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Dunelm Group Plc (UK) (GB:DNLM)
:DNLM

Dunelm Group (DNLM) AI Stock Analysis

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GB

Dunelm Group

(LSE:DNLM)

72Outperform
Dunelm Group's strengths lie in its strong revenue growth, profitability, and attractive valuation with a high dividend yield. However, high leverage poses financial risks, and technical indicators suggest lackluster momentum. The strategic share buyback program supports shareholder value but is not factored into the score.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
The acquisition of Homefocus Group represents an attractive opportunity for Dunelm Group to enter a new geography with a significant homewares market.
Sales Growth
Dunelm reported a sales growth of 3.5% in the first quarter, indicating a solid start to the year.
Strategic Priorities
Progress across strategic priorities and a more attractive valuation multiple make the stock appealing.
Negative Factors
Leadership Change
CEO Nick Wilkinson is to retire, but will lead the business as it finds a new CEO.
Market Share
Concerns around weaker home-related spend and slowing market share gains remain.
Premium Growth
Concerns persist over home-related spending, limiting premium growth potential.

Dunelm Group (DNLM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Dunelm Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDunelm Group (DNLM) is a leading British home furnishings retailer, specializing in providing a wide range of homeware products including furniture, bedding, curtains, and kitchenware. The company operates through a network of retail stores across the UK and an online platform, catering to diverse customer needs in the home improvement and decoration sectors.
How the Company Makes MoneyDunelm Group makes money primarily through the sale of home furnishings and decor items in its physical retail stores and through its online platform. The company generates revenue by offering a broad selection of competitively priced products, which include both branded and own-label goods. Dunelm's business model leverages its extensive retail footprint and e-commerce capabilities to reach a wide customer base. The company also benefits from its strong supply chain management and efficient operations, which help maintain healthy profit margins. Additionally, Dunelm may engage in strategic partnerships with suppliers and other stakeholders to enhance its product offerings and market reach, further contributing to its revenue streams.

Dunelm Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dunelm Group demonstrates strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, with a gross profit margin of 51.8%. However, a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.37 poses financial risks, despite strong returns on equity. Cash flow is solid, but there is pressure on free cash flow generation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Dunelm Group has shown impressive revenue growth, with a steady increase from 2020 to 2024. The gross profit margin stands at 51.8% for the latest period, indicating strong profitability in its operations. Net profit margin has slightly decreased to 8.9% in 2024 from 9.3% in the previous year, showing some pressure on net income growth. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust at 12.5% and 17.3% respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet displays a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.37 in 2024, indicating significant leverage. This level of debt may pose a risk in economic downturns. The equity ratio is relatively low at 20.2%, suggesting a reliance on debt financing. Return on Equity (ROE) has decreased to 109.6%, reflecting high leverage but also strong utilization of equity to generate returns.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Dunelm Group has maintained a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.54, demonstrating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth has been negative in the latest period compared to the prior year, indicating potential challenges in generating free cash flow.
Breakdown
Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.71B1.64B1.58B1.34B1.06B
Gross Profit
883.30M741.80M730.30M611.40M454.10M
EBIT
213.30M199.10M218.00M169.70M117.90M
EBITDA
295.90M278.20M297.10M241.60M194.70M
Net Income Common Stockholders
151.20M151.90M171.20M128.90M87.70M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
23.40M46.30M30.20M128.60M90.00M
Total Assets
682.00M696.80M737.90M766.70M716.00M
Total Debt
326.60M334.10M330.90M293.30M359.00M
Net Debt
303.20M287.80M300.70M164.70M269.00M
Total Liabilities
544.10M559.30M559.60M485.50M542.60M
Stockholders Equity
137.90M137.50M178.30M281.20M173.40M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
199.90M217.70M225.70M167.80M217.90M
Operating Cash Flow
232.30M239.50M249.70M183.50M242.80M
Investing Cash Flow
-38.30M-21.80M-41.70M-15.70M-24.90M
Financing Cash Flow
-217.30M-202.20M-307.50M-126.80M-147.20M

Dunelm Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price919.00
Price Trends
50DMA
924.04
Negative
100DMA
977.59
Negative
200DMA
1033.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.36
Negative
RSI
50.78
Neutral
STOCH
73.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:DNLM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 919 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 914.79, below the 50-day MA of 924.04, and below the 200-day MA of 1033.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:DNLM.

