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Greystone Housing Impact Investors (GHI)
NYSE:GHI
US Market

Greystone Housing Impact Investors (GHI) AI Stock Analysis

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Greystone Housing Impact Investors

(NYSE:GHI)

74Outperform
Greystone Housing Impact Investors shows strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and a solid balance sheet, contributing significantly to its score. Technical analysis indicates stable momentum, while the valuation suggests some investor optimism tempered by a high P/E ratio. The earnings call highlights strong strategic positioning but also notes several challenges that need addressing. Overall, the company is in a solid position with potential for further growth.
Positive Factors
Affordable Housing Demand
Demand for affordable housing remains strong, and GHI is well-positioned to take advantage of an attractive investment and lending environment.
Credit Quality
The credit quality in the MRB portfolio remains strong with all investments current on interest payments and no requests for forbearance.
Joint Venture with BlackRock
The company recently entered into a new joint venture with BlackRock to provide construction financing on new LIHTC projects, and GHI closed the first two transactions in this JV in the fourth quarter.
Negative Factors
GAAP Earnings Impact
GAAP earnings were negatively impacted by a $9.7M unrealized fair value loss related to the interest rate hedges.

Greystone Housing Impact Investors (GHI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Greystone Housing Impact Investors Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGreystone Housing Impact Investors (GHI) is a real estate investment company focused on creating and managing housing solutions that drive social impact. The company operates primarily within the affordable housing sector, providing high-quality, sustainable housing options to underserved communities. GHI is committed to addressing the housing crisis by investing in projects that deliver both financial returns and positive community outcomes.
How the Company Makes MoneyGreystone Housing Impact Investors generates revenue through a combination of rental income from its portfolio of affordable housing properties and fees associated with the management and development of these projects. The company invests in various housing developments, earning income as these properties are leased to tenants. Additionally, GHI may partner with government agencies, non-profit organizations, and private investors to secure funding and subsidies, which enhance the viability and profitability of their housing projects. These partnerships and financial arrangements are critical to supporting the company's mission-driven approach while maintaining financial sustainability.

Greystone Housing Impact Investors Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Greystone Housing Impact Investors demonstrates impressive financial strength with robust revenue growth, solid profitability, and a strong balance sheet. The absence of debt enhances financial flexibility, but there is potential to further improve returns on equity to maximize shareholder value. Overall, the company's financial health is commendable, with strong cash flow generation supporting ongoing operations.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Greystone Housing Impact Investors shows strong profitability with high gross and net profit margins in the latest year, indicating efficient cost management. Revenue has grown substantially, showcasing robust growth momentum.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company exhibits a strong balance sheet with no debt reported in the latest year, significantly improving its debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio remains strong, indicating financial stability. However, the return on equity, while positive, reveals room for improvement in generating shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow is healthy, and the company has maintained positive free cash flow, indicating strong cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio highlights effective cash management, despite fluctuations in investing cash flow.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
88.34M91.27B38.18M90.41M62.01M35.73M
Gross Profit
81.34M91.27B134.25M-4.65B55.29M28.57M
EBIT
86.78M71.62B17.78M95.98M38.16M7.29M
EBITDA
96.55M81.41B118.97M106.39M0.000.00
Net Income Common Stockholders
61.84M21.32M50.42M65.56M38.10M7.21M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
56.26M14.70B600.00K51.19M68.29M44.50M
Total Assets
1.45B1.58T1.51B1.57B1.39B1.18B
Total Debt
851.63M0.00714.23M1.11B892.62M699.94M
Net Debt
795.37M-14.70B676.31M1.06B824.33M655.45M
Total Liabilities
1.03B1.20B1.08B1.15B919.04M721.05M
Stockholders Equity
426.78M383.43B431.19M418.12M466.11M453.26M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
34.84M17.99B24.14M19.32M33.78M15.42M
Operating Cash Flow
32.69M17.99B24.94M21.13M33.94M15.84M
Investing Cash Flow
-227.66M-105.20B53.56M-278.60M-187.47M-38.14M
Financing Cash Flow
208.72M70.78B-123.40M198.18M182.47M102.11M

Greystone Housing Impact Investors Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price12.86
Price Trends
50DMA
12.48
Positive
100DMA
11.75
Positive
200DMA
12.51
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Positive
RSI
50.16
Neutral
STOCH
45.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GHI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.78, above the 50-day MA of 12.48, and above the 200-day MA of 12.51, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GHI.

