tiprankstipranks
Dover Corporation (DOV)
:DOV

Dover (DOV) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
951 Followers

Top Page

DODover
(NYSE:DOV)
77Outperform
Dover's strong financial performance and positive technical indicators contribute to a robust stock outlook. The company is well-positioned for growth with expected EPS improvements and strategic capital deployment. While challenges such as FX headwinds and certain segment declines exist, they are offset by strong fundamentals and a positive market outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings
4Q adjusted EPS of $2.20 was above estimate and consensus.
Growth Potential
Potential upside to organic growth underpinned by strong bookings momentum.
Negative Factors
Market Re-Rating
There are limited secular growth drivers due to the diverse end markets, making re-rating difficult.

Dover (DOV) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Dover Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDover Corp. engages in the manufacture of equipment, components, and specialty systems. It also provides supporting engineering, testing, and other similar services. It operates through the following segments: Engineered Systems, Fluids, and Refrigeration and Food Equipment. The Engineered Systems segment focuses on the design, manufacture, and service of critical equipment and components serving the fast-moving consumer goods, digital textile printing, vehicle service, environmental solutions, and industrial end markets. The Fluids segment focuses on the safe handling of critical fluids and gases the retail fueling, chemical, hygienic, and industrial end markets. The Refrigeration and Food Equipment segment provides innovative and energy-efficient equipment and systems serving the commercial refrigeration and food equipment end markets. The company was founded by George L. Ohrstrom in 1947 and is headquartered in Downers Grove, IL.
How the Company Makes MoneyDover Corporation makes money through the manufacturing and sale of its wide range of products and services across its various business segments. Its revenue streams are primarily derived from the sale of industrial products, including pumps, compressors, refrigeration systems, and printing and identification equipment. Additionally, the company earns through the provision of aftermarket services, including maintenance and support. Significant partnerships and long-term contracts with industries in energy, food and beverage, and transportation further bolster their revenue. Additionally, Dover leverages its innovative capabilities and global reach to maintain a competitive edge in the industrial manufacturing sector.

Dover Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dover exhibits solid financial performance with strong profitability and operational efficiency. The balance sheet is robust, with improved leverage management and significant cash flow generation. Despite a slight revenue decline and reduced free cash flow, the company maintains financial stability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Dover shows a solid performance with a strong gross profit margin and net profit margin, indicating good profitability. However, revenue has decreased from the previous year, reflecting a revenue decline trend which could be a concern. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a healthy equity ratio, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved, signifying better leverage management. Return on Equity has significantly improved, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Dover exhibits strong cash flow generation with substantial free cash flow and a favorable operating cash flow to net income ratio. However, the free cash flow has decreased from the previous year, which may require attention if the trend continues.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
7.75B8.44B8.51B7.91B6.68B
Gross Profit
2.96B3.08B3.06B2.97B2.47B
EBIT
1.21B1.37B1.38B1.28B932.99M
EBITDA
1.21B1.72B1.71B1.80B1.23B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.70B1.06B1.07B1.12B683.45M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.84B398.56M380.87M385.50M513.08M
Total Assets
12.51B11.35B10.90B10.40B9.15B
Total Debt
2.93B3.68B3.68B3.12B3.11B
Net Debt
1.08B3.28B3.30B2.74B2.60B
Total Liabilities
5.56B6.24B6.61B6.21B5.77B
Stockholders Equity
6.95B5.11B4.29B4.19B3.39B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
580.85M1.14B584.76M944.40M939.12M
Operating Cash Flow
748.38M1.34B805.72M1.12B1.10B
Investing Cash Flow
1.96B-726.63M-540.92M-992.75M-481.38M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.27B-568.06M-260.26M-249.88M-506.29M

Dover Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price184.06
Price Trends
50DMA
195.24
Negative
100DMA
195.87
Negative
200DMA
188.46
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.40
Positive
RSI
28.95
Positive
STOCH
12.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DOV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 184.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 200.17, below the 50-day MA of 195.24, and below the 200-day MA of 188.46, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.95 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DOV.

