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EZCORP Inc (EZPW)
NASDAQ:EZPW

EZCORP (EZPW) AI Stock Analysis

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EZ

EZCORP

(NASDAQ:EZPW)

76Outperform
EZCORP's strong financial performance and robust technical indicators are key strengths, driving an overall favorable score. The company benefits from strategic growth initiatives and has shown resilience in expanding markets. However, caution is needed due to potential risks like high leverage and overbought technical conditions.
Positive Factors
Business Growth
EZPW continues to open new stores in Latin America, particularly in Mexico, where new locations become profitable quickly, enhancing growth potential.
Financial Performance
Adjusted EPS and EBITDA came in 13% and 14% above expectations, respectively, driven by mix (loans are much more profitable than merchandise sales) and disciplined expense control.
Financial Standing
The interest rate on the new senior notes is lower than expected, which benefits the company's financial standing.
Negative Factors
Economic Risks
Risks to the accomplishment of our price target could come from economic swings that adversely impact consumers' need for pawn lending.
Geographic Expansion
The termination of the acquisition agreement with Auto Dinero was unfortunate, affecting EZPW's geographic expansion plans in Mexico.

EZCORP (EZPW) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

EZCORP Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEZCORP, Inc. (NASDAQ: EZPW) is a leading provider of pawn loans in the United States and Latin America. The company operates through multiple segments, including U.S. Pawn, Latin America Pawn, and other ancillary businesses. EZCORP offers a range of services including pawn loans, which are non-recourse loans collateralized by personal property, and the sale of merchandise, primarily collateral forfeited from pawn lending operations. Their core products include consumer electronics, jewelry, tools, and musical instruments.
How the Company Makes MoneyEZCORP primarily generates revenue through its pawn loan services, which involve providing short-term, secured loans to customers in exchange for personal property as collateral. Customers can either repay the loan and reclaim their property or forfeit the collateral, which EZCORP then sells through its retail storefronts. The company earns interest and fees on the pawn loans, contributing to a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, the sale of forfeited merchandise through retail channels provides another key revenue stream. EZCORP's operations across the U.S. and Latin America help diversify its income sources while strategic store locations and customer relationships enhance its profitability.

EZCORP Financial Statement Overview

Summary
EZCORP exhibits strong financial health, with significant revenue growth, improving margins, and robust cash flow generation. The company's balance sheet is well-managed with a healthy equity position. However, potential risks include high leverage and cash flow volatility, which should be monitored. Overall, EZCORP is positioned well in the credit finance industry with a strong financial foundation.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
EZCORP's income statement reveals strong revenue growth with a 33.3% increase from 2022 to 2023 and continued growth into the TTM. Gross profit and net profit margins improved, with a TTM gross profit margin of 58.8% and a net profit margin of 7.2%, indicating solid profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also show strong operational efficiency. However, the reliance on a single revenue stream in a competitive industry poses a potential risk.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet displays a favorable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 in the TTM, showing responsible leverage management. The equity ratio is healthy at 54.9%, suggesting a strong capital structure. Return on equity improved to 10.4%, reflecting better profitability. Nonetheless, the high total debt level relative to total assets could impact financial flexibility in adverse market conditions.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
EZCORP's cash flow statement indicates robust free cash flow growth of 47.2% from the previous year, underlining strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.40, reflecting efficient cash conversion. However, fluctuations in investing cash flow and financing cash flow suggest potential volatility in cash management strategies.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.18B1.16B1.05B886.23M729.55M822.81M
Gross Profit
695.10M682.27M609.84M528.15M449.49M449.24M
EBIT
117.39M112.53M92.15M74.92M31.17M7.84M
EBITDA
160.66M162.26M100.22M162.03M117.39M28.85M
Net Income Common Stockholders
85.64M83.09M38.46M50.16M8.61M-68.46M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
51.19M170.51M220.59M206.03M253.67M304.54M
Total Assets
546.28M1.49B1.47B1.35B1.27B1.20B
Total Debt
30.00M566.94M610.48M545.99M477.78M454.01M
Net Debt
-21.19M396.43M389.89M339.96M224.11M149.47M
Total Liabilities
75.81M688.67M721.94M655.65M594.67M547.90M
Stockholders Equity
470.46M804.57M745.77M692.23M672.24M649.13M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
91.32M77.84M61.39M34.64M22.84M20.55M
Operating Cash Flow
119.90M113.60M101.83M66.53M46.44M49.08M
Investing Cash Flow
-109.03M-111.85M-110.89M-113.28M-84.61M109.90M
Financing Cash Flow
-50.89M-50.18M23.69M-2.83M-16.25M-6.25M

EZCORP Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.25
Price Trends
50DMA
13.79
Positive
100DMA
12.99
Positive
200DMA
12.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.48
Negative
RSI
72.34
Negative
STOCH
62.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EZPW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.59, above the 50-day MA of 13.79, and above the 200-day MA of 12.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.34 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EZPW.