Dunelm Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
£1.85B12.2684.81%8.52%3.07%1.42%
GBBME
69
Neutral
£2.62B8.0142.42%5.72%6.82%-8.24%
62
Neutral
£1.03B25.227.71%―1.45%-61.69%
59
Neutral
$12.29B11.580.14%3.71%1.32%-21.01%
GBDFS
55
Neutral
£302.20M47.052.72%3.10%-6.00%-69.78%
GBTPT
47
Neutral
£66.68M―-90.54%7.41%-4.17%-506.75%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:DNLM
Dunelm Group
923.00
-106.35
-10.33%
GB:BME
B&M European Value Retail SA
269.90
-224.83
-45.44%
GB:DFS
DFS Furniture
130.00
20.69
18.93%
GB:TPT
Topps Tiles
33.00
-8.51
-20.50%
GB:WOSG
Watches of Switzerland Group PLC
433.20
92.40
27.11%

Dunelm Group Corporate Events

Stock Buyback
Dunelm Group Completes Share Buyback Program
Neutral
Mar 17, 2025

Dunelm Group plc announced the completion of its share buyback program, purchasing 76,882 ordinary shares at a volume-weighted average price of 920.90 pence. These shares will be held in treasury to meet employee share-based award obligations, affecting the company’s share capital and voting rights structure.

Stock Buyback
Dunelm Group Executes Share Buyback to Support Employee Awards
Neutral
Mar 14, 2025

Dunelm Group plc announced the repurchase of 100,411 ordinary shares as part of its share buyback program, with prices ranging from 910.00p to 917.50p. These shares will be held in treasury to fulfill employee share-based awards, impacting the total number of shares with voting rights, which now stands at 201,264,847.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dunelm Group Executes Share Buyback to Support Employee Awards
Neutral
Mar 13, 2025

Dunelm Group plc announced a recent transaction involving the purchase of 97,040 ordinary shares as part of its share buyback programme. This move, facilitated by Peel Hunt LLP, is intended to satisfy employee share-based award obligations and reflects the company’s strategic financial management. The transaction impacts the company’s share capital, with 201,365,258 ordinary shares now possessing voting rights, a figure significant for shareholder interest calculations under FCA regulations.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dunelm Group Executes Share Buyback to Support Employee Awards
Neutral
Mar 12, 2025

Dunelm Group plc has executed a share buyback program, purchasing 98,602 ordinary shares on 11 March 2025, with prices ranging from 975.00 to 987.50 pence per share. This transaction aims to hold shares in treasury for future employee share-based awards, impacting the total number of shares with voting rights, which now stands at 201,462,298. This move is part of the company’s strategic financial management, potentially affecting shareholder interests and market perceptions.

Stock Buyback
Dunelm Group Enhances Share Buyback Program
Neutral
Mar 11, 2025

Dunelm Group plc announced the purchase of 98,165 ordinary shares as part of its share buyback program, with prices ranging from 970.00p to 975.50p per share. These shares will be held in treasury to potentially satisfy employee share-based award obligations, impacting the company’s share capital and voting rights structure.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dunelm Group Executes Share Buyback Program
Positive
Mar 10, 2025

Dunelm Group plc has executed a share buyback program, purchasing 95,205 ordinary shares at an average price of 949.21 pence per share. These shares will be held in treasury and may be used for employee share-based awards, impacting the total number of shares with voting rights, which now stands at 201,659,065. This move is part of Dunelm’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

Stock Buyback
Dunelm Group Executes Share Buyback Program
Neutral
Mar 6, 2025

Dunelm Group plc has executed a share buyback program, purchasing 88,468 ordinary shares at prices ranging from 965.00p to 974.50p. These shares will be held in treasury and may be used to fulfill employee share-based award obligations, impacting the company’s share capital and voting rights structure.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dunelm Group Enhances Capital Structure with Share Buyback
Neutral
Mar 5, 2025

