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Intercontinental Hotels Group (IHG)
NYSE:IHG

Intercontinental Hotels Group (IHG) AI Stock Analysis

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IHIntercontinental Hotels Group
(NYSE:IHG)
61Neutral
Intercontinental Hotels Group's stock reflects a solid recovery in financial performance and positive future guidance, supported by strong earnings call highlights. However, high leverage and valuation concerns weigh down the score. Technical indicators suggest current downward pressure, but potential for future recovery exists.

Intercontinental Hotels Group (IHG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Intercontinental Hotels Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInterContinental Hotels Group Plc owns and operates hotels. Its hotel brands include: InterContinental, Crowne Plaza, Hotel Indigo, Holiday Inn, Holiday Inn Express, Staybridge Suites, Candlewood Suites, EVEN Hotels, IHG Rewards Club, Kimpton and HUALUXE Hotels and Resorts. The company operates through the following segments: Europe, Middle East, Asia and Africa (EMEAA), Americas, and Greater China. InterContinental Hotels Group was founded in 1777 and is headquartered in Denham, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyIHG primarily generates revenue through its franchising and management contracts. The company earns fees from hotel owners for licensing its brands and providing management services, which include operational support, marketing, and reservations systems. Additionally, IHG benefits from royalty fees based on a percentage of hotel revenues. A smaller portion of revenue comes from owned and leased hotels, where IHG directly operates the properties. Strategic partnerships and loyalty programs such as IHG Rewards Club also play a significant role in driving customer engagement and repeat business, contributing to the company's financial performance.

Intercontinental Hotels Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Intercontinental Hotels Group has shown strong revenue growth and profitability post-pandemic. However, the company faces financial risks due to high leverage and negative equity. Robust cash flow generation mitigates some risks, but efforts are needed to improve net margins and reduce leverage.
Income Statement
76
Positive
Intercontinental Hotels Group has shown consistent revenue growth, recovering from the pandemic impact. The gross profit margin and EBIT margins remain strong, indicating effective cost management. However, net profit margins have decreased slightly due to rising expenses, which is a point of concern.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a negative stockholders' equity, indicating high leverage and potential financial risk. The debt-to-equity ratio is significantly high, which may limit financial flexibility. However, the company has managed to maintain a stable asset base.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Operating cash flow remains robust, supporting sufficient free cash flow generation. Despite a decrease in free cash flow growth, the company maintains a good operating cash flow to net income ratio, suggesting efficient cash conversion.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.92B3.73B3.89B2.91B2.39B
Gross Profit
1.46B1.94B1.09B893.00M536.00M
EBIT
1.04B1.07B628.00M494.00M165.00M
EBITDA
1.25B1.25B881.00M605.00M-13.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
628.00M750.00M375.00M266.00M-260.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.01B1.33B976.00M1.45B1.63B
Total Assets
4.75B4.81B4.22B4.72B5.04B
Total Debt
3.69B3.59B2.82B3.26B4.22B
Net Debt
2.68B2.33B1.85B1.81B2.59B
Total Liabilities
7.06B6.76B5.82B6.19B6.89B
Stockholders Equity
-2.31B-1.95B-1.61B-1.48B-1.86B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
646.00M811.00M547.00M584.00M61.00M
Operating Cash Flow
724.00M893.00M646.00M636.00M137.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-99.00M-137.00M-78.00M-12.00M-61.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-894.00M-417.00M-961.00M-860.00M1.35B

Intercontinental Hotels Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price126.19
Price Trends
50DMA
128.56
Negative
100DMA
124.09
Positive
200DMA
113.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.29
Positive
RSI
39.21
Neutral
STOCH
52.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IHG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 126.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 130.43, below the 50-day MA of 128.56, and above the 200-day MA of 113.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IHG.

Intercontinental Hotels Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
WHWH
75
Outperform
$8.11B28.9341.40%1.46%6.40%
CHCHH
71
Outperform
$6.75B23.29-661.94%0.80%2.63%23.39%
HLHLT
68
Neutral
$63.42B42.93-41.19%0.23%9.17%42.78%
MAMAR
66
Neutral
$74.66B32.52-144.82%0.93%5.85%-18.43%
HH
64
Neutral
$13.20B10.8536.54%0.44%-6.41%511.40%
IHIHG
61
Neutral
$19.58B32.29-27.16%1.23%6.34%-11.99%
60
Neutral
$13.01B10.450.79%3.53%1.60%-22.47%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IHG
Intercontinental Hotels Group
126.19
20.91
19.86%
CHH
Choice Hotels
144.07
25.17
21.17%
H
Hyatt Hotels
139.87
-16.83
-10.74%
MAR
Marriott International
271.10
26.46
10.82%
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings
259.49
56.41
27.78%
WH
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts
105.27
31.74
43.17%

Intercontinental Hotels Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 18, 2025 | % Change Since: -5.53% | Next Earnings Date: Aug 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
IHG delivered strong financial performance with significant revenue and EPS growth, record room growth, and increased shareholder returns. The acquisition of the Ruby brand and strong performance in priority geographies further highlight the company's positive momentum. However, challenges in Greater China and increased expenditure on key money were noted as potential concerns.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance
RevPAR grew by 3% for the year, driven by rate and occupancy gains, with a strong finish in Q4.
Record Room Growth and Pipeline
IHG added 59,000 rooms to its system, with gross system growth of 6.2% and net system growth of 4.3%. The company signed 106,000 rooms across 714 hotels, which is 34% ahead of 2023 levels.
Increase in Operating Profit and EPS
Fee margin grew 190 basis points, contributing to a 10% increase in operating profit from reportable segments. Adjusted EPS grew 15%.
Shareholder Returns
Completed an $800 million share buyback program and announced a new $900 million share buyback for 2025, expecting to return over $1.1 billion to shareholders.
Acquisition of Ruby Brand
Acquired the Ruby Urban Lifestyle brand for $116 million, extending the portfolio into the premium urban lifestyle segment.
Performance in Priority Growth Geographies
Record hotel signings and openings in Greater China and strong development momentum in the U.S.
Lowlights
Challenges in Greater China
RevPAR was down 4.8% for the year, with a particularly tough Q3 where RevPAR was down 10.3% due to difficult year-on-year comparatives.
Increased Key Money Expenditure
Key money doubled in the year to $206 million, driven by increased development activity, particularly in the Premium and Luxury & Lifestyle segments.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, IHG Hotels & Resorts provided comprehensive guidance for their 2024 full-year performance, unveiling a robust financial outlook. The company reported a 3% increase in RevPAR, fueled by improvements in rate and occupancy, and noted strong performance across various segments, including leisure and business. System growth appeared promising, with 59,000 rooms added, leading to a gross system growth of 6.2% and a net system growth of 4.3%. IHG signed 106,000 rooms across 714 hotels, marking a 34% increase over the previous year. Financial metrics also showed strength, with a 10% rise in operating profit from reportable segments and a 15% growth in adjusted EPS, supported by their $800 million share buyback program. Looking ahead, IHG launched a new $900 million share buyback initiative, anticipated to return over $1.1 billion to shareholders in 2025. Additionally, the acquisition of the Ruby Urban Lifestyle brand for $116 million was announced, expanding their portfolio into the premium urban lifestyle segment. The company also indicated a fee margin growth of 190 basis points and projected further improvements in fee margin due to new co-brand credit card agreements and loyalty point sales.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.