's growth strategy involves acquiring properties with strong tenants and favorable lease terms, which can enhance its income and asset value over time.

NETSTREIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NTST displays robust revenue growth and a solid balance sheet with significant equity and no debt as of 2024, providing financial stability. However, challenges in profitability, negative net income, and declining EBIT margins need addressing. Positive operating cash flow and strategic investments suggest potential for long-term growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
NTST has shown a strong revenue growth trajectory over the years, with a significant increase from $19.8M in 2019 to $162.8M in 2024. Despite the impressive top-line growth, the company is grappling with profitability challenges, as indicated by negative net income in 2024 and declining EBIT margins from 24.6% in 2019 to 11.3% in 2024. The gross profit margin remains robust at around 99.8%, but the net profit margin has suffered, reflecting rising operational costs or other expenses.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The balance sheet of NTST is solid, characterized by a substantial increase in stockholders' equity from $164.5M in 2019 to $1.33B in 2024, reflecting strong investor confidence and asset growth. A notable improvement is the elimination of total debt in 2024, significantly strengthening the company's equity position with an equity ratio of 58.9%. The return on equity has been impacted by net losses, but the lack of debt provides financial flexibility and reduces potential risks associated with leverage.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
NTST's cash flow statements reveal a positive trend in operating cash flow, which increased from $6M in 2019 to $90.2M in 2024, demonstrating effective cash generation from core operations. The free cash flow has also expanded significantly, although large investing cash outflows indicate substantial capital investment activities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient conversion of earnings into cash flow, despite negative net income in recent years.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
162.78M123.12M96.28M59.14M33.73M
Gross Profit
162.43M106.25M84.58M53.34M31.16M
EBIT
18.44M24.10M15.59M8.15M4.35M
EBITDA
98.24M95.65M65.66M38.96M19.81M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-11.94M6.84M8.12M3.05M-4.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
14.32M18.43M70.54M7.60M92.64M
Total Assets
2.26B1.95B1.61B1.07B725.82M
Total Debt
894.28M640.25M524.32M261.65M191.03M
Net Debt
879.96M621.82M453.78M254.04M98.39M
Total Liabilities
921.21M672.80M547.27M278.63M197.74M
Stockholders Equity
1.33B1.26B1.05B779.17M494.10M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
90.16M80.12M49.44M30.75M12.70M
Operating Cash Flow
90.16M80.16M50.65M31.48M12.75M
Investing Cash Flow
-432.88M-451.95M-468.36M-430.13M-362.13M
Financing Cash Flow
327.10M331.18M480.65M313.61M272.71M

NETSTREIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.50
Price Trends
50DMA
14.93
Positive
100DMA
14.72
Positive
200DMA
15.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Negative
RSI
68.16
Neutral
STOCH
92.38
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NTST, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.52, above the 50-day MA of 14.93, and above the 200-day MA of 15.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.38 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NTST.

NETSTREIT Risk Analysis

NETSTREIT disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NETSTREIT reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NETSTREIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GTGTY
78
Outperform
$1.59B23.087.41%6.35%9.44%8.76%
76
Outperform
$1.36B-0.92%5.06%23.25%-246.41%
WSWSR
73
Outperform
$1.35B18.468.66%3.82%5.13%88.91%
IVIVT
67
Neutral
$2.13B142.850.82%3.34%5.61%135.64%
66
Neutral
$230.46M116.200.82%6.80%14.17%-26.37%
BFBFS
65
Neutral
$801.53M20.2714.81%7.12%4.64%-5.26%
59
Neutral
$2.71B11.520.08%8691.97%5.56%-16.56%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NTST
NETSTREIT
16.50
0.04
0.24%
GTY
Getty Realty
28.96
3.38
13.21%
BFS
Saul Centers
33.12
-0.75
-2.21%
WSR
Whitestone REIT
13.26
2.35
21.54%
IVT
InvenTrust Properties
27.47
3.13
12.86%
PINE
Alpine Income Property Trust Inc
16.47
2.17
15.17%

NETSTREIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 24, 2025 | % Change Since: 17.61% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative developments. While the company achieved record transaction activity and made significant strides in portfolio diversification and financial stability, it also faced challenges with tenant exposures and reported a net loss. The focus on improved risk-adjusted returns and low credit loss were positive aspects, though market dynamics and tenant challenges pose ongoing concerns.
Highlights
Record Transaction Activity
Completed over $195 million of gross investments, the highest quarter on record, with a blended cash yield of 7.4% and 14 years of weighted average lease term.
Portfolio Diversification Achievements
Reduced top 10 tenant concentration by 410 basis points to 45.1% of ABR and Walgreens exposure by 100 basis points to 3.8% of ABR.
Strong Financial Position
Closed on $275 million of additional financing commitments, including a new $175 million senior unsecured term loan at a fixed rate of 5.12%.
Low Credit Loss
Average credit loss of just 4 basis points since inception and minimal impact from tenant store closures.
Improved Risk Adjusted Returns
Focus on sale leaseback transactions has led to improved risk adjusted returns, with nearly 71% of ABR leased to investment-grade or investment-grade profile tenants.
Lowlights
Net Loss Reported
Reported a net loss of $5.4 million or $0.07 per diluted share for the fourth quarter of 2024.
Challenges with Certain Tenants
Continued challenges with tenants such as Walgreens, CVS, Family Dollar, Advanced Auto, and Big Lots due to store closures and financial struggles.
Limited Cap Rate Movement
Less attractive returns observed in investment-grade opportunities with limited movement in cap rates, impacting acquisition strategy.
Company Guidance
During the NETSTREIT Corp. Fourth Quarter 2024 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance and performance metrics. They reported record gross investments of over $195 million at a blended cash yield of 7.4%, with a straight-line basis of 8.1% and a weighted average lease term of 14 years. The development pipeline includes five projects with a total estimated cost of $14.6 million. Portfolio diversification efforts led to a top 10 tenant concentration decline of 410 basis points to 45.1% of ABR. Financial highlights included a net loss of $5.4 million, AFFO of $25.9 million, and a pro forma weighted average debt maturity of 4.3 years. The 2025 AFFO guidance is set at $1.27 to $1.30 per share, with expected net investment activity between $75 million and $125 million. The company emphasized the strategic focus on improving risk-adjusted returns and maintaining balance sheet discipline.

NETSTREIT Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NETSTREIT Reports Q4 2024 Results and 2025 Outlook
Neutral
Feb 24, 2025

On February 24, 2025, NETSTREIT Corp. reported its financial and operating results for the fourth quarter and full year ending December 31, 2024. The company achieved a record gross investment activity of $195.1 million at a 7.4% cash yield during the fourth quarter and introduced a 2025 AFFO per share guidance of $1.27 to $1.30. Despite reporting a net loss of $0.07 per diluted share for the fourth quarter, NETSTREIT completed significant capital recycling and closed $275 million in additional financing commitments in January 2025, positioning itself for future growth with a focus on enhancing tenant diversity and internal growth.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.