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Central Puerto (CEPU)
:CEPU

Central Puerto SA (CEPU) AI Stock Analysis

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Central Puerto SA

(NYSE:CEPU)

63Neutral
Central Puerto SA's overall stock score of 63 reflects a strong financial foundation with notable revenue growth and profitability, despite some net income volatility. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, but the stock is potentially oversold. Valuation metrics indicate the stock may be overvalued, yet it offers a decent dividend yield. The earnings call provided mixed signals with impressive revenue growth countered by net income loss and operational challenges.

Central Puerto SA (CEPU) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Central Puerto SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCentral Puerto S.A. generates and sells electric power to private and public customers in Argentina. It also produces steam. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned and operated five thermal generation plants, one hydroelectric generation plant, and seven wind farms with a total installed capacity of 4,809 MW. Central Puerto S.A. was founded in 1898 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
How the Company Makes MoneyCentral Puerto SA generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity to the Argentine wholesale electricity market. The company's key revenue streams include long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with large industrial customers and contracts with the government for energy provision. Central Puerto SA also benefits from capacity payments, which are compensation for maintaining available energy capacity to ensure grid reliability. Additionally, the company engages in the trading of electricity and related financial instruments. Significant partnerships with government entities and adherence to regulatory frameworks also play a crucial role in ensuring a steady revenue flow.

Central Puerto SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Central Puerto SA demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability with a stable balance sheet. The company shows effective cash management, though there are fluctuations in net income and cash flow growth rates, indicating some financial volatility.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement of Central Puerto SA shows strong profitability with a consistent increase in total revenue over the years, indicating a positive growth trajectory. The gross profit margin and net profit margin are healthy, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net income has shown significant fluctuations, which could indicate some underlying instability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Central Puerto SA has a solid balance sheet with a favorable equity ratio, indicating strong capitalization. The debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable, suggesting moderate leverage. The company has maintained a strong stockholders' equity position. However, the total debt levels need careful monitoring to prevent potential risks.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals robust operating cash flows, which support the company's ability to finance its capital expenditures and maintain liquidity. The free cash flow has been positive, indicating efficient cash management. However, fluctuations in free cash flow growth rates highlight potential volatility in cash generation.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
738.17B313.57B101.39B57.08B38.11B
Gross Profit
291.62B103.40B48.07B27.52B21.29B
EBIT
197.20B338.22B101.56B25.71B20.34B
EBITDA
303.86B259.62B160.56B139.78B64.82B
Net Income Common Stockholders
49.60B148.04B19.04B-647.86M6.89B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
244.02B103.31B50.99B20.12B14.36B
Total Assets
2.66T1.40T381.94B200.96B158.39B
Total Debt
380.79B335.18B63.43B42.15B49.74B
Net Debt
376.95B321.71B54.18B41.86B49.46B
Total Liabilities
798.95B546.72B120.59B74.16B73.88B
Stockholders Equity
1.80T834.82B261.16B126.63B84.38B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
115.72B115.78B52.29B20.66B7.32B
Operating Cash Flow
258.22B125.61B55.64B26.04B19.29B
Investing Cash Flow
-164.91B-63.58B-31.26B-6.92B-17.29B
Financing Cash Flow
-109.81B-79.75B-16.31B-19.17B-3.68B

Central Puerto SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.08
Price Trends
50DMA
12.71
Negative
100DMA
13.34
Negative
200DMA
11.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.34
Positive
RSI
39.82
Neutral
STOCH
16.30
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CEPU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.91, below the 50-day MA of 12.71, and below the 200-day MA of 11.31, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.30 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CEPU.

Central Puerto SA Risk Analysis

Central Puerto SA disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Central Puerto SA reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Central Puerto SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CICIG
80
Outperform
$5.80B3.7328.91%10.82%3.39%46.79%
65
Neutral
$12.17B16.155.32%4.37%5.50%-9.06%
63
Neutral
$2.06B30.743.52%3.19%-14.28%-85.93%
NRNRG
63
Neutral
$20.07B19.7441.79%1.79%-1.72%
EDEDN
60
Neutral
$1.71B4.8627.25%-0.20%
AEAES
59
Neutral
$8.81B5.2339.65%5.83%-3.14%563.59%
DYDYN
40
Underperform
$1.04B-88.03%14.93%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CEPU
Central Puerto SA
11.08
1.57
16.51%
CIG
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais
1.77
0.05
2.91%
EDN
Edenor SA
29.72
11.50
63.12%
NRG
NRG Energy
92.77
23.45
33.83%
AES
AES
11.90
-5.43
-31.33%
DYN
Dyne Therapeutics
9.42
-17.03
-64.39%

Central Puerto SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 11, 2025 | % Change Since: -5.38% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative aspects. Significant revenue growth and an increase in adjusted EBITDA were overshadowed by a net income loss for the quarter. While there are promising renewable energy initiatives and a reduction in net debt, challenges such as project delays and a decline in hydro energy generation were also notable.
Highlights
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenues for the fourth quarter of 2024 amounted to $168 million, increasing 71% year-over-year compared to the fourth quarter of 2023. The annual figure reached $671 million, rising 25%.
Increase in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA rose 44% year-over-year for the fourth quarter of 2024 to $65 million, whereas the annual metric increased 4% to $288 million.
Reduction in Net Debt
Net debt as of December 31, 2024, amounted to $132 million, a reduction of $154 million compared to December of 2023, showcasing a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of about 0.5 times.
Renewable Energy Initiatives
Central Puerto announced plans for a high-voltage transmission line project in Northwestern Argentina and increased its equity in mining projects, including a 27.5% stake in a lithium project.
Lowlights
Net Income Loss
Net income for the fourth quarter of 2024 was negative $28 million, although the result for the fiscal year of 2024 was positive $52 million.
Hydro Energy Generation Decline
Hydro energy generation from Piedra del Aguila dropped 31% due to a 7% reduction in water levels of the Collón Curá River and 22% in the Limay River.
Project Delays
The San Carlos Solar plant project experienced delays in its workflow, although the Brigadier Lopez combined cycle project is on schedule.
Company Guidance
In the earnings call for Central Puerto's fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024, several key financial metrics and updates were discussed. The company's installed capacity remained steady at 6,703 megawatts, with energy generation increasing by 5% year-over-year to 5.4 terawatt hours in the fourth quarter, and annual generation rising by 4% to 21.6 terawatt hours. Financially, the fourth quarter revenues were $168 million, marking a 71% increase from the previous year, while annual revenues rose by 25% to $671 million. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter increased by 44% to $65 million, with an annual increase of 4% to $288 million. Despite these gains, the company reported a net loss of $28 million for the fourth quarter, although the fiscal year ended with a positive net income of $52 million. Net debt was reduced to $132 million by the end of the year, showing a significant reduction of $154 million compared to December 2023, resulting in a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 0.5 times. Regulatory updates included monthly spot price adjustments and the introduction of a new regulatory framework aiming to deregulate the electricity industry, with plans to implement further changes by November 2025. Additionally, Central Puerto announced a high-voltage transmission line project and investments in the lithium mining sector.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.