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Navios Maritime Partners (NMM)
NYSE:NMM

Navios Maritime Partners (NMM) AI Stock Analysis

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Navios Maritime Partners

(NYSE:NMM)

75Outperform
Navios Maritime Partners shows robust financial health with significant revenue growth and strong profitability. The company benefits from a solid balance sheet and cash flow, though there's room to improve net profit margins and invest in assets. The stock's valuation is attractive with a low P/E ratio, indicating potential upside. The earnings call underscores effective fleet management, though geopolitical risks and decreased EBITDA present challenges. Technical analysis is neutral, suggesting cautious optimism.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Navios Maritime Partners reported strong quarterly results, with earnings per share and EBITDA exceeding market expectations.
Fleet Expansion
The company has expanded its fleet by taking delivery of four new ships, contributing to a robust charter backlog.
Free Cash Flow
Navios generates significant free cash flow, supported by its $3.65 billion revenue backlog, that justifies a much higher share price.
Negative Factors
Market Volatility
Despite strong performance, the volatile nature of the shipping markets poses a risk to more predictable earnings.
Valuation
Navios is still deeply undervalued from an asset value perspective but more importantly on free cash flow.

Navios Maritime Partners (NMM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Navios Maritime Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNavios Maritime Partners L.P. (NMM) is a leading international owner and operator of dry cargo and tanker vessels. The company is engaged in the seaborne transportation services of a wide range of drybulk commodities including iron ore, coal, grain, and fertilizers, as well as petroleum products. Navios Maritime Partners operates a diversified fleet of vessels, providing maritime logistics services to a global customer base, which includes shipping companies, charterers, and other clients in the transport supply chain.
How the Company Makes MoneyNavios Maritime Partners makes money primarily through the leasing of its fleet of vessels to shipping companies and charterers on both short-term and long-term charter agreements. These agreements provide a steady stream of revenue from charter hire payments. The company operates in the spot market as well, where it earns voyage revenues by transporting cargo directly for customers. Additionally, NMM may benefit from economies of scale through strategic fleet management and operational efficiencies. Significant partnerships with shipping companies and commodity producers can also enhance its market position and revenue potential. Furthermore, the company may engage in the sale and purchase of vessels, which can contribute to its earnings.

Navios Maritime Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Navios Maritime Partners shows a solid financial position with strong revenue growth from $226M in 2020 to $1.33B in 2024 and a robust gross profit margin of 83.2%. The balance sheet is strong with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.69, and cash flow generation remains solid. However, there are concerns regarding net profit margin decline and the need for asset investment.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Navios Maritime Partners has demonstrated significant revenue growth over the past few years, with an impressive increase from $226M in 2020 to over $1.33B in 2024. The gross profit margin improved substantially, reaching approximately 83.2% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. The EBIT margin for 2024 stands at 50.7%, showcasing strong operating performance. However, net profit margin slightly decreased to 27.5% from 33.2% in the previous year, suggesting areas for improvement in net profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a healthy equity position with stockholders' equity increasing to $3.11B in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.69, indicating a balanced capital structure. Return on equity (ROE) was 11.8% in 2024, suggesting good returns for shareholders. However, the equity ratio is at 54.8%, indicating moderate leverage which could be a potential risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow remains robust at $483M in 2024, with a positive free cash flow of the same amount, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.32, indicating efficient cash conversion. However, there was a decrease in operating cash flow from the previous year, and capital expenditure remains at zero, which may suggest underinvestment in asset growth or maintenance.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.33B1.31B1.21B713.17M226.77M
Gross Profit
1.11B859.39M517.30M343.51M55.62M
EBIT
676.14M665.00M512.99M482.83M-22.91M
EBITDA
655.31M794.03M896.99M601.75M21.83M
Net Income Common Stockholders
367.31M433.64M579.25M293.50M-37.54M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
312.08M287.38M157.81M159.47M30.73M
Total Assets
5.67B5.15B4.90B3.62B1.21B
Total Debt
2.13B2.13B1.17B1.06B486.86M
Net Debt
1.83B928.48M1.02B898.12M456.13M
Total Liabilities
2.57B2.38B2.55B1.85B552.44M
Stockholders Equity
3.11B2.77B2.34B-53.78M654.83M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
483.48M95.30M-104.24M-1.71M10.98M
Operating Cash Flow
483.48M560.32M506.34M277.17M94.09M
Investing Cash Flow
-782.13M-253.01M-316.24M-106.25M-83.85M
Financing Cash Flow
349.26M-233.22M-184.45M-32.20M-9.91M

