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Freyr Battery (FREY)
NYSE:FREY

FREYR Battery (FREY) AI Stock Analysis

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FREYR Battery

(NYSE:FREY)

59Neutral
FREYR Battery's overall stock score is driven by its strategic expansion into the U.S. solar market, supported by positive technical momentum. However, substantial financial challenges and unfavorable valuation metrics weigh significantly on the stock, reflecting a moderate risk-reward balance. The lack of earnings call guidance and sentiment adds to the uncertainty, necessitating caution from investors.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
Cost control and cash burn focus is expected to extend liquidity to 3 years providing further financial flexibility.
Manufacturing Capabilities
FREY successfully produced more than 50 unit cells using its automated Casting Unit Cell Assembly Machine, showing promising characteristics.
Strategic Partnerships
FREY is in advanced discussions on potential agreements to develop a conventional battery tech in US and Europe.
Negative Factors
Business Strategy Shift
Analysts wait for greater clarity surrounding the shift in business strategy and commercial revenue opportunities.
Revenue and EBITDA Targets
FREY remains focused on accelerating its path to market, achieving first revenues and EBITDA by FY25.
Revenue Forecast
Forecasted revenue estimates for 2024 and 2025 have been lowered to nil and ~$1.3M respectively to take a conservative stance.

FREYR Battery (FREY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

FREYR Battery Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFREYR Battery (FREY) is a publicly traded company specializing in the development and production of clean, sustainable battery solutions. Operating within the energy storage sector, FREYR focuses on advancing lithium-ion battery technology to support the growing demand for renewable energy integration and electrification across various industries. The company's core products include high-density, cost-effective battery cells designed for applications in electric vehicles, energy storage systems, and other industrial uses.
How the Company Makes MoneyFREYR Battery generates revenue primarily through the sale of its lithium-ion battery products to manufacturers and end-users in the automotive, energy storage, and industrial sectors. The company leverages its cutting-edge production technologies and strategic partnerships to produce batteries that meet the high-performance and cost-efficiency demands of its clients. Significant partnerships with technology providers and raw material suppliers contribute to streamlined production processes and enhanced product value, supporting FREYR's ability to secure long-term contracts and expand its market presence. Additionally, the company's focus on sustainability and clean energy solutions positions it favorably within a market increasingly driven by environmental considerations and regulatory incentives.

FREYR Battery Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FREYR Battery is facing significant financial challenges, with substantial net losses and negative cash flows. Despite a strong equity position, the high cash burn and inability to generate revenue are critical risks that necessitate strategic changes.
Income Statement
15
Very Negative
FREYR Battery shows substantial net losses and negative EBIT across all periods with no revenue generation, indicating significant challenges in achieving profitability. The lack of revenue growth and negative margins highlight a critical need for a change in operational strategy or market conditions to drive growth.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a strong equity position with a relatively low level of debt, indicating financial stability. However, the company's assets are not generating revenue, and the high cash burn is a concern. The equity ratio is strong, but the lack of asset utilization remains a significant challenge.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow statements indicate negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, reflecting the company's struggle to generate cash from operations. Although there is some financing activity, the persistent negative cash flow raises concerns about sustainability without additional financing.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
-6.80M-4.70M-478.00K-120.00K-15.00K0.00
EBIT
-130.10M-142.99M-122.49M-75.63M-8.92M-121.07K
EBITDA
-119.69M-133.25M-120.45M-75.45M-8.91M209.71K
Net Income Common Stockholders
-107.16M-71.94M-76.98M-95.79M-10.38M209.71K
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
179.00K277.23M443.06M563.96M14.75M2.28M
Total Assets
0.00732.18M827.70M627.03M15.93M290.23M
Total Debt
0.0022.20M14.40M0.007.57K80.00K
Net Debt
179.00K-231.14M-428.66M-563.96M-14.74M-2.20M
Total Liabilities
0.0097.47M107.57M81.55M10.97M10.07M
Stockholders Equity
-949.00K633.20M717.46M545.49M4.96M5.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-160.22M-275.75M-270.80M-76.91M-7.41M-248.90K
Operating Cash Flow
-78.57M-87.93M-90.01M-63.14M-7.34M-228.90K
Investing Cash Flow
-27.03M-186.98M-175.03M-33.79M-71.00K-287.50M
Financing Cash Flow
48.78M0.00250.07M649.00M20.46M290.01M

FREYR Battery Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.48
Price Trends
50DMA
1.99
Negative
100DMA
1.88
Negative
200DMA
1.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Negative
RSI
42.23
Neutral
STOCH
55.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FREY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.63, below the 50-day MA of 1.99, and below the 200-day MA of 1.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FREY.

