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Elevance Health (ELV)
NYSE:ELV

Elevance Health (ELV) AI Stock Analysis

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EL

Elevance Health

(NYSE:ELV)

74Outperform
Elevance Health shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and stable profitability. The technical analysis indicates a positive trend with caution due to potential resistance. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is fairly priced. The recent earnings call highlighted strong growth in key segments but also noted challenges with Medicaid cost trends. Overall, Elevance Health is well-positioned but must manage cash flow and Medicaid challenges effectively.
Positive Factors
Government Managed Care Margins
Analyst is increasing the price target for ELV to $585, seeing it as benefiting from expected recovery in government managed care margins and historically low valuations.
Medicare Advantage Growth
ELV is exhibiting faster Medicare Advantage membership growth in 2025, which is viewed as offsetting slower growth over the prior two years.
Negative Factors
Medicaid Cost Trends
Medicaid challenges are pressuring the cost trend, with core MLR increasing 290bps year-over-year.
Segment Revenue Miss
Health benefits segment revenue of $37.58b missed the estimate by 2.3% with segment earnings missing the estimate by nearly 25%.

Elevance Health (ELV) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Elevance Health Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionElevance Health Inc. operates as a health benefits company. It supports consumers, families, and communities across the entire care journey connecting to the care, support, and resources to lead healthier lives. It serves approximately 118 million people through a portfolio of medical, digital, pharmacy, behavioral, clinical, and care solutions. The company was formerly known as Anthem, Inc. and changed its name to Elevance Health Inc. in June 2022. Elevance Health Inc. was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyElevance Health generates revenue primarily through the sale of health insurance plans and related services. Its key revenue streams include premiums collected from individual and group insurance plans, which are offered to both private and government-sponsored programs such as Medicare and Medicaid. Additionally, the company earns money through its pharmacy benefits management services, which involve negotiating drug prices and managing prescription drug benefits for its members. Partnerships with healthcare providers and other stakeholders also play a crucial role in enhancing its service offerings and expanding its customer base, thereby contributing to its overall earnings.

Elevance Health Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Elevance Health demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and stable profitability. The balance sheet is robust, but declining cash flows warrant attention to maintain financial flexibility. Overall, the company is in a healthy financial state, with room for improvement in cash flow management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Elevance Health shows strong revenue growth with a significant increase from $104.2 billion in 2019 to $177 billion in 2024, indicating a robust upward trend. The gross profit margin has improved over the years, and the net profit margin is stable, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the EBITDA margin is unavailable for 2024, which could provide more insights into operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a steady increase in stockholders' equity and total assets. The debt-to-equity ratio remains manageable, suggesting prudent leverage levels. However, the decrease in cash and cash equivalents from 2023 to 2024 may need monitoring for future liquidity concerns.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Elevance Health's cash flow from operations remains positive, although it has decreased in 2024 compared to previous years. The free cash flow shows a declining trend, which may impact future investment capabilities. Despite this, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is reasonable, affirming cash generation efficiency relative to net income.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
176.81B171.34B156.59B138.64B121.87B
Gross Profit
157.06B47.01B39.95B35.99B33.82B
EBIT
137.24B8.74B8.45B8.95B7.71B
EBITDA
9.09B10.49B10.13B6.00B8.18B
Net Income Common Stockholders
5.98B5.99B5.89B6.10B4.57B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
33.49B36.14B33.34B31.15B29.17B
Total Assets
116.89B108.93B102.75B97.46B86.61B
Total Debt
31.23B25.12B24.11B23.03B20.04B
Net Debt
22.94B18.59B16.73B18.15B14.29B
Total Liabilities
75.46B69.52B66.42B61.33B53.42B
Stockholders Equity
41.31B39.31B36.24B36.06B33.20B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.55B6.76B7.25B7.28B9.67B
Operating Cash Flow
5.81B8.06B8.40B8.36B10.69B
Investing Cash Flow
-5.17B-5.57B-4.56B-9.64B-7.32B
Financing Cash Flow
1.19B-3.35B-1.32B423.00M-2.57B

Elevance Health Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price437.77
Price Trends
50DMA
412.51
Positive
100DMA
399.44
Positive
200DMA
448.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
6.84
Positive
RSI
56.88
Neutral
STOCH
58.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ELV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 437.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 433.03, above the 50-day MA of 412.51, and below the 200-day MA of 448.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 6.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ELV.

