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Equifax (EFX)
:EFX

Equifax (EFX) AI Stock Analysis

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EF

Equifax

(NYSE:EFX)

75Outperform
Equifax shows strong financial performance and growth potential, driven by cloud transformation and strategic partnerships. However, high leverage and valuation concerns could affect future performance. The mixed technical indicators and challenges in key markets also introduce uncertainty. Overall, Equifax is positioned positively but faces notable risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Equifax’s first-quarter results came in nicely above expectations across all key metrics.
Shareholder Returns
Equifax increased its quarterly dividend by 28%, to $0.50 per share, and authorized a new $3 billion, four-year share repurchase program.
Negative Factors
Geographical Challenges
There is a bit of erosion in Canada and the U.K., which seems to be driven by macroeconomic factors.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Elevated macroeconomic uncertainty prevented management from raising full-year guidance despite first-quarter outperformance.

Equifax (EFX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Equifax Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEquifax Inc. (EFX) is a global data, analytics, and technology company that specializes in providing information solutions to businesses, governments, and consumers. Operating primarily in the financial services, automotive, telecommunications, utilities, and retail sectors, Equifax offers a wide range of services including credit reporting, identity verification, fraud detection, and credit risk scoring. The company's core products and services are designed to help clients make informed decisions by leveraging data insights and analytics.
How the Company Makes MoneyEquifax makes money through a diversified revenue model that includes several key streams. The company's primary source of revenue comes from providing credit information and analytics services to businesses, which includes selling credit reports, credit scores, and other financial data products. Equifax also generates revenue through subscription-based services for identity verification and fraud prevention solutions. Additionally, the company earns income from its workforce solutions division, which offers employment and income verification services. Significant partnerships with financial institutions, government agencies, and other enterprises amplify their data offerings and expand their market reach. The company further benefits from its global presence, allowing it to capture revenue from various international markets.

Equifax Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Equifax exhibits strong financial health with robust revenue growth and improving profitability. While the company has managed to leverage its assets effectively, high debt levels remain a concern. Cash flow management is solid, though past volatility suggests a need for ongoing monitoring. Overall, Equifax's financial trajectory is positive, with significant improvements in key areas.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Equifax has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a consistent increase from $3.51 billion in 2019 to $5.68 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin has improved, reaching 100% in 2024, indicating an efficient cost structure. Net income has grown significantly, leading to an improved net profit margin. EBIT and EBITDA margins have remained strong, highlighting profitability. However, the low gross profit in earlier years suggests past inefficiencies that have been addressed.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Equifax's debt-to-equity ratio has improved, but remains relatively high, reflecting significant leverage that could pose risks if not managed carefully. The return on equity has increased due to rising net income, indicating efficient use of equity. The equity ratio has stabilized, suggesting a balanced asset financing approach. However, the high debt levels warrant caution.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Free cash flow has shown substantial growth, enhancing the company's ability to reinvest and pay down debt. Operating cash flow consistently exceeds net income, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio has improved, reflecting effective cash management. Despite improvements, cash flow fluctuations in prior years highlight the need for sustained stability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
5.68B5.27B5.12B4.92B4.13B
Gross Profit
3.16B2.93B2.94B2.94B2.39B
EBIT
1.04B933.60M1.06B1.14B676.60M
EBITDA
1.72B1.58B1.67B1.58B1.22B
Net Income Common Stockholders
604.10M545.30M696.20M744.20M520.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
169.90M216.80M285.20M224.70M1.68B
Total Assets
11.76B12.28B11.55B11.04B9.61B
Total Debt
5.01B5.71B5.79B5.29B4.38B
Net Debt
4.84B5.49B5.50B5.07B2.69B
Total Liabilities
6.84B7.59B7.57B7.44B6.40B
Stockholders Equity
4.80B4.53B3.96B3.58B3.17B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
813.00M515.50M132.60M865.80M524.90M
Operating Cash Flow
1.32B1.12B757.10M1.33B946.20M
Investing Cash Flow
-511.50M-878.20M-959.50M-3.40B-492.70M
Financing Cash Flow
-846.40M-306.20M273.70M628.90M810.80M

Equifax Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price245.08
Price Trends
50DMA
238.04
Positive
100DMA
249.54
Negative
200DMA
263.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.28
Negative
RSI
58.18
Neutral
STOCH
74.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EFX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 245.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 228.67, above the 50-day MA of 238.04, and below the 200-day MA of 263.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EFX.