Dunelm Group plc has announced the repurchase of 87,219 ordinary shares as part of its ongoing share buyback program. This transaction, executed on March 4, 2025, is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and fulfill employee share-based award obligations. The repurchased shares will be held in treasury, impacting the total number of shares with voting rights, which now stands at 201,888,626. This move is expected to influence shareholder calculations regarding their interests in the company, as per FCA’s Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Dunelm Group Enhances Share Buyback Program
Neutral
Mar 4, 2025

Dunelm Group plc announced the purchase of 83,741 ordinary shares as part of its ongoing share buyback program, with prices ranging from 970.00p to 978.00p per share. This transaction, executed by Peel Hunt LLP, aims to hold the shares in treasury for future employee share-based awards, impacting the company’s share capital and potentially influencing shareholder interests under regulatory transparency rules.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dunelm Group Executes Share Buyback Program
Neutral
Mar 3, 2025

Dunelm Group plc has executed a share buyback program, purchasing 79,278 ordinary shares at an average price of 978.63 pence per share. These shares will be held in treasury and may be used for employee share-based awards, impacting the total number of shares with voting rights, which now stands at 202,059,586. This move is part of Dunelm’s strategy to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Dunelm Group Updates on Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Mar 3, 2025

Dunelm Group plc has announced that as of 28 February 2025, its issued ordinary share capital consists of 203,426,835 ordinary shares, with 1,367,249 shares held in treasury. This results in a total of 202,059,586 ordinary shares with voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their interest in the company’s share capital under the Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

Stock Buyback
Dunelm Group Enhances Share Buyback Program
Neutral
Feb 27, 2025

Dunelm Group plc announced the purchase of 73,995 ordinary shares as part of its share buyback program. These shares will be held in treasury and may be used to fulfill employee share-based award obligations, impacting the company’s share capital and potentially influencing shareholder voting rights.

Stock Buyback
Dunelm Group Executes Share Buyback Program
Neutral
Feb 26, 2025

Dunelm Group plc announced the purchase of 74,190 ordinary shares as part of its share buyback program, with prices ranging from 980.0 to 987.0 pence per share. This transaction, executed by Peel Hunt LLP, will see the shares held in treasury to potentially satisfy employee share-based awards, impacting the company’s share capital and voting rights.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dunelm Group Announces Share Buyback Transaction
Neutral
Feb 26, 2025

Dunelm Group plc, a prominent player in the home furnishings retail sector, has announced a transaction involving the repurchase of its own shares as part of its share buyback program. On February 25, 2025, the company acquired 74,190 ordinary shares at a volume-weighted average price of 983.91 pence per share. These shares will be held in treasury to potentially satisfy employee share-based award obligations. This transaction reflects Dunelm’s strategic financial management and may impact shareholder calculations regarding voting rights, as the total number of ordinary shares with voting rights now stands at 202,289,786.

Stock Buyback
Dunelm Group Executes Share Buyback to Support Employee Awards
Neutral
Feb 25, 2025

Dunelm Group plc announced the purchase of 73,717 ordinary shares as part of its share buyback program, with prices ranging from 990.0 to 1010.0 pence per share. These shares will be held in treasury to meet employee share-based award obligations, impacting the company’s share capital and potentially influencing shareholder voting rights calculations.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dunelm Group Enhances Share Management with Buyback Initiative
Neutral
Feb 24, 2025

Dunelm Group plc has announced the purchase of 71,444 ordinary shares as part of its share buyback program. This move, executed by broker Peel Hunt LLP, reflects the company’s strategy to manage its share capital efficiently, as the purchased shares will be held in treasury for potential use in employee share-based awards. Following this transaction, the total number of shares with voting rights stands at 202,437,693, which is crucial information for shareholders monitoring their interests in accordance with disclosure and transparency regulations.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dunelm Group Enhances Financial Strategy with Share Buyback
Neutral
Feb 21, 2025

Dunelm Group plc announced a share buyback, purchasing 69,157 ordinary shares at prices ranging from 1008.0p to 1015.0p per share. These shares will be held in treasury to address employee share-based award obligations. The company’s total number of ordinary shares with voting rights now stands at 202,509,137, reflecting its continuing strategic financial management.

