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Lockheed Martin (LMT)
:LMT

Lockheed Martin (LMT) AI Stock Analysis

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LMLockheed Martin
(NYSE:LMT)
74Outperform
Lockheed Martin's overall score reflects strong financial health and positive earnings call insights, highlighting robust sales growth and strategic investments. The technical analysis suggests caution due to weak momentum and the stock trading below key averages. Valuation is reasonable but not a standout factor. The significant strengths in financial performance and positive earnings outlook are tempered by technical challenges, resulting in a balanced score.
Positive Factors
Customer Demand
Customer demand for the classified MFC product is high, and scaling its production will not scale losses for LMT.
Defense Spending
U.S. Defense and NATO defense spending are expected to rise, benefiting Lockheed Martin.
Negative Factors
Program Charges
Lockheed Martin took $1.7bn in pre-tax charges in the quarter related to cost overruns in Aeronautics and MFC.

Lockheed Martin (LMT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Lockheed Martin Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHeadquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, Lockheed Martin Corp. is a global security and aerospace company and is engaged in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration and sustainment of advanced technology systems, products and services. The majority of Lockheed Martin's business is with the U.S. Department of Defense and U.S. federal government agencies. Lockheed Martin's business is also comprised of international government and commercial sales of products, services and platforms. The company's operating units are divided into four categories including, Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems and Space Systems.
How the Company Makes MoneyLockheed Martin generates revenue through its diverse portfolio of products and services across its four business segments. The Aeronautics segment, which includes advanced military aircraft such as the F-35 Lightning II, contributes significantly to the company's revenue. The Missiles and Fire Control segment provides air and missile defense systems, tactical missiles, and fire control systems, serving both domestic and international markets. The Rotary and Mission Systems segment offers a wide range of products including helicopters, naval systems, and integrated warfare systems. The Space segment focuses on space exploration, satellite systems, and strategic and defensive missile systems. A substantial portion of Lockheed Martin's revenue comes from contracts with the U.S. government, especially the Department of Defense, as well as international military sales and commercial contracts. The company's earnings are also supported by significant long-term partnerships and collaborations with government agencies and other defense contractors.

Lockheed Martin Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lockheed Martin demonstrates strong financial health with stable revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. While the income statement shows solid profitability, the balance sheet highlights areas for improvement in equity management and leverage. The company's ability to generate cash supports its strategic initiatives and financial commitments, suggesting a positive outlook for future performance.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Lockheed Martin shows strong revenue growth with a positive trajectory from $65.98 billion in 2020 to $71.04 billion in 2024. Net income is resilient, maintaining solid profit margins, although gross profit margin has seen some decline. The company's EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting operational efficiency. The consistency in profitability marks a stable financial standing despite pressure on gross margins.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet indicates an improvement in leverage, with a decreasing debt-to-equity ratio from 2023. However, the equity ratio remains relatively low, suggesting potential financial risks. Return on equity is strong, highlighting effective shareholder capital utilization. The company maintains a healthy asset base, although equity fluctuations suggest some financial volatility.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow remains robust with consistent operating cash flows and positive free cash flow generation. The free cash flow growth rate is stable, supporting dividends and debt servicing. Operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates efficient cash conversion, reinforcing the business's overall cash health. However, capital expenditure trends need monitoring to sustain long-term growth.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
71.04B67.57B65.98B67.04B65.40B
Gross Profit
6.93B8.48B8.29B9.06B8.65B
EBIT
7.01B8.51B8.35B9.12B8.64B
EBITDA
8.81B10.44B8.71B9.48B10.12B
Net Income Common Stockholders
5.34B6.92B5.73B6.32B6.83B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.48B1.44B2.55B3.60B3.16B
Total Assets
55.62B52.46B52.88B50.87B50.71B
Total Debt
643.00M17.46B15.43B11.68B12.17B
Net Debt
-1.84B16.02B12.88B8.07B9.01B
Total Liabilities
49.28B45.62B43.61B39.91B44.67B
Stockholders Equity
6.33B6.83B9.27B10.96B6.01B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
5.29B6.23B6.13B7.70B6.42B
Operating Cash Flow
6.97B7.92B7.80B9.22B8.18B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.79B-1.69B-1.79B-1.16B-2.01B
Financing Cash Flow
-4.14B-7.33B-7.07B-7.62B-4.53B

Lockheed Martin Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price448.82
Price Trends
50DMA
462.48
Negative
100DMA
502.77
Negative
200DMA
505.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.34
Negative
RSI
49.53
Neutral
STOCH
77.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LMT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 448.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 440.10, below the 50-day MA of 462.48, and below the 200-day MA of 505.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -5.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LMT.

