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Embraer-empresa Brasileira De Aeronautica (ERJ)
NYSE:ERJ

Embraer SA (ERJ) AI Stock Analysis

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Embraer SA

(NYSE:ERJ)

76Outperform
Embraer SA's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes, particularly in revenue growth and Executive Aviation success. Challenges in supply chain and segment profitability are notable risks, but are balanced by solid financial health and operational achievements. Technical indicators and valuation are neutral, suggesting cautious optimism for future performance.
Positive Factors
Business Jet Orders
Embraer recently secured a significant $7 billion business jet order from FlexJet, contributing to positive market sentiment.
New Orders
Embraer secures a historic order for E2s, marking a breakthrough into a growing market for its E2 family within the small narrowbody segment.
Negative Factors
Risk of Order Cancellation
There may be higher risk to Embraer should order cancellation occur for any reason.

Embraer SA (ERJ) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Embraer SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEmbraer SA (ERJ) is a leading aerospace company based in Brazil, specializing in the design, development, manufacturing, and sale of aircraft and systems for the commercial aviation, executive aviation, and defense and security sectors. As one of the largest aircraft manufacturers in the world, Embraer is renowned for its innovative solutions and a diverse portfolio that includes commercial jets, executive jets, and military aircraft, along with associated services and support.
How the Company Makes MoneyEmbraer SA generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns money from the sale of commercial and executive aircraft, leveraging its strong presence in regional aviation markets. In commercial aviation, Embraer provides aircraft to airlines worldwide, focusing on the regional jet market where it holds a significant market share. The executive aviation segment involves the sale of business jets to corporate clients and high-net-worth individuals. Additionally, the defense and security division contributes to revenue through contracts with military and government entities for aircraft and defense systems. Embraer also generates income from after-sales services, maintenance, and support, providing a comprehensive suite of services to ensure aircraft efficiency and longevity. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures, such as those with Boeing in the commercial aviation sector, further bolster its revenue by expanding market access and technological capabilities.

Embraer SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Embraer SA demonstrates commendable financial health with strong profitability and cash flow generation. The income statement shows improved profitability and robust revenue growth, while the balance sheet reflects a stable position with manageable leverage. The cash flow statement indicates strong cash generation capabilities, supporting future growth. However, there is room for improvement in asset financing.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Embraer SA's income statement shows strong recent performance with a marked improvement in profitability. The gross profit margin stands at 17.34% TTM, showcasing efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved significantly, with TTM figures at 9.05%, indicating effective cost controls and increased profitability. Revenue growth is robust with a significant increase from the previous year, demonstrating strong market demand. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 8.17% and 21.07% respectively, reflecting solid operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.88, indicating manageable leverage levels. Return on equity is strong at 39.90%, suggesting effective use of shareholders' funds. The equity ratio at 26.85% highlights a balanced capital structure, though slightly lower than ideal, it suggests room for improvement in asset financing. The company has maintained adequate cash reserves, supporting liquidity needs.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Embraer SA's cash flow statements reveal strong cash generation capabilities with a significant free cash flow growth rate. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 3.01, indicating strong cash conversion efficiency. Free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 2.11, reflecting robust cash flow generation relative to earnings, supporting future growth and investment opportunities.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.06B5.27B4.54B4.20B3.77B5.46B
Gross Profit
1.06B909.60M912.20M659.60M477.60M795.50M
EBIT
618.20M314.50M3.40M201.30M-247.00M-83.70M
EBITDA
1.07B583.40M215.90M440.30M-105.17M126.10M
Net Income Common Stockholders
499.50M164.00M-203.50M-43.50M-728.30M-316.50M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.48B2.15B2.31B2.57B2.70B2.72B
Total Assets
10.77B10.78B10.14B10.15B10.55B10.57B
Total Debt
2.72B2.98B3.27B4.09B4.53B3.46B
Net Debt
1.80B1.35B1.46B2.27B2.64B1.15B
Total Liabilities
7.73B7.74B7.32B7.38B7.61B6.96B
Stockholders Equity
2.79B2.79B2.57B2.67B2.83B3.52B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.64B186.20M495.30M247.10M-1.51B326.00M
Operating Cash Flow
3.77B617.00M751.30M515.30M-1.29B893.80M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.33B-447.60M-109.50M-131.60M-105.30M407.70M
Financing Cash Flow
-253.38M-348.70M-669.20M-430.60M1.01B-257.00M

Embraer SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price50.59
Price Trends
50DMA
42.10
Positive
100DMA
39.27
Positive
200DMA
35.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.80
Negative
RSI
68.71
Neutral
STOCH
77.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ERJ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 50.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.81, above the 50-day MA of 42.10, and above the 200-day MA of 35.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ERJ.