Stock Buyback
Dunelm Group Enhances Shareholder Value with Share Buyback
Positive
Feb 20, 2025

Dunelm Group plc announced the repurchase of 65,710 ordinary shares as part of its share buyback program. These shares, acquired at an average price of 1005.93 pence, will be held in treasury for potential employee share-based awards. This transaction reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its share capital and provide value to its shareholders.

Stock Buyback
Dunelm Group Advances Share Buyback Programme
Positive
Feb 20, 2025

Dunelm Group plc, a company involved in home furnishings and related sectors, announced a recent transaction involving the repurchase of 65,710 ordinary shares as part of its share buyback programme. These shares will be held in treasury to meet future employee share-based award obligations. This move, which reduces the total number of shares with voting rights to 202,572,501, is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its capital structure effectively, potentially enhancing shareholder value.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dunelm Group Launches Strategic Share Buyback Programme
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

Dunelm Group plc has announced the initiation of a new share buyback programme intended to cover employee share-based award commitments. The programme, authorized by shareholders and adhering to regulatory guidelines, will allow the repurchase of up to 1.5 million shares, which will be held in treasury for future re-issue rather than cancellation. This move reinforces Dunelm’s strategic focus on managing equity distribution effectively and may positively impact shareholder value by optimizing capital allocation.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dunelm Group Reports Resilient Growth Amid Retail Challenges
Positive
Feb 11, 2025

Dunelm Group plc reported its interim results for the 26 weeks ended 28 December 2024, showcasing solid performance and strategic progress despite a challenging retail environment. The company achieved a 2.4% increase in sales, with a notable 39% of total sales coming from digital channels. Gross margins improved slightly, and profit before tax remained stable. Dunelm expanded its store portfolio into inner London and Ireland, and increased market share to 7.8%. The company remains confident in its business model and strategic plans, while prioritizing shareholder returns with increased dividends.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dunelm CEO Nick Wilkinson Announces Retirement Amid Strategic Growth Plans
Neutral
Feb 11, 2025

Dunelm Group plc announced the planned retirement of its CEO, Nick Wilkinson, after seven years in the role. Under Wilkinson’s leadership, Dunelm navigated the global pandemic, enhanced its digital offerings, and made strategic advancements in technology and data. The Board is initiating a recruitment process for a new CEO, while Wilkinson will remain in his position until a successor is found, ensuring a smooth transition. The company continues to focus on its strategy to expand its market share to 10% and deliver long-term sustainable growth.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Dunelm Group Announces Total Voting Rights
Neutral
Jan 31, 2025

Dunelm Group plc has announced the total number of its issued ordinary shares, which amounts to 203,426,835, with 788,624 held in treasury, resulting in 202,638,211 shares with voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine any necessary notifications regarding their interest in the company’s share capital, in compliance with the Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

Dunelm Group Reports Solid Sales Growth Amidst Market Challenges
Jan 16, 2025

Dunelm Group plc reported a 2.4% growth in sales to £894m in the first half of FY25, despite a challenging market environment. The company saw a significant increase in digital sales and maintained a strong gross margin. Dunelm made strategic progress by acquiring 13 stores in Ireland and opening its first inner London store. The company remains optimistic about future opportunities, aiming to mitigate cost pressures and enhance its market proposition.

Dunelm Updates Total Voting Rights
Dec 31, 2024

Dunelm Group plc, in accordance with regulatory requirements, has announced its current total voting rights. The company’s issued ordinary share capital consists of 203,426,835 shares, with 827,033 held in treasury, resulting in 202,599,802 shares with voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders to calculate their interests under disclosure rules, impacting their decision-making regarding shareholding notifications.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.