Lockheed Martin Risk Analysis

Lockheed Martin disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lockheed Martin reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lockheed Martin Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NONOC
79
Outperform
$67.14B16.3727.30%1.70%4.44%110.33%
RTRTX
77
Outperform
$171.44B36.227.94%1.88%17.15%58.66%
GDGD
75
Outperform
$68.68B18.6417.14%2.23%12.88%13.78%
LMLMT
74
Outperform
$105.65B20.1284.26%2.82%5.14%-19.14%
LHLHX
71
Outperform
$38.81B26.177.70%2.23%9.82%22.33%
62
Neutral
$8.11B13.341.17%3.02%4.16%-15.14%
BABA
50
Neutral
$130.99B-162.23%-14.49%-399.90%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LMT
Lockheed Martin
448.82
27.88
6.62%
BA
Boeing
158.90
-42.24
-21.00%
GD
General Dynamics
250.80
-17.38
-6.48%
LHX
L3Harris Technologies
207.08
-2.47
-1.18%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
463.83
13.32
2.96%
RTX
RTX
128.70
40.57
46.03%

Lockheed Martin Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 28, 2025 | % Change Since: -10.24% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call revealed a strong performance with record backlog and sales growth driven by strategic investments and successful program execution, notably in the F-35 program. However, significant charges related to classified programs and challenges in some segments, particularly Aeronautics and RMS, were notable setbacks.
Highlights
Record Backlog
Lockheed Martin's backlog reached a record $176 billion, with a 10% increase year-over-year, demonstrating strong demand for their products.
Sales Growth
Sales grew by 5% year-over-year in 2024, supported by strong demand across all business areas.
F-35 Program Success
Delivered 110 F-35 aircraft in 2024, meeting the high end of the expected range, with plans for 170 to 190 deliveries in 2025.
Investment in R&D
Invested $3.3 billion in research and development and capital expenditures to support advanced technology solutions.
Strong Order Intake
Recorded over $29 billion in orders in Q4, with Aeronautics leading with almost $20 billion driven by the F-35 contracts.
Lowlights
Classified Program Charges
Recorded $1.8 billion in charges in Q4 related to classified programs at MFC and Aeronautics, impacting operating profit.
Aeronautics Segment Challenges
Aeronautics segment operating profit decreased 11% for the full year due to lower profit rate adjustments and classified program charges.
RMS Sales Decline
RMS sales decreased 10% in Q4 due to lower volume on several key programs.
Company Guidance
During the Lockheed Martin Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Results Conference Call, several key metrics and guidance for 2025 were highlighted. Sales in 2024 grew by 5% year-over-year, with the backlog reaching a record $176 billion, and each business segment achieving a book-to-bill ratio greater than 1. For 2025, the company anticipates mid-single digit sales growth, a return to 11% operating profit margins, and double-digit growth in free cash flow per share. Free cash flow in 2024 was $5.3 billion, with $3.7 billion allocated to share repurchases. The company delivered 110 F-35 aircraft in 2024, with a projection of 170 to 190 deliveries in 2025. Additionally, Lockheed Martin invested $3.3 billion in R&D and capital expenditures in 2024 to support advanced technology solutions.

Lockheed Martin Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Lockheed Martin Appoints Admiral Aquilino to Board
Neutral
Dec 11, 2024

Lockheed Martin has appointed Admiral John C. Aquilino, a retired U.S. Navy admiral and former commander of the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, to its Board of Directors. Admiral Aquilino’s extensive military experience and leadership are expected to provide valuable insights and enhance board oversight as the company advances its 21st Century Security® strategy.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.