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Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII)
:HII

Huntington Ingalls (HII) AI Stock Analysis

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Huntington Ingalls

(NYSE:HII)

79Outperform
Huntington Ingalls' overall stock score is bolstered by strong technical momentum and robust financial performance, despite challenges in margins and debt levels. The optimistic future guidance and strong contract wins provide a positive outlook, although operational challenges in shipbuilding and supply chain management could impact near-term results.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Potential
HII is apt to generate a sizable free cash flow inflow upon signing the 17 sub contracts, which should significantly exceed the previous year's target.
Mission Technology Performance
HII’s Mission Technology’s business outperformed expectations, with a funded BtB of 2.2x and ~$11bn of potential total awarded contract value.
Outsourcing Strategy
HII is taking steps to improve execution by increasing outsourcing and focusing on hiring experienced individuals.
Negative Factors
Execution Challenges
Shipbuilding execution challenges persist, there is no quick fix, and consensus EPS will drop significantly.
Investor Sentiment
There is concern over HII’s 'ever-deferring' schedule of milestones, leading to cautious investor sentiment.
Profit Adjustments
Shipbuilding problems linger with negative profit adjustments driven by labor and supply chain bottlenecks.

Huntington Ingalls (HII) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Huntington Ingalls Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHuntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. engages in designing, building, overhauling, and repairing military ships in the United States. It operates through three segments: Ingalls Shipbuilding, Newport News Shipbuilding, and Technical Solutions. The company is involved in the design and construction of non-nuclear ships comprising amphibious assault ships; expeditionary warfare ships; surface combatants; and national security cutters for the U.S. Navy and U.S. Coast Guard. It also provides nuclear-powered ships, such as aircraft carriers and submarines, as well as refueling and overhaul, and inactivation services of ships. In addition, the company offers naval nuclear support services, including fleet services comprising design, construction, maintenance, and disposal activities for in-service the U.S. Navy nuclear ships; and maintenance services on nuclear reactor prototypes. Further, it provides life-cycle sustainment services to the U.S. Navy fleet and other maritime customers; high-end information technology and mission-based solutions for Department of Defense (DoD), intelligence, and federal civilian customers; nuclear management and operations and environmental management services for the Department of Energy, DoD, state and local governments, and private sector companies; defense and federal solutions; and unmanned systems. Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Newport News, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyHuntington Ingalls Industries generates revenue primarily through government contracts, particularly with the U.S. Department of Defense, for the construction and maintenance of military ships. The company's Ingalls Shipbuilding and Newport News Shipbuilding segments contribute significantly to its income by delivering high-value, long-term projects such as aircraft carriers and submarines. Additionally, the Technical Solutions segment provides a diverse range of services, including fleet support, unmanned systems, and information technology, which further contribute to the company's earnings. HII's financial performance is supported by strategic partnerships and collaborations across the defense industry, enhancing its capabilities and market reach.

Huntington Ingalls Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Huntington Ingalls displays solid financial health with consistent revenue growth and strong cash flows. However, declining EBIT and EBITDA margins and a moderate debt level present challenges that could impact long-term stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Huntington Ingalls has demonstrated a solid financial performance with consistent revenue growth over the years. The company's gross profit margin remains strong, indicating efficient cost management. However, there is a noticeable decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to previous years, suggesting potential cost pressures or pricing challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a balanced leverage position. The return on equity is commendable, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio suggests a reliance on liabilities, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Huntington Ingalls has shown strong operating cash flow generation, which exceeds net income, indicating good cash conversion. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, although it fluctuated in previous years. The company's ability to maintain positive free cash flow amid capital expenditures is a positive indicator of financial health.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
11.54B11.45B10.68B9.52B9.36B
Gross Profit
1.45B1.65B1.44B1.37B1.67B
EBIT
535.00M781.00M773.00M513.00M799.00M
EBITDA
535.00M1.29B1.18B1.00B1.15B
Net Income Common Stockholders
550.00M681.00M579.00M544.00M696.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
831.00M430.00M467.00M627.00M512.00M
Total Assets
12.14B11.21B10.86B10.63B8.16B
Total Debt
3.41B2.67B3.15B3.49B1.84B
Net Debt
2.58B2.24B2.68B2.87B1.33B
Total Liabilities
7.47B7.12B7.37B7.82B6.26B
Stockholders Equity
4.67B4.09B3.49B2.81B1.90B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
26.00M678.00M482.00M429.00M740.00M
Operating Cash Flow
393.00M970.00M766.00M760.00M1.09B
Investing Cash Flow
-348.00M-236.00M-268.00M-1.95B-759.00M
Financing Cash Flow
356.00M-771.00M-658.00M1.31B103.00M

Huntington Ingalls Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price217.98
Price Trends
50DMA
188.59
Positive
100DMA
190.63
Positive
200DMA
220.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
4.01
Negative
RSI
66.86
Neutral
STOCH
89.58
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HII, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 217.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 202.30, above the 50-day MA of 188.59, and below the 200-day MA of 220.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.58 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HII.

