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The Cato Corporation (CATO)
NYSE:CATO

The Cato (CATO) AI Stock Analysis

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The Cato

(NYSE:CATO)

41Neutral
The overall score reflects significant financial and operational challenges facing The Cato Corporation. Key factors include declining revenues, negative profitability, and liquidity issues, coupled with bearish technical indicators. While the company's balance sheet shows some stability, valuation metrics and recent corporate events signal substantial risks. The high dividend yield is overshadowed by unsustainable financial performance, hinting at potential future cuts. Overall, the stock presents high risks with limited upside potential.

The Cato (CATO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

The Cato Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Cato Corporation (CATO) is a leading U.S.-based retailer of fashion apparel and accessories headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina. The company operates under three main brands: Cato, Versona, and It's Fashion, offering stylish and affordable clothing, shoes, and accessories for women. With a focus on providing exceptional value and customer service, The Cato Corporation operates approximately 1,300 stores across 31 states, primarily in the southeastern United States.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe Cato Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of women's fashion apparel and accessories. Its business model is centered around operating retail stores under its three brands: Cato, Versona, and It's Fashion, each targeting different customer demographics and price points. Revenue is primarily driven by in-store sales, with an additional stream coming from its e-commerce platform, allowing customers to shop online. The company maintains a diverse product assortment, frequently updating inventory to reflect current fashion trends, which helps to attract and retain customers. Key factors contributing to Cato's earnings include strategic location of stores, competitive pricing, and a strong focus on customer experience. The company's revenue is affected by seasonal trends, economic conditions, and consumer preferences.

The Cato Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The Cato Corporation's financial performance is weak, with declining revenues and profitability. The income statement score is low due to decreasing total revenue and negative margins, indicating operational inefficiencies. The balance sheet shows moderate stability, but with reduced equity and assets, posing financial risks. Cash flow challenges are evident with negative free cash flow, highlighting liquidity issues.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows declining revenue and profitability. The TTM data indicates a significant decrease in total revenue compared to previous years, with negative net income and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational challenges and declining profitability. The company has struggled to maintain gross profit margins, which have decreased significantly from previous years.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals moderate stability with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, although equity has decreased over time. The company's total assets have declined, but the debt levels have reduced proportionally. However, the equity ratio has decreased, indicating a shift in financial structure that may pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement shows negative free cash flow in the TTM period, highlighting cash flow challenges. Operating cash flow has been negative, indicating potential liquidity issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, reflecting inefficiencies in cash conversion from earnings.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
666.78M708.06M759.26M769.27M575.11M825.34M
Gross Profit
218.88M243.74M249.60M316.21M141.92M316.43M
EBIT
-6.67M-9.00M1.84M38.80M-75.92M37.14M
EBITDA
-9.85M-3.90M12.94M49.25M-57.94M53.13M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-26.13M-23.94M29.00K36.84M-47.48M35.90M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
207.31M102.95M128.66M165.76M143.93M212.21M
Total Assets
499.01M486.82M553.14M633.77M591.45M684.98M
Total Debt
0.00153.12M174.77M184.33M206.74M210.33M
Net Debt
-24.60M129.18M154.76M164.57M189.23M198.51M
Total Liabilities
182.17M294.50M326.55M379.57M344.95M368.46M
Stockholders Equity
316.84M192.32M226.59M254.20M246.50M316.51M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-33.23M-12.05M-6.06M55.68M-44.67M45.09M
Operating Cash Flow
-24.46M477.00K13.37M59.79M-30.71M53.40M
Investing Cash Flow
35.14M19.78M16.02M-25.33M64.51M-22.63M
Financing Cash Flow
-16.05M-16.13M-29.28M-31.80M-27.18M-41.57M

The Cato Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.26
Price Trends
50DMA
3.30
Negative
100DMA
3.89
Negative
200DMA
4.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
53.44
Neutral
STOCH
65.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CATO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.02, below the 50-day MA of 3.30, and below the 200-day MA of 4.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CATO.

The Cato Risk Analysis

The Cato disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. The Cato reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

The Cato Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$4.91B12.4617.56%7.71%40.01%
ANANF
74
Outperform
$3.86B7.1547.77%15.60%71.45%
AEAEO
67
Neutral
$2.35B7.5818.80%3.93%1.27%96.32%
GEGES
64
Neutral
$615.94M9.0219.13%10.21%9.28%-47.88%
59
Neutral
$12.76B11.271.14%3.69%1.25%-20.97%
41
Neutral
$66.95M-10.61%19.32%-6.38%-726.55%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CATO
The Cato
3.26
-2.25
-40.83%
ANF
Abercrombie Fitch
76.53
-44.83
-36.94%
AEO
American Eagle
12.24
-12.28
-50.08%
GES
Guess?, Inc.
11.69
-15.28
-56.66%
URBN
Urban Outfitters
53.17
10.39
24.29%

The Cato Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
The Cato Faces Significant Loss Amid Economic Challenges
Negative
Nov 25, 2024

The Cato Corporation announced a significant third-quarter net loss of $15.1 million, exacerbated by an 8% drop in sales and a challenging economic environment influenced by hurricanes and supply chain issues. Despite efforts to manage expenses, the company faces increased costs due to a major carrier’s bankruptcy and distribution challenges. With a decrease in gross margin and same-store sales, Cato anticipates a tough fourth quarter while navigating operational hurdles and market uncertainties.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.