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Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. (LCTX)
:LCTX

Lineage Therap (LCTX) AI Stock Analysis

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Lineage Therap

(NYSE MKT:LCTX)

45Neutral
Lineage Therapeutics faces significant challenges in financial performance due to persistent losses and negative cash flows, which are the primary factors impacting the stock's score. While technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, recent corporate events and advancements in key programs offer some optimism. Valuation remains weak, reflecting the company's financial difficulties, though the earnings call suggests potential avenues for future growth. Overall, the stock scores below average, highlighting the need for improvements in profitability and operational efficiency.
Positive Factors
Clinical Trials
The start of the Phase 2 DOSED study brings OPC1 back into the clinic, aiming to improve on positive prior clinical effects in spinal cord injury patients.
Partnerships
Roche entered a service agreement with Lineage to further support the OpRegen program.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
The company's 12-month price target has been lowered due to dilution from recent financing activities.

Lineage Therap (LCTX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Lineage Therap Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing new cellular therapies for degenerative retinal diseases, neurological conditions associated with demyelination, and aiding the body in detecting and combating cancer. The company's programs are based on two core proprietary technology platforms: cell replacement and cell and drug delivery. Its cell replacement platform creates new cells and tissues with its pluripotent and progenitor cell technologies. The company's cell and drug delivery programs are based upon its proprietary HyStem cell and drug delivery matrix technology. It engages in the research and development of regenerative medicine or therapeutic products for advancement in the field of oncology, orthopedics, retinal and neurological diseases and disorders, blood and vascular system diseases and disorders, blood plasma volume expansion, diagnostic products for the early detection of cancer and hydrogel products that may be used in surgery and products for human embryonic stem cell research. The company was founded by Judith Segall, Hal Sternberg, Paul E. Segall and Harold D. Waitz on November 30, 1990 and is headquartered in Alameda, CA.
How the Company Makes MoneyLineage Cell Therapeutics makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its cell therapy products. The company generates revenue from licensing agreements, collaborations, and research grants related to its proprietary technology and intellectual property. Revenue streams also include milestone payments and potential royalties from partnerships with pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. These collaborations can help advance Lineage's therapeutic programs while providing financial support. The company may also seek funding through public and private investments to support its ongoing research and development efforts.

Lineage Therap Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lineage Therap is on a path of revenue growth and maintains a strong balance sheet with low debt levels. However, persistent net losses and negative cash flows highlight significant challenges in achieving profitability and generating cash from operations. The company needs to focus on cost management and improving operational efficiency to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Lineage Therap shows signs of improvement in revenue with a growth rate of 6.19% from 2023 to 2024. However, profitability remains a challenge as evidenced by the negative EBIT and Net Income, despite a high gross profit margin of 96.48%. This indicates high operating expenses are eroding potential profits.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company maintains a strong equity base with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.03, indicating low leverage. However, the Return on Equity is negative due to persistent net losses, which raises concerns about the efficiency of equity utilization. The equity ratio of 68.00% shows a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow remains negative, indicating challenges in generating cash from core operations. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is unfavorable at 1.24, suggesting cash outflows exceed net income losses, partly due to substantial financing inflows in recent years.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
9.50M8.95M14.70M3.90M773.00K
Gross Profit
9.16M8.27M13.97M2.47M388.00K
EBIT
-21.48M-24.73M-22.52M-49.21M-26.45M
EBITDA
-21.48M-24.04M-21.79M-48.34M-24.41M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-18.61M-21.49M-26.35M-38.56M-20.68M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
47.80M35.49M57.88M58.36M41.56M
Total Assets
113.22M101.02M123.66M174.54M107.95M
Total Debt
2.51M2.95M3.90M2.80M3.30M
Net Debt
-43.27M-32.49M-7.46M-52.94M-29.28M
Total Liabilities
36.21M39.00M51.73M83.65M12.82M
Stockholders Equity
77.01M63.42M73.34M92.22M96.20M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-23.09M-29.24M646.00K-23.91M-19.82M
Operating Cash Flow
-23.09M-28.57M1.06M-23.56M-19.75M
Investing Cash Flow
-2.31M46.45M-46.16M9.74M13.04M
Financing Cash Flow
35.86M6.42M1.63M36.93M29.86M

Lineage Therap Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.52
Price Trends
50DMA
0.60
Negative
100DMA
0.65
Negative
200DMA
0.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
36.65
Neutral
STOCH
23.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LCTX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.59, below the 50-day MA of 0.60, and below the 200-day MA of 0.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LCTX.

