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ServiceNow (NOW)
NYSE:NOW

ServiceNow (NOW) AI Stock Analysis

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NOServiceNow
(NYSE:NOW)
71Outperform
ServiceNow shows strong financial performance with significant growth and profitability, supported by strategic investments in AI and partnerships. However, the high P/E ratio suggests a rich valuation, posing risks if growth expectations are not met. Technical indicators show bearish momentum, which could present a short-term challenge. Overall, while the long-term outlook is positive, caution is advised due to current market conditions.
Positive Factors
AI Integration
ServiceNow leverages AI to significantly improve its own efficiency, saving 400,000 labour hours in customer service use cases.
Government Contracts
The Defense Logistics Agency has significantly reduced its IT vendor count by standardizing on NOW's platform, showcasing potential efficiency gains.
Negative Factors
Growth Rate Concerns
NOW's ITOM business had a notable step down in growth rate in 4Q, marking the first <20% growth in 8 quarters.

ServiceNow (NOW) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

ServiceNow Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFounded in 2004 and based in California, ServiceNow, Inc. is a software company which provides enterprise cloud computing solutions to help companies manage digital workflows for enterprise operations. The company offers its solutions to various sectors including healthcare, education, oil and gas, telecommunications, government, consumer products, technology, IT and financial services.
How the Company Makes MoneyServiceNow generates revenue primarily through the sale of subscription-based licenses for its cloud-based platform and related applications. This subscription model provides a steady and predictable revenue stream as customers pay ongoing fees to access the platform's various services. Additionally, ServiceNow offers professional services, including consulting, implementation, and training, which contribute to its revenue. The company also forms strategic partnerships and alliances with other technology firms, which can enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach, thereby supporting its revenue growth. ServiceNow's focus on continuous innovation and expanding its product suites allows it to cater to a broad range of business needs, encouraging customer retention and attracting new clients, further boosting its revenue.

ServiceNow Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ServiceNow demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, high gross profit margin, and a solid balance sheet. The cash flow position is robust, though there is room for improvement in EBIT margins.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
ServiceNow has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a consistent upward trend over the years. The gross profit margin remains high at approximately 79.2%, reflecting efficient cost management and pricing power. The net profit margin of 13% indicates solid profitability. However, the EBIT margin of 12.4% suggests potential room for operational efficiency improvements. Overall, the company shows robust financial health, supported by consistent revenue growth and strong profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a healthy financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, indicating conservative use of leverage. The return on equity stands at 14.8%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholders' funds. With an equity ratio of 47.1%, the company maintains a balanced capital structure, providing stability. The cash reserves and short-term investments are substantial, enhancing liquidity.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
ServiceNow's cash flow statement reveals a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.99, signifying efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow growth rate is impressive, highlighting the company's ability to reinvest and sustain growth. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 2.40 suggests some variability, potentially due to capital expenditures. Overall, the cash flow metrics indicate robust cash-generating capabilities and prudent financial management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.60B10.98B8.97B7.25B5.90B4.52B
Gross Profit
5.12B8.70B7.05B5.67B4.54B3.53B
EBIT
218.00M1.36B762.00M355.00M257.00M198.86M
EBITDA
606.00M2.33B1.59B768.00M257.00M452.93M
Net Income Common Stockholders
184.00M1.43B1.73B325.00M230.00M119.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.76B5.76B4.88B4.28B3.30B3.09B
Total Assets
20.38B20.38B17.39B13.30B10.80B8.72B
Total Debt
789.00M789.00M2.28B2.23B2.21B2.14B
Net Debt
-1.51B-1.51B387.00M762.00M486.00M458.37M
Total Liabilities
10.77B10.77B9.76B8.27B7.10B5.88B
Stockholders Equity
9.61B9.61B7.63B5.03B3.69B2.83B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.02B3.42B2.70B2.17B1.79B1.35B
Operating Cash Flow
2.46B4.27B3.40B2.72B2.19B1.79B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.64B-2.50B-2.17B-2.58B-1.61B-1.51B
Financing Cash Flow
-462.00M-1.34B-803.00M-344.00M-506.00M596.65M

ServiceNow Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price906.09
Price Trends
50DMA
1033.76
Negative
100DMA
1023.21
Negative
200DMA
910.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-37.34
Positive
RSI
31.05
Neutral
STOCH
23.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NOW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 906.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 970.41, below the 50-day MA of 1033.76, and below the 200-day MA of 910.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -37.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NOW.