Dover Risk Analysis

Dover disclosed 16 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dover reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dover Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ITITW
80
Outperform
$76.96B22.39110.24%2.21%-1.30%20.26%
DODOV
77
Outperform
$25.26B9.4724.30%1.06%-2.99%159.26%
EMEMR
74
Outperform
$64.30B27.129.14%1.80%10.29%22.72%
PNPNR
73
Outperform
$15.53B25.1717.55%1.02%-0.53%0.13%
HOHON
68
Neutral
$135.18B23.89596.13%2.08%5.05%2.73%
ROROK
66
Neutral
$31.51B34.6727.22%1.84%-11.28%-23.69%
62
Neutral
$8.11B13.341.17%3.02%4.16%-15.14%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DOV
Dover
184.06
14.97
8.85%
EMR
Emerson Electric Company
114.03
6.18
5.73%
HON
Honeywell International
208.00
11.66
5.94%
ITW
Illinois Tool Works
255.32
0.93
0.37%
PNR
Pentair
89.67
11.33
14.46%
ROK
Rockwell Automation
267.87
-17.96
-6.28%

Dover Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 30, 2025 | % Change Since: -6.49% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive outlook for 2025 with strong segment performance, robust bookings, and a healthy cash position supporting growth and acquisitions. However, there were challenges noted in specific segments and expected FX headwinds.
Highlights
Solid Segment Margin Performance
Segment margin performance for Q4 was 22.2%, up 60 basis points year-over-year, indicating strong product mix impact and cost restructuring benefits.
Bookings and Organic Growth
Bookings were up 7% organically in Q4, driven by robust order rates across markets. Four out of five segments posted positive organic growth.
Strong Cash Position and Capital Flexibility
Dover ended the year with a significant cash position providing flexibility for value-creating capital deployments.
Double-Digit EPS Growth Outlook for 2025
Dover is poised to deliver double-digit EPS growth in 2025 through accretive top-line growth and margin improvement.
Acquisitions and Growth Investments
Closed two bolt-on acquisitions in high-priority segments, with a robust acquisition pipeline.
Pumps & Process Solutions Growth
Organic growth of 3% driven by single-use biopharma components and thermal connectors, with significant year-over-year bookings growth.
Lowlights
Challenges in European Heat Exchangers
Revenue was down due to expected declines in European heat exchangers, despite improvements in U.S. and Asian markets.
Aerospace and Defense Segment Decline
Aerospace and defense saw lower performance in Q4 due to shipment timing, despite posting a record year overall.
Foreign Exchange Headwinds
Heightened FX translation headwinds due to a strengthening U.S. dollar are expected to impact 2025 performance.
Company Guidance
During Dover's Q4 and full-year 2024 earnings call, guidance for 2025 was provided with a focus on strong projected performance across several metrics. The company anticipates double-digit EPS growth driven by accretive top-line growth, margin improvements, and strategic capital allocation. Organic bookings grew 7% in Q4, contributing to a positive outlook for 2025. Segment margins improved to 22.2%, up 60 basis points compared to the previous year, with expectations of further margin enhancements in the upcoming year. Dover forecasts free cash flow to be 14% to 16% of revenue, supported by strong operating cash flow conversion. The company also plans for increased capital expenditures in 2025 to fuel growth investments. Overall, Dover is optimistic about leveraging its market positions, flexible business model, and execution strategy to capitalize on opportunities in high-growth, high-margin sectors.

Dover Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dover Reports Modest Revenue Growth and Earnings Surge
Positive
Jan 30, 2025

Dover reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ending December 31, 2024. The company saw a modest revenue increase of 1% for both the quarter and the year, generating $1.9 billion and $7.7 billion respectively. Despite a slight decline in GAAP earnings from continuing operations for the quarter, annual earnings showed significant growth, with a 48% increase. The company remains optimistic about 2025, expecting continued margin improvements and robust demand across its markets, supported by strategic acquisitions and a strong cash position.

Executive/Board Changes
Dover Announces CFO Transition with Chris Woenker
Positive
Dec 10, 2024

Dover Corporation has announced the retirement of its long-serving CFO, Brad Cerepak, effective January 31, 2025, with Chris Woenker set to succeed him. Woenker, who has been with Dover since 2013, brings extensive experience from his roles in various segments of the company. This leadership transition highlights Dover’s commitment to internal talent development and strategic succession planning, promising continuity and stability for investors.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.