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Laureate Education Inc (LAUR)
NASDAQ:LAUR

Laureate Education (LAUR) AI Stock Analysis

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Laureate Education

(NASDAQ:LAUR)

74Outperform
Laureate Education's strong financial performance, robust technical indicators, and positive earnings call outlook collectively contribute to a favorable stock assessment. Key strengths include profitability growth and strategic initiatives, while challenges like cash flow and currency headwinds need monitoring.
Positive Factors
Growth Potential
LAUR is well poised for future growth and has an attractive financial model and capital allocation methodology.
Market Position
Management noted LAUR has the #1 brand in Peru and the #2 brand in Mexico within the private sector.
Negative Factors
Foreign Exchange Impact
Revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance negatively impacted by 700bps of f/x headwind due to the volatility in Mexico.

Laureate Education (LAUR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Laureate Education Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLaureate Education, Inc. is a leading provider of higher education in Latin America, offering undergraduate and graduate degree programs primarily in the fields of business, engineering, health sciences, law, and education. The company operates a network of higher education institutions across Mexico and Peru, focusing on delivering high-quality, accessible, and affordable education to students.
How the Company Makes MoneyLaureate Education generates revenue primarily through tuition and fees collected from students enrolled in its degree programs. The company operates on a semester or quarterly academic calendar, and tuition varies by program, institution, and geographic location. In addition to tuition, Laureate may earn revenue from other educational services, such as continuing education courses, certifications, and language programs. Strategic partnerships with employers and government entities can also contribute to its earnings by facilitating student enrollment through sponsored programs or financial aid arrangements. The company's focus on operational efficiency and scalability in its institutions helps maintain profitability while expanding access to education in its target markets.

Laureate Education Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Laureate Education demonstrates strong profitability with increasing revenue and healthy profit margins. The balance sheet is stable, reflecting manageable leverage and effective use of equity. Cash flow management shows potential for improvement, particularly in free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
76
Positive
Laureate Education shows a strong growth trajectory with a significant increase in revenue from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin is healthy, and the net profit margin has improved notably, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust, indicating efficient operational management. However, the revenue growth rate, while positive, suggests the need for sustained growth to maintain competitive advantage.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity is strong, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is satisfactory, suggesting a balanced capital structure. Though liabilities have decreased, further reduction could enhance financial stability.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating good cash generation from operations. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative, reflecting challenges in maintaining cash reserves. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting efficient cash management despite the decrease in free cash flow.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.57B1.48B1.24B1.09B1.02B
Gross Profit
419.72M394.51M334.90M272.20M222.40M
EBIT
374.00M338.82M270.00M70.50M22.50M
EBITDA
537.80M378.30M350.80M54.02M-126.23M
Net Income Common Stockholders
296.47M107.59M69.57M-283.10M-320.70M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
91.35M89.39M85.20M324.80M750.10M
Total Assets
1.86B2.13B1.97B2.21B4.97B
Total Debt
427.41M582.70M648.00M569.00M1.51B
Net Debt
336.06M493.31M562.80M244.20M764.70M
Total Liabilities
903.52M1.18B1.20B1.07B2.71B
Stockholders Equity
959.55M950.07M774.40M1.14B2.26B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
160.85M194.34M125.40M-206.20M184.90M
Operating Cash Flow
232.73M250.78M178.20M-155.80M259.50M
Investing Cash Flow
-57.50M-51.92M30.30M2.04B587.50M
Financing Cash Flow
-166.90M-201.89M-461.60M-2.68B-272.70M

Laureate Education Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price18.74
Price Trends
50DMA
19.16
Negative
100DMA
18.53
Positive
200DMA
16.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
38.79
Neutral
STOCH
15.05
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LAUR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 18.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.73, below the 50-day MA of 19.16, and above the 200-day MA of 16.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.05 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LAUR.

