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Harbour Energy (GB:HBR)
LSE:HBR

Harbour Energy (HBR) AI Stock Analysis

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Harbour Energy

(LSE:HBR)

63Neutral
Harbour Energy's strong revenue growth and operational efficiency are significant strengths, though profitability challenges and high leverage remain concerns. Positive sentiment due to strategic acquisitions and improved production outlooks contribute to a favorable outlook. However, technical weaknesses and a negative P/E ratio indicate caution.
Positive Factors
Acquisition and Expansion
The acquisition of Wintershall DEA is expected to significantly increase production to potentially 450-475k boepd.
Production Increase
The company's October production averaged 503kboe/d, showcasing the new scale of Harbour Energy after the Wintershall Dea completion.
Shareholder Returns
Harbour continues to look cheap alongside an attractive shareholder returns policy, including both dividends and share buybacks.
Negative Factors
Market Perception
The share price movement on the results announcement indicates that the market does not believe the free cash flow generation potential.
Taxation Impact
The impact of windfall tax on the UK assets is now abundantly clear- the UK now has the lowest post-tax return on investment across the entire business.
Valuation
The risked NPV10 valuation for Harbour has been cut by approximately 28%, leading to a lower target price.

Harbour Energy (HBR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Harbour Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHarbour Energy (HBR) is an independent oil and gas company headquartered in the United Kingdom. The company operates primarily in the exploration, development, and production of hydrocarbons. Harbour Energy is active in key regions including the North Sea, Southeast Asia, and the Americas, focusing on maximizing the value of its assets through efficient resource management and technological innovation.
How the Company Makes MoneyHarbour Energy makes money primarily through the exploration, extraction, and sale of oil and natural gas. The company's revenue model is centered on selling these extracted hydrocarbons to various markets, including domestic and international refineries, energy companies, and industrial clients. Revenue streams include crude oil sales, natural gas sales, and, to a lesser extent, the sale of natural gas liquids (NGLs). Harbour Energy's earnings are significantly influenced by global oil and gas prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies. Key partnerships with other energy firms and agreements with host governments also play a crucial role in facilitating access to resources and ensuring the sustainability of its operations.

Harbour Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.71B5.43B3.62B2.41B2.36B
Gross Profit
1.36B2.59B1.16B566.40M841.29M
EBIT
913.00M2.46B593.40M-350.30M740.11M
EBITDA
2.29B3.70B2.20B546.10M1.65B
Net Income Common Stockholders
32.00M8.00M101.10M-778.40M164.30M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
280.00M524.00M702.00M445.40M573.18M
Total Assets
9.90B12.57B14.50B9.48B11.33B
Total Debt
1.18B2.06B3.54B2.32B2.97B
Net Debt
902.00M1.56B2.84B1.88B2.39B
Total Liabilities
8.36B11.54B14.03B8.42B9.42B
Stockholders Equity
1.54B1.02B473.50M1.07B1.91B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.34B2.52B1.00B775.30M988.38M
Operating Cash Flow
2.14B3.13B1.61B1.37B1.52B
Investing Cash Flow
-693.00M-628.60M-571.00M-603.20M-2.78B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.67B-2.67B-787.20M-899.40M1.51B

Harbour Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price151.20
Price Trends
50DMA
196.20
Negative
100DMA
219.49
Negative
200DMA
239.19
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.39
Negative
RSI
54.24
Neutral
STOCH
83.52
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:HBR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 151.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 179.54, below the 50-day MA of 196.20, and below the 200-day MA of 239.19, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.52 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:HBR.

Harbour Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
£137.77B11.548.74%4.68%-8.37%-13.60%
GBHBR
63
Neutral
£2.55B21.62-2.87%13.57%29.33%
GBBP
63
Neutral
£52.12B178.330.61%7.30%-12.44%-98.02%
57
Neutral
$7.57B4.34-4.83%6.50%-0.19%-64.60%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:HBR
Harbour Energy
151.20
-113.05
-42.78%
GB:SHEL
Shell (UK)
2,308.00
-467.66
-16.85%
GB:BP
BP p.l.c.
331.70
-167.08
-33.50%

