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Leafly Holdings, Inc. (LFLY)
OTHER OTC:LFLY
US Market

Leafly Holdings, Inc. (LFLY) AI Stock Analysis

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Leafly Holdings, Inc.

(OTC:LFLY)

38Underperform
Leafly Holdings, Inc. faces considerable financial and operational challenges, with negative equity and ongoing cash flow issues. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and valuation metrics do not offer a compelling case for investment. The recent corporate events involving potential delisting add further risk, contributing to a low overall stock score.

Leafly Holdings, Inc. (LFLY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Leafly Holdings, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLeafly Holdings, Inc. owns and operates a platform to provide consumers with cannabis information and connects consumers to cannabis brands and licensed retailers. It offers subscription-based marketplace listings, digital advertising solutions, and software as a service-based tools to cannabis retailers and brands; and information, reviews, menus, and ordering and delivery options to its audience through its website and mobile applications. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyLeafly Holdings, Inc. primarily makes money through advertising and subscription services. The company generates revenue by offering advertising solutions to cannabis brands and businesses, allowing them to reach Leafly's extensive user base through banner ads, featured placements, and sponsored content. Additionally, Leafly offers subscription services to dispensaries and cannabis product companies, providing them with enhanced business listings, analytics, and marketing tools to engage with potential customers and track performance. These key revenue streams are bolstered by strategic partnerships with cannabis industry stakeholders and continued growth in user engagement on their platform.

Leafly Holdings, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Leafly Holdings, Inc. faces significant financial challenges with declining revenue, operational inefficiencies, high leverage, and negative equity. Cash flow has shown some improvement, yet overall financial health remains concerning. Strategic measures are needed to stabilize operations and improve financial performance.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Leafly Holdings, Inc. shows declining revenue with a negative revenue growth rate in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margin remains high, indicating efficient production, but negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight ongoing operational inefficiencies. Net profit margin is also negative, reflecting overall losses.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company has a negative stockholders' equity, indicating financial instability. High debt levels result in a negative equity ratio. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, suggesting potential solvency risks.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow showed improvement in the TTM period, but free cash flow is still negative. Both operating and free cash flow to net income ratios are not meaningful due to negative net income, indicating cash flow challenges.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
35.87M42.25M47.36M43.04M36.39M30.07M
Gross Profit
31.98M37.45M41.50M38.05M31.43M26.16M
EBIT
-2.82M-7.05M-28.00M-10.63M-9.30M-31.99M
EBITDA
-1.44M-5.73M8.33M-10.19M-661.22K-31.62M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-5.26M-9.50M38.15M-13.32M-10.57M-32.11M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
367.78K15.29M24.59M28.57M4.82M5.74M
Total Assets
131.27M21.84M32.71M36.15M9.46M10.77M
Total Debt
0.0029.09M28.86M31.38M183.00K6.52M
Net Debt
-367.78K13.79M4.27M2.81M-4.63M781.00K
Total Liabilities
217.31K34.29M39.12M44.73M7.39M15.95M
Stockholders Equity
5.00M-12.46M-6.41M-8.57M2.07M-5.19M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-665.00K-9.95M-30.56M-6.93M-9.80M-29.54M
Operating Cash Flow
718.00K-8.60M-28.09M-6.85M-9.79M-28.77M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.38M-1.32M-2.47M-87.00K15.00K-1.22M
Financing Cash Flow
-242.00K262.00K27.07M30.70M8.86M34.76M

Leafly Holdings, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.20
Price Trends
50DMA
0.27
Negative
100DMA
0.89
Negative
200DMA
1.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
42.06
Neutral
STOCH
20.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LFLY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.23, below the 50-day MA of 0.27, and below the 200-day MA of 1.48, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LFLY.

Leafly Holdings, Inc. Risk Analysis

Leafly Holdings, Inc. disclosed 90 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Leafly Holdings, Inc. reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Leafly Holdings, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
59
Neutral
$373.08M-8.00%-2.89%47.06%
49
Neutral
$6.85B0.81-52.91%2.50%19.94%1.20%
44
Neutral
$621.38M-7.28%18.38%86.59%
38
Underperform
$600.28K36.31%-19.61%71.00%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LFLY
Leafly Holdings, Inc.
0.20
-3.04
-93.83%
CGC
Canopy Growth
0.98
-6.55
-86.99%
ACB
Aurora Cannabis
4.43
0.12
2.78%
CRON
Cronos Group
1.79
-0.85
-32.20%
TLRY
Tilray
0.66
-1.77
-72.84%
SNDL
SNDL
1.45
-0.52
-26.40%

Leafly Holdings, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 26, 2025 | % Change Since: -9.09% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While Leafly achieved a positive adjusted EBITDA and made strategic expansions, significant revenue declines, retail account reductions, and ongoing payment delinquencies present notable challenges. The positive aspects are countered by financial and operational hurdles.
Highlights
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Leafly reported a positive adjusted EBITDA of $483,000 for Q2, reflecting continued focus on profitability despite muted revenue performance.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross margin improved to 89% in Q2 compared to 88% in the same quarter last year.
Ohio Recreational Program Launch
Leafly sees strong momentum with the early launch of Ohio's recreational cannabis program, with projected annual sales reaching $2.8 billion by 2030.
Expansion with Uber Eats in Alberta
Leafly expanded its partnership with Uber Eats in Alberta, Canada, enabling legal cannabis delivery directly to consumers' homes.
Lowlights
Revenue Decline
Leafly reported a Q2 revenue of $8.7 million, down 18.3% year-over-year and 3.6% sequentially.
Retail Account Reduction
The number of retail accounts decreased to 3,595, a decline of 245 accounts compared to the previous quarter, with significant declines in Florida, California, and Oklahoma.
Brand Revenue Drop
Brand revenue was $1.4 million, down 25% year-over-year, although it increased from $1.2 million in Q1.
Payment Delinquencies
Payment delinquencies accounted for nearly 40% of the monthly recurring revenue lost in the quarter, reflecting broader industry capital challenges.
Company Guidance
During the Leafly Q2 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the third quarter, projecting revenue of around $8.4 million and an adjusted EBITDA loss of less than $1 million. For Q2, Leafly reported revenue of $8.7 million, a net loss of $1.3 million, and a positive adjusted EBITDA of $483,000, surpassing guidance. The company highlighted a 6.4% reduction in retail accounts, ending the quarter with 3,595 accounts, and noted that payment delinquencies accounted for nearly 40% of the monthly recurring revenue lost. Despite a 25% year-over-year decline in brand revenue to $1.4 million, there was an observed increase from Q1, attributed to seasonal spending around the 420 holiday. Leafly also reported improvements in gross margin, which stood at 89%, and a decrease in operating expenses, down 17.5% year-over-year. The company continues to focus on operational efficiency and stabilizing revenues while expressing optimism about ongoing projects and market opportunities in regions like Ohio and Washington, D.C.

Leafly Holdings, Inc. Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Leafly Holdings Faces Delisting and Note Agreement Changes
Negative
Jan 16, 2025

On January 15, 2025, Leafly Holdings, Inc. announced an amendment to their Note Purchase Agreement, extending the maturity date of their 8.00% Convertible Senior Notes to July 1, 2025, and introducing additional financial covenants. Concurrently, the company was notified by Nasdaq of its impending delisting due to non-compliance with listing standards, resulting in a shift of its trading to the OTC Pink Open Market. This transition is expected to create a less liquid market for Leafly’s securities, potentially impacting trading prices, although it will not affect the company’s business operations.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.