FREYR Battery Risk Analysis

FREYR Battery disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FREYR Battery reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FREYR Battery Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$8.17B12.830.26%3.07%3.83%-16.44%
59
Neutral
$189.66M-18.30%-457.87%
49
Neutral
$520.99M-33.54%20.29%-106.22%
48
Neutral
$202.01M-21.13%15.67%-45.59%
QSQS
46
Neutral
$2.32B-38.29%2.40%
44
Neutral
$1.42B-88.04%1429.35%-36.13%
NINIO
43
Neutral
$10.15B-155.53%13.77%17.85%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FREY
FREYR Battery
1.51
0.03
2.03%
NIO
Nio
5.10
-0.82
-13.85%
TSE:BLDP
Ballard Power Systems
1.76
-1.99
-53.07%
QS
QuantumScape
4.32
-1.56
-26.53%
ENVX
Enovix
7.58
-0.35
-4.41%
SLDP
Solid Power
1.13
-0.33
-22.60%

FREYR Battery Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Nov 6, 2024 | % Change Since: 40.95% | Next Earnings Date: Mar 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a cautiously optimistic outlook for FREYR, with significant strengths in financial positioning and strategic partnerships. While there are challenges in capital markets and competition, the company is focused on executing its strategy to achieve profitability.
Highlights
Strong Financial Position
FREYR has a cash position of more than $200 million with no debt, providing flexibility in project financing and extending the runway to approximately 36 months without new funding.
Progress in Battery Production
FREYR has proven the ability to produce functional batteries using next-generation equipment on the 24M SemiSolid platform, attracting attention from new and existing strategic partners.
Strategic Partnerships and Opportunities
FREYR is capitalizing on partnerships across the battery value chain and exploring financeable downstream module and pack opportunities with attractive economic returns.
Leadership and Organizational Strength
The management team has been strengthened with key appointments, including a new CFO, Evan Calio, who brings deep expertise in global energy markets and capital formation.
Lowlights
Challenging Capital Markets
Raising capital for cell manufacturing remains difficult in the West, with the battery industry facing challenges related to the financing environment and competition from Asia.
Uncertain Market Conditions
The volatility in capital markets and the impact of the Inflation Reduction Act and reduced cell manufacturing costs in China pose challenges to FREYR's strategic initiatives.
Company Guidance
During the FREYR Battery Q2 2024 earnings call, significant guidance was provided with a focus on advancing business development opportunities and achieving profitability. The company highlighted a strong cash position of over $200 million, with no debt, and a strategic plan to generate first revenue and EBITDA by 2025. FREYR is prioritizing projects that are quickest to market, particularly downstream module and pack opportunities, due to their lower capital intensity and attractive economic returns. They have implemented cost-control measures to extend the cash runway to approximately 36 months. Additionally, FREYR is leveraging its strategic assets, such as Giga Arctic and Giga America, alongside a revamped board and management team, to capitalize on the rapidly evolving battery industry landscape.

FREYR Battery Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
FREYR Battery Expands with Trina Solar Acquisition
Positive
Dec 27, 2024

FREYR Battery has completed the acquisition of Trina Solar’s U.S. manufacturing assets, marking a significant step in its strategy to establish a U.S.-based solar and battery storage company. The acquisition includes a 5 GW solar module manufacturing facility in Texas, expected to be fully operational by the second half of 2025, and is backed by firm offtake contracts with U.S. customers. This move is anticipated to create up to 1,800 jobs, satisfy local content requirements, and solidify FREYR’s position in the renewable energy sector.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
FREYR Battery Appoints New COO Amid Leadership Change
Neutral
Nov 13, 2024

FREYR Battery, Inc. has made a significant leadership change by terminating the employment of its COO, Michael Brose, effective November 7, 2024. The company has appointed David Gustafson as the new COO, pending the closing of its recent transaction with Trina Solar (Schweiz) AG, signaling a strategic shift following this development.

Business Operations and Strategy
FREYR Battery Ends Licensing Agreements with 24M Technologies
Neutral
Nov 6, 2024

FREYR and 24M Technologies have mutually terminated their licensing agreements, with FREYR agreeing to pay $3 million to 24M and forfeiting nearly 7 million shares of Series G preferred stock. This strategic move highlights the evolving dynamics in the financial markets, reflecting companies’ efforts to restructure and optimize their partnerships.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
FREYR Battery Expands into U.S. Solar Market
Positive
Nov 6, 2024

FREYR Battery has announced its acquisition of Trina Solar’s U.S. manufacturing assets, marking a significant step in its expansion into the solar market. The transaction, valued at $340 million, includes cash, stock, and notes, and is expected to close by the end of 2024. This strategic move positions FREYR as a leading U.S. solar technology company, aiming to create jobs and meet local content requirements. The company also plans to construct a new solar cell manufacturing facility, with operations starting in 2026, further solidifying its presence in the renewable energy sector.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.