EZCORP Risk Analysis

EZCORP disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. EZCORP reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

EZCORP Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$5.51B21.4712.78%1.24%7.51%19.24%
77
Outperform
$2.25B11.5817.19%25.51%36.96%
77
Outperform
$669.03M8.0419.28%-2.78%24.39%
76
Outperform
$851.55M13.6610.71%8.95%71.41%
RMRM
73
Outperform
$277.15M6.8112.14%4.26%6.73%151.08%
70
Outperform
$714.57M42.4833.59%2.71%
64
Neutral
$12.70B9.089.19%4.89%16.29%-8.64%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EZPW
EZCORP
15.25
4.20
38.01%
FCFS
FirstCash
118.00
-9.80
-7.67%
RM
Regional Management
31.12
7.22
30.21%
WRLD
World Acceptance
113.63
-22.75
-16.68%
ENVA
Enova International
86.19
24.85
40.51%
OPFI
OppFi
7.92
4.86
158.82%

EZCORP Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 5, 2025 | % Change Since: 24.59% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and expansion in both the U.S. and Latin America, driven by strategic initiatives and customer demand. However, challenges remain with merchandise margin decline, inventory turnover, and rising wage costs impacting expenses.
Highlights
Record Revenue and Profit Growth
Total revenue reached $329.7 million, a 10% year-over-year increase, and PLO grew 16% to $282.9 million. EBITDA increased by 12% to $53 million, with diluted EPS up 17% to $0.42.
Strong Performance in Latin America
Total revenues in Latin America increased by 18% to $97.5 million, driven by a 19% increase in PLO and a 57% increase in inventory from the prior year.
Expansion and Innovation
Opened four new stores in Latin America and expanded the 'Buy Now, Pay Later' program across all U.S. stores. Implemented new digital and customer loyalty initiatives including the Easy Plus rewards program.
Sustainability and Community Impact
Sold over 1.5 million pre-owned items and supported communities with charity donations and volunteer hours.
Lowlights
Merchandise Margin Decline
Merchandise gross margin decreased, attributed to increased promotional activity and customer negotiation at the counter.
Inventory Turnover Challenges
Inventory turnover rate was 2.7 times, down from 3 times, with efforts required to optimize sales velocity and inventory management.
Wage Increase Pressures
Minimum wage increases in Latin America, ranging from 6.5% to 12%, impacted expenses and affected 63% of team members in the region.
Company Guidance
During EZCORP's first quarter fiscal 2025 earnings call, the company reported robust financial performance with total revenue reaching $329.7 million, a 10% year-over-year increase. Pawn loans outstanding (PLO) surged by 16% to $282.9 million, contributing to a 12% rise in EBITDA to $53 million, and boosting diluted EPS by 17% to $0.42. The company operates 1,283 stores, having added four new stores this quarter, with a strong cash position of $174.5 million. In the U.S., revenue hit a record $232.2 million, driven by a 16% growth in earning assets and a 7% rise in total revenues. Latin America saw an 18% increase in total revenues to $97.5 million with PLO growth of 19%. EZCORP's focus remains on expanding its store network, enhancing customer financing options, and leveraging digital platforms to drive growth.

EZCORP Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
EZCORP Ends Acquisition Deal with Presta Dinero
Neutral
Mar 19, 2025

On March 19, 2025, EZCORP, Inc. announced the termination of its agreement to acquire 53 pawn stores in Mexico from Presta Dinero, S.A. de C.V., an agreement initially made on September 10, 2024. Despite this setback, the company remains optimistic about its expansion opportunities in Mexico, where it currently operates over 560 stores and continues to grow through opening new stores and pursuing strategic acquisitions.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
EZCORP 2025 Annual Meeting Highlights Strategic Plans
Neutral
Mar 14, 2025

EZCORP held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on March 13, 2025, where the sole holder of the Company’s Class B Voting Common Stock re-elected the board members for a one-year term. The meeting did not involve any voting by the Class A Non-Voting Common Stockholders, but management discussed strategic plans and initiatives and provided a presentation available on the company’s website.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
EZCORP Achieves Record Growth in Q1 Fiscal 2025
Positive
Feb 5, 2025

On February 5, 2025, EZCORP reported record first-quarter fiscal 2025 results with significant financial growth, including a 13% increase in pawn loans outstanding to $274.8 million and a 9% rise in net income to $31.0 million. The company demonstrated strong geographical performance, with U.S. pawn loans up 15% and Latin America pawn loans rising 19% on a constant currency basis, reflecting high customer demand and improved operational performance. The results underscore EZCORP’s strategic initiatives and robust market positioning, as the company aims for continued growth through exceptional customer service and strategic mergers and acquisitions.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.