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LifeMD (LFMD)
NASDAQ:LFMD
US Market

LifeMD (LFMD) AI Stock Analysis

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LifeMD

(NASDAQ:LFMD)

62Neutral
LifeMD's stock score is buoyed by strong revenue growth and a positive earnings call outlook for 2025, especially in the telehealth sector. However, persistent net losses, negative equity, and valuation concerns limit the overall score. While the technical indicators are mixed, the company's strategic initiatives and financial guidance provide a cautiously optimistic view for the future.
Positive Factors
Earnings and Financial Performance
LifeMD exits 2024 on a high note with 4Q24 revenues of $64 mln (+43% y-o-y) vs. Street's $58 mln and our $59 mln view, and EBITDA of $9 mln that was also above Street/Mizuho $7 mln forecast.
Product and Market Expansion
LifeMD's comprehensive care platform and new product offerings are anticipated to enhance its market position.
Strategic Initiatives
Management reiterated high growth expectations over the next few years from newer programs ex-weight management, such as women's health and a new mail-order pharmacy.
Negative Factors
Cost and Insurance Challenges
Management believes another major challenge for LFMD is patient affordability for the high price of branded GLP-1 drugs when insurance does not cover it.
Financial Risks
Investors are questioning the sustainability of revenue streams for LifeMD and other companies selling compounded forms of tirzepatide.
Regulatory Challenges
The FDA's intention to take tirzepatide off the drug shortage list implies that compounding would no longer be allowed, posing a risk to LifeMD's revenue.

LifeMD (LFMD) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

LifeMD Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLifeMD, Inc. operates as a direct-to-patient telehealth company that connects consumers to healthcare professionals for care across various indications, including concierge care, men's sexual health, dermatology, and others in the United States. The company provides ShapiroMD, a telehealth platform brand that offers access to virtual medical treatment, prescription medications, patented-doctor formulated OTC products, and an FDA approved medical device for male and female hair loss, and female specific topical compounded medications for hair loss; RexMD, a men's telehealth brand that offers virtual medical treatment from licensed providers for a variety of men's health needs; LifeMD Primary Care, a personalized subscription-based virtual primary care platform that provides patients with primary care, urgent care, and chronic care needs, as well as .offers a mobile first platform that incorporates virtual consultations and treatment, prescription medications, diagnostics, and imaging; Cleared, a telehealth brand that provides personalized treatments for allergy, asthma, and immunology; and Nava MD, a female-oriented tele-dermatology and skincare brand that offers virtual medical treatment from dermatologists and other providers. It also offers PDFSimpli, an online software-as-a-service platform that allows users to create, edit, convert, sign, and share PDF documents. LifeMD sells its products directly to consumers and through e-commerce platforms, as well as through third party partner channels. The company was formerly known as Conversion Labs, Inc. and changed its name to LifeMD, Inc. in February 2021. LifeMD, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyLifeMD generates revenue primarily through its telehealth platform by offering subscription-based healthcare services. Patients pay for virtual consultations, which can include follow-up appointments and ongoing treatment plans, thereby creating a recurring revenue stream. Additionally, LifeMD earns money through the sale of prescription medications and personalized treatment products that are prescribed during consultations. The company may also have partnerships with healthcare providers or pharmaceutical companies, enhancing its service offerings and contributing to its revenue. Furthermore, LifeMD's business model may include ancillary services like lab testing and wellness products, broadening its revenue base.

LifeMD Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LifeMD exhibits strong revenue growth, but persistent net losses and negative equity pose significant financial challenges. The high gross profit margin is promising, but operational inefficiencies and financial instability require attention. Cash flow improvements are a positive sign, yet consistency in positive cash generation is crucial for sustainability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company's revenue has shown strong growth, increasing from $12.47M in 2019 to $184.97M in TTM 2024, indicating a robust upward trajectory. However, profitability remains a challenge with consistent net losses, reflected in a negative net profit margin. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational inefficiencies. Gross profit margin is high, suggesting strong pricing power or cost management at the gross level.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet displays a significant negative stockholders' equity of $-5.49M in TTM 2024, raising concerns about financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, indicating potential leverage issues. Total assets have grown, but high liabilities overshadow the company's equity position, posing a risk. The equity ratio is negative, reflecting financial distress.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The company has improved its operating cash flow to $17.51M in TTM 2024 from previous years, showing better cash management. Free cash flow has also improved significantly, although still modest relative to revenue. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating effective cash conversion despite net losses. However, historical volatility in cash flows suggests potential risks.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
212.45M152.55M119.03M92.88M37.29M
Gross Profit
242.40M133.65M100.37M74.88M28.39M
EBIT
-16.14M-14.49M-39.69M-54.30M-57.82M
EBITDA
-6.65M-8.21M-39.61M-53.95M-57.48M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-18.88M-20.60M-45.02M-61.32M-60.52M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
35.00T33.15M3.96M41.33M9.18M
Total Assets
72.46T58.48M25.67M49.92M13.05M
Total Debt
15.22T18.93M4.13M1.85M1.06M
Net Debt
-19.79T-14.21M168.52K-39.48M-8.11M
Total Liabilities
76.51T52.91M32.97M24.10M13.88M
Stockholders Equity
-5.49T3.51M-6.83M26.85M1.35M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
17.51M86.95K-35.83M-36.49M-12.53M
Operating Cash Flow
17.51M8.82M-22.94M-33.09M-12.13M
Investing Cash Flow
-11.54M-8.73M-13.91M-3.40M-798.14K
Financing Cash Flow
-4.12M29.10M-528.20K68.64M21.00M

