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Rakuten Inc (JP:4755)
:4755

Rakuten (4755) AI Stock Analysis

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Rakuten

(OTC:4755)

46Neutral
Rakuten's financial performance is characterized by strong revenue growth and improving cash flow, yet it struggles with profitability and high leverage. Technical indicators signal bearish trends, and the valuation metrics, particularly the negative P/E ratio, highlight significant challenges. These factors combine to yield a stock score of 46, indicating moderate risk with potential for improvement if profitability and debt management improve.

Rakuten (4755) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Rakuten Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRakuten, Inc. is a global leader in internet services, headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Established in 1997, the company operates across various sectors including e-commerce, fintech, digital content, and communications. Rakuten's core services include its flagship e-commerce platform, Rakuten Ichiba, as well as Rakuten Viber, Rakuten TV, and a suite of financial services such as credit cards, banking, and insurance. The company's diverse portfolio is designed to empower individuals and businesses through innovative digital solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyRakuten generates revenue through a multifaceted business model that includes e-commerce transactions, financial services, and digital content. Its e-commerce platform, Rakuten Ichiba, charges merchants fees for listing products and takes a commission on sales. In the fintech sector, Rakuten earns money from interest on loans, transaction fees from its credit card services, and financial product sales. The company also monetizes its digital content services through subscriptions and advertisements. Additionally, Rakuten's telecommunications arm, which includes mobile and internet services, contributes to its revenue through customer subscriptions and usage fees. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with other businesses further enhance Rakuten's earnings by expanding its market reach and service offerings.

Rakuten Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rakuten exhibits robust revenue growth and improving cash flow metrics, contributing to a positive outlook. However, persistent net losses and high leverage present significant risks. The company needs to continue focusing on improving profitability and managing debt levels to enhance financial stability and shareholder value.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Rakuten has shown consistent revenue growth, with a 10.03% increase from 2023 to 2024. However, the company has been struggling with profitability, reflected in its net profit margin remaining negative over the years, at -7.13% in 2024. The EBIT margin improved to 2.32% in 2024 from negative values in previous years, indicating a positive trend, but the net losses are a concern.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
Rakuten's balance sheet indicates high leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.89 in 2024, posing potential risks. Stockholders' equity shows an improvement, and the equity ratio stands at 3.50% in 2024, which is still low, indicating reliance on debt for financing. However, the company's asset base has been growing steadily.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a positive trend in free cash flow, with a substantial growth rate of 153.96% from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable, indicating improved liquidity.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.28T2.07T1.93T1.68T1.46T
Gross Profit
316.29B790.31B609.93B542.63B562.57B
EBIT
52.98B-163.64B-251.01B-173.99B-71.41B
EBITDA
442.66B146.60B1.18B6.47B52.07B
Net Income Common Stockholders
-162.44B-339.47B-375.91B-135.83B-115.84B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
6.17T5.24T4.69T4.41T3.02T
Total Assets
26.51T22.63T20.44T16.83T12.52T
Total Debt
5.46T4.80T4.91T3.40T2.49T
Net Debt
-709.17B-332.50B218.39B-1.01T-533.85B
Total Liabilities
25.28T21.54T19.57T15.71T11.90T
Stockholders Equity
927.87B836.57B813.73B1.09T608.74B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
947.64B373.04B-697.36B172.07B656.32B
Operating Cash Flow
1.19T724.19B-257.95B582.71B1.04T
Investing Cash Flow
-921.72B-597.42B-952.41B-611.83B-303.35B
Financing Cash Flow
757.47B291.96B1.49T1.40T808.11B

Rakuten Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price754.00
Price Trends
50DMA
882.87
Negative
100DMA
898.43
Negative
200DMA
904.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-34.02
Negative
RSI
37.21
Neutral
STOCH
53.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4755, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 754 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 799.83, below the 50-day MA of 882.87, and below the 200-day MA of 904.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -34.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4755.

