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Marketaxess Holdings (MKTX)
NASDAQ:MKTX

Marketaxess Holdings (MKTX) AI Stock Analysis

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MKMarketaxess Holdings
(NASDAQ:MKTX)
73Outperform
Marketaxess Holdings demonstrates a strong financial position with robust revenue and cash flow growth, complemented by a positive outlook from the latest earnings call. However, the stock is currently under technical pressure, trading significantly below its moving averages, and the high P/E ratio suggests a premium valuation. The balance of strong financials and positive earnings sentiment against weak technical indicators and valuation results in a moderately positive overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Market Share
Market share showed an improvement month-over-month, suggesting some positive momentum.
Volume Growth
MKTX reported $15.0 billion total credit ADV for the month of October, up 19% year-over-year, with investment-grade volumes up 15% year-over-year.
Negative Factors
Credit Revenues
Credit variable revenues and rates variable revenues were 10% and 12% below MSe, respectively.
Earnings Expectations
Analysts lowered the first quarter 2025 earnings per share estimate by 18 cents due to fourth quarter results and January metrics.
Market Share Decline
US High Grade market share was down 260 basis points year-over-year to 19.5% in December, and US High Yield market share declined 350 basis points year-over-year to 14.7%.

Marketaxess Holdings (MKTX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Marketaxess Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarketAxess Holdings, Inc. operates as an electronic trading platform that allows investment industry professionals to trade corporate bonds and other types of fixed-income instruments. It also provides data and analytical tools that help its clients to make trading decisions and facilitate the trading process by electronically communicating order information between trading counterparties. The firm's patented trading technology allows institutional investor clients to request competitive, executable bids, or offers from multiple broker dealers simultaneously and to execute trades with the broker dealer of their choice. The company was founded by Richard M. Mcvey on April 11, 2000 and is headquartered in New York, NY.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarketAxess makes money primarily through transaction fees charged on trades executed via its electronic platform. These fees are generally a percentage of the notional value of the trade. The company also generates revenue from data services, offering market data products that provide valuable insights and analytics to clients. Moreover, MarketAxess benefits from subscription fees for access to its trading platform and additional tools. The company's earnings are bolstered by strategic partnerships with financial institutions and by expanding its service offerings to new markets and products, such as emerging market bonds and municipal bonds.

Marketaxess Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marketaxess Holdings showcases strong financial health with impressive revenue growth, solid profitability metrics, and effective cash flow management. The company's low leverage and strong capital structure provide stability, while the consistent generation of free cash flow enhances its capacity for future investments. Potential areas for improvement include maintaining EBIT growth and monitoring equity growth rates.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Marketaxess Holdings has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a significant increase from $511.35 million in 2019 to $817.10 million in 2024, indicating a robust upward trajectory. The gross profit margin is consistently high, maintaining above 60% in recent years, with a notable EBIT margin around 40% and improving EBITDA margins. The net profit margin remains stable, reflecting strong profitability, although the slight decline in EBIT from 2020 requires monitoring.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's financial leverage is low with a debt-to-equity ratio consistently below 0.1, indicating prudent financial management. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a solid capital structure with equity financing prevailing. While the return on equity (ROE) is consistently healthy, a slight decrease in equity growth could impact future gains.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Marketaxess Holdings exhibits a strong free cash flow growth, enhancing from $231.23 million in 2019 to $375.30 million in 2024, reinforcing financial flexibility. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting efficient cash conversion from earnings. However, cash flow from investing activities is negative, reflecting ongoing capital investments.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
817.10M752.55M718.30M698.95M689.13M
Gross Profit
566.53M482.92M536.20M528.03M532.24M
EBIT
340.87M315.02M326.88M337.24M374.73M
EBITDA
432.77M395.10M393.97M397.51M417.57M
Net Income Common Stockholders
274.18M258.06M250.22M257.89M299.38M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
649.25M550.96M430.75M506.74M460.86M
Total Assets
1.79B2.02B1.61B1.53B1.33B
Total Debt
72.65M79.68M82.68M88.42M93.61M
Net Debt
-471.82M-371.60M-348.07M-418.31M-367.25M
Total Liabilities
400.56M722.10M526.68M489.14M376.37M
Stockholders Equity
1.39B1.29B1.08B1.04B955.06M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
375.30M281.32M237.36M231.47M358.86M
Operating Cash Flow
385.24M333.77M289.23M282.09M404.49M
Investing Cash Flow
-86.94M-155.29M-86.27M-67.69M68.87M
Financing Cash Flow
-201.38M-147.06M-242.38M-189.78M-145.11M

Marketaxess Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price195.85
Price Trends
50DMA
211.02
Negative
100DMA
238.86
Negative
200DMA
231.91
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.24
Negative
RSI
41.96
Neutral
STOCH
71.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MKTX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 195.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 194.36, below the 50-day MA of 211.02, and below the 200-day MA of 231.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -5.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MKTX.

