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Evergy (EVRG)
NASDAQ:EVRG

Evergy (EVRG) AI Stock Analysis

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EV

Evergy

(NASDAQ:EVRG)

72Outperform
Evergy's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. The company shows robust earnings growth and regulatory success, supported by a solid dividend yield. While negative free cash flow and increased expenses pose challenges, the company's strategic investments and economic development initiatives position it for future growth.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
The integration of over $2 billion in additional capital expenditures enhances visibility to a potential earnings per share (EPS) growth rate above the top end of the company's target range.
Regulatory Environment
Economic growth prospects are pushing increased regulatory and legislative support, making Evergy's service territories increasingly constructive.
Negative Factors
Financing and Debt
Financing needs could test credit metrics, but junior subordinated notes (JSNs) provide a means to mitigate the pressure on FFO to Debt ratios.
Share Price and Equity
Share price decline since November update increases dilution from equity assumptions, and the continued rise in 10 year treasury rates increases debt financing costs.

Evergy (EVRG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Evergy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEvergy, Inc. (EVRG) is a leading utility company that provides electricity services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Kansas and Missouri. As a prominent player in the utilities sector, Evergy is committed to delivering safe, reliable, and sustainable energy solutions. The company operates an extensive network of power plants, transmission lines, and distribution systems, ensuring that its customers have access to consistent and affordable electricity. Evergy focuses on integrating renewable energy sources and modernizing its infrastructure to enhance efficiency and environmental sustainability.
How the Company Makes MoneyEvergy makes money primarily through the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity to a diverse customer base in its service areas. The company's revenue model is centered around charging customers for the electricity consumed, which is measured in kilowatt-hours (kWh). Rates are typically regulated by state public utility commissions, ensuring a balance between affordability for consumers and fair returns for the company. Key revenue streams include residential, commercial, and industrial electricity sales. Additionally, Evergy invests in renewable energy projects and infrastructure upgrades, which may be supported by government incentives or partnerships aimed at fostering sustainable energy development. The company's financial performance is also influenced by factors such as weather conditions, energy demand, and regulatory changes.

Evergy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Evergy's financials demonstrate strong profitability with consistent net income growth and a solid EBIT margin. The balance sheet is healthy, with improved leverage management, but free cash flow remains negative due to high capital expenditures.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Evergy demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent increase in net income and a solid EBIT margin. The net profit margin improved from 13.3% in 2023 to 14.9% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. However, revenue growth has been inconsistent over the years, with a slight decline from 2022 to 2023 but a rebound in 2024.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is healthy with a strong equity base. The debt-to-equity ratio decreased to 0.052 in 2024, showcasing improved leverage management. However, the equity ratio slightly decreased from 29.96% in 2023 to 30.42% in 2024, reflecting a stable capital structure. Return on equity is robust, enhancing shareholder value.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong but free cash flow has been negative, primarily due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating good cash conversion from earnings. However, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio suggests a need for careful capital management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
5.85B5.51B5.86B5.59B4.91B
Gross Profit
4.89B1.69B2.63B2.63B2.39B
EBIT
1.47B1.28B1.27B1.35B1.14B
EBITDA
2.64B2.42B2.19B2.31B2.04B
Net Income Common Stockholders
873.50M731.30M752.70M879.70M618.30M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
100.00K27.70M25.20M26.20M144.90M
Total Assets
32.28B32.24B29.49B28.52B27.11B
Total Debt
508.70M13.27B12.04B11.17B10.32B
Net Debt
508.60M13.25B12.01B11.14B10.18B
Total Liabilities
22.29B22.56B20.00B19.28B18.40B
Stockholders Equity
9.81B9.66B9.48B9.24B8.73B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-234.60M-353.80M-364.60M-620.80M193.50M
Operating Cash Flow
1.04B1.98B1.80B1.35B1.75B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.20B-2.47B-2.15B-1.91B-1.53B
Financing Cash Flow
151.70M494.00M349.30M443.40M-98.40M

Evergy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price66.52
Price Trends
50DMA
66.54
Negative
100DMA
64.21
Positive
200DMA
60.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.65
Negative
RSI
64.05
Neutral
STOCH
88.18
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EVRG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 66.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.15, below the 50-day MA of 66.54, and above the 200-day MA of 60.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.65 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.18 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EVRG.