Rakuten Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$14.31T34.0919.24%0.94%13.69%20.90%
76
Outperform
$10.23T16.7011.94%3.03%1.71%-4.87%
71
Outperform
¥3.90T34.57
1.26%6.51%-0.45%
65
Neutral
$601.91B27.6314.49%1.45%9.13%120.85%
60
Neutral
$6.56B11.423.23%4.27%2.37%-21.19%
51
Neutral
$9.73T11.558.02%0.61%5.38%
46
Neutral
$1.67T-18.23%10.04%57.36%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4755
Rakuten
754.00
-3.10
-0.41%
JP:4689
LY Corporation
552.70
200.55
56.95%
JP:9983
FAST RETAILING CO
45,940.00
4,169.54
9.98%
JP:4751
CyberAgent
1,173.00
166.26
16.51%
JP:9984
SoftBank Group
6,659.00
-819.83
-10.96%
JP:9433
KDDI
2,570.50
443.04
20.82%

Rakuten Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 14, 2025 | % Change Since: -25.49% | Next Earnings Date: May 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, particularly in consolidated revenue, fintech growth, and improved EBITDA. AI-driven initiatives are helping to reduce costs, and there are strategic plans to further leverage AI and technology in various segments. However, challenges remain in mobile subscriber retention and international business impacts due to geopolitical issues.
Highlights
Record-Breaking Consolidated Revenue
The record high consolidated revenue was JPY 566.7 billion for Q3 2024, a 9.3% increase from the previous year. Rakuten Mobile contributed 40% to this growth.
Significant Growth in Fintech Segment
Fintech segment revenue reached JPY 208.2 billion, a 12.8% increase from the previous year. Operating income increased by 57.2% to JPY 40 billion.
Substantial Improvement in EBITDA
Consolidated EBITDA increased from JPY 35.6 billion to JPY 92.2 billion, marking a 159.1% increase year-on-year.
AI-Driven Cost Reduction in Customer Support
Customer support costs for Rakuten Mobile were reduced by 31% through AI utilization, decreasing from JPY 195 to JPY 37 per month per user.
Strong Performance in Rakuten Securities
Rakuten Securities general account increased by 20.3% year-on-year to JPY 11.65 million, and deposit assets grew by 39.1% to JPY 32.2 trillion.
Lowlights
Challenges with Subscriber Growth in Rakuten Mobile
Although Rakuten Mobile subscribers grew to 8.12 million, the churn rate, after adjustments for short-term gain subscribers, is still at 1.09%.
Impact of Ukrainian Situation on International Business
The International business unit faced challenges due to the Ukrainian situation, affecting operating income in the past.
Rakuten Mobile's Slow Progress Towards ARPU Target
Rakuten Mobile's ARPU is currently JPY 2,801, below the target of JPY 3,000, though improvements are being made.
Company Guidance
In the Q3 2024 earnings call for Rakuten, several key metrics and strategies were highlighted, particularly focusing on the robust performance of Rakuten Mobile and its contribution to the overall ecosystem. The call revealed that Rakuten Mobile had reached 8.12 million subscribers, contributing significantly to the group's consolidated revenue, which hit a record JPY 566.7 billion, marking a 9.3% year-on-year increase. The non-GAAP operating income improved by JPY 53.4 billion compared to the previous year, resulting in an operating profit of JPY 12.3 billion. Additionally, the consolidated EBITDA soared to JPY 92.2 billion, a 159.1% increase. The call also emphasized the strategic integration of AI across the company, aiming for 20% gains in marketing, operational, and client efficiencies. Furthermore, Rakuten Symphony's global expansion was noted, with contracts secured with 45 customers, aiming for 100-plus by next year. The company's self-funding capability through strategic cash management and investment was highlighted as a significant contributor to its financial health, with Rakuten aiming for profitability in the mobile segment by 2025.

