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Ceva Inc (CEVA)
NASDAQ:CEVA

Ceva (CEVA) AI Stock Analysis

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CECeva
(NASDAQ:CEVA)
66Neutral
CEVA's overall performance is bolstered by strong technical indicators and optimistic earnings guidance. However, this is offset by valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio and profitability challenges. Strategic corporate governance moves provide additional support, but improvements in cash flow efficiency and profitability are needed for a stronger score.
Positive Factors
Business Model Transition
CEVA's transition to focus on its pure IP business model and expand into non-handset end markets is paying off.
Customer Engagement
Management highlighted a significant increase in customer engagement, strong momentum across geographies and record cellular IoT shipments.
Revenue Growth
CEVA reported 13% year-over-year revenue growth, slightly higher than the top end of company guidance, reflecting annual growth in both licensing and royalties.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance Challenges
Management anticipates to grow NG-OpMargin (%) and NG-EPS by ~2x Y/Y (excluding Intrinsix 2023 figures).
Licensing Revenue Dependency
Licensing revenue increased 51% Q/Q with the backlog heading into 3Q cited as strong following the closure of significant deals in the quarter.
Revenue Guidance
Management raised year-end revenue guidance to 8% year-over-year growth at the midpoint and management's tone overall was positive.

Ceva (CEVA) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ceva Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCeva (CEVA) is a leading licensor of wireless connectivity and smart sensing technologies. The company specializes in developing and licensing a range of digital signal processing (DSP) cores and platform solutions for various applications, including mobile handsets, consumer electronics, automotive, and IoT devices. Ceva's products are integral in enabling advanced capabilities such as Bluetooth, Wi-Fi, AI processing, and sensor fusion, which are critical for modern connected devices.
How the Company Makes MoneyCeva makes money primarily through licensing its intellectual property (IP) to semiconductor and electronics companies. The company generates revenue by charging upfront licensing fees and ongoing royalties based on the sales of products that incorporate its technologies. Key revenue streams include licensing fees from DSP cores and platform solutions, as well as royalties from the deployment of these technologies in end-user devices. Ceva collaborates with leading semiconductor companies and maintains strategic partnerships to enhance its technology offerings and reach a wider market. The company also invests in research and development to continuously innovate and expand its technology portfolio, ensuring sustained demand for its IP solutions.

Ceva Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CEVA shows moderate revenue growth and a strong balance sheet with low leverage. Despite transitioning to profitability in 2024, challenges in profitability and cash flow conversion remain, requiring ongoing focus on improving margins and cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
CEVA's revenue showed moderate growth of 9.8% in 2024 compared to 2023. The gross profit margin remained robust at 88.1%, indicating effective cost management. However, the company faced challenges in profitability, with a negative EBIT and EBITDA, leading to a low net profit margin of 4.6% in 2024. The improvement from a net loss in 2023 to a net profit in 2024 is a positive sign of recovery.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position, with an equity ratio of 288.0%, indicating a low reliance on debt financing. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.02, reflecting prudent financial management. However, the return on equity is modest at 1.8%, suggesting limited profitability relative to equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
CEVA's cash flow performance improved with a positive free cash flow of $516,000 in 2024, compared to a negative free cash flow in 2023. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.71 indicates some challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also relatively low at 0.11, pointing to limited cash conversion efficiency.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
106.94M97.42M134.65M122.71M100.33M
Gross Profit
94.17M85.77M107.60M105.88M89.58M
EBIT
-7.54M-13.47M4.21M1.52M-763.00K
EBITDA
-7.54M-8.58M15.01M14.03M5.06M
Net Income Common Stockholders
4.88M-11.88M-23.18M396.00K-2.38M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
161.62M166.54M139.48M154.86M130.13M
Total Assets
308.95M304.08M308.44M328.66M306.95M
Total Debt
5.56M6.46M9.69M8.40M8.74M
Net Debt
-12.94M-16.83M-11.60M-24.75M-12.40M
Total Liabilities
42.39M39.74M49.57M51.93M46.06M
Stockholders Equity
266.56M264.34M258.87M276.73M260.89M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
516.00K-9.21M3.42M23.61M12.23M
Operating Cash Flow
3.47M-6.33M6.92M25.80M15.16M
Investing Cash Flow
-2.45M10.84M-15.12M-16.71M-15.22M
Financing Cash Flow
-5.57M-2.77M-3.31M3.24M-2.11M

Ceva Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price30.22
Price Trends
50DMA
33.14
Negative
100DMA
30.54
Negative
200DMA
25.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.30
Positive
RSI
41.80
Neutral
STOCH
14.38
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CEVA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 30.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.74, below the 50-day MA of 33.14, and above the 200-day MA of 25.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.38 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CEVA.