Marketaxess Holdings Risk Analysis

Marketaxess Holdings disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marketaxess Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marketaxess Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CMCME
82
Outperform
$90.80B26.0513.31%4.05%9.88%9.18%
79
Outperform
$22.13B29.3017.87%1.14%8.51%1.13%
ICICE
77
Outperform
$97.59B35.529.94%1.04%15.32%14.02%
75
Outperform
$47.14B42.509.98%1.19%21.96%-8.37%
73
Outperform
$7.46B27.1919.74%1.53%9.06%6.10%
FDFDS
73
Outperform
$16.91B31.8627.04%0.91%5.02%12.58%
64
Neutral
$14.34B10.619.28%4.07%18.04%-9.54%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MKTX
Marketaxess Holdings
195.85
-9.17
-4.47%
CBOE
Cboe Global Markets
212.37
27.01
14.57%
CME
CME Group
254.48
44.58
21.24%
FDS
Factset Research
445.42
-15.15
-3.29%
ICE
Intercontinental Exchange
171.61
33.88
24.60%
NDAQ
Nasdaq
78.80
21.72
38.05%

Marketaxess Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 6, 2025 | % Change Since: -0.73% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive outlook for MarketAxess with multiple records and growth in various segments, despite challenges in the U.S. high-grade market share and a decline in U.S. high yield activity.
Highlights
Record Revenue Growth
MarketAxess reported a 9% growth in revenue for 2024, marking the strongest annual revenue growth rate since 2020, with record commission revenue and record services revenue.
Portfolio Trading and High-Touch Strategy
Record levels of portfolio trading ADV were achieved in 2024, with significant market share gains in U.S. high-grade portfolio trading.
Expansion in Trading Volume
Record total PT ADV of over $900 million and record U.S. credit PT ADV of $800 million with record market share of 16% in portfolio trading.
Strong Growth in International Products
International product ADV reached a record $5 billion, up 17%, including record local markets ADV of over $1.4 billion, up 18%.
Technology Services Revenue Growth
Technology Services revenue increased by 41%, driven by higher Pragma-related license fees.
Lowlights
Disappointing U.S. High-Grade Market Share
Continued challenges and disappointing market share in the U.S. high-grade market, particularly noted in January.
Decline in U.S. High Yield
A 19% decline in U.S. high-yield activity was reported, attributed to lower levels of credit spread volatility.
Company Guidance
During the MarketAxess earnings call for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, several key metrics and strategic initiatives were highlighted. The company reported a 9% growth in revenue, with record commission and services revenue. Portfolio trading average daily volume (ADV) reached record levels, with notable increases in U.S. high-grade portfolio trading market share. The trading ADV in the rates business grew significantly, from $2.9 billion per day in Q1 to $11.4 billion in Q4 2024. The company also experienced a 175% increase in portfolio trading ADV in emerging markets compared to 2023. For 2025, MarketAxess expects mid-single-digit growth in total services revenue and projects total expenses to range between $505 million and $525 million. The effective tax rate is anticipated to be between 23.5% and 24.5%, with capital expenditures estimated at $65 million to $70 million. The company's focus for 2025 is on delivering and executing their high-touch block solution and enhancing their dealer solutions to drive market share growth.

Marketaxess Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
MarketAxess Holdings Expands Board with New Appointment
Positive
Jan 27, 2025

On January 23, 2025, MarketAxess Holdings Inc. elected Roberto Hoornweg to its Board of Directors, effective March 1, 2025. Mr. Hoornweg, who brings extensive expertise in global financial markets, will serve on the Board’s Risk and Finance Committees. His appointment is expected to enhance the company’s strategic focus on expanding across global markets, leveraging his substantial knowledge in fixed-income sectors.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.