Rakuten Corporate Events

Rakuten Issues Share Options to Align Employee and Shareholder Interests
Apr 15, 2025

Rakuten Group, Inc. has announced the issuance of share options to its directors, executive officers, and employees as part of a performance-linked compensation package. This initiative aims to align the interests of the employees with shareholders by linking compensation to stock price performance, thereby motivating higher performance and retention of talent. The staged exercisability of these share options is designed to attract and retain skilled personnel, especially in competitive markets, while fostering a sense of unity and commitment to enhancing the company’s value.

Rakuten Issues Share Options to Align Executive Compensation with Performance
Apr 15, 2025

Rakuten Group, Inc. announced the issuance of share acquisition rights as retirement compensation for directors who also serve as executive officers. This initiative is designed to align the interests of the officers with shareholders by linking compensation to stock performance, thereby motivating higher performance and retention of talent. The share options can be exercised within ten days of retirement, aiming to enhance long-term corporate and shareholder value.

Rakuten Group’s Diversified Business Strategy and Market Positioning
Mar 28, 2025

Rakuten Group, Inc. has outlined its extensive business operations and strategic focus in its articles of incorporation. The company is involved in numerous sectors, ranging from telecommunications and financial services to real estate and entertainment, indicating its broad market presence and diversified business model. This strategic diversification is likely to enhance its market positioning and provide resilience against sector-specific downturns, benefiting stakeholders by potentially increasing stability and growth opportunities.

Rakuten Group’s Commitment to Diversity and Strategic Investment
Mar 28, 2025

Rakuten Group, Inc. emphasizes corporate governance with a focus on diversity and non-discrimination, adopting measures such as English as the official language and support for LGBTQ+ employees. The company classifies its investment shares based on their purpose, ensuring that investments contribute to shareholder value and are regularly reviewed by the Investment Committee.

Rakuten Reports Growth in Operating Income Amidst Financial Adjustments
Feb 28, 2025

Rakuten Group, Inc. reported a significant increase in operating income for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, driven by growth in its domestic e-commerce business. However, the company experienced a decrease in ordinary income due to reduced dividend income and increased interest expenses, resulting in an ordinary loss. Despite these challenges, net income rose due to gains from the sale of subsidiaries and associates, including shares in Rakuten Card Co., Ltd. and Viber Media S.à.r.l.

Rakuten Proposes Amendments to Articles of Incorporation for Business Expansion
Feb 28, 2025

Rakuten Group, Inc. announced a proposal to amend its Articles of Incorporation to include new business purposes, reflecting its future business developments. The proposed changes aim to expand the company’s operations into areas like e-sports, AI-related services, and unmanned aircraft systems, potentially enhancing its market positioning and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

Rakuten Announces Major Board Reshuffle
Feb 28, 2025

Rakuten Group, Inc. has announced a significant change in its board of directors, with a new lineup set to be confirmed at the upcoming Annual General Shareholders Meeting. The reshuffling includes the resignation of key directors and the reappointment of Hiroshi Mikitani as the Representative Director, Chairman, President & CEO, which may impact the company’s strategic direction and governance.

Rakuten Proposes Increase in Director Share Options to Boost Competitiveness
Feb 28, 2025

Rakuten Group, Inc. has announced a proposal to increase the number of share options granted to its directors, aiming to enhance compensation competitiveness and motivation among its leadership. This move is intended to attract and retain top talent globally, aligning directors’ interests with shareholders by linking compensation to stock performance, thereby potentially increasing corporate and shareholder value.

Rakuten Implements Share Options for Executive Retirement Compensation
Feb 14, 2025

Rakuten Group, Inc. announced the issuance of share options as part of a retirement compensation plan for its executive officers, aiming to align their interests with shareholders by linking compensation to stock performance. This initiative is designed to motivate executives towards achieving higher performance and stock prices, thereby enhancing long-term corporate and shareholder value and retaining talented staff.

