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Hims & Hers Health (HIMS)
NYSE:HIMS

Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) AI Stock Analysis

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Hims & Hers Health

(NYSE:HIMS)

71Outperform
Hims & Hers Health exhibits strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and profitability improvements. However, the technical indicators suggest caution with a bearish trend in the market. The valuation appears stretched with a high P/E ratio, and the earnings call indicated both growth and some operational risks. These factors lead to a moderately positive overall score.
Positive Factors
Market Momentum
The Hims & Hers platform is seeing strong momentum, with app downloads up 47% y/y and web traffic up 18% y/y.
Product Expansion
Hims is broadening its weight loss offering to include Lilly's branded tirzepatide and generic liraglutide.
Negative Factors
Margin Pressure
Continuing to 'invest in price' highlights the competitive nature of HIMS' offering, which will ultimately weigh on margins.
Pricing Challenges
The high cost of branded GLP-1 offerings on the website will be prohibitive, making retention challenging given the higher price point of the branded alternatives.
Regulatory Risks
The 'combo medications' in the core could potentially garner regulatory scrutiny as they fall into a regulatory gray area.

Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Hims & Hers Health Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHims & Hers Health, Inc. operates a multi-specialty telehealth platform that connects consumers to licensed healthcare professionals. The company offers a range of health and wellness products and services available to purchase on its websites and mobile application directly by customers. It also provides prescription medication on a recurring basis and ongoing care from healthcare providers; and over-the-counter drug and device products, cosmetics, and supplement products, primarily focusing on wellness, sexual health and wellness, skincare, and hair care. The company's curated non-prescription products include vitamin C, melatonin, biotin, and collagen protein supplements in the wellness category; moisturizer, serums, and face wash in the skincare category; condoms, climax delay spray and wipes, vibrators, and lubricants in the sexual health and wellness category; and shampoos, conditioners, scalp scrubs, and topical treatments, such as minoxidil in the hair care category. In addition, it offers medical consultation services, as well as health and wellness products through wholesale partners. The company is based in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyHims & Hers Health generates revenue primarily through the sale of healthcare products and services via a direct-to-consumer model. The company's key revenue streams include subscription fees for ongoing access to healthcare consultations and prescription medications. Customers can purchase one-time or subscription-based products, which often include a healthcare professional's consultation. Additionally, Hims & Hers collaborates with pharmacies and healthcare providers to fulfill prescriptions and manage logistics, which also contributes to its earnings. The company's focus on affordable, accessible healthcare solutions and its ability to leverage digital platforms play significant roles in its revenue generation.

Hims & Hers Health Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hims & Hers Health demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, improved profitability, and efficient cash flow management. Low leverage and a high equity ratio contribute to a stable balance sheet. Prospective investors should be aware of the rapid expansion and ensure continued focus on sustainable growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Hims & Hers Health has shown strong revenue growth with a Revenue Growth Rate of 69.3% from 2023 to 2024. The Gross Profit Margin is impressive at 79.5%, indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin improved significantly to 8.5% from a negative figure, reflecting enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also turned positive, signaling operational improvements.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's financial position is solid with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.02, indicating low leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) is strong at 26.4%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The Equity Ratio stands at 67.3%, suggesting a stable capital structure. However, the rapid increase in total assets and equity might pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Operating cash flow is robust, showing a healthy Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.99. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is also favorable at 1.66, indicating good cash generation relative to profits. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is remarkable at 345.9%, reflecting substantial improvements in cash management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.48B872.00M526.92M271.88M148.76M
Gross Profit
1.17B714.95M408.72M204.49M109.45M
EBIT
61.90M-29.45M-68.70M-115.04M-15.14M
EBITDA
61.90M-19.94M-61.22M-110.97M-14.09M
Net Income Common Stockholders
126.04M-23.55M-65.68M-107.66M-18.11M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
300.25M220.98M179.63M247.27M100.21M
Total Assets
707.54M441.19M366.34M420.58M118.70M
Total Debt
11.35M9.95M5.31M5.48M0.00
Net Debt
-209.24M-86.72M-41.47M-66.30M-27.34M
Total Liabilities
230.82M97.16M54.60M85.97M265.57M
Stockholders Equity
476.72M344.03M311.74M334.62M-146.87M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
209.43M46.99M-33.78M-39.42M-6.71M
Operating Cash Flow
251.08M73.48M-26.53M-34.41M-2.48M
Investing Cash Flow
-19.05M-12.11M34.70M-156.27M-39.70M
Financing Cash Flow
-107.84M-11.47M-33.13M235.04M47.74M

Hims & Hers Health Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price27.23
Price Trends
50DMA
38.62
Negative
100DMA
33.71
Negative
200DMA
26.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.73
Negative
RSI
43.37
Neutral
STOCH
40.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HIMS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 27.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.67, below the 50-day MA of 38.62, and above the 200-day MA of 26.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HIMS.

