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Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. (KYTX)
NASDAQ:KYTX
US Market

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. (KYTX) AI Stock Analysis

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Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc.

(NASDAQ:KYTX)

44Neutral
Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. faces considerable financial and operational challenges, reflected in its low financial performance score. Technical indicators show bearish trends, further impacting the stock's outlook. Although recent earnings call guidance and corporate events provide strategic growth opportunities, they are overshadowed by financial instability and leadership transitions. The overall score reflects these risks, alongside some potential for future improvement through strategic initiatives.
Positive Factors
Clinical Trials
The company anticipates completing enrollment in the ongoing, potentially pivotal KYSA-8 study of KYV-101 in SPS with topline data expected, indicating progress in their clinical trials.
Financial Stability
Cash on hand is expected to fund operations into 2027 with approximately $322 million as of September 30, 2024.
Safety and Efficacy
The company has observed no cases of severe cytokine release syndrome or immune effector cell-associated neurotoxicity syndrome in over 50 patients dosed with KYV-101 to date.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Kyverna reported a net loss of $0.80 per share in 3Q24, which is higher than the prior estimate of a net loss of $0.68 per share.
Leadership Changes
James Chung, the company's CMO, will resign from his position to pursue other opportunities.
Research and Development Costs
R&D and SG&A expenses were higher than expected, with $29.2M and $9.6M, respectively, compared to estimates of $27.5M and $6.2M.

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. (KYTX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKyverna Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing cell therapies for patients suffering from autoimmune diseases. Its lead product candidate is KYV-101, an autologous CD19 CAR T-cell product candidate for the treatment of patients with lupus nephritis and systemic sclerosis that is in Phase I clinical trial; and for myasthenia gravis and multiple sclerosis that is in Phase II clinical trial. The company is also developing KYV-201, an allogeneic CD19 CAR T-cell product candidate that is in preclinical stage to treat multiple autoimmune diseases. In addition, it is developing product candidates to treat other autoimmune diseases, such as inflammatory bowel disease that includes Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis. Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. has a license and collaboration agreement with Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. to research and develop an allogeneic CD19-directed CAR cell therapy product; and with Kite to research and develop programs for the treatment, diagnosis, and prevention of autoimmune, inflammatory, and allogeneic stem cell transplant inflammatory diseases. The company was formerly known as BAIT Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. in October 2019. Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyKyverna Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its proprietary therapies for autoimmune diseases. The company engages in research and development activities to advance its therapeutic candidates through clinical trials, which can lead to licensing agreements and partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies for further development and distribution. These collaborations often include milestone payments and royalties on sales. Additionally, Kyverna may secure funding through grants and equity investment to support its ongoing research initiatives and operational expenses.

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and persistent losses impacting profitability and operational efficiency. The balance sheet shows some improvement in equity but remains burdened by a high equity ratio. Cash flows are strained, with operations heavily reliant on external financing to maintain liquidity. The company needs to address revenue generation and cost management to improve financial health.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. has shown a significant decline in revenue, with zero revenue reported in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period. The gross profit margin is negative, indicating costs exceed any revenue. Net income is consistently negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, pointing to operational inefficiencies and high operating costs relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company has improved its equity position, now positive compared to previous years. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, reflecting manageable debt levels relative to equity. However, the equity ratio remains high, suggesting limited liability coverage by equity. Overall, the balance sheet shows improved equity but still faces challenges in asset management.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Operating cash flow is negative, indicating cash outflows exceed inflows from operations. Free cash flow is also negative, with no signs of growth. The strong financing cash flow suggests reliance on external funding to cover operational and investment needs. This raises concerns about sustainability and reliance on financing.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.007.03M5.66M
Gross Profit
-1.47M-1.71M5.97M5.07M
EBIT
-122.94M-62.41M-29.38M-26.35M
EBITDA
-108.46M-58.47M-27.78M-25.76M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-110.66M-60.37M-28.89M-26.35M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
51.32M57.54M51.32M76.07M
Total Assets
66.92M75.19M66.92M85.49M
Total Debt
10.56M9.08M10.56M5.55M
Net Debt
-27.17M-25.57M-27.17M-70.51M
Total Liabilities
140.92M26.02M140.92M131.74M
Stockholders Equity
-74.00M49.18M-74.00M-46.25M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-97.76M-53.03M-36.88M-23.44M
Operating Cash Flow
-95.75M-52.41M-36.11M-22.16M
Investing Cash Flow
-158.44M-8.79M-14.10M-1.29M
Financing Cash Flow
335.89M58.12M11.88M72.52M

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.36
Price Trends
50DMA
2.88
Negative
100DMA
3.69
Negative
200DMA
5.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Negative
RSI
38.77
Neutral
STOCH
42.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KYTX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.50, below the 50-day MA of 2.88, and below the 200-day MA of 5.53, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KYTX.

