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Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings (LVLU)
NASDAQ:LVLU
US Market

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings (LVLU) AI Stock Analysis

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Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings

(NASDAQ:LVLU)

41Neutral
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings faces significant financial and operational risks, reflected in its low financial performance score and bearish technical indicators. Despite efforts to control costs and improve certain product categories, ongoing revenue declines and profitability challenges weigh heavily on the stock's outlook. The company's valuation is also unattractive due to its negative earnings. While guidance suggests possible improvement, substantial risks remain.

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings (LVLU) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings (LVLU) is a leading online retailer specializing in young women's fashion. The company offers a wide range of apparel, shoes, accessories, and dresses, catering to contemporary fashion trends. Lulu's is known for its stylish and affordable products, targeting fashion-conscious consumers seeking trendy and versatile options.
How the Company Makes MoneyLulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings generates revenue primarily through its e-commerce platform by selling fashion products directly to consumers. The company's key revenue streams include online sales of clothing, footwear, and accessories. Lulu's utilizes a direct-to-consumer model, which allows it to maintain competitive pricing and a broad selection of fashion-forward merchandise. Significant partnerships with fashion influencers and strategic marketing initiatives also contribute to driving sales and expanding brand reach. Additionally, the company leverages data analytics to optimize inventory and personalize customer experiences, further enhancing its revenue potential.

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings is facing financial difficulties across income, balance sheet, and cash flow statements. The company has negative margins and high debt levels, contributing to financial instability. Cash flow issues further exacerbate the situation, emphasizing the need for strategic financial management to improve liquidity and reduce leverage.
Income Statement
40
Negative
The income statement reveals a challenging financial performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data shows a negative EBIT margin of -7.8% and a net profit margin of -9.4%, indicating unprofitability. Revenue has decreased compared to the previous year, with a revenue growth rate of -8.6%. These trends suggest significant profitability issues, although the gross profit margin remains relatively stable at 41.4%.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a strained financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is high at 0.87, indicating substantial leverage. The equity ratio is 28.5%, which reflects a moderate level of equity financing. The return on equity is negative due to the net loss, highlighting profitability challenges. Overall, financial stability is a concern due to high leverage and low equity.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow metrics indicate operational struggles. The free cash flow has turned negative in the TTM, with a free cash flow growth rate of -134.4%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, both pointing to cash generation issues. Liquidity is a concern due to negative cash flows.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Mar 2023Mar 2022Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
324.70M355.18M439.65M375.63M248.66M369.62M
Gross Profit
134.52M148.23M191.45M176.73M110.29M161.20M
EBIT
-25.26M-20.21M8.74M22.34M-4.67M14.94M
EBITDA
-18.89M-14.46M16.27M23.93M-1.32M18.22M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-30.64M-19.33M3.73M2.04M-19.30M-469.00K
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
40.93M2.51M10.22M11.40M15.55M5.86M
Total Assets
145.25M149.44M167.20M113.78M105.08M110.52M
Total Debt
103.39M39.08M58.50M25.00M115.56M110.78M
Net Debt
62.47M36.57M48.28M13.60M100.01M104.92M
Total Liabilities
165.19M88.49M102.31M69.25M140.63M151.76M
Stockholders Equity
-19.94M60.95M64.89M44.52M-35.55M-41.24M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-3.95M11.49M1.19M23.93M2.88M7.83M
Operating Cash Flow
-546.00K15.42M6.20M26.90M4.86M11.87M
Investing Cash Flow
-3.41M-4.00M-5.12M-3.39M-1.91M-4.04M
Financing Cash Flow
-2.60M-19.13M-2.77M-27.65M6.75M-9.72M

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.39
Price Trends
50DMA
0.70
Negative
100DMA
0.96
Negative
200DMA
1.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Negative
RSI
26.63
Positive
STOCH
5.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LVLU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.49, below the 50-day MA of 0.70, and below the 200-day MA of 1.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 26.63 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LVLU.

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Risk Analysis

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$4.75B12.0617.56%7.71%40.01%
ANANF
74
Outperform
$3.86B7.1547.77%15.60%71.45%
BKBKE
70
Outperform
$1.93B9.7646.71%3.69%-3.44%-11.74%
ASASO
69
Neutral
$3.09B8.0421.14%0.95%-3.67%-14.66%
JWJWN
66
Neutral
$4.08B14.0529.58%3.11%2.20%120.00%
59
Neutral
$12.26B11.12-0.55%3.78%1.42%-20.63%
41
Neutral
$16.62M-148.78%-11.06%-175.45%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LVLU
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings
0.39
-1.10
-73.83%
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
76.57
-55.27
-41.92%
BKE
Buckle
37.98
0.94
2.54%
JWN
Nordstrom
24.46
4.95
25.37%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
51.48
6.60
14.71%
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors
46.07
-20.15
-30.43%

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -7.14% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Despite strong performance in special occasion categories and successful brand campaigns, the call highlighted significant challenges, including revenue declines, profitability issues, and a substantial net loss due to goodwill impairment. Cost reduction measures have been effective, but challenges in separates and shoe categories continue to weigh on performance.
Highlights
Positive Growth in Special Occasion Categories
Special occasion and bridesmaid categories delivered positive mid-teens year-over-year net sales growth. First-time reorders of new products increased by 24% compared to last year's Q4.
Inventory and Return Rate Improvements
Inventory reduced by 4% year-over-year with return rates improving by 150 basis points for the second consecutive quarter.
Successful Brand Campaigns and Collaborations
Brand campaigns and collaborations increased social engagement by 33% quarter-over-quarter. Wholesale revenue grew 76% year-over-year in Q4.
Cost Reductions and Operating Efficiency
Achieved a 19% reduction in operating expenses in the second half of 2024 compared to the first half, exceeding expectations. Gross profit decline was offset by cost savings.
Lowlights
Decline in Net Revenue
Q4 net revenue was down 12% year-over-year. Full-year net revenue decreased by 11% compared to 2023.
Gross Margin and Profitability Challenges
Gross margin declined by 120 basis points in Q4. Adjusted EBITDA loss was $3.3 million in Q4 2024 compared to a $2 million loss in Q4 2023.
Net Loss and Goodwill Impairment
Q4 net loss of $31.9 million due to a $28.4 million noncash goodwill impairment charge. Excluding the impairment, adjusted net loss was $3.5 million.
Challenges in Separates and Shoe Categories
Separates and shoe categories drove the majority of year-over-year net sales declines. Gross margin impacted by higher markdown sales.
Company Guidance
During Lulu's Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance for fiscal year 2025, anticipating net revenue to be between $280 million and $310 million, reflecting a decrease of 11% to 2% compared to 2024. The company expects an inflection to positive adjusted EBITDA, projected to be between $0 and $6 million, representing an increase of $9.7 million to $15.7 million from 2024. Lulu's aims to achieve a net debt position between $3 million and $4 million by the end of Q1 2025, down from $8.6 million at the end of Q4 2024. The company plans to remain operating cash flow positive for 2025, including in Q1, with capital expenditures expected to range from $2.5 million to $3 million, marking a 13% decrease or flat compared to the previous year. These projections assume stable demand and improvements in product assortment and brand initiatives, though the company remains cautious about macroeconomic pressures and potential tariff impacts.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.