Harbour Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 6, 2025 | % Change Since: -24.48% | Next Earnings Date: Aug 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment overall, with significant achievements in portfolio transformation, financial performance, and operational efficiency outweighing challenges such as high tax rates and UK market uncertainties.
Highlights
Transformational Acquisition of WintershallDea
The acquisition has tripled reserves and resources, increased production to 258,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, and is expected to further enhance production to 500,000 barrels per day by the end of 2024.
Strong Financial Performance
Revenue increased to approximately $6 billion and EBITDAX to $4 billion, up 65% and 50% respectively. Investment-grade credit ratings were achieved.
Operational Efficiency and Cost Management
Operating costs were stable at $16.50 per BOE, with expectations of a 15% reduction in unit operating costs in the upcoming year.
Diverse and Sustainable Portfolio
Harbour Energy's portfolio now includes a mix of crude, European gas, and international gas, enhancing geographic and revenue stream diversification.
Successful Exploration and Development
Significant exploration success in the UK, Norway, Mexico, and Indonesia, adding to a 2C resource base of 1.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent.
Lowlights
High Tax Rate and Impairments
The effective tax rate was 108%, driven by the UK energy profits levy, resulting in a loss after tax of $93 million. Impairment charges totaled $372 million.
Challenges in the UK Market
Fiscal and regulatory uncertainty in the UK poses challenges for future capital investment, with anticipated step-down in capital spending.
Increased Net Debt
Net debt increased to $4.7 billion due to the acquisition, though it's presented as $4.4 billion after unamortized fees.
Company Guidance
During the call, Harbour Energy provided key financial and operational metrics for the fiscal year 2024, revealing a transformative year marked by the Wintershall Dea acquisition. The company increased its production to 258,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, with projections to average 500,000 barrels in Q4 2024. Revenues and EBITDAX rose to $6 billion and $4 billion, respectively, representing a 65% and 50% increase. The acquisition contributed approximately $2 billion to EBITDAX, highlighted by investment-grade credit ratings achieved post-acquisition. Operating costs were stable at $16.50 per BOE, and capital expenditure increased to $1.8 billion from $1 billion in the previous year. The company also realized improved pricing for its commodities, with European gas at $11 per Mcf and crude oil at $82 per barrel post-hedging. For 2025, Harbour expects to maintain production between 450,000 to 475,000 barrels per day, with plans to reduce unit operating costs by 15% and generate substantial free cash flow. The company's net debt rose to $4.7 billion, with intentions to reduce leverage and position for potential shareholder distributions.

Harbour Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Harbour Energy Sees Shift in Shareholder Dynamics with New Acquisition
Neutral
Apr 11, 2025

Harbour Energy PLC announced that Letterone Investment Holdings S.A., a Luxembourg-based entity, has crossed a significant threshold in acquiring voting rights in the company, now holding 3.3143% of the voting rights. This acquisition could potentially impact Harbour Energy’s corporate governance and strategic decisions, reflecting a shift in shareholder dynamics that stakeholders should monitor closely.

Spark’s Take on GB:HBR Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:HBR is a Neutral.

Harbour Energy’s strong revenue growth and operational efficiency are significant strengths, though profitability challenges and high leverage remain concerns. Positive sentiment due to strategic acquisitions and improved production outlooks contribute to a favorable outlook. However, technical weaknesses and a negative P/E ratio indicate caution.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:HBR stock, click here.

Executive/Board Changes
Harbour Energy Grants Deferred Bonus Awards to Executive Directors
Neutral
Apr 9, 2025

Harbour Energy has announced the grant of Deferred Bonus Awards to its Executive Directors under the 2017 Long Term Incentive Plan. Linda Z. Cook and Alexander Krane received awards representing 25% and 50% of their 2024 Annual Bonuses, respectively, which will vest in three years, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning executive compensation with long-term shareholder value.

Spark’s Take on GB:HBR Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:HBR is a Neutral.

Harbour Energy’s strong revenue growth and operational efficiency are significant strengths, although profitability challenges and high leverage remain concerns. Positive earnings call sentiment due to strategic acquisitions and improved production outlooks contribute to a favorable outlook, despite technical and valuation weaknesses.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:HBR stock, click here.

Executive/Board Changes
Harbour Energy Announces Vesting of Deferred Bonus Awards for Executives
Positive
Apr 9, 2025

Harbour Energy announced the vesting of Deferred Bonus Awards for its executives, Linda Z. Cook and Alexander Krane, under the 2017 Long Term Incentive Plan. The awards, granted in March 2022, were subject to a three-year deferral period and have now vested, with shares released to cover tax liabilities and the remainder retained by the executives. This move reflects Harbour Energy’s commitment to aligning executive compensation with long-term company performance, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence and market perception positively.

Spark’s Take on GB:HBR Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:HBR is a Neutral.

Harbour Energy’s strong revenue growth and operational efficiency are significant strengths, although profitability challenges and high leverage remain concerns. Positive earnings call sentiment due to strategic acquisitions and improved production outlooks contribute to a favorable outlook, despite technical and valuation weaknesses.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:HBR stock, click here.