Greystone Housing Impact Investors Risk Analysis

Greystone Housing Impact Investors disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Greystone Housing Impact Investors reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Greystone Housing Impact Investors Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GHGHI
74
Outperform
$297.98M16.745.12%11.50%-26.83%-62.54%
69
Neutral
$6.76B18.145.55%9.58%-0.97%3.75%
69
Neutral
$8.93B10.689.58%14.50%384.69%963700.00%
NLNLY
68
Neutral
$12.23B13.208.40%12.15%13.33%
PMPMT
68
Neutral
$1.27B10.778.24%10.92%-16.66%-23.98%
64
Neutral
$14.59B10.318.70%4.21%16.52%-11.97%
IVIVR
51
Neutral
$562.65M13.547.97%18.56%137.36%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GHI
Greystone Housing Impact Investors
12.71
-2.22
-14.87%
AGNC
AGNC Investment
9.76
1.11
12.83%
NLY
Annaly Capital
21.15
3.35
18.82%
IVR
Invesco Mortgage
8.13
0.06
0.74%
PMT
PennyMac Mortgage
14.65
1.59
12.17%
STWD
Starwood Property
20.08
1.20
6.36%

Greystone Housing Impact Investors Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 20, 2025 | % Change Since: 2.06% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced sentiment with strong operational performance and strategic advances in liquidity and investment pipeline. However, challenges such as decreased book value, increased insurance costs, and market uncertainties pose significant concerns.
Highlights
Strong Occupancy Rates
Physical occupancy on the underlying properties was at 91.2% for the stabilized mortgage revenue bond portfolio as of December 31, 2024.
Successful Lease Activities
Good leasing activity was observed in properties where construction is complete, with no material supply chain or labor disruptions on the Vantage projects under construction.
Impact of Interest Rate Derivatives
The fourth quarter GAAP net income was significantly impacted by $7 million of noncash unrealized gains on interest rate derivatives, supporting the hedging strategy.
Liquidity Improvements
Liquidity events in January 2025 added approximately $31 million to available liquidity, positioning the company well to fund current financing commitments.
Pipeline Developments
Excitement about the new construction lending joint venture with BlackRock Impact Opportunities, indicating strong future potential.
Lowlights
Decrease in Book Value
Book value per unit as of December 31 was $13.15, a decrease of $1 from September 30, primarily due to a decrease in the fair value of the mortgage revenue bond portfolio.
Impact of Increased Insurance Costs
The sale of Vantage at Tomball was impacted by a significant increase in insurance premiums in Harris County, reducing expected gains.
Interest Rate and Market Challenges
Uncertainty regarding potential tax changes and their impact on the muni bond market, coupled with increased tax-exempt rates impacting fair value estimates.
Company Guidance
During the Greystone Housing Impact Investors' fourth quarter 2024 earnings call, several performance metrics and financial results were discussed. The company reported a GAAP net income of $10.1 million or $0.39 per unit, with a cash available for distribution (CAD) of $4.2 million or $0.18 per unit. The portfolio's physical occupancy was at 91.2% as of December 31, 2024. The book value per unit was $13.15, a decrease attributed to a drop in the fair value of the mortgage revenue bond portfolio. The company advanced $36.8 million for mortgage revenue bond investments and $32 million for governmental issuer loans in the fourth quarter. Their debt investment portfolio was valued at $1.35 billion, comprising 85% of total assets, and they held unrestricted cash of $14.7 million with $31 million available on secured lines of credit. The company also noted a net reduction in credit loss allowances by $1 million for the year. Additionally, the board is cautiously assessing distributions, considering the impact of CAD fluctuations and market conditions on their strategy.

Greystone Housing Impact Investors Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Greystone Housing Impact Investors Reports Q4 2024 Financials
Neutral
Mar 5, 2025

On March 5, 2025, Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP released supplemental financial information for the fourth quarter of 2024, reporting total revenues of $22.6 million and a net income of $0.39 per Beneficial Unit Certificate (BUC). The company advanced significant funds across various investments and completed a notable securitization transaction. Despite challenges in the multifamily markets due to higher interest rates and operating expenses, Greystone sees new opportunities in 2025, particularly with the support of a new joint venture with BlackRock, as traditional affordable housing lenders become more restrictive.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.