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Duke Capital (GB:DUKE)
LSE:DUKE
UK Market

Duke Capital (DUKE) AI Stock Analysis

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GB

Duke Capital

(LSE:DUKE)

70Outperform
Duke Capital's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and strategic corporate actions, counterbalanced by bearish technical indicators. The company's undervaluation and high dividend yield make it attractive, yet caution is advised due to technical weakness. Solid fundamentals and proactive investments position Duke Capital for future growth, but current market trends should be monitored closely.

Duke Capital (DUKE) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Duke Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDuke Capital (DUKE) is a diversified financial services company that operates primarily in the investment management and asset management sectors. The company offers a range of financial products and services, including portfolio management, financial advisory, and investment funds. Duke Capital is known for its expertise in managing both individual and institutional assets, providing tailored solutions to meet the unique financial goals of its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyDuke Capital makes money through various revenue streams, primarily driven by fees and commissions associated with its investment management and advisory services. The company generates income by charging management fees on the assets it manages, which are typically a percentage of the total assets under management (AUM). Additionally, Duke Capital earns performance fees when the returns on the investments exceed predetermined benchmarks. The company also benefits from offering customized financial solutions and products, which may include mutual funds, ETFs, and other investment vehicles. Key partnerships with financial institutions and strategic alliances further enhance Duke Capital's ability to attract more clients and expand its market reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Duke Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Duke Capital shows strong financial performance with a 38.5% revenue increase, high gross profit margins, and improved EBITDA. However, a declining EBIT margin and increased leverage slightly offset these strengths.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Duke Capital has demonstrated strong revenue growth from $18.36M in 2022 to $25.39M in 2024, a 38.5% increase. The gross profit margin remains high at 100%, indicating excellent cost management. Net profit margin improved from 108.6% to 45.7%, reflecting solid profitability despite a decrease in EBIT margin from 142.3% to 77.6%. EBITDA margin rose significantly, highlighting improved operational efficiency. However, the decline in EBIT margin warrants attention.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a robust equity base with an equity ratio of 69.3% in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio increased to 0.43, indicating a rise in leverage but still at manageable levels. Return on equity decreased from 11.9% to 7.0%, suggesting reduced profitability relative to shareholders' equity. The overall financial stability is strong, though the growing debt requires monitoring.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow improved from $9.34M in 2022 to $16.92M in 2024, indicating better cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.46, showing strong cash conversion. Free cash flow growth rate is noteworthy. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.46 signals efficient operations, though cash flow stability remains a concern due to fluctuating financing activities.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
26.12M25.39M21.88M18.36M11.77M10.30M
Gross Profit
25.58M25.39M21.20M16.62M11.22M9.76M
EBIT
12.69M19.57M26.01M23.50M18.14M-6.07M
EBITDA
20.40M28.47M0.00-1.72M0.00-543.00K
Net Income Common Stockholders
818.25M11.61M19.59M20.39M13.95M-8.90M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
36.26M36.26M41.73M26.54M15.96M20.61M
Total Assets
238.31M238.31M221.52M183.73M105.91M91.65M
Total Debt
70.88M70.88M55.07M48.85M18.13M16.69M
Net Debt
-2.90M-2.90M46.13M43.14M16.37M12.21M
Total Liabilities
73.03M73.03M57.26M50.79M20.13M17.61M
Stockholders Equity
165.28M165.28M164.26M132.94M85.79M74.04M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
12.42M16.92M10.72M71.92M9.40M-535.00K
Operating Cash Flow
12.42M16.92M10.72M9.34M7.53M5.36M
Investing Cash Flow
-28.34M-26.38M-25.17M-61.83M-8.42M-21.28M
Financing Cash Flow
16.84M-2.75M17.71M56.49M-1.83M14.46M

Duke Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price25.40
Price Trends
50DMA
28.52
Negative
100DMA
28.61
Negative
200DMA
29.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.89
Positive
RSI
30.26
Neutral
STOCH
51.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:DUKE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.04, below the 50-day MA of 28.52, and below the 200-day MA of 29.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.89 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:DUKE.

Duke Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GBCNA
79
Outperform
£7.43B5.8532.10%2.77%-24.74%-63.34%
GBSVT
71
Outperform
£8.22B35.2317.17%4.34%5.38%86.34%
GBSSE
71
Outperform
£18.03B9.2821.94%3.73%-13.09%231.40%
70
Outperform
10.376.28%11.02%11.08%-21.22%
GBNG
67
Neutral
£52.84B25.015.28%5.09%-6.68%-77.57%
GBUU
64
Neutral
£7.58B66.995.50%4.54%8.61%
63
Neutral
$12.00B9.278.14%79.61%12.85%-5.12%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:DUKE
Duke Capital
25.40
-3.57
-12.32%
GB:UU
United Utilities
1,112.00
115.30
11.57%
GB:NG
National Grid
1,079.00
174.15
19.25%
GB:CNA
Centrica
150.30
22.73
17.82%
GB:SVT
Severn Trent
2,739.00
368.81
15.56%
GB:SSE
SSE
1,640.50
33.06
2.06%

Duke Capital Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Duke Capital Expands Investment in New Path Fire and Security
Positive
Apr 2, 2025

Duke Capital Limited has announced a follow-on investment of £3.3 million into New Path Fire and Security Limited, a buy-and-build platform in the fire and security sector. This investment will support New Path’s acquisition of Elite Entrance Systems Ltd, enhancing its capabilities in the security space and expanding its client base. The financing increases Duke’s total credit in New Path to £14.30 million and raises its ownership stake to 20.9%. This strategic move strengthens New Path’s operations in SE England and London, with over 135 employees and a customer base exceeding 10,000.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Duke Capital Reports Strong Q4 FY25 Performance and Strategic Investment
Positive
Mar 31, 2025

Duke Capital Limited has announced its trading and operational update for the fourth quarter of the financial year ending March 31, 2025. The company expects to achieve a recurring cash revenue of £6.5 million, marking a 12% increase from the previous year. This performance highlights the resilience of Duke’s business model amid challenging market conditions, particularly in the face of the UK’s inflationary pressures. Additionally, Duke completed a £1.9 million follow-on investment into BPVA (Ireland) Limited to support the acquisition of Pinta Crew Limited, reinforcing its commitment to portfolio support and long-term shareholder value.

Dividends
Duke Capital Declares Interim Dividend for Q4
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Duke Capital Limited has announced an interim dividend of 0.70 pence per share for the fourth quarter of its financial year. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to providing attractive returns to its shareholders and reinforces its strong market position in offering hybrid capital solutions. The dividend will be paid on 14 April 2025, with the ex-dividend date set for 27 March 2025 and the record date on 28 March 2025.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Duke Capital Boosts BPVA Expansion with £1.9 Million Investment
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

Duke Capital Limited has announced a follow-on investment of £1.9 million into BPVA (Ireland) Limited to support its acquisition of Pinta Crew Limited, an Irish consultancy specializing in optimizing organizational resources. This investment increases Duke’s total commitment to BPVA to £20.4 million, facilitating BPVA’s expansion into the consultancy market and strengthening its position in the talent and resourcing sector. The acquisition aligns with BPVA’s strategy to enhance its portfolio and offers significant growth potential for both Duke Capital and BPVA, potentially benefiting stakeholders and expanding BPVA’s market presence in Europe.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.