Elevance Health Risk Analysis

Elevance Health disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Elevance Health reported the most risks in the “Ability to Sell” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Elevance Health Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CVCVS
76
Outperform
$87.75B19.016.07%3.83%4.02%-43.51%
CNCNC
75
Outperform
$31.68B10.2212.65%5.89%27.09%
ELELV
74
Outperform
$99.57B17.1314.83%1.50%3.19%1.65%
CICI
73
Outperform
$89.52B27.237.87%1.73%25.21%-29.37%
HUHUM
69
Neutral
$35.61B29.557.40%1.24%10.70%-49.85%
UNUNH
65
Neutral
$548.34B38.6615.88%1.43%8.35%-35.14%
50
Neutral
$5.52B2.98-43.78%2.78%16.94%3.55%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ELV
Elevance Health
437.77
-62.00
-12.41%
CNC
Centene
62.28
-9.98
-13.81%
CI
Cigna
328.63
-12.36
-3.62%
CVS
CVS Health Corp
68.92
2.90
4.39%
HUM
Humana
286.78
-26.96
-8.59%
UNH
UnitedHealth
583.59
122.08
26.45%

Elevance Health Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 23, 2025 | % Change Since: 12.51% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed sentiment with strong growth in Medicare Advantage and commercial businesses, alongside challenges in Medicaid cost trends and membership reductions. The company is confident in navigating these challenges and executing growth strategies.
Highlights
Medicare Advantage Growth
Medicare Advantage membership is expected to grow in the range of 7% to 9%, consistent with prior expectations, with strong member retention and group membership growth.
Strong Commercial Business Performance
Elevance Health welcomed 18 new national accounts and experienced record retention for 2025, contributing to strong revenue growth in the commercial segment.
Carelon Services Growth
Carelon Services experienced impressive growth with internal and external expansion, reaching over 50% growth, driven by acquisitions like CareBridge and strong organic growth.
Adjusted EPS Guidance for 2025
Guidance for adjusted diluted earnings per share is set at $34.15 to $34.85, with a focus on managing cost trends and executing growth opportunities.
Lowlights
Elevated Medicaid Cost Trends
Fourth quarter Medicaid cost trends remained elevated, driven by behavioral health and inpatient services, with current rates not fully covering these costs.
Reduction in Membership
Total membership decreased by 1.1 million year-over-year, primarily due to Medicaid redeterminations and changes in geographic footprint.
Challenges with Medicaid Rates
Medicaid rates remain insufficient to cover elevated cost trends, with expectations for improvement in the second half of 2025 as rate adjustments from state partners are implemented.
Company Guidance
During the Elevance Health fourth-quarter earnings call for 2024, key guidance metrics were highlighted, with adjusted diluted earnings per share projected to be in the range of $34.15 to $34.85 for 2025. The company anticipates Medicare Advantage membership growth between 7% to 9%, consistent with prior expectations. The Medicaid business faced elevated cost trends, with a focus on improving margins through anticipated rate adjustments in the latter half of 2025. Elevance Health expects operating revenue growth in the high single to low double-digit range, bolstered by acquisitions such as CareBridge. Furthermore, the consolidated medical loss ratio is projected to increase to around 89.1%, and the adjusted operating expense ratio is expected to slightly improve to 10.4%. The company plans to allocate approximately $2.3 billion toward share repurchases, reflecting a strong commitment to shareholder returns.

Elevance Health Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Elevance Health Reaffirms 2025 Earnings Guidance to Investors
Positive
Mar 10, 2025

Elevance Health, Inc. announced that its officers will meet with investors to reaffirm the company’s earnings guidance for 2025, projecting earnings of $30.40 to $31.10 per diluted share, including net unfavorable items, and adjusted earnings of $34.15 to $34.85 per diluted share. The company also maintains its expectations for 2025 year-end total medical enrollment and Medicare Advantage membership, aligning with previous guidance. This announcement underscores Elevance Health’s commitment to transparency with its stakeholders and its strategic focus on maintaining stable enrollment figures and financial performance.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.