Hims & Hers Health Risk Analysis

Hims & Hers Health disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hims & Hers Health reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hims & Hers Health Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (48)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$3.41B20.7422.76%2.87%10.22%7.55%
71
Outperform
$6.05B50.9230.71%69.33%
ELELF
67
Neutral
$3.02B31.8814.24%46.27%-26.45%
EPEPC
63
Neutral
$1.44B16.306.02%2.01%-1.24%-10.95%
NUNUS
57
Neutral
$307.82M-19.90%3.85%-12.04%-1796.38%
57
Neutral
$4.53B40.120.33%1.35%-99.94%
48
Neutral
$6.46B1.17-47.75%2.67%19.50%0.61%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HIMS
Hims & Hers Health
28.31
15.09
114.15%
IPAR
Inter Parfums
105.93
-15.91
-13.06%
NUS
Nu Skin
6.09
-5.60
-47.90%
COTY
Coty
5.19
-5.31
-50.57%
EPC
Edgewell Personal Care
30.05
-4.84
-13.87%
ELF
e.l.f. Beauty
53.46
-109.94
-67.28%

Hims & Hers Health Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 24, 2025 | % Change Since: -46.93% | Next Earnings Date: May 5, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue and subscriber growth, along with strategic acquisitions and innovations in personalized treatment offerings. However, challenges such as declining gross margins, potential regulatory issues, and transitions in product offerings present notable risks. Overall, the positives in growth and strategic direction are tempered by these operational and regulatory concerns.
Highlights
Record Revenue Growth
Revenue was $481 million for Q4 and $1.5 billion for the 2024 fiscal year, representing year-over-year growth of 95% for Q4 and 69% for the fiscal year.
Subscriber Growth
Total subscribers increased 45% to over 2.2 million in Q4, with over 55% subscribing to at least one personalized solution.
Expansion of Personalized Treatments
Unique form factors and personalized dosages are unlocking growth, with subscribers in men's and women's dermatology growing over 55% and 100% year-over-year, respectively.
First Full Year of GAAP Profitability
Net income was $26 million in Q4 and $126 million for the full year, marking the company's first full year of GAAP profitability.
Strong Cash Flow
The company generated nearly $60 million of free cash flow in Q4, totaling nearly $200 million for the year.
Innovative Acquisitions
Acquired whole body lab testing facilities and a peptide facility to enhance personalization and innovation in health care services.
Lowlights
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margins declined approximately two points quarter-over-quarter due to strategic pricing actions and the scaling of the GLP-1 offering.
Potential Regulatory Challenges
Concerns were raised about the regulatory framework for compounding GLP-1 medications, which may affect future offerings.
Pressure on Margins
Some pressure on gross and adjusted EBITDA margins is anticipated in the first quarter due to strategic pricing actions and investments.
Transition from Commercial Semaglutide
The transition away from commercially available semaglutide doses could impact the weight loss specialty's growth.
Company Guidance
During the Hims & Hers Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance highlighting significant growth metrics and future projections. Revenue for the fourth quarter reached $481 million, with a substantial year-over-year growth of 95%, culminating in $1.5 billion for the fiscal year, representing a 69% increase from the previous year. The company anticipates revenue for 2025 to range between $2.3 billion to $2.4 billion, indicating a further increase of 56% to 63%. Adjusted EBITDA for 2025 is expected to be between $270 million and $320 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin projected at 13%. The company reported a 45% increase in total subscribers, totaling over 2.2 million by the end of the year. Non-GLP-1 offerings contributed $1.2 billion, reflecting a 43% increase, and the weight loss platform alone is expected to generate at least $725 million in 2025. Hims & Hers plans to continue investing in expanding their diagnostic capabilities and technology infrastructure to enhance customer personalization and engagement, aiming for a long-term revenue retention rate above 85% and targeting margins of at least 20% by 2030.

Hims & Hers Health Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Hims & Hers Health Expands Board with New Appointment
Neutral
Nov 21, 2024

Hims & Hers Health, Inc. has expanded its board of directors, appointing Deb Autor as the tenth member. She will serve until the 2025 annual meeting and is deemed independent under NYSE standards. Autor will also provide consulting services for a year, earning a $100,000 fee. Her appointment includes joining the Risk Committee alongside other notable directors.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.