Equifax Risk Analysis

Equifax disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Equifax reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Equifax Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
EFEFX
75
Outperform
$26.87B44.5112.95%0.70%7.90%10.00%
TRTRU
66
Neutral
$13.80B48.906.91%0.59%9.20%
62
Neutral
$4.13B11.175.46%215.76%4.12%-8.54%
61
Neutral
$40.85B43.51463.98%0.55%7.47%59.46%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EFX
Equifax
245.08
21.97
9.85%
VRSK
Verisk Analytics
292.70
71.75
32.47%
TRU
TransUnion
75.56
6.40
9.25%

Equifax Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Apr 22, 2025 | % Change Since: 13.84% | Next Earnings Date: Jul 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Equifax demonstrated strong financial performance in the first quarter, surpassing revenue and EPS expectations, and successfully leveraging its cloud transformation. However, significant market uncertainties and challenges in the mortgage market pose risks to future growth.
Highlights
Strong Revenue Growth
Equifax reported a revenue of $1.442 billion, which is up 4% reported and 5% in constant dollars, exceeding the midpoint of February guidance by $37 million.
Adjusted EPS Exceeds Expectations
Adjusted EPS of $1.53 per share was $0.15 above the midpoint of February guidance, driven by higher revenue growth and improved margins.
Successful Launch of Equifax Cloud
The company successfully transitioned to the Equifax cloud and launched its first-ever Equifax-only solution in the mortgage segment.
International Growth
International revenue increased by almost 7% in constant currency, with strong growth in Latin America, particularly Brazil and Argentina.
New Capital Allocation Plan
Equifax announced a 28% increase in its quarterly dividend and a new $3 billion, four-year share repurchase program.
Lowlights
Economic and Market Uncertainty
Significant economic and market uncertainty related to tariffs, interest rates, and inflation was highlighted, affecting future guidance.
Challenges in Mortgage Market
The mortgage market remains 50% below normal pre-pandemic levels, with U.S. mortgage revenue comprising 21% of total revenue.
Company Guidance
During the Equifax Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the second quarter and the full year, maintaining its 2025 guidance levels from February despite a strong first-quarter performance. Equifax reported Q1 revenue of $1.442 billion, up 4% reported and 5% in constant dollars, exceeding the midpoint of prior guidance by $37 million. Adjusted EPS was $1.53, $0.15 above the midpoint of February guidance. The company achieved debt leverage of 2.5 turns, aligning with its long-term goal. Equifax expects to generate around $900 million in free cash flow for the year, with a cash conversion rate nearing 95%. For Q2, Equifax anticipates revenue growth of over 5.5% reported and over 6.5% constant currency, with adjusted EPS between $1.85 and $1.95, up more than 4.5% year-over-year. The company also announced a 28% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.50 per share and a new $3 billion four-year share repurchase program, reflecting confidence in its business model and future free cash flow growth.

Equifax Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Equifax CEO Mark Begor Continues Leadership Beyond 2025
Positive
Nov 8, 2024

Equifax Inc. announced that CEO Mark W. Begor will continue his leadership beyond 2025, highlighting his successful transformation of the company’s technology and expansion of its data assets. Under Begor’s leadership, Equifax has seen a 50% revenue growth and a significant rise in market capitalization. With a focus on leveraging cloud technology and innovation, Equifax aims to drive growth and enhance shareholder returns.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.