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fuboTV (FUBO)
NYSE:FUBO
US Market

fuboTV (FUBO) AI Stock Analysis

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fuboTV

(NYSE:FUBO)

48Neutral
fuboTV's overall stock score reflects significant revenue growth and strategic advancements such as the merger with Hulu + Live TV. However, these positives are offset by financial challenges, including ongoing losses and cash flow difficulties, as well as technical indicators suggesting bearish momentum. The company needs to improve operational efficiency and stabilize its financials to enhance its stock performance.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The settlement of litigation with Venu Sports JV partners, resulting in a $220 million payment, improves the company's financial condition and can help repay debt.
Mergers and Acquisitions
The proposed combination with Hulu is expected to improve the company's financial profile and move it to cash flow and EBITDA positive at closing.
Strategic Partnerships
The company is working to achieve increased flexibility with its programming partners, including a renewed carriage agreement with Disney, to offer more consumer choice with skinnier bundles.
Negative Factors
Content and Partnerships
Loss of a content relationship with Univision and uncertainty around the Hulu combination negatively impact the company's guidance and revenue estimates.
Financial Guidance
Fubo introduced Q1 guidance below expectations.
Subscriber Growth
North America subscriber growth was down 55% year-over-year, 22% below estimates.

fuboTV (FUBO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

fuboTV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionfuboTV Inc. operates a live TV streaming platform for live sports, news, and entertainment content in the United States and internationally. Its fuboTV platform allows customers to access content through streaming devices, as well as on SmartTVs, computers, mobile phones, and tablets. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyfuboTV generates revenue primarily through subscription fees paid by its users for access to its streaming services. The company offers various subscription plans, each providing different levels of access to its content library, which includes live sports events, TV shows, and movies. Additionally, fuboTV earns money through advertising, leveraging its platform to display targeted ads to subscribers. The company also partners with networks and content providers, which can include revenue-sharing agreements that further contribute to its earnings. fuboTV's focus on sports content allows it to attract a dedicated user base willing to pay for premium access to live sports coverage, which is a significant driver of its subscription revenue.

fuboTV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
fuboTV's financial performance shows ongoing challenges with profitability and financial stability. Despite significant revenue growth, high operational inefficiencies, negative margins, and cash flow issues overshadow the growth. The high debt-to-equity ratio adds financial risk, indicating a need for better operational efficiency and financial stability.
Income Statement
35
Negative
fuboTV's income statement highlights ongoing challenges with profitability. The company has a negative net profit margin and EBIT margin, indicating operational inefficiencies. Revenue growth has been significant over the years, but high losses continue to overshadow the growth, affecting overall income stability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting significant leverage which presents financial risk. Stockholders' equity has declined, reducing the company's equity ratio. These factors indicate diminished financial stability and a potential challenge in managing liabilities.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow statements reveal persistent negative free cash flow, underscoring cash management issues. The operating cash flow is heavily negative, impacting the ability to cover net income. The company has yet to demonstrate consistent positive cash flow, which is crucial for long-term financial health.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.62B1.37B1.01B638.35M217.75M
Gross Profit
203.91M86.15M-41.10M-10.45M-16.04M
EBIT
-196.02M-289.35M-411.86M-359.42M-479.90M
EBITDA
-197.23M-238.07M-372.73M-287.47M-545.76M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-172.25M-287.45M-425.05M-382.96M-599.39M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
161.44M245.28M337.09M374.29M134.94M
Total Assets
1.08B1.23B1.28B1.37B859.35M
Total Debt
378.42M443.02M442.80M363.90M33.51M
Net Debt
216.99M197.74M105.71M-10.40M-101.44M
Total Liabilities
896.65M948.82M874.44M698.90M236.40M
Stockholders Equity
196.37M295.58M403.33M670.88M622.95M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-95.31M-199.57M-322.69M-206.08M-150.73M
Operating Cash Flow
-79.48M-177.62M-316.70M-192.60M-150.56M
Investing Cash Flow
-15.84M-25.42M-12.42M-76.17M-838.00K
Financing Cash Flow
11.46M111.23M296.27M511.96M280.00M

fuboTV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.85
Price Trends
50DMA
3.37
Negative
100DMA
2.90
Negative
200DMA
2.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Positive
RSI
44.73
Neutral
STOCH
52.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FUBO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.00, below the 50-day MA of 3.37, and above the 200-day MA of 2.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FUBO.

