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Coca-Cola (KO)
NYSE:KO

Coca-Cola (KO) AI Stock Analysis

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KOCoca-Cola
(NYSE:KO)
78Outperform
Coca-Cola demonstrates strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, particularly in North America and innovation successes. However, challenges such as declining cash flow, high valuation, and macroeconomic headwinds persist. The new COO appointment signals strategic growth focus.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
Coca-Cola's strong pricing power and impressive revenue growth management capabilities were highlighted by a robust 14% organic revenue growth, surpassing expectations.
Market Expansion
The company's management highlighted opportunities for growth in relatively untapped Developing & Emerging markets, positioning the company for sustainable long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Foreign Exchange Impact
Mounting foreign exchange headwinds are a key area of concern, impacting the reported FY25 dollar earnings per share growth.

Coca-Cola (KO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Coca-Cola Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Coca-Cola Company is a global beverage leader headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. It operates in the non-alcoholic beverage sector, offering a vast portfolio of sparkling soft drinks, water, sports drinks, juice, dairy, and plant-based beverages. Its flagship product, Coca-Cola, is one of the world's most recognized brands. The company operates in more than 200 countries, providing a diverse range of beverage products to meet varying consumer preferences and regional tastes.
How the Company Makes MoneyCoca-Cola makes money primarily through the production, distribution, and sale of non-alcoholic beverages. The company's revenue model is built on a combination of direct sales of finished products to retailers and sales of concentrates and syrups to authorized bottling partners who manufacture, package, and distribute the final products. Key revenue streams include the sale of branded sparkling drinks like Coca-Cola, Diet Coke, and Sprite, as well as still beverages such as water, tea, and juices. Coca-Cola benefits from strategic partnerships with bottling companies, which help expand its global reach and distribution capabilities. The company also generates income through licensing agreements and brand merchandising. Important factors contributing to its earnings include global brand recognition, extensive distribution networks, and a broad product portfolio catering to diverse consumer needs.

Coca-Cola Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Coca-Cola displays strong revenue growth and profitability, with a healthy balance sheet and positive cash flow. The key strengths include high net profit margins and ROE, indicating effective management and competitive positioning. However, declining EBIT margins and cash flow generation could pose challenges if not addressed. The company's leverage is within industry norms, but it should be monitored closely in the context of potential macroeconomic shifts.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Coca-Cola has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 2.86% increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin stands at 61.05%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the decline in EBIT margin from 24.72% in 2023 to 21.23% in 2024 reflects increased operating expenses or reduced pricing power. Net profit margin remains robust at 22.59%, showcasing profitability. Overall, the income statement reflects strong growth and profitability, but with some pressure on operating margins.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.79, suggesting moderate leverage, which is typical for the industry. Return on equity (ROE) is healthy at 42.76%, indicating efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio is 24.72%, showing a stable capital structure. While the company maintains a solid balance sheet, a relatively high debt level could pose risks in a rising interest rate environment.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
There is a significant decline in operating cash flow from 2023 to 2024, but the company still generates positive free cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.45, indicating a good level of cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative, reflecting cash flow pressures. Overall, the cash flow remains positive, but with signs of decreasing cash generation, which requires attention.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
37.80B47.06B45.75B43.00B38.66B33.01B
Gross Profit
22.95B28.74B27.23B25.00B23.30B19.58B
EBIT
10.97B9.99B11.31B10.91B10.31B9.00B
EBITDA
14.15B15.82B15.62B13.81B14.54B12.66B
Net Income Common Stockholders
8.81B10.63B10.71B9.54B9.77B7.75B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
12.85B12.85B13.66B11.63B12.63B10.91B
Total Assets
100.55B100.55B97.70B92.76B94.35B87.30B
Total Debt
44.52B44.52B42.06B39.15B42.76B42.79B
Net Debt
33.69B33.69B32.70B29.63B33.08B36.00B
Total Liabilities
74.18B74.18B70.22B66.94B69.49B66.01B
Stockholders Equity
24.86B24.86B25.94B24.11B23.00B19.30B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
11.71B4.74B9.75B9.53B11.26B8.67B
Operating Cash Flow
12.86B6.80B11.60B11.02B12.63B9.84B
Investing Cash Flow
7.51B2.52B-3.35B-763.00M-2.77B-1.48B
Financing Cash Flow
-20.63B-6.91B-8.31B-10.25B-6.79B-8.07B

Coca-Cola Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price70.19
Price Trends
50DMA
64.77
Positive
100DMA
64.83
Positive
200DMA
65.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.04
Negative
RSI
60.52
Neutral
STOCH
68.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 70.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.51, above the 50-day MA of 64.77, and above the 200-day MA of 65.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KO.