Shareholder MeetingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Harbour Energy Releases 2024 Annual Report and 2025 AGM Notice
Neutral
Mar 27, 2025

Harbour Energy has published its 2024 Annual Report and the notice for its 2025 Annual General Meeting, which will be held on May 8, 2025. The documents, available on the company’s website and submitted to the Financial Conduct Authority, include details on the company’s principal risks, directors’ responsibilities, and related party transactions, reflecting its commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Harbour Energy Prices $900 Million Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Mar 25, 2025

Harbour Energy has announced the pricing of a $900 million offering of 6.327% senior notes due 2035. The proceeds from this offering will be used to finance the purchase of its outstanding 5.5% Senior Notes due 2026, repay existing debt, and cover general corporate purposes and related costs. This strategic financial move is expected to enhance Harbour’s financial flexibility and support its ongoing operations.

Other
Harbour Energy Announces Share Sale by EIG Asset Management
Neutral
Mar 25, 2025

Harbour Energy plc announced a transaction involving the sale of ordinary shares by EIG Asset Management, LLC, a person closely associated with R. Blair Thomas, the Chairman of Harbour Energy. The transaction involved the sale of 19,925 shares at a price of GBP 2.06 each, totaling GBP 41,045.50, conducted on 21 March 2025. This sale could impact the company’s stock market performance and stakeholder perceptions regarding the company’s financial strategies.

Other
Harbour Energy Announces Significant Share Transaction
Neutral
Mar 25, 2025

Harbour Energy plc announced a transaction involving the sale of 6,653,009 ordinary shares by EIG Separate Investments (Cayman) LP, a person closely associated with the company’s Chairman, R. Blair Thomas. The shares were sold at a price of GBP 2.06 each, amounting to a total of GBP 13,705,198.54. This transaction may impact the company’s shareholder structure and could have implications for its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Other
Harbour Energy Director Increases Stake with Share Purchase
Positive
Mar 10, 2025

Harbour Energy announced that Alan Ferguson, an Independent Non-Executive Director, has acquired 21,436 ordinary shares of the company at an average price of 186.59 pence per share. This transaction increases Ferguson’s direct interest in the company to 45,639 ordinary shares, representing 0.003% of the company’s issued share capital. This purchase reflects a vote of confidence in the company’s future prospects and may positively influence stakeholder perceptions.

Other
Harbour Energy CEO Increases Stake with Significant Share Purchase
Positive
Mar 10, 2025

Harbour Energy announced that its CEO, Linda Z. Cook, has purchased 75,000 ordinary shares of the company at an average price of 189.1446 pence per share. This purchase increases Cook’s total shareholding to 8,950,490 shares, representing 0.62% of the company’s issued share capital, signaling confidence in the company’s future prospects.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Harbour Energy’s Transformative Year and Future Outlook
Positive
Mar 6, 2025

Harbour Energy reported a transformative year in 2024, marked by the acquisition of Wintershall Dea, which significantly increased production and reserves. Despite a loss after tax due to high effective tax rates, the company achieved substantial revenue growth and maintained strong operational performance. Looking ahead to 2025, Harbour Energy anticipates further production increases and reduced operating costs, with a focus on maximizing asset value and maintaining safety standards.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Harbour Energy Outlines Strategic Goals for 2025-2027
Positive
Mar 6, 2025

Harbour Energy has announced its strategic goals for 2025 to 2027, focusing on maintaining an average production of around 450 kboepd and reducing operating costs to less than $15/boe. The company plans to cut annual capital expenditure by 25% in 2026 and 2027 compared to 2025, aiming for material free cash flow generation and a competitive annual dividend. Harbour Energy also intends to reduce debt and potentially increase shareholder returns through share buybacks. The company emphasizes its growth through acquisitions and strategic investments, including CO2 storage, to sustain cash-generative production and enhance its portfolio.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Harbour Energy Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Mar 3, 2025

Harbour Energy plc has announced its total voting rights as of 28 February 2025, with an issued share capital consisting of 1,440,116,191 Ordinary Shares with voting rights. This figure is significant for shareholders as it serves as the denominator for calculating their interest in the company’s share capital under the FCA’s Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Harbour Energy’s Transformative Year Driven by Wintershall Dea Acquisition
Positive
Jan 23, 2025

Harbour Energy reported a transformative year in 2024 following the acquisition of Wintershall Dea’s asset portfolio, which led to a 40% increase in production, improved margins, and diversified reserves. The company successfully advanced several projects across its international portfolio, including in the UK, Argentina, and Indonesia, and made substantial revenue gains, although its financial performance was impacted by non-cash accounting charges due to changes in the UK fiscal regime. Looking forward, Harbour Energy projects increased production and reduced costs for 2025, driven by a full year’s contribution from Wintershall Dea assets, and plans to continue its strategic capital allocation, including exiting non-core assets like its Vietnam business.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.