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Ecolab Inc (ECL)
NYSE:ECL

Ecolab (ECL) AI Stock Analysis

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ECEcolab
(NYSE:ECL)
75Outperform
Ecolab's strong financial performance and strategic initiatives in high-growth areas support a solid stock score. While technical indicators suggest short-term caution due to overbought conditions, the company's long-term growth prospects remain promising. Valuation concerns and leverage risks should be monitored.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
ECL is poised for double-digit EPS growth regardless of macroeconomic factors, tariffs, rates, or foreign exchange challenges, which is rare in the current market.
Pricing Strategy
ECL's pricing strategy is expected to modestly accelerate, improving margins and earnings faster than previously expected.
Negative Factors
Foreign Exchange
There is much concern over 2025 guidance given the materially negative move in FX since 3Q reporting.

Ecolab (ECL) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ecolab Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEcolab Inc. (ECL) is a global leader in water, hygiene, and energy technologies and services that protect people and vital resources. Operating across various sectors, including food service, hospitality, healthcare, industrial, and energy, Ecolab provides comprehensive solutions and on-site services to promote safe food, maintain clean environments, optimize water and energy use, and improve operational efficiencies for customers worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyEcolab makes money through a diverse revenue model that includes the sale of products, services, and consultation. Its key revenue streams originate from its three main segments: Global Industrial, Global Institutional & Specialty, and Global Healthcare & Life Sciences. The Global Industrial segment provides water treatment and process applications, cleaning and sanitizing solutions, and services to industries such as food and beverage, manufacturing, and chemicals. The Global Institutional & Specialty segment focuses on serving customers in hospitality, food service, healthcare, and retail with cleaning and sanitizing products and services. The Global Healthcare & Life Sciences segment offers infection prevention and surgical solutions. Ecolab's earnings are significantly enhanced by its customer partnerships, which involve service contracts and long-term agreements, ensuring recurring revenue. Additionally, the company's focus on innovation and sustainability attracts environmentally conscious clients, further driving its business growth.

Ecolab Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ecolab presents a robust financial profile with impressive revenue and profit growth indicative of strong market demand and effective cost management. While the balance sheet shows healthy profitability and moderate leverage, the lack of recent cash flow data poses a challenge in fully assessing liquidity and cash management. Ecolab is well-positioned within the chemicals industry, with potential leverage risks that should be monitored.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Ecolab has demonstrated strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, evident from a 2.75% increase in total revenue from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin improved to 43.48% in 2024, indicating effective cost management. Additionally, the net profit margin increased significantly to 13.42% in 2024, showcasing enhanced profitability. The EBIT margin also reflects a robust expansion to 17.81%, highlighting operational efficiency. These metrics suggest that Ecolab is effectively growing its business while maintaining strong profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Ecolab maintains a balanced financial structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.93 in 2024, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is notably strong at 24.11%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio of 39.11% suggests a reliance on debt to finance assets, which could pose risks in volatile markets. Overall, Ecolab's balance sheet reflects stability with potential leverage concerns to monitor.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Ecolab's cash flow from operations was not reported for 2024, and free cash flow was also absent, making it challenging to assess the company's cash flow health. Historically, the operating cash flow to net income ratio was 1.76 in 2023, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The absence of recent data limits comprehensive analysis, but past performance suggests a generally solid cash flow position.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
15.74B15.32B14.19B12.73B11.79B
Gross Profit
6.84B6.19B5.36B5.12B4.88B
EBIT
2.80B1.99B788.80M892.00M818.50M
EBITDA
3.60B3.03B2.79B2.71B2.50B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.11B1.37B1.09B1.13B984.80M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.26B919.50M598.60M359.90M1.26B
Total Assets
22.39B21.85B21.46B21.21B18.13B
Total Debt
8.14B8.73B8.92B9.04B6.99B
Net Debt
6.88B7.81B8.32B8.68B5.73B
Total Liabilities
13.60B13.77B14.21B13.95B11.92B
Stockholders Equity
8.76B8.04B7.24B7.22B6.17B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.82B1.64B1.08B1.42B1.37B
Operating Cash Flow
2.81B2.41B1.79B2.06B1.86B
Investing Cash Flow
-433.80M-990.50M-716.80M-4.58B-414.50M
Financing Cash Flow
-2.02B-1.05B-837.30M1.60B-341.80M

Ecolab Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price269.26
Price Trends
50DMA
249.87
Positive
100DMA
249.26
Positive
200DMA
245.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.22
Positive
RSI
65.18
Neutral
STOCH
47.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ECL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 269.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 264.31, above the 50-day MA of 249.87, and above the 200-day MA of 245.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 65.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ECL.