Lineage Therap Risk Analysis

Lineage Therap disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lineage Therap reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lineage Therap Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
49
Neutral
$6.86B0.03-54.79%2.48%24.62%-2.84%
46
Neutral
$1.66B-21.26%
45
Neutral
$118.75M-26.25%6.19%22.05%
44
Neutral
$23.46M-221.25%-59.08%18.99%
42
Neutral
$36.53M-270.20%144.50%-141.91%
42
Neutral
$107.89M-54.21%-78.55%-0.92%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LCTX
Lineage Therap
0.52
-0.65
-55.56%
MESO
Mesoblast
13.55
11.24
486.58%
BLUE
Bluebird Bio
3.75
-25.05
-86.98%
FATE
Fate Therapeutics
0.94
-6.10
-86.65%
SRNE
Sorrento Therapeutics
0.01
0.00
0.00%
CARA
Cara Therapeutics
5.13
-5.76
-52.89%

Lineage Therap Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 10, 2025 | % Change Since: -1.89% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive advancements in the OpRegen program and manufacturing capabilities, alongside financial challenges and ongoing development hurdles in the OPC1 program. The progress in partnerships and potential additional funding weigh positively, but the financial losses and program challenges balance the sentiment.
Highlights
OpRegen Program Progress
The OpRegen program, a cell transplant for dry AMD, is progressing well with the GAlette Study managed by partners Roche and Genentech. The study has been enrolling for nearly two years, and recent actions by Roche indicate a positive direction. Additionally, a three-year clinical update from the Phase 1/2a trial shows that the benefits have persisted.
Manufacturing Advancements
Lineage has been investing in scalable cell therapy manufacturing, aiming to deliver millions of doses. This effort has generated new intellectual property and achieved specific milestones, differentiating Lineage's capabilities in the cell therapy field.
Financial Strength and Strategy
Lineage reported cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities of $47.8 million as of December 31, 2024, with an extended runway into Q1 2027. The company's financing strategy includes a milestone warrant that could access an additional $36 million, contingent on clinical success.
Lowlights
Revenue and Operating Losses
Total revenues for the year were $5.9 million, a decrease from the previous year. Despite the progress, the company reported a net loss attributable to Lineage of $18.6 million for the year, although this is an improvement from the previous year's loss.
OPC1 Program Challenges
While the OPC1 program for spinal cord injury is progressing, there are necessary improvements to delivery methods and manufacturing processes before moving into a larger trial. The company is also waiting on grant applications for further funding.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter and full year 2024 conference call for Lineage Cell Therapeutics, CEO Brian Culley provided updates on the company's key programs and financial outlook. The focus was on OpRegen, their leading candidate for dry AMD with geographic atrophy, which is in a Phase 2a study called the GAlette Study. Culley noted the study's progress and highlighted Roche and Genentech's ongoing commitment, including obtaining RMAT designation and continuing site openings. He also discussed the scalability of their GMP manufacturing process, emphasizing its importance for allogeneic cell therapies, and mentioned the OPC1 program for spinal cord injuries, which is undergoing enhancements in delivery and manufacturing processes. CFO Jill Howe reported a cash position of $47.8 million as of December 31, 2024, with a financial runway into Q1 2027, and discussed the potential for $36 million in additional funding linked to OpRegen clinical milestones. For the fourth quarter, Lineage reported total revenues of $2.9 million, operating expenses of $7.8 million, and a net loss of $3.3 million or $0.02 per share.

Lineage Therap Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Lineage Therap Secures $66M Funding Through Direct Offering
Positive
Jan 27, 2025

Lineage Cell Therapeutics announced the closing of the second tranche of its registered direct offering on January 27, 2025, following shareholder approval. The company has received $30 million in gross proceeds so far, with the potential for an additional $36 million from clinical milestone-linked warrants. The funds will be used for working capital, general corporate purposes, research, and development.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.