Laureate Education Risk Analysis

Laureate Education disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Laureate Education reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Laureate Education Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$3.49B17.4614.63%12.83%97.16%
LRLRN
75
Outperform
$5.21B19.9922.95%13.13%56.75%
74
Outperform
$2.88B9.8330.98%5.55%185.01%
70
Outperform
$4.83B21.7230.13%7.50%13.70%
68
Neutral
$1.96B17.656.80%2.91%7.68%61.28%
67
Neutral
$414.80M42.395.41%4.00%
63
Neutral
$20.77B13.59-10.67%7.41%1.48%9.07%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LAUR
Laureate Education
18.74
5.09
37.29%
APEI
American Public Education
21.83
9.03
70.55%
ATGE
Adtalem Global Education
95.27
45.28
90.58%
LOPE
Grand Canyon Education
168.57
35.60
26.77%
LRN
Stride
120.03
58.11
93.85%
STRA
Strategic Education
79.91
-20.32
-20.27%

Laureate Education Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 20, 2025 | % Change Since: -6.86% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial and operational performance, including record-high margins, robust enrollment growth, and significant academic recognition. However, challenges such as foreign currency translation impacts and economic headwinds in Peru were noted. The company's strong position and strategic initiatives indicate a positive outlook despite these challenges.
Highlights
Record High Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Achieved a new historic high adjusted EBITDA margin of 28.7% for 2024, with organic constant currency growth of 7% in revenue and 9% in adjusted EBITDA.
Strong Enrollment Growth
Both new and total enrollments increased by 5% for the year 2024, with notable growth in fully online programs.
Recognition for Academic Excellence
All universities in Mexico and Peru achieved a five-star rating from QSR, with UPC in Peru ranked as the number one education brand for the fourth consecutive year.
Expansion in Health Sciences
Opened six new medical schools, two dental schools, and one veterinary school in 2024, enhancing the health sciences portfolio.
Capital Returns to Shareholders
Returned over $100 million of capital to shareholders in 2024 and maintained a net debt-free position, with a strong balance sheet.
Lowlights
Foreign Currency Translation Headwinds
Anticipated significant foreign currency translation headwinds in 2025 due to volatility in the Mexican peso, impacting reported revenue.
Challenges in Peru
Adjusted EBITDA in Peru decreased by 1% for 2024 due to higher bad debt and economic challenges from a prior recession.
One-time Revenue Loss in Mexico
Expected a one-time revenue loss of $13 million in 2025 due to campus consolidation initiatives.
Company Guidance
During the call, Laureate Education provided guidance for the fiscal year 2025, highlighting anticipated growth and financial metrics. The company expects total enrollments to range between 489,000 and 495,000 students, reflecting a 4% to 5% increase from 2024. Revenue is projected to be between $1.545 billion and $1.570 billion, indicating a flat to slightly down performance on an as-reported basis but a 6% to 7% growth on an organic constant currency basis. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to range from $467 million to $477 million, representing a 4% to 6% increase on an as-reported basis and 11% to 13% in constant currency terms. Notably, adjusted EBITDA margins are anticipated to improve by approximately 150 basis points, driven by revenue growth, campus consolidations in Mexico, and reduced corporate expenses. Despite geopolitical uncertainties in Mexico, the company remains cautiously optimistic, projecting strong local currency revenue growth and margin expansion efforts, while also forecasting an adjusted EBITDA to unlevered free cash flow conversion of about 50%.

Laureate Education Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Laureate Education Reports 2024 Financial Results
Positive
Feb 20, 2025

On February 20, 2025, Laureate Education reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full-year 2024, highlighting a 3% revenue increase in Q4 and a 6% annual increase. The company saw significant growth in net income driven by changes in foreign exchange rates and higher operating income. Looking ahead to 2025, Laureate anticipates continued growth opportunities despite potential foreign currency translation challenges due to the weakening Mexican Peso.

Executive/Board Changes
Laureate Education Amends CEO Compensation Agreement
Neutral
Dec 13, 2024

Laureate Education, Inc. has amended its employment agreement with CEO Eilif Serck-Hanssen, establishing a $1,000,000 annual base salary and a 130% target bonus of the salary, starting January 1, 2025. Additionally, the agreement includes a $5,000,000 equity grant with specific vesting conditions and a long-term incentive equity grant equating to 350% of base salary annually, reinforcing the company’s commitment to its leadership and potentially impacting its operational stability and executive retention.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.