Rakuten Issues Share Options to Enhance Staff Motivation and Retain Talent
Feb 14, 2025

Rakuten Group, Inc. has announced the issuance of share acquisition rights as part of a performance-linked compensation package for directors, executive officers, and employees. This initiative aims to align the interests of the company’s staff with shareholders by linking compensation to stock price performance, enhancing motivation and retention of talent, and driving long-term corporate and shareholder value.

Rakuten Reports Tax Reversal and Impairment Losses with Positive Operating Income
Feb 14, 2025

Rakuten Group, Inc. announced an expected corporate income tax expense due to the reversal of deferred tax assets and an impairment loss for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024. The company anticipates a reversal of approximately 112,272 million yen in deferred tax assets and an impairment loss of about 9,662 million yen related to its insurance business. Despite these challenges, Rakuten achieved a positive IFRS operating income for the first time in five years, indicating a potential turning point in its financial performance.

Rakuten Withholds Dividends to Focus on Financial Stability and Growth
Feb 14, 2025

Rakuten Group, Inc. has announced that it will not pay dividends for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, as part of its strategy to maintain financial soundness and secure investment resources for growth. Instead, the company will continue offering its shareholders a benefit program that includes a free subscription to Rakuten Mobile services. This decision reflects Rakuten’s focus on reducing interest-bearing debt and achieving consolidated profitability, ultimately aiming to increase shareholder value.

Rakuten Reports Improved Financial Performance for 2024
Feb 14, 2025

Rakuten Group, Inc. reported its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, achieving a significant 10% increase in revenue from the previous year, amounting to 2,279,233 million yen. Despite this revenue growth, the company faced a net loss of 162,442 million yen, although this marks an improvement from the previous year’s loss of 339,473 million yen. The improvement in operating results highlights a positive trend in Rakuten’s financial performance, potentially strengthening its industry position and providing a more solid footing for future growth and expansion. The company’s EBITDA nearly doubled, reflecting an enhanced ability to generate cash flow, which could have favorable implications for stakeholders.

Rakuten Reports Revenue Growth and Improved Profitability in FY2024
Feb 14, 2025

Rakuten Group, Inc. reported a 10% increase in total revenue for the fiscal year 2024, driven by growth across its Internet Services, FinTech, and Mobile segments. The company saw improvements in operating profit due to strategic marketing changes, expanded customer base, and enhanced network quality, with the International Business Unit achieving full-year profitability. Despite these gains, the company recorded a net loss of 162,442 million yen, though this marks a significant improvement from the previous year. The positive shift in operating profit and the first-time positive standalone monthly EBITDA for Rakuten Mobile indicate a strengthening position in the market.

Rakuten Group to Announce Official Financial Results
Feb 14, 2025

Rakuten Group, Inc. is set to discuss their consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ending December 2024 at a board meeting. An article in Nikkei reported on the company’s earnings, but Rakuten clarified that the information was not officially released by them and that official results will be announced after the board’s resolution.

Rakuten Securities Withdraws Listing Policy, Strengthens Mizuho Collaboration
Jan 30, 2025

Rakuten Securities Holdings, Inc. has decided to withdraw its previous policy of applying for a listing on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This decision was made in a board meeting and follows an earlier announcement regarding a temporary withdrawal of their listing application. Instead, Rakuten aims to enhance its business value through strengthened collaboration with Mizuho Securities Co., Ltd. and other companies within the Mizuho Financial Group, which may influence its strategic positioning in the financial services sector.

Rakuten Securities Announces 2024 Financial Results
Jan 30, 2025

Rakuten Securities, Inc., a subsidiary of Rakuten Group, has released its consolidated financial reports for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024. The financial results, prepared based on J-GAAP, show an increase in operating revenue and operating income compared to the previous year, indicating a strong financial performance. However, the net income slightly decreased from the previous year. This release precedes the Rakuten Group’s consolidated financial report announcement scheduled for February 14, 2025.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.