Embraer SA Risk Analysis

Embraer SA disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Embraer SA reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Embraer SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NONOC
78
Outperform
$71.53B17.4827.75%1.62%4.44%110.33%
ERERJ
76
Outperform
$9.32B26.5612.07%14.73%
GDGD
75
Outperform
$73.52B19.9217.44%2.09%12.88%13.78%
LMLMT
74
Outperform
$110.37B21.4881.04%2.69%5.14%-19.14%
TXTXT
64
Neutral
$13.70B17.4211.63%0.11%0.14%-5.38%
62
Neutral
$8.16B12.850.64%3.04%3.83%-15.83%
BABA
37
Underperform
$111.12B-162.23%-14.49%-399.90%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ERJ
Embraer SA
50.59
29.35
138.18%
BA
Boeing
154.06
-30.18
-16.38%
GD
General Dynamics
264.12
-5.09
-1.89%
LMT
Lockheed Martin
468.88
45.08
10.64%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
494.11
43.03
9.54%
TXT
Textron
73.65
-17.99
-19.63%

Embraer SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: 17.95% | Next Earnings Date: May 6, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Embraer reported a historic year with record-breaking revenue and backlog, significant sales achievements across divisions, and improved financial health. However, supply chain challenges and uncertainties in the U.S. market for the E175-E2 present obstacles. The outlook for 2025 remains positive, though cautious due to potential volatility in cash flow.
Highlights
Record Revenue and Backlog
Embraer achieved record revenue of $6.4 billion, the highest in its history, and an all-time backlog record of $26.3 billion.
ANA E190-E2 Order
All Nippon Airways purchased 15 E190-E2 jets, marking the first sale of the E2 family in Japan.
Executive Aviation Success
Largest order in Executive Aviation with a $7 billion contract from Flexjet, leading to a record $7.4 billion backlog.
Defense and Security Performance
Best sales performance with a 40% revenue increase and a record $4.2 billion backlog.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Generated $996 million in adjusted free cash flow in Q4 and $676 million for 2024.
Improved Financial Position
Net debt reduced to $111 million, and investment-grade status achieved by all three main rating agencies.
Lowlights
Supply Chain Challenges
Ongoing supply chain issues continue to pose challenges, affecting production and delivery schedules.
Uncertainty in U.S. Market for E175-E2
Postponement of E175-E2 development due to U.S. mainline scope clause issues, impacting market potential.
Volatile Free Cash Flow Outlook for 2025
Guidance for 2025 free cash flow is lower than 2024, affected by defense prepayments and working capital requirements.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Embraer provided an impressive overview of its fiscal performance for 2024, highlighting several key metrics. The company achieved a record revenue of $6.4 billion, surpassing its modified and original guidance, and set a new all-time backlog record of $26.3 billion, reflecting a strong book-to-bill ratio of 2.2. The Executive Aviation division celebrated a $7 billion contract with Flexjet, contributing to its $7.4 billion backlog and a leading 2.7 book-to-bill ratio. Defense & Security ended 2024 with its best sales performance ever, achieving a 3.3 book-to-bill ratio. Commercial Aviation secured firm contracts for 90 E175 aircraft, closing the year with a $10.2 billion backlog and a 1.6 book-to-bill ratio. Service and Support also reached a new high with a $4.6 billion backlog and a 1.9 book-to-bill ratio. Financially, Embraer reported an adjusted EBIT of $780 million with an 11.1% margin, and a notable free cash flow of $676 million. The company's net debt was close to zero, positioning it to potentially start paying dividends. Looking forward, Embraer's 2025 guidance aims for continued double-digit growth, with expectations of delivering between 77 to 85 commercial aircraft and 145 to 155 executive jets, projecting revenues between $7 billion and $7.5 billion.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.