Coca-Cola Risk Analysis

Coca-Cola disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Coca-Cola reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Coca-Cola Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
KOKO
78
Outperform
$301.89B28.5242.77%2.68%1.96%-0.45%
76
Outperform
$53.15B37.1825.33%4.94%-4.13%
KDKDP
76
Outperform
$46.31B32.415.94%2.61%3.62%-32.23%
74
Outperform
$6.09B58.5411.85%2.85%-43.53%
70
Outperform
$3.77B20.2831.59%0.73%12.96%
PEPEP
69
Neutral
$211.47B22.1853.09%3.42%0.42%5.77%
63
Neutral
$20.85B13.27-10.88%7.48%1.13%11.50%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KO
Coca-Cola
70.19
12.41
21.48%
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper
33.60
5.17
18.19%
MNST
Monster Beverage
54.82
-3.49
-5.99%
FIZZ
National Beverage
40.22
-7.51
-15.73%
PEP
PepsiCo
154.19
-4.96
-3.12%
CELH
Celsius Holdings
25.90
-61.59
-70.40%

Coca-Cola Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 11, 2025 | % Change Since: 8.74% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with EPS and revenue growth, driven by innovation and digital expansion. However, challenges remain in certain regions with volume declines and macroeconomic pressures. Currency headwinds and inflationary pressures are ongoing concerns.
Highlights
Strong EPS Growth
Achieved a 7% comparable earnings per share growth in 2024 despite nearly double-digit currency headwinds.
Robust Organic Revenue Growth
Fourth quarter organic revenue grew 14%, with unit case growth at 2% and price/mix growth at 9%.
North America Growth
Significant growth in North America with robust top line and profit growth, driven by Trademark Coca-Cola and fairlife.
Success in Innovation
Fuze Tea grew retail value 3x faster than the category, Topo Chico continued its momentum, and Minute Maid Zero Sugar realized strong growth.
Digital Expansion
Added approximately 440,000 outlets to digital customer platforms in India, enhancing tailored offerings.
Lowlights
Volume Decline in Europe and Africa
Volume declined in Europe and Africa during the quarter, with pressure in North Africa and Nigeria.
Challenges in Emerging Markets
Continued macro headwinds in China and the Middle East, with mixed performance in Western and Eastern European markets.
Currency Headwinds
Significant 11% currency headwinds impacted EPS growth and are expected to continue into 2025.
Inflationary Pressures
Intense inflationary pricing in certain markets, expected to moderate but still a concern moving into 2025.
Company Guidance
In the Coca-Cola Company's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Results Conference Call, the company reported a 7% growth in comparable earnings per share, despite facing nearly double-digit currency headwinds and bottler refranchising impacts. The call highlighted a robust 14% organic revenue growth in the fourth quarter, with unit case growth at 2% and concentrate sales up by 3 points. Price/mix growth was 9%, driven by normal pricing actions and inflationary pricing. The company achieved a comparable gross margin increase of approximately 160 basis points and a comparable operating margin increase of 80 basis points. Looking forward, Coca-Cola expects to maintain its momentum, targeting a 5-6% organic revenue growth in 2025 while navigating a dynamic external environment. The company anticipates currency headwinds of 3-4 points for comparable net revenues and 6-7 points for comparable earnings per share in 2025, with a projected underlying effective tax rate of 20.8%.

Coca-Cola Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Coca-Cola Appoints Henrique Braun as COO
Positive
Dec 11, 2024

The Coca-Cola Company announced the appointment of Henrique Braun as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, effective January 1, 2025. Braun will oversee all operating units worldwide, reporting to Chairman and CEO James Quincey. His extensive experience across various regions and functions within the company positions him as a strategic leader to drive Coca-Cola’s growth and operational success. Braun’s leadership is expected to enhance the company’s total beverage strategy and deliver growth globally.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.