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Gambling.Com Group Ltd (GAMB)
:GAMB

Gambling.com (GAMB) AI Stock Analysis

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Gambling.com

(NASDAQ:GAMB)

78Outperform
Gambling.com scores a 78, reflecting strong financial performance and positive earnings guidance. The company demonstrates impressive revenue growth and profitability, supported by strategic acquisitions. Technical indicators show mixed signals, and valuation appears reasonable, though the absence of a dividend yield shifts focus to growth potential. Despite some challenges, the overall outlook is positive, driven by growth initiatives and market expansion.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
GAMB's Q4 results exceeded expectations, with revenue and AEBITDA both coming in ahead of consensus.
Market Opportunities
The legalization of sports betting in Missouri and potential new state launches present new market opportunities.
Strategic Acquisitions
GAMB completed the acquisition of Odds Holdings, which is expected to be immediately accretive to GAMB's results.
Negative Factors
Competitive Environment
OddsJam is relatively expensive, with several low-cost competitors attempting to disrupt.
Investor Concerns
The suspicion from investors that GAMB may be considering a secondary offering could be contributing to recent share weakness.

Gambling.com (GAMB) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Gambling.com Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGambling.com Group Limited operates as a performance marketing company for the online gambling industry worldwide. The company provides digital marketing services for the iGaming and sports betting. It publishes various branded websites, including Gambling.com and Bookies.com. Gambling.com Group Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is based in St. Helier, Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyGambling.com makes money primarily through performance-based affiliate marketing agreements with online gambling operators. The company earns revenue by driving traffic and delivering potential customers to these operators' websites. Key revenue streams include cost-per-acquisition (CPA) agreements, where the company is paid a fee for each new customer referred, and revenue share agreements, where Gambling.com receives a percentage of the revenue generated from customers referred to the operators. Significant partnerships with prominent online gambling operators and a robust portfolio of high-ranking websites are critical factors that contribute to its earnings.

Gambling.com Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gambling.com demonstrates strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth and profitability. The income statement reveals high margins, while the balance sheet shows a solid equity base with low leverage. However, cash flow concerns due to negative free cash flow need attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Gambling.com shows impressive revenue growth, with a 14.48% increase from 2023 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The gross profit margin is high at 89.34% in TTM, indicating strong cost management. The net profit margin also improved to 23.39%, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 28.01% and 30.03%, respectively. Overall, the firm demonstrates robust financial performance and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid balance sheet with an equity ratio of 66.48% in TTM, indicating a strong equity base relative to assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is modest at 0.24, suggesting conservative leverage levels. Return on equity (ROE) stands at 23.22%, showcasing efficient use of equity to generate profits. While the balance sheet is stable, increasing debt levels could be monitored.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong, but free cash flow turned negative in TTM, primarily due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.06, indicating good cash conversion. However, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio demonstrates potential cash flow challenges if capital expenditures persist.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
124.40M108.65M76.51M42.32M27.98M19.27M
Gross Profit
111.15M99.54M73.55M42.32M27.98M8.68M
EBIT
34.85M21.78M15.85M11.39M11.13M1.40M
EBITDA
37.37M22.47M10.61M15.33M15.08M3.51M
Net Income Common Stockholders
29.11M18.26M2.39M12.45M15.15M-1.90M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.57M25.43M29.66M51.05M8.22M6.99M
Total Assets
39.53M154.87M138.88M91.03M45.38M35.13M
Total Debt
22.44M1.72M2.07M7.62M7.93M20.61M
Net Debt
18.00M-23.71M-27.59M-43.42M-290.00K13.62M
Total Liabilities
27.02M35.95M51.77M11.12M11.17M22.20M
Stockholders Equity
12.52M118.92M87.11M79.91M34.21M12.93M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-14.51K8.93M9.47M8.42M10.80M2.28M
Operating Cash Flow
30.82M17.91M18.75M14.00M10.89M4.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-40.57M-19.47M-32.70M-5.57M-90.00K-1.72M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.32M-3.14M-7.31M34.99M-10.20M316.00K

Gambling.com Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.75
Price Trends
50DMA
14.14
Negative
100DMA
13.53
Negative
200DMA
11.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.26
Negative
RSI
49.83
Neutral
STOCH
86.71
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GAMB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.95, below the 50-day MA of 14.14, and above the 200-day MA of 11.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.71 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GAMB.