fuboTV Risk Analysis

fuboTV disclosed 78 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. fuboTV reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

fuboTV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$2.48B4.3721.01%3.24%6.56%57.12%
SSSSP
73
Outperform
$178.59M2.0611.68%9.46%
GTGTN
71
Outperform
$377.32M1.0013.50%9.55%11.06%
64
Neutral
$142.91M-19.83%4.64%-10.12%74.20%
58
Neutral
$26.25B2.79-10.85%4.33%2.15%-44.22%
48
Neutral
$973.21M-70.72%18.61%49.61%
42
Neutral
$166.52M86.54%2.76%9.71%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FUBO
fuboTV
2.88
1.48
105.71%
SSP
E. W. Scripps Company Class A
2.06
-1.07
-34.19%
GTN
Gray Television
3.35
-1.91
-36.31%
TGNA
TEGNA
15.42
2.45
18.89%
IHRT
iHeartMedia
1.15
-0.96
-45.50%
CURI
CuriosityStream
2.57
1.43
125.44%

fuboTV Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 28, 2025 | % Change Since: -19.03% | Next Earnings Date: May 2, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call for fuboTV Inc. highlighted significant achievements in revenue growth, profitability improvements, and strategic partnerships, including the combination with Hulu + Live TV. However, challenges like the decline in ad revenue, the nonrenewal with Univision, and a projected decline in subscribers for the upcoming quarter present notable concerns.
Highlights
Record Year for Revenue and Subscriber Growth
fuboTV Inc. delivered double-digit revenue growth in North America, reaching nearly $1.6 billion, up 19% year over year. Paid subscribers in the region increased to 1,676,000, a 4% growth year over year.
Improved Profitability Metrics
fuboTV Inc. improved full-year adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow by over $100 million for the second consecutive year. Q4 net loss improved to $40.9 million from $71 million in Q4 2023.
First Quarter of Positive Free Cash Flow
fuboTV Inc. reported positive free cash flow of $16.3 million in Q4 2024, marking a significant milestone in financial discipline and cost management.
FuboTV and Hulu + Live TV Combination
Announced a definitive agreement with the Walt Disney Company to combine Hulu + Live TV, making fuboTV Inc. the sixth largest player in the pay TV space by subscribers.
Lowlights
Decline in Global Ad Revenue
Global ad revenue declined by 11.8% year over year, primarily due to a decrease in ad-insertable content following content portfolio adjustments in 2024.
Challenges with Univision Nonrenewal
Did not renew the agreement with Univision due to significant rate increases, leading to a reduction in the Latino plan price by 55% and expected subscriber impact.
Subscriber Guidance Indicating Decline
Guidance for Q1 North America subscribers is 1,430,000 to 1,460,000, representing a 4% year-over-year decline at the midpoint.
Company Guidance
During the fuboTV Inc. fourth quarter 2024 earnings call, the company reported a strong year with double-digit revenue growth in North America, achieving a total revenue of nearly $1.6 billion, a 19% increase compared to the previous year. Paid subscribers in the region grew by 4% to 1,676,000, with an average revenue per user of $87.90 in Q4, marking a 1.4% year-over-year increase. The company also reported its first quarter of positive free cash flow, totaling $16.3 million, and a significant improvement in adjusted EBITDA, with a loss of $8.7 million, compared to a $50.1 million loss in the prior year. Looking ahead, fuboTV Inc. provided guidance for Q1 2025, projecting North America revenue between $400 million and $410 million and subscriber numbers between 1,430,000 and 1,460,000, partially reflecting the impact of not renewing with Univision. The company highlighted its strategy to enhance consumer choice with new bundles and a planned sports and broadcasting service set to launch for the fall sports season, independent of its pending business combination with Hulu + Live TV.

fuboTV Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsLegal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
FuboTV and Disney Merge Hulu + Live TV
Positive
Jan 6, 2025

FuboTV Inc. and The Walt Disney Company have reached an agreement to merge Disney’s Hulu + Live TV business with Fubo, forming a new virtual MVPD company. Disney will own a 70% stake in the new entity, while Fubo’s existing management team will continue to lead operations. The merger aims to enhance consumer choice with flexible programming options, leveraging a combined subscriber base of over 6.2 million in North America. Additionally, the transaction includes a settlement of all litigation between Fubo and Disney, ESPN, FOX, and Warner Bros. Discovery, with Disney and its affiliates making a substantial cash payment to Fubo and committing to a future term loan. This strategic move is expected to strengthen Fubo’s market position and financial standing, offering potential benefits to stakeholders through synergies and increased profitability.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.