Navios Maritime Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price31.00
Price Trends
50DMA
40.49
Negative
100DMA
43.23
Negative
200DMA
48.19
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.68
Negative
RSI
42.03
Neutral
STOCH
29.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NMM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.82, below the 50-day MA of 40.49, and below the 200-day MA of 48.19, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NMM.

Navios Maritime Partners Risk Analysis

Navios Maritime Partners disclosed 81 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Navios Maritime Partners reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Navios Maritime Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DADAC
79
Outperform
$1.34B2.7615.68%4.96%6.00%-9.89%
GSGSL
78
Outperform
$696.85M2.0226.71%8.85%5.37%16.97%
NMNMM
75
Outperform
$922.96M2.6112.46%0.68%2.08%-14.91%
72
Outperform
$1.58B4.8314.71%15.82%33.31%62.94%
SFSFL
67
Neutral
$1.12B7.6312.05%14.08%20.22%52.03%
64
Neutral
$1.09B3.7413.07%5.04%37.10%-17.36%
62
Neutral
$7.68B13.063.21%3.34%3.62%-14.40%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NMM
Navios Maritime Partners
31.00
-12.21
-28.26%
CMRE
Costamare
8.66
-2.31
-21.06%
DAC
Danaos
68.92
-1.94
-2.74%
GSL
Global Ship Lease
18.92
-1.23
-6.10%
SFL
SFL Corporation
7.30
-4.25
-36.80%
SBLK
Star Bulk Carriers
13.17
-8.01
-37.82%

Navios Maritime Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 13, 2025 | % Change Since: -29.77% | Next Earnings Date: May 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Navios Maritime Partners demonstrated strong financial performance and effective fleet management in 2024, with significant contracted revenue and strategic fleet modernization. However, the company faces challenges from geopolitical uncertainties and a decrease in adjusted EBITDA.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance in 2024
Navios reported a full-year revenue of $1.33 billion, with net income of $367.3 million. Earnings per common unit were $11.98 for the year.
Effective Fleet Management and Revenue Growth
Contracted revenue stands at $3.6 billion, with 63% of 2025 available days fixed. The company has effectively managed fleet renewal, with significant investments in newbuildings and strategic vessel sales.
Unit Repurchase Program
Navios repurchased 585,420 common units for $29.2 million, effectively returning $1.80 per unit of value to each unitholder through NAV aggregation.
Fleet Modernization Efforts
Navios received delivery of four new vessels and secured long-term charters, contributing to an estimated breakeven of $425 per open/index day.
Lowlights
Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainties
Uncertainties due to geopolitical events such as conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, as well as new tariff schemes, pose risks to global trade and Navios' operations.
Decrease in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2024 decreased by $45 million compared to Q4 2023, despite improvements in revenue and fleet time charter equivalent rates.
Slight Decline in Tanker Rates
The time charter rate for tankers was approximately 3% lower in Q4 2024 compared to the previous year.
Company Guidance
During the Navios Maritime Partners Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call, Chairwoman and CEO Angeliki Frangou provided guidance highlighting several key metrics. The company reported full-year revenue of $1.33 billion and net income of $367.3 million, with fourth-quarter contributions of $332.5 million and $94.7 million, respectively. Earnings per common unit were $11.98 for the year and $3.11 for the fourth quarter. With a fleet of 176 vessels averaging 9.8 years in age, Navios ended the year with contracted revenue of $3.6 billion and $312.1 million in cash. 63% of 2025 available days are fixed, estimating a breakeven of $425 per open index day. The company executed a $25 million unit repurchase program, reflecting a return of $1.80 per unit in value, and maintained $70.8 million for further repurchases. They also reported sales and acquisitions, including $18.8 million from vessel sales and $25.4 million from a new vessel acquisition. The net loan-to-value ratio stood at 34.8%, and the company paid $6.1 million in dividends for 2024.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.