LifeMD Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.60
Price Trends
50DMA
5.76
Negative
100DMA
5.65
Negative
200DMA
5.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
48.74
Neutral
STOCH
60.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LFMD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.43, below the 50-day MA of 5.76, and below the 200-day MA of 5.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LFMD.

LifeMD Risk Analysis

LifeMD disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LifeMD reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LifeMD Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$12.40B61.3721.24%17.47%49.87%
71
Outperform
$7.09B59.6930.71%69.33%
62
Neutral
$267.50M301.60%39.27%23.49%
49
Neutral
$6.86B0.72-52.93%2.49%20.83%1.11%
45
Neutral
$1.49B-52.46%-1.26%-338.56%
45
Neutral
$1.89B-14.75%-32.45%80.24%
43
Neutral
$123.32M-54.13%-1.81%70.88%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LFMD
LifeMD
5.60
-4.60
-45.10%
TDOC
Teladoc
8.56
-6.29
-42.36%
HIMS
Hims & Hers Health
31.92
16.26
103.83%
AMWL
American Well
8.09
-7.34
-47.57%
CLOV
Clover Health Investments
3.70
2.93
380.52%
DOCS
Doximity
60.55
34.14
129.27%

LifeMD Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 10, 2025 | % Change Since: 31.15% | Next Earnings Date: May 9, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in telehealth revenue and successful product launches, contributing to optimistic financial guidance for 2025. However, challenges such as declining gross margins and uncertainties in the compounded GLP-1 medication market were noted.
Highlights
Significant Telehealth Revenue Growth
Telehealth revenue grew by 60% year-over-year for the fourth quarter, with standalone adjusted EBITDA growing nearly fivefold.
Successful Product Launches
Key product launches included male hormone replacement therapy, a nationwide pharmacy licensed in 47 states, and expanded medical infrastructure.
Strong Performance in Rex MD
Rex MD produces over $80 million in annualized revenue, with expected growth of 15% to 20% in 2025.
Expansion of Medicare Offerings
LifeMD plans to launch fee-for-service Medicare offerings, targeting 24.5 million Medicare beneficiaries.
Increased Insurance Coverage for GLP-1 Medications
18 percentage point increase in approval rate for Zepbound, with prior authorization approval rates approaching 60%.
Strong Financial Guidance for 2025
Guidance for 2025 consolidated revenue of $265 million to $275 million, with telehealth revenue of $205 million to $213 million.
Lowlights
Challenges with Gross Margin
Gross margin for the fourth quarter was 85.3%, a decline of 280 basis points, due to changes in revenue mix and one-time impacts.
Uncertain Future for Compounded GLP-1 Medications
Concerns about FDA crackdowns on compounding pharmacies, with potential impacts on access to affordable GLP-1 medications.
Non-GLP Weight Loss Treatment Options
Non-GLP-1 weight loss treatments remain a small part of the business, with limited traction.
WorkSimpli Performance Stabilization
WorkSimpli's performance stabilized, but growth remained modest with only a 3% increase in active subscribers.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, LifeMD, Inc. provided an optimistic outlook for 2025 following a strong performance in 2024. The company's revenue guidance for 2025 is set at $265 million to $275 million, with telehealth revenue projected between $205 million and $213 million, marking significant growth from 2024's consolidated revenue of $212.5 million. The telehealth segment is expected to see adjusted EBITDA grow to approximately $20 million. The company highlighted a robust increase in telehealth revenue, which grew 60% for the quarter, and an impressive fivefold rise in telehealth adjusted EBITDA. LifeMD also emphasized the expansion of its insurance coverage, aiming to have approximately 150 million lives under coverage by the end of 2025. Additionally, the company is focusing on strategic initiatives, such as the launch of a hormone replacement therapy on the Rex MD platform and the introduction of LifeMD plus membership, which is expected to enhance patient experience and improve compliance. The company's continued investment in insurance infrastructure and pharmacy capabilities is anticipated to drive long-term growth and profitability.

LifeMD Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
LifeMD Sets New CEO Compensation Strategy
Neutral
Dec 31, 2024

LifeMD announced that its Chairman and CEO, Justin Schreiber, has entered into a Second Amendment to his Employment Agreement, which sets his new annual base salary at $500,000, effective January 1, 2025. This amendment reflects a significant financial commitment by the company towards its leadership, potentially impacting its overall compensation strategy and stakeholder perception.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.