Ecolab Risk Analysis

Ecolab disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ecolab reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ecolab Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
RPRPM
77
Outperform
$15.99B24.5725.61%1.56%0.12%24.30%
ECECL
75
Outperform
$75.35B36.1225.14%0.89%2.75%54.39%
CHCHD
74
Outperform
$27.28B46.7814.25%1.02%4.08%-22.34%
SHSHW
71
Outperform
$90.51B34.1269.05%0.79%0.20%14.31%
PPPPG
65
Neutral
$26.18B19.3419.13%2.33%-4.59%11.09%
CLCLX
61
Neutral
$18.28B40.557616.67%3.28%-1.98%474.83%
47
Neutral
$2.64B-4.00-31.55%3.33%2.93%-29.90%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ECL
Ecolab
269.26
47.53
21.44%
CHD
Church & Dwight
112.33
9.60
9.34%
CLX
Clorox
151.03
0.42
0.28%
PPG
PPG Industries
115.48
-23.95
-17.18%
RPM
RPM International
122.55
6.86
5.93%
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Company
363.62
26.04
7.71%

Ecolab Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 11, 2025 | % Change Since: 9.48% | Next Earnings Date: May 6, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Ecolab Inc. demonstrated strong financial performance in 2024 with record-breaking metrics and a positive outlook for 2025. The company is well-positioned for future growth through strategic initiatives and digital expansion, despite facing challenges such as currency translation impacts and volume growth targets. Accidents in the pest elimination segment were a notable issue but are being addressed.
Highlights
Record Year for Ecolab Inc.
Ecolab Inc. reported record sales, record earnings, record margins, and record free cash flow for the fiscal year 2024. Organic operating income margin increased by 150 basis points in Q4 and 290 basis points for the full year, reaching 16.8%.
Promising Outlook for 2025
Ecolab Inc. expects to achieve 12 to 15% earnings growth and aims for an 18% operating income margin in 2025, with a target of 20% by 2027. The strategy includes capturing market share through the OneEcolab initiative and focusing on growth engines such as data centers, microelectronics, and Ecolab Digital.
Growth in Global High-Tech Business
Sales in Ecolab's global high-tech business, including data centers and microelectronics, have surpassed $300 million with strong growth expected. The rise of AI is prompting data centers to move from air-cooled to liquid-cooled servers, providing opportunities for Ecolab's fluid management expertise.
Ecolab Digital Expansion
Ecolab Digital is leveraging AI and digital capabilities to manage over 100,000 customer systems globally, capturing over 120 billion data points in 2024. Digital sales will be reported separately starting in 2025.
Increased Shareholder Returns
Ecolab Inc. increased its quarterly cash dividend by 14% and repurchased $1 billion of stock in 2024, reflecting confidence in their future performance and shareholder value.
Lowlights
Currency Translation Impact on 2025
Currency translation is expected to have a 3% unfavorable impact on reported sales growth and a 4% unfavorable impact on adjusted EPS growth in 2025.
Pest Elimination Accidents
Ecolab Inc. experienced accidents in its pest elimination segment, impacting earnings due to safety costs. The majority of the operating income decrease was driven by these incidents.
Challenges in Volume Growth
Volume growth is expected to be around 2% in 2025, which is below the long-term target of 3-4%. The focus is on unlocking potential through cross-sell opportunities and new growth engines.
Company Guidance
In the fourth quarter of 2024, Ecolab Inc. reported a solid organic sales growth of 4%, driven by consistent volume growth and value pricing. The United States, which contributes over half of the company's sales, led the regional performance with mid-single-digit organic sales growth. The company's organic operating income margin increased by 150 basis points in the quarter, reaching 16.8% for the full year, up 290 basis points from the previous year. Ecolab aims to achieve a 20% operating income margin by 2027, with anticipated earnings growth of 12 to 15% in 2025. The company plans to mitigate an expected 3% unfavorable impact from currency translation on reported sales growth and a 4% impact on adjusted EPS growth through stronger value pricing and faster OneEcolab savings. Ecolab also highlighted its strategic focus on expanding its high-growth sectors, including data centers, microelectronics, and digital solutions, which are expected to drive future growth and profitability. The company plans to allocate around 7% of sales to capital expenditures in 2025 to support these initiatives.

Ecolab Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Ecolab Appoints Michel Doukeris to Board of Directors
Positive
Feb 20, 2025

On February 20, 2025, Ecolab Inc. announced the appointment of Michel Doukeris, CEO of AB InBev, to its board of directors. Doukeris is expected to bring significant global executive experience and strategic insights to Ecolab, enhancing its mission to protect vital resources and drive sustainable growth. His appointment follows the decision of Arthur J. Higgins not to seek re-election at the annual meeting in May 2025. Higgins’ departure is amicable, and the board acknowledged his valuable contributions over the years.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.