Gambling.com Risk Analysis

Gambling.com disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gambling.com reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gambling.com Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$466.17M15.7225.34%17.05%73.00%
RSRSI
66
Neutral
$2.56B561.003.61%33.70%
MGMGM
66
Neutral
$9.17B13.4321.76%6.66%-24.59%
60
Neutral
$34.39B-54.81%30.07%39.93%
59
Neutral
$12.68B11.140.97%3.72%1.33%-21.21%
44
Neutral
$2.65B-10.27%3.38%38.18%
GAGAN
39
Underperform
$80.60M229.13%4.31%77.31%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GAMB
Gambling.com
13.41
4.28
46.88%
MGM
MGM Resorts
32.12
-15.09
-31.96%
PENN
Penn National Gaming
17.36
-0.85
-4.67%
DKNG
DraftKings
37.68
-7.73
-17.02%
GAN
GAN
1.79
0.52
40.94%
RSI
Rush Street Interactive
10.91
4.40
67.59%

Gambling.com Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 20, 2025 | % Change Since: 10.18% | Next Earnings Date: May 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance and optimistic growth prospects for Gambling.com Group, driven by strategic acquisitions and market expansion. Despite some challenges in North American sports revenue and traffic from media partnerships, the company's robust core business and strategic initiatives indicate a positive outlook.
Highlights
Record Quarterly and Full-Year Financial Performance
Gambling.com Group achieved record revenue of $35.3 million and adjusted EBITDA of $14.7 million in Q4 2024. Full-year 2024 revenue and adjusted EBITDA rose 17% and 33% respectively.
Strategic Acquisitions and Growth Prospects
The acquisition of OddsJam and OpticOdds expanded the company's product portfolio, promising a 20% growth in incremental adjusted EBITDA from these businesses.
Strong Organic and Market Share Growth
The company expects to grow revenue by 35% and adjusted EBITDA by 40% in 2025, with significant contributions from expanded product offerings and market share gains.
Increased Revenue from Subscriptions
Recurring subscription revenue is expected to account for over 20% of total group revenue in 2025, driven by the OddsJam and OpticOdds acquisitions.
Robust Performance in Core Affiliate Business
The company reported its best quarter in its 19-year history for the core affiliate business, with strong growth in iGaming revenue across operating regions.
Lowlights
Decline in North American Sports Revenue
There was a 9% decline in North American revenue due to less state launch activity and lower media partnership revenue.
Challenges in Traffic from Media Partnerships
The company anticipates substantially lower traffic from media partnerships, resulting in a headwind to overall revenue growth.
Impact of Regulatory Changes in Brazil
Gambling.com Group faced challenges due to regulatory changes in Brazil, which have affected affiliate businesses operating in the region.
Company Guidance
In the Gambling.com Group's fourth quarter 2024 earnings call, the company provided optimistic guidance for 2025, projecting a 35% growth in full-year revenue and a 40% increase in adjusted EBITDA, based on the midpoints of their initial guidance. This growth is anticipated to be driven by several key factors, including the recent acquisition of OddsJam and OpticOdds, which is expected to contribute approximately $14.5 million in incremental adjusted EBITDA. The company's core affiliate business also showed strength, with record revenue of $35.3 million in Q4 2024, and the full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA rising by 17% and 33%, respectively. Furthermore, Gambling.com anticipates over 20% of its 2025 revenue to derive from subscriptions, enhancing its diversified market exposure and ability to drive high-intent traffic. The company is also optimistic about organic growth in sports betting, particularly in North America, and expects to capitalize on its expanded product portfolio and new opportunities in recently regulated markets such as Missouri.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.