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Dingdong (DDL)
NYSE:DDL
US Market

Dingdong (DDL) AI Stock Analysis

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Dingdong

(NYSE:DDL)

67Neutral
Dingdong has shown a strong financial performance turnaround, backed by robust cash flow and profitability. The positive sentiment from the earnings call further supports the stock's potential. However, high leverage and a lack of dividend yield present risks. Technical indicators suggest caution, as the stock displays downward momentum. Overall, the stock's score reflects a balance of these factors, with strengths in financial improvements and growth outlook tempered by technical and valuation concerns.

Dingdong (DDL) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Dingdong Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDingdong (DDL) is a leading Chinese e-commerce platform specializing in the delivery of fresh groceries and daily essentials. The company operates primarily in the online grocery sector, providing consumers with a convenient way to shop for fresh produce, meat, seafood, and other household items through its mobile application and website. Dingdong (DDL) is committed to delivering high-quality products promptly, leveraging its efficient supply chain and logistics network.
How the Company Makes MoneyDingdong (DDL) generates revenue primarily through the sale of groceries and daily essentials via its online platform. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales of fresh produce, meat, seafood, and other grocery items to consumers. Additionally, Dingdong (DDL) may earn money through service fees associated with delivery, as well as potential partnerships with suppliers and brands who seek to leverage the platform for distribution and marketing. The company focuses on maintaining a robust logistics and supply chain operation to ensure timely delivery, which is essential for retaining customers and driving repeat purchases.

Dingdong Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dingdong has demonstrated significant improvements in profitability and cash flow, marking a turnaround from previous losses. Despite a high debt load, the company shows strong returns on equity. The cash flow position is robust, supporting future growth. However, the high leverage and relatively low equity buffer pose potential risks in a volatile market.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Dingdong shows a positive turnaround with a TTM net profit margin of 0.90%, a significant improvement from previous losses. Revenue growth is positive at 10.92% TTM, with gross profit margin solid at 30.17%. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved to 0.59% and 1.29% TTM, respectively, indicating better operational efficiency. However, past volatility in profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.68 TTM, suggesting significant leverage. However, the return on equity is strong at 31.73% TTM, indicating efficient use of equity. The equity ratio of 9.14% reflects low equity compared to assets, which poses a financial risk.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Dingdong's cash flow has improved, with a strong free cash flow growth rate of 343.63% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 4.31 TTM, indicating robust cash generation. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 3.89 TTM, highlighting effective cash management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
22.15B19.97B24.22B20.12B11.34B3.88B
Gross Profit
6.69B6.12B7.49B4.04B2.23B664.94M
EBIT
131.15M-130.12M-708.85M-6.33B-3.16B-1.74B
EBITDA
285.12M182.10M-528.46M-6.12B-3.02B-1.78B
Net Income Common Stockholders
199.28M-99.88M-806.88M-6.43B-3.21B-1.93B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.51B5.31B6.49B5.23B2.38B1.18B
Total Assets
6.75B7.70B9.38B9.42B4.92B2.11B
Total Debt
3.55B4.52B5.61B5.39B2.85B1.09B
Net Debt
2.42B3.31B3.75B4.73B1.47B153.05M
Total Liabilities
6.21B7.20B8.96B8.66B5.67B2.82B
Stockholders Equity
422.10M382.53M310.18M728.07M-744.67M-705.78M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
774.66M-317.93M-19.75M-6.12B-2.30B-1.09B
Operating Cash Flow
857.99M-234.61M107.14M-5.67B-2.06B-964.27M
Investing Cash Flow
821.11M519.33M-66.90M-4.07B-1.02B-185.63M
Financing Cash Flow
-2.07B-934.42M1.11B9.04B3.66B1.68B

Dingdong Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.81
Price Trends
50DMA
3.25
Negative
100DMA
3.59
Negative
200DMA
3.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Positive
RSI
34.58
Neutral
STOCH
17.84
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DDL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.01, below the 50-day MA of 3.25, and below the 200-day MA of 3.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.84 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DDL.