ServiceNow Risk Analysis

ServiceNow disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ServiceNow reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ServiceNow Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$2.89T31.3030.64%0.81%15.04%12.38%
79
Outperform
$70.05B130.075.82%17.04%-62.24%
78
Outperform
$193.98B35.9439.42%11.02%4.96%
75
Outperform
$440.44B38.54132.00%0.99%6.40%12.83%
CRCRM
73
Outperform
$274.98B45.1810.13%0.55%8.72%51.47%
NONOW
71
Outperform
$191.53B133.0814.83%22.44%-18.31%
59
Neutral
$22.39B11.53-18.05%2.31%5.00%-25.89%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NOW
ServiceNow
906.09
165.94
22.42%
ADBE
Adobe
446.03
-98.81
-18.14%
MSFT
Microsoft
388.61
-10.99
-2.75%
ORCL
Oracle
157.47
47.72
43.48%
CRM
Salesforce
287.34
-9.75
-3.28%
WDAY
Workday
253.63
-13.11
-4.91%

ServiceNow Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 29, 2025 | % Change Since: -20.77% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted ServiceNow's strong performance and strategic growth in AI and partnerships, with robust financial metrics and positive future outlook. However, some challenges such as federal business seasonality, tax headwinds, and FX impacts were noted, but these are outweighed by the positive achievements and plans.
Highlights
Record-Breaking Performance and Business Fundamentals
ServiceNow exceeded expectations for the fourth quarter, achieving subscription revenue growth of 21% and CRPO growth of 22%, with an operating margin of 29.5%. The company's RPO reached nearly $23 billion, and it holds $10 billion in cash and investments.
AI Innovation and Growth
ServiceNow saw stunning 150% quarter-over-quarter deal growth in Pro Plus AI offerings, with 1,000 customers on the Agentic AI journey. The Pro Plus SKUs maintained a greater than 30% price uplift over Pro, indicating strong value delivery.
Strategic Partnerships and Ecosystem Expansion
ServiceNow expanded collaborations with major partners like AWS, Google Cloud, and Microsoft to accelerate AI transformation and offer new solutions in the marketplace, enhancing the company's ecosystem.
Strong Customer Engagement and New Deals
ServiceNow closed 170 deals greater than $1 million in net new ACV in Q4, including the largest new logo deal in company history, reflecting strong customer trust and market penetration.
Positive Outlook and Future Growth Plans
ServiceNow is on track to achieve $15 billion plus revenue by 2026, with a bold ambition for $30 billion plus in the future, supported by a healthy balance sheet and strategic investments in AI and data solutions.
Lowlights
Federal Business Seasonality
The 2025 guidance reflects a more back-end weighted deal linearity in the U.S. federal business due to the change in the presidential administration, which could impact revenue recognition timing.
Incremental Cash Tax Headwind
ServiceNow anticipates an incremental cash tax headwind of 100 basis points year-over-year, affecting free cash flow margin expansion.
FX Headwinds Impact on Revenue
ServiceNow faces an incremental $175 million FX headwind for 2025, which impacts the subscription revenue growth outlook.
Company Guidance
During the call, ServiceNow provided robust guidance for the first quarter and full year 2025, emphasizing their strategic shift towards incorporating more consumption-based monetization for AI and data solutions. They projected subscription revenues between $12.635 billion and $12.675 billion, reflecting a 20% year-over-year growth at constant currency. The company highlighted their 29.5% operating margin for 2024 and projected a 30.5% operating margin for 2025, alongside a free cash flow margin of 32%. Notably, they reported a remaining performance obligation (RPO) of $22.3 billion, representing a 26% year-over-year growth. ServiceNow also discussed their strategic focus on AI, particularly their Pro Plus AI offerings, which saw 150% quarter-over-quarter deal growth, and their plans to leverage AI to enhance customer and employee workflows, driving significant efficiency gains and positioning themselves as a leader in enterprise AI solutions.

ServiceNow Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
ServiceNow Implements New Executive Severance Policy
Neutral
Dec 27, 2024

ServiceNow has amended its executive employment agreements to include a new Executive Severance Policy aimed at standardizing severance payments and benefits for its leadership team, effective January 1, 2025. This policy impacts the compensation structure for executives, particularly in scenarios involving a qualifying termination or a change in control, potentially affecting the company’s operational stability and stakeholder confidence.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.