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Risk Analysis

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
55
Neutral
$4.09B-18.78-4.70%5.70%27.38%-68.17%
46
Neutral
$56.31M-273.36%194.23%45.50%
46
Neutral
$3.26B-19.20%-89.95%-123.71%
44
Neutral
$101.67M-36.55%
42
Neutral
$36.92M-270.20%144.50%-141.91%
42
Neutral
$101.03M-54.21%-78.55%-0.92%
41
Neutral
$338.93M-55.13%-86.25%36.10%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KYTX
Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc.
2.36
-20.16
-89.52%
BLUE
Bluebird Bio
3.79
-21.01
-84.72%
FATE
Fate Therapeutics
0.88
-6.20
-87.57%
ADAP
Adaptimmune Therapeutics
0.22
-1.25
-85.03%
CRSP
Crispr Therapeutics AG
38.04
-30.14
-44.21%
ALLO
Allogene Therapeutics
1.56
-2.82
-64.38%

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 27, 2025 | % Change Since: 0.00% | Next Earnings Date: May 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed significant advancements in Chimera's immunology pipeline, particularly with the initiation of KT61 and advancement of KT474. However, the deprioritization of the oncology program and extended timelines for KT474 indicate strategic shifts that could pose challenges. The financial stability and focus on promising immunology assets contribute to an overall positive outlook.
Highlights
Phase One Study of KT61 Initiated
Chimera Therapeutics has started the phase one study of KT61, a first-in-class oral STAT6 degrader. This marks the first STAT6 medicine to enter clinical development, with potential to transform treatment paradigms for diseases like atopic dermatitis, asthma, and COPD.
KT474 Program Advances to Phase Two B
The KT474, an IRAK4 degrader, is transitioning to fully powered phase two B studies with partner Sanofi, aiming for a faster path to phase three registration.
Introduction of KT295 as Lead Candidate
KT295, a new TIC2 clinical candidate, has shown greater in vivo activity compared to KT294, with potential to match human TIC2 loss-of-function mutations.
Strong Financial Position
Chimera Therapeutics raised approximately $600 million in 2024, providing a cash runway into mid-2027, supporting their expanding pipeline.
Lowlights
Oncology Program Deprioritized
Chimera has decided to advance only KT333 and KT253 beyond phase one with a partner, reallocating resources towards the immunology pipeline.
Extended Timeline for KT474 Phase Two Trials
Due to expanded studies, the KT474 program's completion dates have moved to the first half of 2026 and mid-2026, delaying Phase 2 data readout.
Company Guidance
During the Chimera Therapeutics Q3 2024 earnings call, significant guidance was provided, highlighting several key metrics and strategic directions. The company has initiated a Phase 1 study of KT61, an oral STAT6 degrader, with expectations to complete the Healthy Volunteer Study in the first half of 2025. The program aims to address diseases with TH2 inflammation, affecting over 150 million patients across the US, Europe, and Japan. Additionally, Chimera has advanced its KT474 program, transitioning it to expanded Phase 2B studies, supported by partner Sanofi, and is preparing KT295, a new lead candidate in their TIC2 program, for Phase 1 trials in 2025. Financially, Chimera raised approximately $600 million in 2024, boasting a cash runway into mid-2027, and reported $3.7 million in revenue for the quarter, attributed to their Sanofi collaboration. The company is strategically reallocating resources to prioritize their growing immunology pipeline, with plans to share further guidance on clinical developments next year.

Kyverna Therapeutics, Inc. Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kyverna Therapeutics Sets 2025 Strategic Priorities for Growth
Positive
Jan 13, 2025

Kyverna Therapeutics announces its strategic priorities for 2025, highlighting its focus on advancing the KYV-101 CD19 CAR T-cell therapy through late-stage development and commercialization for autoimmune diseases. The company aims to achieve a first-to-market position with KYV-101 for stiff person syndrome, with a BLA filing targeted for 2026, while also expanding its pipeline with KYV-102 to enhance CAR T accessibility. The company is focusing on capital-efficient growth and has a cash runway into 2027 to support its strategic goals.

Executive/Board Changes
Kyverna CMO Resignation Highlights Leadership Transition Impact
Negative
Nov 26, 2024

Kyverna Therapeutics announced that its Chief Medical Officer, Dr. James Chung, will resign effective November 22, 2024. The company has agreed to a severance package including $220,000 and continued healthcare coverage under COBRA, provided Dr. Chung does not revoke his release of claims against the company. This move highlights important considerations for investors regarding company leadership transitions and their potential financial implications.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kyverna Therapeutics Advances in Cell Therapy Leadership
Neutral
Nov 13, 2024

Kyverna Therapeutics has announced significant progress in its clinical-stage biopharmaceutical efforts, focusing on cell therapies for autoimmune diseases. With Warner Biddle as the new CEO, the company is advancing its lead candidate, KYV-101, aimed at treating conditions like myasthenia gravis and lupus nephritis. Despite reporting a quarterly net loss, Kyverna maintains a strong financial position with over $321 million in cash and securities, positioning itself for future growth and innovation in the cell therapy space.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.