tiprankstipranks
Dhl Group (DHLGY)
:DHLGY

DHL Group (DHLGY) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
227 Followers

Top Page

DH

DHL Group

(OTC:DHLGY)

72Outperform
DHL Group's overall stock score reflects a solid financial base with an attractive valuation, bolstered by a strong dividend yield. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the earnings call highlighted economic challenges impacting future growth. Continued operational efficiency and strategic cost management are crucial for navigating these headwinds.

DHL Group (DHLGY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

DHL Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDHL Group (DHLGY) is a leading global logistics company, offering a comprehensive range of services in international express, freight transportation, supply chain management, and e-commerce logistics solutions. With a presence in over 220 countries and territories, DHL Group operates through various sectors, including DHL Express, DHL Global Forwarding, DHL Freight, DHL Supply Chain, and DHL eCommerce Solutions. The company is renowned for its expertise in cross-border shipping and delivering time-sensitive and complex shipments worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyDHL Group generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily driven by its diverse logistics and supply chain services. The company earns a significant portion of its income from DHL Express, which provides time-definite international and domestic delivery services for both corporate clients and individual customers. Another major revenue stream comes from DHL Global Forwarding and DHL Freight, which offer air, ocean, and road freight services, leveraging their global network to facilitate the movement of goods. Additionally, DHL Supply Chain provides contract logistics services, including warehousing, distribution, and integrated supply chain solutions, catering to industries such as automotive, consumer goods, and healthcare. DHL eCommerce Solutions supports the growing e-commerce sector by providing tailored delivery services and cross-border shipping solutions. Strategic partnerships with airlines, shipping companies, and technology providers further enhance DHL's service offerings and contribute to its revenue growth.

DHL Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DHL Group demonstrates a solid financial foundation with stable profitability metrics and a balanced capital structure. Despite facing revenue challenges, the company maintains strong operational efficiency and cash conversion capabilities. Continued focus on managing leverage and improving revenue growth could enhance future financial performance.
Income Statement
72
Positive
DHL Group's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) performance shows a stable gross profit margin of 9.91%, slightly lower than the previous year due to decreased revenues. Net profit margin stands at 3.88%, reflecting profitability but with room for improvement. Revenue growth has been negative with a decline of 13.2% from the previous year, indicating challenges in market conditions. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy at 6.68% and 12.74%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.05, suggesting balanced leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is 14.46%, indicating good profitability on shareholder investments. The equity ratio is decent at 33.30%, reflecting a stable capital structure with a good portion of assets financed by equity. Overall, the balance sheet reflects stability with a potential for growth despite a slight decline in equity.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
DHL Group's cash flow analysis shows a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.37, underscoring excellent cash-generating capabilities. Free cash flow has decreased by 18.2% year-over-year, pointing to potential constraints in cash availability. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.49 further highlights efficient cash conversion, albeit with a declining trend.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
82.83B81.76B94.44B81.75B66.81B63.34B
Gross Profit
8.21B14.21B16.55B15.44B11.77B10.43B
EBIT
5.54B6.34B8.44B7.62B4.85B4.13B
EBITDA
10.56B10.84B12.73B11.69B8.54B7.77B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.22B3.68B5.36B5.05B2.98B2.62B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.96B2.08B3.19B4.71B5.80B3.26B
Total Assets
50.47B66.81B68.28B63.59B55.31B52.17B
Total Debt
15.60B20.83B20.22B19.02B18.35B16.24B
Net Debt
12.58B18.78B18.39B17.39B13.87B13.37B
Total Liabilities
36.60B43.92B44.58B44.09B41.23B37.78B
Stockholders Equity
13.59B22.48B23.24B19.04B13.78B14.12B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.81B5.88B7.05B6.26B4.78B2.44B
Operating Cash Flow
7.64B9.26B10.96B9.99B7.70B6.05B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.86B-2.18B-3.18B-4.82B-3.64B-2.14B
Financing Cash Flow
-5.82B-6.90B-7.41B-6.22B-2.25B-4.11B

DHL Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price43.16
Price Trends
50DMA
40.35
Positive
100DMA
38.40
Positive
200DMA
40.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.04
Positive
RSI
49.85
Neutral
STOCH
3.26
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DHLGY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 43.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.79, above the 50-day MA of 40.35, and above the 200-day MA of 40.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.26 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DHLGY.

DHL Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$16.49B20.9535.12%1.22%13.98%14.29%
FDFDX
74
Outperform
$57.91B15.1814.74%2.23%0.34%-8.45%
72
Outperform
$49.70B13.9614.57%3.30%0.12%-16.81%
UPUPS
72
Outperform
$92.99B16.2233.99%5.95%0.16%-13.41%
68
Neutral
$11.96B26.2129.65%2.43%0.73%41.65%
XPXPO
66
Neutral
$12.56B33.1227.07%4.22%105.29%
62
Neutral
$8.06B13.613.91%3.11%3.80%-14.06%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DHLGY
DHL Group
43.16
1.63
3.92%
CHRW
CH Robinson
101.13
29.62
41.42%
EXPD
Expeditors International
119.73
2.09
1.78%
XPO
XPO
107.09
-14.76
-12.11%
FDX
FedEx
241.71
-32.67
-11.91%
UPS
United Parcel
109.66
-30.74
-21.89%

DHL Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 6, 2025 | % Change Since: 2.52% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong financial performance in several divisions, particularly in Express and Supply Chain, with significant cash generation and shareholder returns. However, challenges in mail volume decline, cost pressures, and global trade volatility were noted. Overall, the positive highlights slightly outweigh the negative aspects, indicating a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Highlights
Strong Full Year EBIT
EBIT for the full year 2024 stands at €5,886 million, with a strong Q4 performance.
Record Free Cash Flow
Maintained a high level of cash conversion with roughly €3 billion in free cash flow.
Increased Shareholder Returns
Stable dividend at €1.85 per share and an increased share buyback program by €2 billion.
E-commerce Volume Growth
E-commerce volumes have grown by 61% over the last five years.
Supply Chain EBIT Exceeds €1 Billion
Supply Chain division exceeded €1 billion in EBIT for the first time.
Express Segment Margin Growth
DHL Express achieved a 16% margin in Q4 through pricing, mix, and capacity utilization.
Lowlights
Mail Volume Decline
Structural decline in mail volumes continues to be a challenge for the Post & Parcel Germany division.
Rising Cost Pressures
Headwinds from cost inflation, particularly in Post & Parcel Germany, impacting financial performance.
Headcount Reductions
Germany faces structural improvement measures requiring reduction in headcount due to market softness.
Volatile Global Trade Environment
Trade barriers and global trade volatility are creating operational challenges.
Company Guidance
In the 2025 guidance call, DHL Group provided several key metrics illustrating their financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported an EBIT of €5,886 million for 2024 and a free cash flow of approximately €3 billion. They maintained a stable dividend of €1.85 per share and announced a €2 billion increase in their share buyback program. DHL introduced a new "Fit for Growth" program aiming for a run rate impact of more than €1 billion by the end of 2026, focusing on efficiency measures across aviation and airfreight. The guidance for 2025 projects an EBIT of more than €6 billion, with DHL expected to deliver over €5.5 billion and P&P around €1 billion. They anticipate maintaining cash flow at €3 billion and plan to achieve over €7 billion in the medium term, despite acknowledging the influence of the macroeconomic environment on their business.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.