Huntington Ingalls Risk Analysis

Huntington Ingalls disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Huntington Ingalls reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Huntington Ingalls Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
HIHII
79
Outperform
$8.63B15.7612.56%2.41%0.71%-18.39%
NONOC
78
Outperform
$77.23B18.9127.75%1.54%4.44%110.33%
LHLHX
76
Outperform
$41.80B28.277.85%2.10%9.82%22.33%
GDGD
75
Outperform
$74.82B20.4517.44%2.04%12.88%13.78%
LMLMT
74
Outperform
$111.40B21.2981.04%2.71%5.14%-19.14%
63
Neutral
$4.30B10.985.71%232.99%4.77%-5.69%
BABA
39
Underperform
$118.01B-162.23%-14.49%-399.90%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HII
Huntington Ingalls
217.98
-49.42
-18.48%
BA
Boeing
155.52
-15.03
-8.81%
GD
General Dynamics
277.14
-2.33
-0.83%
LHX
L3Harris Technologies
220.95
24.64
12.55%
LMT
Lockheed Martin
469.58
26.88
6.07%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
529.36
86.62
19.56%

Huntington Ingalls Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 6, 2025 | % Change Since: 12.33% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. has shown strong contract acquisition and growth in its Mission Technologies segment, it faces significant challenges in shipbuilding margins, supply chain issues, and negative financial adjustments. The company is optimistic about future revenue growth, but current operational and financial challenges are substantial.
Highlights
Strong Contract Awards
In 2024, the company secured $12 billion in new awards, resulting in a year-end backlog of $49 billion, with $27 billion funded. This reflects strong demand for Huntington Ingalls Industries' products and services.
Mission Technologies Growth
Mission Technologies achieved a 9% revenue growth year over year, with significant contract wins, including a $6.7 billion contract with the US Air Force. This segment's performance aligns with national security needs.
Operational Milestones in Shipbuilding
Significant milestones were achieved in shipbuilding, including the delivery of the USS Richard M. McCool Jr. and the launch of LPD 30 Harrisburg. The company continues to progress on the DDG and Virginia class programs.
Revenue and Earnings Growth Expectation
The company anticipates growing to $15 billion in annual revenue by 2030, with associated margin expansion and free cash flow growth.
Hiring and Workforce Development
The company exceeded its hiring goal of 6,000 craft personnel in 2024, with plans to continue increasing employment at its Charleston operations.
Lowlights
Decline in Fourth Quarter Revenues
Fourth quarter revenues of $3 billion decreased by approximately 5% compared to the same period last year, driven by lower year-over-year revenue across all segments.
Challenges in Shipbuilding Margins
Shipbuilding margins declined due to lower performance on Virginia class submarines and aircraft carrier construction, with a shipbuilding margin of 3.6% in the fourth quarter of 2024.
COVID-Related Labor and Supply Chain Challenges
Residual COVID-related challenges in labor, productivity, and supply chain continue to impact operations, with high attrition rates and supply chain inefficiencies.
Cash Flow Challenges
Free cash flow for 2024 was only $40 million, with high capital expenditures and cash taxes impacting overall cash generation.
Negative Adjustments in Financial Performance
Segment operating income and net earnings declined significantly compared to 2023, with net cumulative adjustments for the year being negative $120 million.
Company Guidance
During the Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. Fourth Quarter 2024 Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. Huntington Ingalls Industries anticipates securing over $50 billion in contract awards over the next 24 months, while aiming to grow annual revenue to $15 billion by 2030 with margin expansion. For the fiscal year 2025, the company expects shipbuilding revenues between $8.9 billion and $9.1 billion, with margins ranging from 5.5% to 6.5%. Additionally, Mission Technologies is projected to generate revenues between $2.9 billion and $3.1 billion, with operating margins of 4% to 4.5% and EBITDA margins between 8% and 8.5%. The free cash flow outlook for 2025 is estimated to be between $300 million and $500 million. The guidance rests upon achieving operational improvements, including a 20% year-over-year improvement in workforce strategies, a $250 million annualized cost reduction target, and securing new contracts that reflect current economic conditions.

Huntington Ingalls Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Huntington Ingalls Announces Key Leadership Changes
Neutral
Nov 7, 2024

Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII), the largest military shipbuilder in the U.S., has announced leadership changes with Kari Wilkinson set to become the new president of Newport News Shipbuilding, effective January 2025. Wilkinson, who has successfully led Ingalls Shipbuilding, will succeed Jennifer Boykin as she retires. Concurrently, Brian Blanchette will take over Wilkinson’s role at Ingalls Shipbuilding, bringing over two decades of experience to his new position. These transitions aim to continue HII’s legacy of delivering critical shipbuilding capabilities vital to national security.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.