KAYAC, Inc. (3904) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3904 Dividends

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KAYAC, Inc.

(3904)

61Neutral

KAYAC, Inc. has a moderate overall stock score of 61. The company's financial performance shows strengths in equity growth and manageable debt levels, but recent declines in revenue and profitability pose challenges. Technically, the stock is in a bearish trend, and valuation metrics suggest it might be overvalued. The absence of positive earnings call data and significant corporate events leaves the focus on improving operational efficiency and cash flow management as key priorities for future performance.

KAYAC, Inc. (3904) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Market Cap

¥6.67B

Dividend Yield0.94%

Average Volume (3M)33.99K

Price to Earnings (P/E)44.9

Beta (1Y)0.49

Revenue Growth-4.23%

EPS Growth-71.09%

CountryJP

Employees612

SectorCommunication Services

Sector Strength82

IndustryElectronic Gaming & Multimedia

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)9.25

Shares Outstanding16,108,800

10 Day Avg. Volume55,420

30 Day Avg. Volume33,986

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG RatioN/A

Price to Book (P/B)N/A

Price to Sales (P/S)N/A

Price to Cash Flow (P/CF)N/A

P/FCF RatioN/A

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price TargetN/A

Price Target UpsideN/A

Rating ConsensusN/A

Number of Analyst Covering0

KAYAC, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKAYAC Inc. is a Japanese company operating primarily in the internet services sector, with a focus on web and mobile applications, gaming, and creative digital content. The company is known for its innovative approach to entertainment and technology, providing engaging user experiences through its diverse portfolio of digital products and services.

How the Company Makes MoneyKAYAC Inc. generates revenue through a multi-faceted business model that includes mobile gaming, advertising, and digital content creation. A significant portion of its income comes from the development and distribution of mobile games, which monetize through in-app purchases and advertisements. Additionally, KAYAC leverages its creative expertise to offer digital marketing and content creation services to businesses, earning revenue from client projects and partnerships. The company's earnings are further bolstered by collaborations with other technology and entertainment firms, contributing to a diversified revenue stream.

KAYAC, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

KAYAC, Inc. demonstrates a mixed financial performance. Strong revenue growth in earlier years contrasts with recent declines in revenue and net income. Operational efficiency has decreased as shown by weaker EBIT and EBITDA margins, and cash flow issues have emerged with negative operating and free cash flows in 2024. The balance sheet remains robust with strong equity growth and manageable debt levels.

Income Statement

Positive

KAYAC, Inc. has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the past few years, with a notable increase from 2019 to 2023. However, recent figures for 2024 indicate a decline in total revenue. Gross profit margin remains healthy, though net profit margin has decreased significantly in the most recent year due to a sharp drop in net income. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also weakened, reflecting reduced operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

Positive

The company's balance sheet shows strong equity growth, with stockholders' equity increasing steadily. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable, indicating a balanced leverage. However, the rise in total debt in 2024 suggests potential future risks. The equity ratio remains robust, reflecting a strong asset base relative to liabilities.

Cash Flow

Neutral

Cash flow analysis reveals a concerning trend with negative operating and free cash flows in 2024, contrasting with previous positive figures. The free cash flow to net income ratio has turned negative, indicating a need for better cash management. Despite this, past years have shown strong free cash flow generation and satisfactory operating cash flow to net income ratios.

Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Breakdown
Income Statement		Total Revenue
16.73B	17.47B	16.50B	12.57B	8.75B
	Gross Profit
9.03B	9.23B	7.92B	5.93B	3.96B
	EBIT
358.02M	1.02B	1.21B	1.14B	744.58M
	EBITDA
706.00M	1.30B	1.51B	1.59B	923.32M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
149.00M	511.18M	779.84M	828.84M	505.21M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.79B	5.00B	4.13B	2.46B	2.51B
	Total Assets
12.88B	11.68B	10.97B	7.84B	7.02B
	Total Debt
3.27B	2.12B	2.34B	2.29B	2.77B
	Net Debt
-1.53B	-2.88B	-1.79B	-163.70M	258.25M
	Total Liabilities
6.85B	5.75B	5.63B	4.25B	4.39B
	Stockholders Equity
5.56B	5.46B	4.87B	3.31B	2.48B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
-440.24M	974.02M	1.42B	352.09M	1.21B
	Operating Cash Flow
-219.66M	1.12B	1.77B	489.66M	1.30B
	Investing Cash Flow
-953.00M	-354.22M	-909.26M	13.41M	223.83M
	Financing Cash Flow
930.46M	-35.63M	931.60M	-572.15M	-263.61M

KAYAC, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Neutral

Last Price415.00

Price Trends

50DMA

430.54

Negative

100DMA

447.11

Negative

200DMA

496.29

Negative

Market Momentum

MACD

-5.33

Negative

RSI

48.55

Neutral

STOCH

37.67

Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3904, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 415 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 410.70, below the 50-day MA of 430.54, and below the 200-day MA of 496.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -5.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3904.

KAYAC, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (59)

Financial Indicators

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
3765	76 Outperform	$159.75B	16.14	8.51%	2.27%	-17.33%	-28.64%
2121	72 Outperform	$211.63B	16.84	7.28%	3.01%	3.22%	69.90%
3904	61 Neutral	¥6.67B	44.85		0.94%	-4.23%	-71.09%
Sector *	59 Neutral	$13.73B	6.72	-2.47%	3.83%	2.30%	-35.22%
4755	46 Neutral	$1.74T	―	-18.23%	―	10.04%	57.36%
4316	42 Neutral	¥1.26B	24.17		―	7.89%	-300.06%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

JP:3904

KAYAC, Inc.

414.00

-284.90

-40.76%

JP:4316

BeMap, Inc.

359.00

-61.00

-14.52%

JP:4755

Rakuten

805.00

67.20

9.11%

JP:3765

Gungho Online Entertainment

2,948.50

645.93

28.05%

JP:2121

Mixi

3,110.00

789.09

34.00%

Glossary

OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.

NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.

UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.