Dingdong Risk Analysis

Dingdong disclosed 79 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dingdong reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dingdong Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$320.03B18.6211.97%0.74%4.28%28.42%
TMTME
80
Outperform
$24.36B24.0210.75%0.92%0.63%34.09%
JDJD
78
Outperform
$67.21B11.1317.55%1.78%5.20%77.60%
PDPDD
78
Outperform
$167.28B11.4145.06%57.51%82.28%
76
Outperform
$33.67B10.189.14%-2.60%16.71%
DDDDL
67
Neutral
$609.73M15.2650.24%2.48%
59
Neutral
$12.24B11.04-1.00%3.78%1.30%-19.54%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DDL
Dingdong
2.70
1.48
121.31%
BIDU
Baidu
92.03
-16.41
-15.13%
JD
JD
41.12
14.11
52.24%
BABA
Alibaba
132.23
60.40
84.09%
PDD
PDD Holdings
118.35
-0.81
-0.68%
TME
Tencent Music Entertainment Group
14.41
3.38
30.64%

Dingdong Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 6, 2025 | % Change Since: -10.51% | Next Earnings Date: Jun 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, with significant revenue and profit growth, expansion in user base, and strategic geographical market penetration. Although there were minor challenges in profit margins and certain regional markets, the overall sentiment was positive given the consistent profitability and strategic growth initiatives.
Highlights
Consistent Profitability Achieved
Dingdong achieved non-GAAP profitability for the eighth consecutive quarter and GAAP profitability for the third consecutive quarter.
Revenue and GMV Growth
Revenue increased by 27.2% year-over-year to CNY 6.54 billion and GMV grew by 28.3% to CNY 7.27 billion.
User Base Expansion
Average number of active transacting users rose to approximately 8.22 million, a 24.5% year-over-year increase.
Geographical Growth in Key Markets
Shanghai's GMV increased by 24.5% year-over-year, while Jiangsu and Zhejiang saw approximately 40% growth each.
Improved Cash Flow and Financial Position
Operating net cash inflow in Q3 reached CNY 400 million, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of net cash inflow from operating activities.
Strong Performance in Lower-Tier Cities
Excluding top cities, other cities across Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions increased GMV by over 40% year-over-year.
Expansion of Product Categories
Introduced an array of new products, contributing to the frequency of purchases and number of items per order.
Lowlights
Decreased Gross Profit Margin
Gross profit margin decreased by 0.6 percentage points year-over-year due to strategic decisions to pass supply chain benefits to consumers.
Challenges in Beijing and Guangzhou-Shenzhen Regions
Despite improvements, the GMV growth in Beijing and Guangzhou-Shenzhen regions were relatively modest at 14.6% and 2.9%, respectively.
Company Guidance
During Dingdong Limited's Q3 2024 earnings call, management provided robust guidance highlighting significant growth across key financial metrics. The company reported a 28.3% year-over-year increase in GMV, reaching CNY 7.27 billion, while revenue rose by 27.2% to CNY 6.54 billion. Non-GAAP net profit surged over ninefold to CNY 160 million, with a profit margin of 2.5%, and GAAP net profit soared 62-fold to CNY 133 million, achieving a 2% margin. The average number of active transacting users climbed by 24.5% to approximately 8.22 million, with user stickiness mirrored in a 6.1% rise in average orders per month. The company also expanded its frontline fulfillment stations, enhancing geographical penetration in key regions like Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shanghai, which saw GMV growth of up to 40%. Improvements in the supply chain and operational efficiencies contributed to a gross profit margin of 29.8% and a fulfillment expense rate reduction to 21.4%. Looking ahead, Dingdong remains optimistic about continuing its trajectory of sustainable growth, raising targets for new fulfillment station openings and expecting further profitability increments in Q4 and the full year of 2024.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.