Ceva Risk Analysis

Ceva disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ceva reported the most risks in the “Ability to Sell” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ceva Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$27.84B16.3168.78%0.84%21.20%311.29%
72
Outperform
$8.79B144.368.71%-30.90%-76.39%
68
Neutral
$28.75B105.404.71%3.04%-44.31%-86.74%
66
Neutral
$719.44M-3.31%-9.35%76.12%
63
Neutral
$4.50B-16.69%-25.29%-449.44%
59
Neutral
$22.39B11.53-18.05%2.31%5.00%-25.89%
58
Neutral
$56.82B-6.26%0.34%-2.24%-164.09%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CEVA
Ceva
30.22
5.60
22.75%
LSCC
Lattice Semiconductor
61.03
-20.20
-24.87%
MRVL
Marvell
65.67
-5.88
-8.22%
MCHP
Microchip
53.45
-36.29
-40.44%
MPWR
Monolithic Power
581.59
-149.93
-20.50%
SLAB
Silicon Laboratories
133.81
-10.87
-7.51%

Ceva Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 13, 2025 | % Change Since: -4.73% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
CEVA's earnings call reflected a strong performance in 2024, marked by significant revenue and royalty growth, major strategic licensing deals, and successful AI product development. Although there were minor financial setbacks, such as a decline in financial income and a forecasted decrease in gross margin for the next quarter, the highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.
Highlights
Strong Fourth Quarter Revenue Growth
CEVA reported a 21% year-over-year revenue growth for the fourth quarter, with licensing and royalties contributing to this achievement.
Record High Royalty Shipments
CEVA achieved an all-time high in royalty shipments, powering 623 million units in the quarter, marking the first time surpassing 600 million units in a single quarter.
Significant Licensing Deals
CEVA signed important licensing agreements including a long-term architecture licensing agreement with a top-tier MCU company for the Wi-Fi platform and a long-term licensing agreement with a leading U.S. OEM for the 5G modem.
Strong Full-Year Performance
For the full year 2024, CEVA delivered 10% topline growth, reaching $106.9 million, and achieved strong year-over-year 18% revenue growth in royalties.
AI Product Milestones
CEVA's AI products reached key milestones including licensing agreements for AI DSPs and NeuPro-Nano NPUs with a first-time customer.
Enhanced Profitability
CEVA doubled its non-GAAP EPS compared to 2023 and created shareholder value through strong operational performance.
Lowlights
Financial Income Decline
Financial income net was negative $0.1 million compared to $1.8 million the previous year, due to a significant fall in value of the Euro versus the U.S. dollar.
Lower Gross Margin Forecast
Gross margin is expected to be slightly lower in the next quarter due to lower seasonal royalty revenue and allocation of design activities for strategic customers.
Company Guidance
During the CEVA fourth quarter and year-end 2024 earnings call, the company reported a strong financial performance with a 21% year-over-year revenue growth for the quarter, reaching $29.2 million. Licensing and related revenue increased by 33% to $15.7 million, while royalty revenue rose by 9% to $13.5 million. CEVA's gross margin was 88% on a GAAP basis and 89% on a non-GAAP basis. The company also highlighted record shipments of 623 million units in the quarter, driven by significant growth in Wi-Fi and Bluetooth IPs, which saw year-over-year shipment increases of 110% and 41%, respectively. For the full year 2024, CEVA achieved a 10% topline growth with total revenues of $106.9 million and record shipments of 2 billion units. Looking forward to 2025, CEVA anticipates continued growth in Wi-Fi, Bluetooth, and cellular IoT shipments, alongside expanding royalty contributions from mobile, driven by new long-term licensing agreements. The company expects annual revenue growth of 7% to 11% and significant year-over-year increases in non-GAAP operating income and net income.

Ceva Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ceva Unveils 2025 Executive Bonus and Equity Plan
Neutral
Feb 14, 2025

Ceva, Inc. has implemented a comprehensive 2025 Executive Bonus Plan for its top executives to enhance competitiveness and align with the company’s strategic goals. The plan, effective January 1, 2025, includes financial and operating profit targets, along with discretionary components, with potential bonuses to be paid in 2026. Additionally, equity awards in the form of restricted stock units and performance-based stock units have been granted contingent on stockholder approval, with vesting scheduled between 2026 and 2028. The company has also amended its director compensation policy to increase cash retainers and equity grants, aligning more closely with peer practices.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ceva Welcomes Amir Faintuch to Board of Directors
Positive
Jan 29, 2025

On January 29, 2025, Ceva, Inc. announced the appointment of Amir Faintuch as an independent director to its Board of Directors, effective from January 24, 2025. This appointment increases the board’s membership to eight. Mr. Faintuch brings extensive experience from his roles at major technology companies such as GlobalFoundries, Intel, and Qualcomm, and is expected to contribute significantly to Ceva’s strategic growth in the smart edge AI market.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.