Evergy Risk Analysis

Evergy disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Evergy reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Evergy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CMCMS
78
Outperform
$21.28B21.3712.72%2.93%0.71%11.07%
72
Outperform
$15.06B17.298.91%4.00%5.73%19.34%
LNLNT
72
Outperform
$15.52B22.4910.01%3.23%-1.12%-3.22%
EIEIX
70
Outperform
$21.33B16.738.83%5.72%7.72%6.49%
FEFE
70
Outperform
$22.73B23.238.54%4.24%4.68%-11.66%
PNPNW
70
Neutral
$10.76B17.249.42%3.93%9.13%21.11%
65
Neutral
$11.75B15.506.20%4.60%5.53%-8.93%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EVRG
Evergy
66.52
17.72
36.31%
LNT
Alliant Energy
60.59
14.24
30.72%
CMS
CMS Energy
71.82
15.94
28.53%
EIX
Edison International
56.10
-9.46
-14.43%
FE
FirstEnergy
40.60
4.73
13.19%
PNW
Pinnacle West Capital
91.91
22.71
32.82%

Evergy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -2.75% | Next Earnings Date: May 2, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Evergy's earnings call for Q4 2024 highlighted strong earnings growth, successful regulatory outcomes, and significant economic development wins, despite challenges from weather impacts and increased operating expenses. The company is optimistic about future growth driven by a robust economic development pipeline and increased capital investments, though it will require additional equity issuances.
Highlights
Strong Earnings Growth
Reported adjusted earnings of $3.81 per share for 2024, up from $3.54 per share in 2023, driven by strong cost management and load growth.
Capital Investment and Infrastructure Modernization
Invested $2.3 billion in infrastructure to modernize the grid and replace aging equipment as part of a five-year $17.5 billion capital plan.
Regulatory and Legislative Success
Successful passage of House Bill 2527 in Kansas and a unanimous settlement in Missouri West rate case, supporting infrastructure investments.
Economic Development Wins
Major economic development wins with companies like Google, Panasonic, Meta creating a demand representing 800 megawatts of load.
Robust Economic Development Pipeline
Economic development pipeline grew from 6 gigawatts to over 11 gigawatts, reflecting the competitiveness of the region.
Dividend Increase
Raised dividend by 4% to an annualized $2.67, consistent with a 60% to 70% target payout ratio.
Lowlights
Weather Impact on Earnings
Cooler summer and mild winter led to a 5% decrease in cooling degree days and a 4% decrease in heating degree days, causing a $0.13 decline in EPS.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operations and maintenance expenses drove a $0.05 negative variance for the year, with higher depreciation and interest expense leading to a $0.17 decrease in EPS.
Need for Additional Equity Issuances
Projected equity issuances across 2026 to 2029 increased to $2.8 billion, a $600 million increase over prior forecast due to capital investment increases.
Company Guidance
During the Q4 2024 earnings call, Evergy, Inc. provided guidance and highlighted key metrics that reflect a robust operational and financial outlook. The company reported adjusted earnings of $3.81 per share for 2024, an increase from $3.54 per share in the previous year, driven by strong cost management and investment in infrastructure improvements. Despite weather challenges, Evergy executed a $2.3 billion capital investment plan focusing on grid modernization and reliability. Looking ahead, the company reaffirmed its 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range of $3.92 to $4.12 per share, with a midpoint of $4.02, and maintained a long-term growth target of 4% to 6% through 2029. The capital expenditure forecast from 2025 to 2029 was updated to $17.5 billion, supporting an anticipated average rate base growth of 8.5% annually. Evergy also reported a strong economic development pipeline, with potential demand growth fueled by major projects representing an additional 800 megawatts of load, underscoring a weather-normalized demand growth forecast of 2% to 3% through 2029.

Evergy Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Evergy Promotes Matt Gummig to Chief Accounting Officer
Positive
Mar 27, 2025

Evergy has announced the promotion of Matt Gummig to Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer, and principal accounting officer, effective April 2, 2025. This follows his interim appointment in December 2024. Mr. Gummig’s new role includes a comprehensive compensation package, participation in incentive plans, and eligibility for severance benefits, reflecting Evergy’s commitment to strengthening its leadership team.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Evergy Reports Strong 2024 Financial Results and Future Plans
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

Evergy reported its 2024 financial results, showing an increase in GAAP earnings per share to $3.79 from $3.17 in 2023, and adjusted earnings per share to $3.81 from $3.54. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.6675 per share and raised its capital investment plan for 2025-2029 to $17.5 billion. Evergy reaffirmed its 2025 earnings guidance and highlighted the positive impact of new retail rates and infrastructure investments, despite challenges such as mild weather and increased expenses. The passage of House Bill 2527 in Kansas and a settlement agreement in Missouri reflect strong regulatory support and stakeholder relationships, positioning Evergy for future growth.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.